Afcons Infrastructure Limited

FY2026 Q1

2025-08-08 Transcript PDF
Moderator

Thank you very much. We will now begin the question-and- answer session. The first question is from the line of Umesh Raut from Nomura. Please go ahead.

Hi, sir. Good evening. I hope I am audible.

Srinivasan Paramasivan

Yeah, you are audible.

Yeah. Hi, sir. So, my first question is on the ordering side. So, if I look at now order inflow for us during first quarter including L1, that is currently at about closer to INR21,000 crores plus, while what we have guided in the last call was order inflow of closer to INR20,000 crores to INR25,000 crores for FY26. And I think if I look at prospect pipeline as well, that is closer to now INR1.35 trillion for us. So, essentially, is there any upside in terms of order inflow guidance revision from INR25,000 crores in FY25? And second, if there is no upside, are we assuming that there is still no visibility in terms of conversion of Maharashtra state-related projects in actual signing?

Srinivasan Paramasivan

No. We had guided that we will have about INR20,000 crores of order book from the current year plus L1 order that effectively translates into about INR30,000 crores for our guidance. And as things stand now, we are at, if you take all the L1 jobs plus others put together, is in excess of INR22,000 crores. So, we have no doubts as of now in our mind on any of thes e orders. We believe we will continue to be guarded in our guidance and we are confident of our guided numbers and beyond.

Got it. And similarly, if I look at execution for the quarter, it was slower to start for FY26. And what we are guiding for 20%-25% of growth, assuming lower end of the band, it implies closer to about 25% of growth in the rest of nine months. So, are we kind of saying ramp up in existing backlog for execution? Do you think visibility around Jal Jeevan Mission collections would be improving so that the execution on water projects would be also improving? And in a way, there is no concern at all in terms of 20% growth on the top-line side for FY26?

Srinivasan Paramasivan

We have earlier call itself we had guided that substantial pickup will happen in the third and fourth quarter. And primarily because some of the fast -track orders we are receiving in the quarter, which we have received, which while the reported numbers as it is, there are significant increases in these orders are expected. All these are to be executed in short duration. Therefore, we do expect to maintain our guidance as stated earlier. Therefore, we do not expect any execution concern as of now.

Got it. And on the HSR project, where we are currently in terms of receiving TBM machines and are we assuming major uptick in execution from HSR in second half?

Srinivasan Paramasivan

No. On TBM, as of now, there is uncertainty prevailing. Matter is handled at every level, at MEA, PM, railway ministry, at every level. Therefore, considering that, even if TBM starts coming, after that it has a setting of time and other things. While the project progress is quite decent, we have already done roughly one-fifth of the project already. And our NATM portion of the tunneling on the heading part of it almost 80% is already completed. In fact, closer to 90% is completed. So, in October 2025, NATM portion will get completed. So, the uncertainty in TBM should find its resolution hopefully in a month's time. But we are keeping our fingers crossed.

Ramesh Jha

And just to add here, in the high-speed rail project, TBM-related tunneling is one aspect. Other than that, there are drill and blast tunneling, then we have shaft. So, all other works are going fine. Only this TBM-related tunneling is not happening. And as explained by MD, we are quite hopeful that things should materialize very shortly. And then we will be able to commence that work as well.

Okay. So, in our guidance of 20% to 25% of execution growth, are we assuming material uptake from HSR? I mean, if suppose TBM machines get delayed, is there any concern around guidance for execution?

Ramesh Jha

So, that we have already factored in. We are not looking at any concern as such. So, there will be all endeavour from our side, whatever guidance we have given. So, what happens that we have got number of projects. It is quite obvious that in some projects something may not go as planned. But at the same time, we will try to cover it up from some other project.

Okay. Got it. Got it. Thank you so much. I will get back to the queue. All the very best. Thank you.

Ramesh Jha

Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Mohit Kumar from ICICI Securities. Please go ahead.

ICICI Securities

Hi. Good evening, sir. And thanks for the opportunity. My first question is that, have you worked in Croatia earlier? And what are the challenges in executing the orders and building a team to execute in new geographies?

Srinivasan Paramasivan

We have expressed very clearly in our earlier earnings call and all that we are looking at the markets on a continuous basis. And sooner than later, we could enter into Europe. So, this is the result of our sustained research and ground level work over a period of time. So, whatever risk, we have evaluated and we have priced it also. Therefore, we do not foresee any major risk. And as you may be aware, we have already worked in more than 25 countries abroad quite successfully. And probably the only Indian contractor in the infrastructure space to be doing the infrastructure work in various parts of different countries. So, therefore, we do believe that and we are confident that we will be in a position to execute this project successfully.

ICICI Securities

When do you expect to receive the LOA and NTP for this particular project?

Srinivasan Paramasivan

Normally, from the time they declare L1, within 120 days, they are supposed to give the order.

ICICI Securities

Understood. My second question is the way that Dubai tunnel prospect, which we are pursuing in the Middle East, is there any update which you can share?

Srinivasan Paramasivan

No, I think the process is going on. It is proceeding in the right direction. Beyond that, at this point of time, I think it is inappropriate to give any update.

ICICI Securities

Understood sir. My last question is what is the amount pending in UP for the water jal generation? Has it declined compared to March levels?

Srinivasan Paramasivan

No, it has not declined. It is roughly around INR422 crores at the gross level. And we, of course, we hold some amount of advance of them. Therefore -- and we have already completed about 74% of the project. We are evaluating as to what is to be done. Efforts are on to realize the dues as well.

ICICI Securities

And how much advance you are holding, sir, broad number?

Srinivasan Paramasivan

INR87 crores we are holding advance.

ICICI Securities

Understood, sir. Thank you. Thank you.

Srinivasan Paramasivan

Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Balasubramanian from Arihant Capital Markets Limited. Please go ahead.

Balasubramanian

Good evening sir. Sir, we have a L1 pipeline of around INR21,550 crores. I just want to understand, like whether these bids are -- we did it aggressively? Is there any risk of margins? And could you please break down that segment -wise, because in water projects, we are facing issues, whether is there any changes in the mix?

Srinivasan Paramasivan

No. Our pending order, whatever L1 is there, consists of seven orders. Two jobs, Nagpur, Gondia…

Srinivasan Paramasivan

Hello.

Moderator

Sir, you now speak now.

Srinivasan Paramasivan

Yes. Nagpur, Gondia, two road jobs, which aggregate to INR5,200 crores value. And Pune Ring Road, two tunneling project, which aggregate to around INR4,800 crores. Then there are two road and tunnel mixed projects in Croatia, which aggregate to around INR4,500 crores. And one railway job, which is around INR6,800 crores. Everywhere, it is well bid and therefore, there is no reason for any concern.

Ramesh Jha

And just to add, this Croatia job, we have been working for those projects for quite some time, more than one and a half years or so. So, our people were working on these projects with great details and getting into the methodology, how to procure, how to execute for quite some time. And that's where our bids are rightly priced. And the bids are far higher than the client's estimates. So, these bids are very, very nicely priced and we should see a very positive result in these projects.

Balasubramanian

Okay, sir. Sir, I'm looking at FY25 numbers, like contract liability is around INR2,500 crores and contract assets, INR5,500 crores, more than two times in the FY25. In FY24, it's almost 1.3 times. I just want to understand, it might be the reason of dela yed billing or client payment issues. And what is that status of Q1 numbers for unbilled revenue and advances side? And when we can expect to normalize these numbers?

Ramesh Jha

No, so see, these contract assets and contract liabilities, rightly said that these are a reflection of ongoing business activity. So, if you see for a large part of time, the contract liabilities are in the similar range. When we are getting new projects, we get advances and that gets reflected in the contract liabilities. Some of the contract assets, of course, they are stuck and the company is working with various customers. One of them is Jal Jeevan Mission. So many places, we are at a very advanced stage. Even in Jal Jeevan Mission, we have tried to reach out to senior ministers and bureaucrats in the government. And we are working on getting those amounts settled. So at the moment, the arrangements in place are quite comfortable, but nevertheless, we'll r ealize these amounts and we'll have a very comfortable situation, maybe in another three, four months' time.

Balasubramanian

Okay, sir. Sir, it's a common issue in the industry, labor shortages. I think various companies are facing around 20% to 30% kind of range. I just want to understand how much labor shortages we have and is there any impact on the execution of the project, especially on high -speed rail and metro projects and tunnel projects?

Srinivasan Paramasivan

Labor shortage is a continuous issue in the Indian construction industry. We have our own ways and means of addressing it. Some projects still temporarily will have some labor shortage, but we have developed many mechanisms to see how the labor is retained. . Therefore, while there are problems, it is not a problem which is not insurmountable. It is managed.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Vineet from Kashini. Please go ahead.

Vineet

Good evening, sir. My name is Vineet, and I'm an investor in your company. So, I just wanted to know the company's plans to bring down the debt and the interest burden. I mean, if you could share some insights on that.

Ramesh Jha

So, good evening, Vinee t. If you see the debt of the company, the net debt is sub INR2,500 crores and on net debt to equity basis, it is around 0.46 or so, which is a quite comfortable situation. And the company is a growing company and we are investing a lot in strategic equipment. So, going forward also, the company will keep on investing in strategic equipment. So, immediate term, I am not foreseeing that the debt is significantly going to come down. But at the same time, let me reassure you, the debt is in a very comfortable zone and we will be able to manage with the surpluses going forward from the projects we are generating to manage the working capital requirement of the company and maybe even the capital equipment, the equipments we are going to add. So, the debt in absolute terms is not going to go significantly up, but at the same time, it is not going to come down as well. But at the same time, as I said, debt is in a very, very comfortable zone. Vineet So, I mean, as the interest rate environment is expected to turn benign going forward, are you looking at refinancing the existing debt at a lower coupon?

Ramesh Jha

So, we are working on certain aspects of bringing down the interest cost and in that endeavor, we have done a number of commercial papers in recent past. So, those commercial papers, we have repaid some of the existing working capital lines. And of course, with these actions, we are getting the benefit of that interest arbitrage. So, we are working even on refinancing as well. Vineet Thank you so much, sir. That is helpful.

Ramesh Jha

Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Shirom Kapur from Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Jefferies

Hi, sir. Thanks for the opportunity. I just wanted to get a bit more colour on your order flow. So, I mean, just to reiterate, your order flow guidance for the full year is INR20,000 crores or is there any change to that so far?

Ramesh Jha

Yes, it is INR20,000 crores. That is what you have stated.

Jefferies

Okay. And these projects that have been, I know you spoke a little bit about it, but I just want to get more colour on the Maharashtra jobs that are in your L1. By when do you expect those orders to be converted? Because they have been sort of stuck in that L1 position since December, so, just wondering when we might get that conversion?

Srinivasan Paramasivan

It is quite a strange situation, which never happens normally. In Nagpur-Gondia, for example, we have been L1 since September. And in Pune -Ring Road, we are L1 since Jan. Typically, these kinds of things, as per Maharashtra government guidelines, once 70% land acquisition is completed, it can be awarded. Pune-Ring Road, it is practically 100% is acquired. And in Nagpur-Gondia, land acquisition has not reached that stage as yet. So, but today, we have no clues as to why the award of job is getting delayed. So, that is a factual statement. Therefore, when it will come? Anytime it can come, at least with respect to Pune - Ring Road, anytime it can come. Nagpur-Gondia, it depends on the land acquisition status, it could take some more time. That is our take. But this is something we have stated in the last earning call also. That time, one package was around 90% plus, another package was a little less. Now, it is one is 100%, another is some 99.3 or so acquisition in Pune. Therefore, we are not in a position to say, as to why it is getting delayed. We are hopeful that it will come very shortly.

Jefferies

So, in case, I mean, the delays continue, that would be a risk to achieving our order flow guidance for FY26, right? Because this would be, these orders are factored in.

Srinivasan Paramasivan

We are still confident of achieving our order book guidance. There are several other things in the pipeline.

Jefferies

Okay. So, even if -- so these particular projects, they are not necessarily part of that INR20,000, factored into that INR20,000 guidance. Is this upside potential to the 20000?

Srinivasan Paramasivan

Absolutely right.

Jefferies

Okay. Understood. Thank you so much.

Srinivasan Paramasivan

Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. A reminder to the participants, please press star and 1 to ask a question. The next question is from the line of Vasudev from Nuvama. Please go ahead.

Vasudev

Yeah. Hi. Thank you for the opportunity. So, sir, my question is on the Croatia orders that we have bagged. Can you give some details like, you know, what are the margins that you are expecting the working capital days in those projects and the payment terms and something like that? Okay.

Srinivasan Paramasivan

I suffice to say that in one, in the road projects, we are 20% higher than estimate. And in the rail project, we are 10% higher than the estimate. And it is well funded by the European funding and payment terms are decent. We have a proper interest -free mobilization advance. It is like any other project. So, we do not expect any challenge. It is a well-bid job. It may not be, so it will be too premature to divulge all the details or commercial details of the project.

Ramesh Jha

So for the full year capex we have planned around INR1, 100 crores. And in Q1, we have done close to INR50 crores of capex.

Vasudev

Okay. Sure, sir. That’s it from my side. Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Abhinav from ICICI Securities. Please go ahead.

Abhinav

Yeah. Hi, sir. Thanks for the opportunity. My question is on the order book. So, I want two things. First, what percent of the order book is in early stage of execution, like below 20%, 25%? And secondly, what percent has not yet started?

Ramesh Jha

So, see, good evening. It is difficult to put a number of what percentage because there are number of projects we are executing around 64 projects or so. So putting a specific number because there are various projects which we have just commenced, like I think, you know, seven, eight projects we have just commenced, which are less than 10%. And then there are number of projects which we are on the verge of completing, maybe around out of that 64 projects, maybe around 10, 12 projects will be there, which we are going to complete this year. So that percentage varies in different projects. So putting any specific number may not reflect the right this thing. And all the projects, whatever we have got LOI, all we have commenced the execution.

Abhinav

Understood, sir. Thank you. That was my question.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Shrinarayan Mishra from Baroda BNP Paribas Mutual Fund. Please go ahead.

Baroda BNP Paribas Mutual Fund

Thank you for the opportunity. I hope you can hear me?

Ramesh Jha

We can hear you. Go ahead.

Baroda BNP Paribas Mutual Fund

Yes, sir. So, my first question was again – again, it is a clarification which you highlighted earlier in your commentary. So you said that interest bearing advances, their proportion has now increased to 34% from earlier 25%. And the new orders which you are receiving on that 100% of the advances are interest bearing. Is that correct?

Ramesh Jha

So, what I said, generally, if we see last four, five years, the bifurcation between an interest free and interest bearing used to be 75% interest free and 25% interest bearing, whereas today it is 37% is interest bearing and 63% is interest free. So of the recent job what we have bagged last year, where we have got mobilization advance, those were all having interest bearing. That is why this percentage of interest bearing has gone up. Now, the order what we are looking at, like the projects we are talking about in Croatia, all are interest free. And some of the other projects in pipeline, there also we are looking at a sizable chunk of projects in the interest free zone. So hopefully going forward, we can see a situation where we go back to the normal situation what we were having for last 3-4 years.

Baroda BNP Paribas Mutual Fund

Okay. So, these orders are typically domestic orders where we are facing this problem, right? On the international side, things are normal.

Ramesh Jha

Yeah. So, there is no problem in the domestic project also. It depends on what kind of project you are getting in domestic market. Because in domestic market also, large part of the projects are interest free only.

Baroda BNP Paribas Mutual Fund

Okay. And sir, what will be our average cost of debt? And on the interest bearing advances, what average interest cost we are paying?

Ramesh Jha

So, on our bank borrowing, the average borrowing is around 9%. And of course, I am not giving you the specific number, but it is around 9%. And some of the interest bearing advances, it varies from 7% to 10%.

Baroda BNP Paribas Mutual Fund

Okay. And sir, last quarter, you were very optimistic on the Middle East ordering pipeline. So, has there been any change on the outlook or it is still positive in the Middle East?

Srinivasan Paramasivan

No. We have, except the one big job, we have never stated about an optimistic position with respect to Middle East. Okay. That one particular job, we continue to be optimistic, which is a very big job.

Baroda BNP Paribas Mutual Fund

Okay. So, as the type of uncertainty unfolds, how you are seeing the outlook there? Is it turning more negative export market?

Srinivasan Paramasivan

No. In our addressable markets or whichever market we are looking at, there is no impact.

Ramesh Jha

As things stand, the situation in Middle East has not changed. And the project we have talked about in UAE, the project is going fine, and we are working towards that project. And our efforts in Saudi Arabia also is on.

Baroda BNP Paribas Mutual Fund

Okay. Okay. And just last question from my side, sir. What's the working capital days in Q1?

Ramesh Jha

So, working capital days, as I explained, that it has -- generally in Q1, it goes up all the year. So, this time also from the March number, it has gone up. And -- but that is not significantly different from what we have done in, say, last 3 years. It is in the similar line.

Baroda BNP Paribas Mutual Fund

So sir, it's the receivables only, which is a pain point, right, in the working capital. Otherwise, all other components are well within the trend. Is that understanding correct?

Ramesh Jha

Yes. So recent times, as I said that in -- based on our Q1 experience, I would feel that the liquidity in the entire system is not that great, and it needs improvement. And that's where we are seeing that the customers are not very smooth in releasing their payment. It is taking time.

Ramesh Jha

Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Ankita Shah from Elara Capital. Please go ahead. Hello, Ankita. Your voice is not audible. Hello. Ankita Shah Thank you. So, firstly, congratulations on a very good set of numbers. My first question is on the top five projects. So, as we understand nearly your top-five projects contribute almost 40% -- 30%, 40% to your total order book. Within that, a high-speed rail you already mentioned is going slightly slower. Could you help us with an update on the other top projects like Maldives Dam Project in Uttarakhand and MP, and Delhi MRTS Project, or any other projects, which would now comprise of the top- five projects? I just want to track the execution on these top projects.

Ramesh Jha

See, as we have said that we are not facing any, you know, this high-speed rail is going slow, is not the right picking the point. High-speed, we have said that only problem we are facing is that the TBM delivery has got delayed. On all other aspects of high-spee d rail where we are doing this NATM tunneling, the shafts and other stuff of the project is going fine. So, even in this financial year, the turnover we have planned, largely we will be able to achieve even if, say, hypothetically if TBM doesn’t come. But as we say that in all the ministries in India, we have escalated the matter and everybody is working towards getting this sorted out. So, say, even if it gets sorted out by, say, September, October, we should be able to clock whatever we have planned from the high-speed rail project. Now, other projects, say, Male or Delhi Metro Project or some of the other big projects, we are not facing any challenges as such and the execution is going fine.

Ankita Shah

Got it. Sir, what is the status of pending arbitration claims that are outstanding as on date?

Ramesh Jha

You see these are something we will not be able to give that at this point in time. The information was there in the DRHP, and we are working towards settling all those claims. But different arbitration matters are at different stage. So, outcome also, wha t time, what quantum will be difficult to give.

Ankita Shah

Okay, okay. And one last thing, on your prospect pipeline of almost INR3 lakh crores, could you highlight some of the large projects in domestic and in international that you are looking for that we can track in the near-term?

Srinivasan Paramasivan

I think in the interest of confidentiality, specific projects we would not like to mention. But practically, whichever big projects are in the horizon, in all the projects, we are there. And internationally, we are looking at traditional geographies, we are looking at few other geographies as well.

Ankita Shah

You mean newer geographies?

Ankita Shah

And sir, also…

Srinivasan Paramasivan

We are looking at other geographies as well.

Ankita Shah

Okay. Apart from geographies, are you also looking at newer segments, business segments?

Srinivasan Paramasivan

Newer segments as we have always conveyed as an extension of existing segments, we will keep doing it. Like we entered into from the regular metro tunnel to water tunnel. And as a part of extension of this thing, we could get into green energy. So, those things are an ongoing process. It’s not specific that we are compared to a completely unrelated business we move in. It's not. It's aligned to construction, we'll keep doing it in the infrastructure side.

Ankita Shah

Got it, Sir. Got it. That's helpful. Thank you so much and wish you all the very best.

Paramasivan Srinivasan

Thanks, Ankita.

Ramesh Jha

Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Shirom Kapur from Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Jefferies

Hi, Sir. Thanks for the follow -up. Just circling back to the L1 position, as you mentioned, the Maharashtra projects are not factored into the guidance, but is the Croatia job factored into the guidance? So, three Croatia jobs that we expect to book this year itself, right?

Paramasivan Srinivasan

Yes. Within 120 days, we expect the order to be awarded.

Jefferies

Got it. And so, you usually give the breakup of the pipeline, you mentioned INR3.35 trillion and two-thirds domestic, but across segments, would you like to share that breakup?

Hitesh Singh

Sure, I'll give you the breakup. So, out of that segment, as we have mentioned, normally our pipeline is well diversified and we cover projects for almost two years. So, that's the horizon I'll give you. The largest chunk continues to be the urban infrastructure project, around INR1.4 lakh crores is from the urban infrastructure space, which includes metros, bridges, and elevated corridors as well. The second biggest chunk is from the hydro, underground, and water segment, which is around INR80,000 crores. And surface transport, which is our road and rail business, around INR70,000 crores. And remaining marine is around INR46,000 crores in the pipel ine. That is the breakup. And as MD mentioned, overseas and domestic, it's around one-third and two-third is the breakup in the pending pipeline.

Jefferies

Understood, Sir. Thank you so much. And just lastly on -- just wondering on Middle East, because we are seeing a lot of capex building up there in oil and gas and infrastructure, but you mentioned that you're focusing on one particular large project. But any reason why we are not further putting in efforts in Middle East? And is it because of the competitive landscape or maybe the nature of the projects don't align with what Afcons usually works on? Just to get some more color there.

Srinivasan Paramasivan

We have from time to time explained on the various aspects in Middle East, yet suffice to say that, barring some exceptions, a profitable growth in Middle East, in the infrastructure side - oil and gas is different - in the infrastructure side, there are limited opportunities. Wherever there are opportunities for a profitable growth in Middle East, we'll be focused on. In other areas, we will not be focused on. As this particular project being a large project, it received a lot of attention, I had specifically mentioned. Otherwise, few other projects also we are focused on, but not in a large-scale Middle Eastern landscape.

Srinivasan Paramasivan

Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Vineet Gupta from Kashini Financial Services. Please go ahead.

Kashini Financial Services

Sir, good evening. If you could help us understand a bit on newer initiatives that you are taking apart from the existing sectors that you operate in. And second, what is typically the DSO, the debtor outstanding in terms of number of days? After completi on how much -- after raising a bill, how much time does it typically take to realize the money?

Hitesh Singh

Regarding newer initiatives, as MD also mentioned sometime back, as a growing company, as a well-diversified company, we keep on looking for newer areas of growth. However, these growth always in the related sectors. For example, we were in hydro and underground, we moved to water. We were in elevated metro, we moved to underground metro. So those, kind of, newer areas we are continuously looking for, but not in unrelated areas. So, that will continue.

Ramesh Jha

And answering to your debtor days, see debtor days, if you see the trade receivable of the overall company, we are in the similar range. Now, in the receivables, we have got three categories, one normal trade receivable, which is in the range of say around 40 days, which is quite normal. And then we have got retention money, which gets released as per the terms of the contract. That also is in the similar range what we have for quite some time. And then we have got arbitration receivables, even though that gets reported in the receivable, but in 50% of the amount we have already received by way of NITI Aayog guideline, by giving bank guarantee, but still that gets classified as receivable. So – and that is also in the similar range what we have for quite some time. It’s not that those amounts are stuck, but something we realize, something we settle and we get it closed, but something new comes up in the category.

Kashini Financial Services

Sure, sir. Thanks for answering.

Srinivasan Paramasivan

Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, as there are no further questions, I now hand the conference over to the management for closing comments.

Srinivasan Paramasivan

Thank you very much for all of you for joining and continuing to support us. And we are very confident that our company will create a continued long-term value to all the stakeholders going forward. And we stand by our commitment in terms of performance. Thank you all.

Moderator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of DAM Capital Advisors Limited and Afcons Infrastructure, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us and you may now disconnect your line.