Bata India Limited

FY2025 Q1

2024-08-08 Transcript PDF
Moderator

Thank you very much. We will now begin the question and answer session. The first question is from the line of Saurabh Kundan from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Goldman Sachs

Thank you very much for the opportunity. Sir, my first question is, can you please let us know the channelized growth between COCO, franchise, distribution and online in this quarter?

Gunjan Shah

Yes, I do not share the precise numbers, Saurabh, but overall, as I have been mentioning, the piece was that franchise and e-commerce were the channels that grew the fastest, outstripping the overall growth. On the mass side, distribution business was the relative laggard relatively.

Goldman Sachs

I know that you mentioned that this quarter, you said that April, May and towards the later part of June probably was weaker. But what is the same-store sales growth that you see, let us say, in your COCO network, roughly? Even if you want to share April, May while you were still seeing slightly better, even if you can share that number, the same-store sales?

Gunjan Shah

It has been evidently negative, Saurabh, but lower single-digit negative. Our endeavour is, and I have stated this, is that we get it to basically mid to high single digits and we should see the efficiencies flow at a significant level. So one of the reasons, even if I remove some of the one- offs on the expense side, is that the [unclear] is coming because of the same-store sales growth being muted.

Goldman Sachs

Right, right. My next question is on the high-performance merchandising tech investment that you have been doing. Can you let us know how do we measure what improvement or what impact it has had? For example, if you could let us know the full-price sales now versus before or any other measure that you track internally to see the effectiveness of these investments?

Gunjan Shah

Yes, yes. So there are a few, Saurabh, and it can be a long discussion, but there are a few process metrics. There are a few outcome metrics. Eventually, the business case of that project, which has now been fully, how do you say, implemented, is basically in terms of impact from an outcome perspective on three, four large pillars. One is cross-margin, markdown, a combination of that, and therefore, obviously, improvement on it. The second one is in terms of inventory turns, right. We would want to see, and as I mentioned, even when I'm making the presentation, some early signs, but we will want to see, you know, we measure it for consistency on trailing 12 months, which will take another six months of consistent performance. But basically, inventory versus sales ratio. Last is going to be availability, right? And we do measure for availability versus what has been the designed assortment for a store. And for each size, and how are we present every day and every week. So all these three are the outcome metrics. There are many other process metrics, which I'll not drain out here.

Goldman Sachs

Okay. Could you give us an idea of what are your full prices? So percentage of sales that are not discounted in a year?

Gunjan Shah

We would, my discounting on an average is at high single digit. Do I have the full price contribution? I'll need to offline revert to you. I'm sure we can take that out.

Goldman Sachs

Oh, sure. I'll connect with you, sir. And that's it for now. Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line from Rahul Agarwal from IKIGAI Asset Management. Please go ahead.

IKIGAI Asset Management

Hi, good evening. Thank you for the opportunity. Sir, I had one question. I had all done the sales and channel network. We spoke about 40, 50 store adds across COCO and FOFO is what I understand in the quarter. Could you elaborate on what's the plan for SIS and MBOs? Is there revenue salience overall? Because I'm relatively not really sure how much do COCO, FOFO contribute to our business? And related question was from a gross margin and ROCE perspective, like how would they be different? Like COCO, FOFO, that's the first question.

Gunjan Shah

Okay, so Rahul, you've asked multiple questions. Can you just repeat it quickly?

IKIGAI Asset Management

Okay, sure. So one is COCO, FOFO, SIS and MBOs. How do you plan to increase that network? I understand COCO, FOFO is going to be 40, 50 per quarter. And gross margin and ROCE, how are they different between COCO and FOFO?

Gunjan Shah

Okay. All right. Got it. The second one I've stated in the past also, Rahul, and the ROCE is, so there are two ways of looking at it. One is at an EBITDA level. And the second one is at ROCE and both of them are important. Actually, both of them franchise by default is better from a ROCE as well as an EBITDA level, as long as it's, you know, there is a threshold at which it switches over. So the threshold that we have seen is roughly in the range of about, you know, annualized turnover of about INR2 crores. So anything above 2 crores, then the COCO kicks in as much more accretive, right? And an ROCE by default franchise is much better because a lot of the inventory and working capital is loaded onto the franchise because we follow an outright model. So I hope that answers that second question. The first one was the ratio between EBOs, I mean, COCO, FOFO, SIS and MBOs. We don't do ratio from a number because MBOs are very large numbers and throughput per store is very different. And that's why I show it to you separately. Even similarly for SIS also, our throughput per store is much lower than obviously the FOFO and the COCO. But between COCO and FOFO, if I'm looking at, let's say, for example, about 40 stores in a normal, at a, let's say, in a quarter or 45, we should have about 35 FOFO and about 10 COCOs. Does that answer your question?

IKIGAI Asset Management

Yes. And secondly, and then I'll come back in the queue, on the manufacturing and outsourcing mixed situation. So what is it right now for Bata overall and any updates from a BIS perspective for vendors if you could provide this?

Gunjan Shah

Yes. Thank you, Rahul. I should have actually included that in the presentation also on the BIS, but thanks for bringing it up. So a couple of things, I think the in-house manufacturing versus contract, the ratio has moved to about 25 for 75. Another big milestone while I declared and we had charged it off, I think, in a couple of quarters back, which was the VRS cost, a one-time cost, but we have also now formally notified the closure of the South Can factory, which was in Bangalore, Kenya. So that ratio will only keep moving. So it's in the ballpark of about 25% right now. This was still about two years back at about 35. So there has been a distinct shift and I think one of those big reasons has been South Can itself. The second piece is the BIS. It has been now, I mean, at least the question marks have been completely clarified. It is effective from 1st of August. The government has been extremely engaging and we have been partnering with them for the last almost about 18 months now, right from even the kind of quality control orders, etcetera that have been issued. It encompasses about, from a Bata portfolio perspective, almost about 90% of our products. There is a small amount that is still not issued quality control orders, but a very small amount. The rest of it is all now covered and most probably for the broader footwear industry itself. We have successfully transitioned, I think actually about a month or so prior to even the 1st August, from our sourcing as well as manufacturing base. There are some small parts of the portfolio, very miniscule and non-material, where there is some action still to be done or rather stabilisation in terms of getting the domestic sourcing done, especially where we have got very low volumes. Those are the ones that are still getting stabilised, but we are confident that they will not disrupt our initiatives, both marketing as well as merchandising in store. So that is the broad update on BIS.

IKIGAI Asset Management

Perfect Gunjan, I will come back in between. Thank you so much. Thank you.

Videesha Sheth

Yes, hi. Thank you for the opportunity. My first question was on the expenses side. We see that employee and other expenses have increased by 15% and 18% respectively during the quarter. Now, while other expenses had some impact of the one-time tech-related investment, what led to the 15% increase in employee costs? And also, how should we be looking at the cost side going forward as despite large part of the franchisee-led expansion, we see an increase in expenses? I understand that the marketing-related expense and tech-related expense would increase the cost, but at the same time, we do not have to incur store-related expenses due to FOFO expansion, right? So I just wanted your clarification on this point.

Gunjan Shah

Yes. So, no, you are right. So basically, other expenses I have broadly talked about, right, even in terms of payroll as well as, okay, yes. So as well as payroll, etcetera, there were, there is no, I mean, basically, broadly underlying, we are actually pretty tight on it. And in fact, some of the piece that I talked about from a store level, variable cost structure, etcetera, will start kicking in in terms of benefits. So we do not see it outpacing sales growth going forward. But the piece is that this quarter, there was some one-off related in the base, etcetera Cumulative impact, as I said, was to the extent of about 300 to 320 basis points, you know, between the ERP, the IT expenses, as well as some payroll-based effect.

Videesha Sheth

Okay, got it. In this continuation to the payableization comment that you mentioned, in the PPP, we could see that 30% of the incentive is variable in nature. But when we try to get an understanding from FY24's annual report, the sales commission line item as a percentage of total employee spend comes out to be only 14%. So is it only because of corporate employees that the 30% is getting diluted?

Gunjan Shah

I need some expert advice on this.

Anil Somani

So principally, what you are talking about is an annual report. The annual report, we report the total payroll cost. So question is, just to understand it better, how you are correlating from the annual report a variable piece of it, please?

Videesha Sheth

So in other expenses, we have a line item regarding sales commission? So would that…

Gunjan Shah

My sense is Videesha – my sense is your hypothesis is correct, the denominator does not necessarily include only store payroll. But we can offline correct it to you. But the construct has been what I'm stating.

Videesha Sheth

Got it. And lastly, can you help with the contribution from new launches or fresh inventory for the first quarter?

Gunjan Shah

Okay, so the number of lines that we would have launched in store, and they are not necessarily new to the system. So let me tell you, okay, so a little more elaboration. So we've got a large network, it's divided into store clusters, right? And depending on the cohort of consumers that it is in, because the merchandise in let's say a high street in Meerut has to be very different from a merchandise which would be in a mall in Gurgaon, or in Mumbai, etcetera right? And therefore, then we have it divided into almost four or five clusters. So when I see a successful product, let's say in tier two cluster, or let's say a cluster two, not necessarily tier two town, but cluster two. And next season, I take it to tier three, because it's seen a certain amount of success, etcetera It is a newness for that cluster and therefore that consumer cohort. If I have got through to you, then the eventual newness that we are talking about to these clusters of stores is to the extent of about 30%. The sales contribution is in the range of about mid-teens, so about 14 to 18%, depending on the month. The inventory allocation also is in the range of about slightly higher, about 14% to 18%.

Videesha Sheth

Okay, thank you.

Gunjan Shah

Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Anurag Lodha from Axis Capital. Please go ahead.

Axis Capital

Hi, thank you for the opportunity. So I just had one question. So your premium product portfolio has particularly done well. So I just wanted to understand how has the value segment performed? What is the salience between premium and value right now?

Gunjan Shah

Okay. As far as contributions go, I had mentioned that also, which was that basically the premium product, which is, you know, about 2000 continues to grow faster. That continues even last quarter, while the difference in trajectory has been narrowing, but it still continues to outpace. The contribution is that greater than 2000 is in the range of about 25%. Greater than 1000 is in the range of almost about 60%. And less than 500, which is largely the mass distribution business contribution, that would be in the range of about 15% now.

Axis Capital

Okay, understood. So are you suggesting that value segment is kind of picking up? I mean, you suggested that difference is kind of...

Gunjan Shah

We are hopeful. I think in absolute, it is still not turned around completely. But we are hopeful seeing some of the signs that we are seeing on the ground on that front, that in the coming quarters, we should see that turning around for us.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Priyank Chheda from Vallum Capital. Please go ahead.

Vallum Capital

Yes. Hi, sir. Could you speak about the categories which are working well, which are not working well and why? What are the broader trends that are panning out in your footwear category? Now, we are four years away from the COVID. So there would be some sure large consumption shifts that would have happened. And one clear shift that is witnessing from your research is that sports and athleisure category is for sure looking very promising. So any particular data points or any particular insights you would like to share on a broader category trends would be helpful.

Gunjan Shah

Sure, sure. Okay, thanks, Priyank. I didn't spend as much time on it. So one is that I can give it in the perspective of last quarter, last quarter. But I can also give you a little more broader one. That's what you're looking for. So on the broader front, and that's very clearly reflected in some of the highlights, some of the efforts that I'm talking about, the investments and resources that we are putting in, etcetera, has been sneakerization, casualization, as well as in terms of fashion. So these are three big pivots. Now, they manifest themselves in many ways. And let's say, for example, one example is floats. It's a classic case of casualization. Give good style, give good technology at the right price point, and there is momentum to be generated. And that's inspiration that despite the kind of overall consumption, you can make your own headway if you get it right. And similarly is on, as I said, on the sneakerization piece, as well as on, therefore, athleisure as a combination under it, which is why the apparel piece, etcetera, comes in. And the last piece was, you know, fashion premium, etcetera, where Hush Puppies, some of the stuff that we are trying to do on non-footwear, especially nine vest, handbags, etcetera The one specifically last quarter that did show some amount of obviously stress disproportionately was the dress piece, both ladies as well as men. And my sense is to do with, which was otherwise doing reasonably well, I would say, but that obviously did not do well last quarter and most probably got to do with some of the occasion, wedding days, etcetera, etcetera, which should bounce back, I guess. I hope that answers.

Vallum Capital

So, the broader three trends which you spoke on, which is sneakerization, casualization, and fashion, what would be our sales contribution coming out from this trend, which is in our favor? And actually, what is driving such strong momentum or such a great acceptance for the consumer in this category? And how are we strategizing to benefit out of this? And on the other side, why formal as a category, which is again, a very large for us, is not picking up, is there some work to be done from our side as a market leader?

Gunjan Shah

Right. So, formal, let's say, for example, if I go backwards two years, formal has been doing well. Right. The piece that I commented on was dress specifically within that, which did not do well last quarter. And my sense is because of, you know, some of the events that I talked about. But otherwise, over a longish period of time, I think it's relatively doing better. The one that is, you know, the longer term trend, I think there is a lot of work to be done, we can do a lot more. I think even let's say, for example, floats, for example, we would be in the range of about 1.2 to 1.4 million pairs for the year. My sense is that can this can easily scale to about 5 million pairs, right? Both offline, online, etcetera all combination done together. So, there's a huge opportunity that is there. In some of the places, we have to also fix the proposition as well as the mechanism of making sure that we are able to package it to consumers. So, are we putting up the stories together? The power EBO, the power apparel, the entire athleisure, umbrella, etcetera is an endeavour towards that. We do see that if you put in the right kind of technology, the right kind of initiative and the proposition to consumer, you will see traction on it. And that's what we are seeing for the last two quarters in power also. So, yes, so there is traction, but there is a long way to go.

Vallum Capital

So, you didn't answer about what would be our contribution, revenue contribution as of now? And what would we see going ahead with these three trends? Where are we positioned?

Gunjan Shah

Okay, so casualization would casual overall, sneakers and casual combined should be contributing to about 50% to 55% of our business. My sense is that going forward, this should become about 60% to 65% in the longer term over, let's say, three years.

Vallum Capital

Perfect. And just last question on the VAS norms, you did mention about your positioning for the norms getting implemented. Do you see competition from, say, MNCs veining out because they might take some time to readjust to the supply chains, in particular, into the sports and athleisure category? And also for the unorganized players, if you can comment on that?

Gunjan Shah

Yes. No, I've been asked this question. We will have to see how this pans out. See, the industry in general carries inventories to the extent, and this is only companies carrying it, to the extent of about four to eight months of inventory at any point in time, depending on the business model as well as the various brands slash players. Now, this is besides NBO retail carrying its own inventory, etcetera So I don't think trends as well as some of these insights will come out so clearly so fast. But over a period of, let's say, about four to six months, we will start seeing some understanding of how people have adapted to it. We also see on the positive side, to be fair to the industry, etcetera, there has been a lot more upgradation of technology and capabilities within India. That has happened over the last about a year or so. We have also benefited. So some of the products that we used to import, etcetera, those are also now getting easily domesticated, and we are able to make them at even better margins slash price points. So fingers crossed, should not be a big disruption. But as I said, we'll have to wait and watch for the next about six months to see a clear trend.

Vallum Capital

Great. All the best. Thank you for answering all the questions. Thank you.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Abhishek Getam from Alpha Invesco. Please go ahead.

Alpha Invesco

Hello, sir. Thank you for the questions. I wanted to know, understand how is our plans on store openings on geography or region-wide? What sort of target areas are we looking at? And then in the newly opened stores, in like Tier 3 and beyond, what are you looking at the trends there? I mean, is it like floats and EVAs working there? Or is it like sneakers and power working out there?

Gunjan Shah

Okay, so there are multiple cuts of the question that you have asked for. Tier format of stores between COCO FOFO as well as I think the banner and the concept that you're talking about in terms of floats as well as power. Floats and power, I have mentioned the immediate near term ambition has been what I mentioned in the presentation. So I'll not repeat that. But overall, in terms of store openings from an EBO perspective, we should be looking at analysed about 120 to 140 stores. And as I gave an example, about 75 or 80% of them will be in the COCO, FOFO format. Does that answer Abhishek?

Alpha Invesco

Yes, no, I was coming more on the geography which sort of geographies are we talking about?

Gunjan Shah

Yes, yes. Oh, sorry. I see. I missed that. You shared it also in the tiers. Geographically, we are spread all across, right? I mean, it's almost to a fault that it's equally distributed all across maybe slightly higher index towards south. But our editions are also spread all across from our regions or state or province perspective. From a tier perspective, I would say that 70% of our net editions would be tier three downwards, overlapping very closely with the franchise model.

Alpha Invesco

Understood. And as you said, the index to south more and after that wouldn't be north or west?

Gunjan Shah

Index to south relatively slightly more. I mean, it's a small percentage kind of a thing, but otherwise, it's equally split across regions. North is technically our largest region.

Alpha Invesco

Understood. And so, you spoke about Evolite growing very fast in even a Lagarde mass market. So, what sort of triggers are you seeing in that brand? Or any key specifics that unorganized market is going off it? So, you're seeing growth there? Yes, yes.

Gunjan Shah

No, I think it's to do with the fact that it's at a very different price point. Obviously, the mass distribution channel, it's at about, as I said, 500 plus or minus, depending on the fashion of the articles. And it is something that we have launched about nine, eight, six, nine, six, seven months back. But it's seen great traction. But early days, right? I mean, it's only six days, six months. So, two quarters of performance, but it's to the extent that I had, you know, I had to highlight it and share it with you all. So, we are now also investing on it. I'm sure I think in another quarter or two, I'll be able to give you all a lot more insight, which is based on far more, you know, how do you say consistent data points that we'll see also over a period of time.

Alpha Invesco

Understood. So, just one last question. So, we, at the company level, we see our COCO can be doing somewhere 55% gross margin. So, how does that model economics reflect for the franchisee owner or on the margin side?

Gunjan Shah

Okay. On the gross margin side, Abhishek, I mentioned this, the gross margin side, it is actually lower than COCO, naturally so, because we pass on costs and we pass on margins to our partners. But eventually at an EBITDA level, it is accretive to the COCO model.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Jasmine from VT Capital. Please go ahead.

Jasmine

Hi, sir. My question is more focused on the Nine West agreement that we have. I wanted to understand our position and play in Nine West and what would you clarify as our right to win in this category?

Gunjan Shah

Just what are the first part of the question, the agreement and what is our right to win?

Jasmine

Agreement and right to win with Nine West.

Gunjan Shah

You're talking of the licensing agreement?

Jasmine

Yes. Is it any royalty that we're paying? Is it a transfer agreement? I just wanted to understand that.

Gunjan Shah

Okay. All right. Yes, for sure. It's a billion-dollar-plus land largely housed, coming out of New York. And therefore, a large part of the franchise of Nine West, etcetera, comes from whatever the fashionist are of New York, etcetera We did this launch and the announcement on this almost two quarters back, Jasmine. And we did talk about it in terms of what does it play for us. It fits into our strategy, Jasmine, of two, three areas and whether it's organic and some of the work that we're trying to do through, let's say, power or float or athleisure, etcetera But there are two, three pivots that we see that will unlock further opportunities, both in terms of growth as well as profit pool, which are athleisure, casualization, as well as high fashion premium. Now, what this one, Nine West, fits in is basically the third, which is high fashion premium, younger ladies, right? And that's where we see that there is a very clear-cut area that we can penetrate into. And that's where we are hoping that Nine West will get in. Obviously, they come with a very large credential spread across almost about 70-odd countries. As I said, a billion dollar plus of retail sales and with very, very strong fashion credentials, along with some amount of technology.

Jasmine

Okay. And in terms of the agreement, if you could shed some light too?

Gunjan Shah

I can't share, obviously, details for obvious reasons, but it's a royalty agreement, right? But it gives us, it's a pretty large, wide agreement of longish enough period that we feel confident on investing in creating the brand in India. And it is also, it is an end-to-end agreement. So it is right from manufacturing to retail across all business channels and consumers in India.

Jasmine

Great. Thank you so much for that. All the best for the next quarter.

Gunjan Shah

Thank you, Jasmin.

Analyst

Okay. Hi, this is Varun and thank you for the opportunity. We just wanted to check, when we say 70% store addition in tier 3 towns, will the same apply to Power and Nine West too?

Gunjan Shah

Sorry, we could not understand. 70% store addition in tier 3 towns is under, what did you say, last part?

Analyst

Will the same apply to Power and Nine West too?

Gunjan Shah

No, no, it will not apply and which is why I mentioned to another analyst just prior, a few minutes back, that there are different cuts. In Power, we are focused very clearly to follow a cluster strategy. So, we are largely focused in the radius of NCR and maybe a few kilometers around it, where we want to go with the Power EBO concept and that's got nothing to do with the overall larger expansion of COCO and FOFO.

Analyst

Okay. So, marketing campaigns also will be more targeted in those areas?

Gunjan Shah

Yes, the store level marketing campaigns, while overall Power campaign itself, because we do sell a large amount of our product of Power and the brand is sold through the Bata banner all across, that will obviously be countrywide. Right.

Analyst

And when we talk about tier 3 towns, what is the competition landscape in these areas and what is the plan there?

Gunjan Shah

Okay. So, it's a very omnibus kind of a thing. India is very complex to give a very simple answer to this. But at a very average level in most of these towns, there is, we see very clearly the feedback and the pickup extremely fast, because this is a unique, okay, so it plays both ways, right? I mean, it's an EBO experience, we are most probably the first brand to get into some of those markets, etcetera And it gives consumers a great aha. Simultaneously, it also takes some time for consumers to adopt to a great plush retail environment, right? You get air conditioned, etcetera because you are largely catering to consumers which are otherwise going to LDOs and you know, high street, multi brand stores, etcetera. So, but all in all, I think we do see great traction and which is why I said now, you know, a bulk of our openings are happening from existing partners opening multiple stores.

Analyst

Okay. Thank you. Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question for today's conference call. I would now like to hand the conference over to the management for their closing comments.

Nitin Bagaria

Thank you everyone for joining. Looking forward to interacting with you again. Thank you, Udit and YES Securities team. Thanks.

Moderator

On behalf of YES Securities that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us and you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.

Disclaimer

While we have made our best attempt to prepare a verbatim transcript of the proceedings of the Earnings’ Call, however, this may not be a word-to-word reproduction