COSMO FIRST LIMITED

FY2027 Q1

2026-08-07 Transcript PDF
Moderator

Thank you very much. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. The first question is from the line of Nirav Jimudia from Anvil Wealth. Please go ahead.

Anvil Wealth

Sir, first of all, thank you for the improved disclosures in the presentation about the segmental revenue as well as the operating profit numbers. It helps a lot. Sir, first question is like you mentioned in your opening remarks about the ROCE So, I had a question, like, since we have invested close to around Rs. 1,200 crores over last 4-5 years across various verticals and coupled with the fact that the cycle also was not conducive in last 3-4 years, our ROCE was at like 8% to 10% in last financial year. So, how do you see the ROCE moving over next 2 years given most of the new verticals have turned EBITDA positive and they are scaling up? And, if you can explain the levers of growth for each of the individual businesses, that would be very helpful.

Management

You are right that ROCE was 11% because of lot of capacities being added, new businesses started. We are now working to improve these ROCE over the next 12 to 24 months. We intend to take it to anywhere between 15% to 20%. This is going to happen through multiple initiatives. First is the volume growth. There is still, we expect 15% more capacity that can be sold in the film business. All other businesses have sufficient capacities to sell whether chemical, Plastech and so on. In fact, Plastech with a very minimal Capex, we are going to add 50% more capacity because of the existing setup being made like that. Similarly, the B2C businesses also are growing at a phenomenal growth. So, what we expect is that overall, this year itself, the company revenue should grow by minimum 20%, while the new businesses should grow at 60%. Over and above, we will get the benefits from U.S. U.S. itself is expected to grow anywhere between 25% to 30% this year post the duty rationalization in USA, specialty sales growth and lot of other cost efficiency measures that we are taking.

Anvil Wealth

It helps. Sir, secondly, on the BOPP side, you mentioned that we have now a spare capacity of around 15%, which would be sold in subsequent quarters. But my question is very specific to the specialty side, like, how many new grades of BOPP have we developed over the last two years and what differentiates these products from our existing portfolio? So, if you can just give some understanding based on the opportunity size, application wise, improvement in our per Kg EBITDA margins and the target markets where we wanted to place these products.

Management

So, our specialty sales on a much larger base have grown 12% in this quarter. The driving factor is product development. This quarter alone, we launched synthetic paper film for high-end digital printing, PVC-free green graphic films and anti-fog transparent BOPET lidding films. We also secured an international patent for CPP film technology. We have 6 patents granted and 11 in the pipeline. All incremental Capex is directed at specialty assets.

Anvil Wealth

So, in terms of the opportunity size, if you can throw some understanding, like these films, as you mentioned, must be in the niche categories and possibly we could be having a first mover advantage. So, what sort of per Kg improvement in margins or, let's say, some understanding about the overall EBITDA numbers, if you can share how things are moving so far as those initiatives are concerned?

Management

See, we have given a table in our investor presentation, where if you would have seen that the base film margins have been changing as per the market quarter-on-quarter, but the semi- specialty margins in general have remained roughly Rs. 15 to Rs. 20 higher than the base film margins. The specialty film margins have remained at Rs. 60 plus for all these 5 quarters and even if you remember in the past also, specialty margins were always higher. In fact, in the past, they used to be at Rs. 50 which we have increased because of all the new product innovations, have now been able to take it up to Rs. 60 plus. So, that is the impact we can make on our financials by moving towards more specialty business. The second is specialty chemical itself is growing well. Last year it grew 20%, and this year we expect specialty chemical business to grow anywhere around 50% because a lot of our product development cycles are complete now, and that business is giving us 25% EBITDA margins. In fact, in this quarter itself, we have improved our EBITDA margins by 2% in specialty chemical in spite of such phenomenal growth in the specialty chemical segment. Plastic again, which till last year was a loss-making business, has a normalized EBITDA of 7% excluding incentives. Including incentives, they are 10% plus this quarter. Cosmo Consumer business also almost did break even though on a full-year basis, we may still have some losses in Cosmo Consumer because this year, as we have seen, that we have done a TVC launch and we have also done hoardings and so many other initiatives to build a brand for Cosmo PPF. And Zigly also continues to grow phenomenally well with 70% growth. And the percentage losses in Zigly business also are coming down quarter-on-quarter.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Raman KV from Sequent Investments. Please go ahead.

Sequent Investments

My first question is with respect to margins. I mean, our revenue has grown around 45%, whereas our margins have lagged in terms of growth, as they have only grown at 20%-25%. BOPET margins were also slightly lower. So, can you explain why there was a margin decline, one on that aspect? And also, because our raw material is heavily linked to crude prices, have we able to pass on the high crude price to our end customers?

Management

So, see, first, I would like to compliment the entire management of Cosmo by ensuring that the raw material could be organized in such a tough environment where lot of Indian petrochemical companies were asked to move towards LPG. And we were still able to run our lines efficiently. Now, let me separate the three things separately happening in this quarter. Revenue rose 46% while volumes rose only 9%. The gap is raw material prices pass through following the West Asia conflict. Polymer prices moved up sharply and in pass through business, that inflates both revenue and the denominator of the margin ratio. The right margin is contribution per kilogram and that improved across every category. EBITDA is up 26% in absolute terms on 9% volume growth. This means that EBITDA per Kilogram improved roughly 15%. That is real operating environment.

Regarding the sustainability of the margins, volume growth, specialty mix improvement, U.S. tariff benefit and the contribution from specialty chemicals and positive EBITDA from plastic are all structural. However, the element due to inventory gain within base BOPP margin is one time and market dependent.

Sequent Investments

Yes, I get that, but when we compare, I am comparing it in terms of Rs per Kg itself, the BOPET margin has declined as well as the BOPP margin has declined on sequential quarter basis. So, do we expect it to pick up? Because we have passed on the raw material prices, like high raw material prices to the end use customer or are we expecting this to be continued?

Management

See, the BOPP margins have largely remained flat excluding the stock gains because we also had stock gains in this quarter. The BOPET margins have marginally come down, but with the anti-dumping duty, which has been levied recently, we expect that the BOPET margins should go up. In fact, in this quarter, BOPET margins have gone up a bit. Obviously, India is slightly over capacity in BOPET which we feel that will get corrected in the coming quarters. Having said so, Cosmo is working towards even BOPET where we want to shift still a large chunk of our commodity business to specialty business and there also, we are seeing quite good progress.

Sequent Investments

And sir, I just want to understand what is your, how do I say, historical like next 2-3 years plan with respect to the rigid packaging business. How are you planning to grow it from small, as of now it is like very small chunk of our business. Our main business is still coming from specialty like film specialty, which includes specialty, semi-specialty and base films. So, what is your plan on that front? And why I am asking this is particularly because there has been a robust demand seen for rigid packaging across the FMCG business. So, I just want to understand.

Management

You are right that this is showing a very robust growth. That is the reason that with very minimal Capex we have been able to recently work towards growing our capacities by 50%. With the new capacities, we should be able to do Rs. 250+crore of revenue. So, this year we expect to grow from Rs. 100 crores of last year’s revenue to Rs. 150 crores-Rs. 160 crores this year, and next year we would like to take this business to Rs. 200 plus crores.

Sequent Investments

And there will be margin improvement as well, right?

Management

Absolutely. Last year we were making EBITDA losses and in the first quarter without taking the sales tax incentive that we got, the normalized margins of 7%, EBITDA margins.

Sequent Investments

So yes, just on this aspect.

Moderator

Sorry to interrupt. Mr. KV, may we request you to return to the question queue for a follow-up question? The next question is from the line of Jahnvi Shah from Share India. Please go ahead.

Share India

I just wanted to ask; can you just provide some details on the capacity utilization for the film specialty and rigid packaging? What is the utilization for each other?

Management

So, in the film, we still have 15% capacity to be utilized, which we expect largely to be utilized over the next two quarters. Specialty chemicals easily have 15% to 20% capacity more. Plastic, we are already adding 50% more capacity. Last year we did Rs. 100 crores and we expect to double it by next year. We should do Rs. 200-250 crores crore by next year.

Share India

So, for the utilization side, it is 100% utilized now.

Share India

On the Plastech side, the capacity utilization is 100%.

Management

First is on the Plastech side, even with Rs. 200 crores, we will have capacities left. And on the other thing, the specialty side, which is the main focus of the company, we have already done the necessary Capex in the recent years and we have a lot of headroom to take our specialty film sales to close to 90% without any significant Capex.

Share India

Perfect. But sir, I was just asking, like for the June quarter, what was the utilization? I was asking that.

Management

Yes, in the film business, it is 85%.

Share India

Perfect. And sir, on the Zigly business, we saw that there was a good growth or revenue trend. Did we break even on the PAT? Or can you provide some future guidance for the same on how we are going to move forward in the Zigly business?

Management

See, our gross margins on a net sale basis are close to 50%. Quarter-on-quarter, we are seeing a declining EBITDA loss %. Obviously, we need to reach a certain scale before Zigly starts to make money. Right now, we have reached a monthly run rate of close to Rs. 100 crores. And as we continue to scale up, we will make money, but it is still going to take a couple of years before we start to make money in this business.

Management

Annualized run rate of Rs. 100 crores.

Management

Yes.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Love Gupta from Counter Cyclic PMS. Please go ahead.

Counter Cyclic PMS

So, firstly, I wanted to understand a little bit about the industry. With the increasing raw material prices, are we seeing some of the smaller capacities go offline? And is the overcapacity situation correcting itself?

Management

Actually, the larger question right now is the raw material availability. And as I said earlier, we must compliment Cosmo management team to timely arrange the raw material in the last quarter. Honestly, every player had some impact because of raw material. Now, how much the impact is to each player is obviously not known to us.

Counter Cyclic PMS

All right. And secondly, if you could, to your best judgment, tell us what would be the breakeven level of revenue that we are looking at in Zigly and Cosmo Consumers? At what level can we expect these businesses to start making money?

Management

Zigly breakeven should happen around Rs. 250 crores of revenue. Cosmo Consumer can make money even earlier than Rs. 100 crores. But given that we want to build a brand in India and then some overseas geographies, therefore, it is very difficult. But in Quarter 1 itself, we are close to a breakeven from an EBITDA perspective.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Aman Kumar Sonthalia from AK Securities. Please go ahead.

Management

We have projected growth of 20% on an overall basis for this year. New business is growing at 60%. Next year, we are still evaluating in terms of what the growth potential is. So, it will be a little early to talk about next year’s growth.

Aman Kumar Sonthalia

The other income part is fluctuating because in the same quarter last year, it was around Rs. 25 crores. The previous quarter, it was around Rs. 17 crores. And this quarter, it is around Rs. 11 crores.

Management

Yes, I think a part of it is also because of fluctuating foreign currency. As you can see that foreign currency has been going up or down on a very frequent basis. So, that is impacting the other income of late.

Aman Kumar Sonthalia

And sir, just a minute, sir. And what about the Zigly loss this quarter? I think it has increased a little bit from Rs. 10 crores to Rs. 15 crores.

Management

Yes, it has increased. The loss widened because we continued to invest ahead of revenue in Quarter 1. We have four new retail centers, two hospital acquisitions around the pipeline, and 20 plus private label launches. The revenue builds over the following quarters. EBIT margin has come down, or loss has come down from 82% to 69% with 62% year-on-year revenue growth. The unit economics underneath are strong and improving. Gross margin is 47%. Services are 64% of revenue sales mix. Private label revenue is up 105% year-on-year. And 30% of our customers are doing repeat business with us. The deliberate shift is towards service and private labels, which are the two highest margin parts of the model, and both are growing faster than the business overall. We are at now 47 centers, 29,000 customers served in the last quarter, and a GMV run rate of Rs. 100 crores annualized in a pet care market growing 22% a year. On capital and structure, we have said we intend to unlock value in the pet care vertical, and we are working on that.

Aman Kumar Sonthalia

And sir, one last question. Sir, what is the current spread in BOPP film? OPP film?

Management

Yes, it keeps fluctuating on a day-to-day basis. We are not so worried because our focus is always specialty films.

Aman Kumar Sonthalia

So, there is no such issue related. And how is the demand scenario, sir?

Management

The demand is quite strong.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Kevin Gandhi from CapGrow Capital. Please go ahead.

CapGrow Capital

Sir, basically, I was late to the call. Can you please repeat the BOPP and BOPET margins again for this quarter and the earlier quarter again?

Management

The BOPP margins, including stock gain, last quarter was around Rs. 30 per Kg and BOPET margins were around Rs. 9 per kg.

CapGrow Capital

The BOPET margins for the previous quarter and the previous quarter last year were?

CapGrow Capital

And sir, my last question was that earlier in the call, I heard that we are planning to take the mix of specialty to almost 90% from the current 60%-65%. So, given the spare capacity is only 15%, how are we planning to change the mix for the specialty?

Management

Yes. There are a lot of value-added assets that we already have in our business. And so basically, what we need to do is to scale up our existing specialty products and keep doing research on building new products. What we said is that we have capability to do up to 85%-90% specialty. We do not have any capacity constraints when it comes to specialty business.

Management

Just to add, currently from 85% current utilization, there is a meaningful headroom. Now, from a specialty film's point of view, there is no capacity ceiling because our target is anyways to keep improving the mix. The current mix of 61% is anyways the highest that we have in the last five quarters. And as a company, our objective is to move it to 70%. So, any incremental capacity can always be allocated to specialty films.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Saransh Gupta from SVAN Investments. Please go ahead.

SVAN Investments

Sir, firstly, just wanted to take a view on a little medium to longer-term perspective. Now, given the vertical that we have core business, Plastech, consumer, specialty, and Zigly, I mean, which of these businesses can be an achievable revenue of Rs. 500 crores-Rs. 1,000 crores in a medium to longer term? And which business will continue to remain a niche business for us?

Management

I would say all these businesses have a potential to be there between Rs. 500 crores to Rs. 1000 crores. And we will be there.

SVAN Investments

And this will be over probably in the next 5-6 years. Can we assume that?

Management

Yes, please.

SVAN Investments

And sir, when you indicated that on plastic business, your ROCE will improve once you reach Rs. 250 odd crores of the revenue, which will be next year. So, what sorts of ROCE or the path to profitability one can assume in the Plastech business?

Management

Yes, see, right now, the ROCE has started to come in this business. Our objective will be to take this business to 20% plus ROCE. And until we scale up, I mean, it is going to take some more time because now we are expanding our capacity by 50% with minimal Capex, as I said earlier. So ROCE will also improve because of that reason. So, once we scale it up to say Rs. 300 crores- Rs. 350 crores, I am sure we will be reaching close to 15% plus ROCE at that stage.

Management

And just to correct one point, you mentioned path to profitability. So, in Q1 of FY ’27, Plastech is already profitable.

SVAN Investments

Yes. So that is how you understand. What sorts of ROCE, suppose you analyze in Q1 numbers, because you indicated that 20% at Rs. 300 crores to Rs. 350 crores of the revenue. So, if you analyze Q1 numbers, what will be your current ROCE?

SVAN Investments

And sir, in last quarter, definitely because of our starting of a new BOPP line, we have seen the mix has deteriorated a little bit. So, if I want to look from, I mean, probably the end of FY ’27 or ’28, what percentage of our film capacity can realistically migrate to a specialty or value- added product?

Management

Yes, sir. Right now, it is 61%. And assuming that we are able to grow 10% this year, we should be sitting like 67%-68% next year.

SVAN Investments

Sir, just one more question that I wanted clarity on. What are the current spreads across our segments?. What would be the current spread?

Management

Current spread on what?

SVAN Investments

Sir, base films, semi-specialty and specialty films.

Management

Yes, I think there is already a table in our investment presentation. You can see it for last many quarters over there.

SVAN Investments

No, no, sir. I just wanted to understand for the current month, for the July month, what were the spreads?

Management

They are largely in the lines of what was there in Quarter 1.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Aaryan Vadaria from Aequitas Investments. Please go ahead.

Aequitas Investments

Just wanted to understand that you mentioned in the starting of the call that US, you saw overseas export, you saw degrowth of 13% in volume. Overall, our volume growth is 9%. But if I just put this into context in your presentation in your Q1 EBITDA drivers, you have mentioned that the US traction was good. Also, if I compare last year’s volume, our new line just normalized in the second quarter. So, ideally, we do not feel that the volume growth should have been better than 9%. So, what was the problem? Was it a tariff issue or a logistical issue in terms of achieving it?

Management

Yes, see, three things. First is last year, this line started in Quarter 1 itself, mid of Quarter 1. Second thing is that this quarter, our in-transit volume went up because the volume that we export, material get dispatched from Indian Ports and unless bill of lading is prepared , we do not book it as sale. And given that there were a lot of disturbances at the port, this year, we had an exceptionally higher in-transit volume, which hopefully should get accounted in sales when the port situation normalizes. That is the second thing. Thirdly, we also had some volume loss because one line was under some maintenance in the last quarter. So, those are some of the reasons that we had a bit lower volume than the potential we had. Hopefully, we will be able to recover some of this in the Quarter 2.

Aequitas Investments

What was the capacity of the line under maintenance?

Management

I would say a couple of thousand tons.

Aequitas Investments

And just expanding on the non-films business because management has put in a lot of initiatives post-COVID. But I just want to understand what is the strategy in terms of the consumer businesses which we are taking? Are we taking a more product development approach or is it more widely linked? Why I am asking is because management obviously has a limited bandwidth. So, if you can just expand on the consumer side of it, what detail strategy we are trying to take to reach the turnover which you have mentioned in the PPT? That is one.

Another on the specialty chemicals, what part of it is backward integrated for our films business? Because we are seeing a very good EBITDA margin, but if we are supplying to our films business, then it is just inter-segmental. So, I just want some clarity on that piece.

Management

You see, first, every business has a separate team. And therefore, we do not have a question of management bandwidth because each business is managed by a separate business head and they have their own respective functionalists under them. Coming to Cosmo Consumer, we have made excellent products in paint protection films and window films, and we are the first company to manufacture graphene coatings and ceramic coatings in India because right now all the graphene coatings and ceramic coatings are being imported from overseas markets. As far as the growth is concerned, what we are looking at is that the domestic market, we intend to build a strong brand over a shorter period of next three to four years while in some of the lucrative export markets also, we may initially follow a white labeling approach, but gradually we will start building our brand in some of the critical export markets as well. Coming to your second question of Cosmo Specialty Chemical, right now 80% business is still backward integration, but the good news is that the external business is also going at a good pace though the internal business is also growing because a lot of new products are being made for film or consumer or other businesses. The entire costing is done on a third-party pricing basis. So, it is on an arm's length basis. So, the margins are basically because of all the innovation work that is being done in chemical business.

Management

Just to add to it, I mean in medium term, we do see third-party increased growth sales should happen faster compared to internal sales also. So, in that way in medium to long term, we see broadly balanced kind of third-party sales and internal sales.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Sanya Kothari from AUM Capital. Please go ahead.

AUM Capital

Sir, you have guided specialty chemicals for FY ’30, a target of Rs. 400 crores to Rs. 500 crores. So, given 34% growth in Q1, do you intend to accelerate this timeline or is there a capacity bottleneck?

Management

There is a good likelihood that by FY ’29 itself, we will surpass this target.

AUM Capital

My second question is, sir, the total debt has surged from, say, Rs. 760 crores in March ’21 to Rs. 1,680 crores in ’26, and the management is targeting net debt EBITDA below 2x. So, does this target rely primarily on EBITDA growth or are you planning to pay some absolute debt repayment through your internal accruals?

Management

It is both. So, as you must have seen, I mean, during last nine months, we have already reduced about Rs. 70 crores of net debt despite Rs. 85 crores increase in the working capital. And of course, along with this, we are looking at the EBITDA increase also. So, both will contribute in that sense. So, if you ask about the current debt level, although we have indicated Rs. 1,166 crores is the net debt of the company at the end of June, which is 2.3x to EBITDA.

Management

It has already moved from 2.6x net debt by EBITDA to 2.3x, despite us taking around Rs. 85 crores of higher working capital due to raw material price increase. So, we are on the right trend.

AUM Capital

And in the renewable energy front, you said that Rs. 25 crores per annum savings will be there. And how much was this savings was in Q1, sir?

Management

Renewable power projected savings are yet to kick in.in. We entered into private purchase power agreements and there are two projects and both are yet to kick in. We expect one of them to kick from Q3 and another from the Q1 of the next financial year. So, in Quarter 1 FY27, nothing is baked in.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Dhvaneet Savla from Savla Family Office. Please go ahead.

Savla Family Office

I just had one question. This is on the consumer business. So, I understand that Zigly will take at least a couple of more years to break even, but the other consumer business is already on a path to profitability, right? So, given that, what kind of revenue are we targeting by FY ’30 for this? And with that, since this is a stronger margin business, the profitability, what kind of percentage profitability we will be looking at this kind of business?

Management

You see, as far as domestic market is concerned, we are going quite well in Cosmo Consumer. Last year, base was quite small, but vis-à-vis last year we have grown 4.5x. This year itself, we should grow more than 3x. So, the business will scale up at least in the Indian market on a rapid scale. But the global market itself is very big, and it does take time to enter the global market and build your own brand. So, it is very difficult to comment on any numbers at this stage because if you are able to crack some of the European and American markets, then the trajectory of growth will be very different and very fast. We are making efforts. We have put resources in every market, but we must start getting some initial success. I mean, we are doing some exports, but these are still very small numbers. So, unless and until we start getting some regular traction in those markets, we will not be able to project any long-term numbers. Having said that, right now we have already 150 dealers in 100 plus cities in India and as far as product is there, we have now four new PPF variants. Within window film, we have high performance in carbon pigment series. And in export markets, we are taking leverage from our existing structure. We are adding specific salespeople under the existing structures we already have. And the other news is that PPF penetration, which is very small at roughly 2% in India, is also growing at 30% itself.

Savla Family Office

Sir, my actual question was not with regards to the Zigly dealing, it was regards to the consumer business only.

Management

Yes, all my answer was on Cosmo Consumer.

Savla Family Office

Sir, just a small follow-up on that. I know that you can't, which is preemptive to give up some numbers or something, but is there like a minimum margin which you are kind of working with, like at an EBIT level, like what kind of margin below which it will be difficult for us to proceed with sales in some geography or something?

Management

So, see, this business already has been improving margins. Last year, when we started the business, we were operating at around 15%-17% margins. It has already gone up to 25% margins. As we continue to scale up, the gross margins are expected to be in the range of 35%- 40%. But it is going to take time, and it will happen along with the scaling up of revenues.

Savla Family Office

So, this 20% growth on the overall business, which we are expecting for this year, does that pencil in a significant rise in the revenue from these two businesses?

Management

We have already indicated that overall business will grow 20% while new businesses will grow at 60%.

Savla Family Office

Thank you very much and all the best for the coming quarter.

Moderator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will take that as the last question for today's conference, and I now hand the conference over to the management for closing comments. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Management

Thank you. So, well, we have to sum up.  All our B2B businesses are profitable now. The FY27 focus will be on higher ROCE (Return on Capital Employed) with speciality films sale, sweating out of assets and substantially grow new B2B and B2C businesses.  Further strengthen financial resilience by reducing corporate net debt substantially in next 2 years  Statutory Declaration: Certain statements in this concall may be forward-looking statements. These statements are based on management’s current expectations and are subject to uncertainty and changes in circumstances. These statements are not guarantees of future results. Thank you very much for joining today's call.

Moderator

Thank you. On behalf of Cosmo First Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us and you may now disconnect your lines.