Stockrabit
CUB · Quarter ended Mar 2025

City Union Bank Limited analyst Q&A

2025-05-02
Moderator

Thank you very much. We will now begin with the question-and-answer session. The first question is from the line of Sameer Bhise from Dymon Asia. Please go ahead.

Sameer BhiseDymon Asia

Hi, thank you for the opportunity, sir and congrats on a steady quarter in a difficult environment. Just wanted to kind of ask on the growth outlook, I understand you have done a reasonably good job coming to around 14% plus kind of growth, but if one were to look at FY '26 assuming that there is more supportive regulatory environment with respect to liquidity and even the growth stance of the regulator, also we are in a better shape with respect to the CD ratio. Is there upside risk to your growth expectations and especially if the whole retail exercise kind of plays out the way we are expecting it to?

Vijay Anandh

If you see the visibility, we would be 2%-3% more than the credit growth.

Sameer BhiseDymon Asia

2%-3% than the year where we ended?

Vijay Anandh

2%-3% over and above the systemic growth. That is what we are looking at.

Sameer BhiseDymon Asia

And secondly, outlook on margins, can you just repeat, if I heard correctly, around plus minus 10 basis points from the current level, is that a fair assumption?

Vijay Anandh

Yes. We are at 3.6. We will be plus or minus 10. As we spoke in the call, we have reduced our SB rate and TD rate. Eventually, we will start seeing this in the next 2-3 quarters. So we will be in the range of 3.6 plus or minus 10 bps as confirmed in the call.

Sameer BhiseDymon Asia

Sure, sir. Thank you. I will get back in the queue. All the best.

Vijay Anandh

Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. Participants, you may press * and 1 to ask the question. Next question is from Dhaval Gala from Aditya Birla. Please go ahead. Dhaval, may I request you to unmute your line and proceed with your question, please.

Dhaval GalaAditya Birla

Hello, yes, sir, if you could talk about outlook on margins for the next fiscal and also possible target of loan growth?

Vijay Anandh

Yes, I will confirm we will be around 3.5-3.7. This is what we are looking at and 2%- 3% more than the industry growth is what we are looking at if the visibility is good for the current year.

Dhaval GalaAditya Birla

And you would also talk about incremental cost of funds and any change of SA deposit rate for your bank?

Vijay Anandh

No. Whatever we have done, we have reduced the SB rate, we have reduced the TD rate, and we are fine with this and this results, we will start getting in the next 2-3 quarters.

Moderator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Mona Khetan from Dolat Capital. Please go ahead.

Mona KhetanDolat Capital

Yes. Hi, sir, good evening and congratulations on a good quarter. So firstly, on the EBLR loans, what is the reset date that we have? What is the frequency of reset?

J. Sadagopan

It is mostly a one-year loan.

Mona KhetanDolat Capital

So from the time the repo rate cut happens in what period does the reset of yields happen?

J. Sadagopan

We have already given it.

Mona KhetanDolat Capital

So it is more like an immediate reset in your case or how does it play out?

J. Sadagopan

Yes. Overall, we have around 48% of total exposure to EBLR. So the first rate cut of 25 bps, we have passed out and the second rate cut of 25, we are going to do it in this week.

Mona KhetanDolat Capital

Got it. And we have seen some yield improvement during the quarter, what has contributed to that?

Vijay Anandh

So as mentioned in the call, we have moved out of IBPC, which was low yielding, and we have moved out of low yielding NBFC. So if you see from the previous quarter to this quarter, we had 1% dip. In spite of moving of Rs. 750 crores in Q4, we still had 14% growth. Since we have moved out of the low yield loans, our NIM became better.

Mona KhetanDolat Capital

And from a full year, these amount to about Rs. 2,000 crores?

Vijay Anandh

Around Rs. 1,250 crores.

Mona KhetanDolat Capital

Got it. And just finally on the fee growth, which has been quite strong this year, do we expect it to grow better than the overall balance sheet even going forward or what is the outlook here?

Vijay Anandh

It depends on the business. If the business grows, obviously this will also have good growth.

Mona KhetanDolat Capital

Got it. And just one last thing, in the loan mix on Slide #27, there is a personal loan of Rs. 1,200 crore. What is the nature of these loans? I understand these should not be unsecured in your case. So what exactly are these?

Vijay Anandh

This is not an unsecured loan. This is a loan given to my existing borrowers or MSME under the personal loan headline, which also collateral with us.

Mona KhetanDolat Capital

Got it. That is all from my side. Thank you and all the best.

Moderator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of MB Mahesh from Kotak Securities. Please go ahead.

Vijay Anandh

So Mahesh, we have three types of thing. One is MSME, we have JL and we have retail. When I speak now, as we speak today, our fixed rate is almost close to 31% which is the jewel loan, gold loan. So one, our MSME growth, our Jewel loan growth of fixed rate of X% and our focus on retail secured, which we have already started clicking on double digits, is giving us good growth over and above that, our deposit pricing. We have reduced our deposit pricing as I said a couple of minutes before in both SB and TD. This is giving us an advantage, hence we are slightly able to predict this number.

MB Mahesh

Sir, the question is mostly given the fact that there has been a rate cut also that you are doing on the other side, just trying to understand what can possibly cause the margin expansion based on the current mix of loan book that you have. It is only the fixed rate loan that is available, is it?

Vijay Anandh

The fixed rate is 31%. The deposit benefit I will get it only post 2-3 quarters, number one. Number two, our retail secured has already started achieving double-digit interest yield and our MSME loans has always been doing well. When the deposit rate comes down after 2-3 quarters and my 3 engines started doing as per expectations, then 3.5- 3.7 should be a decent number I think.

MB Mahesh

Perfect. Second question is, gold loan is now doing reasonably well. This book will continue to grow at this rate or you see that it can kind of slow down from the surge?

Vijay Anandh

I don't think so. I think we should be comfortable in growing this book at this rate.

MB Mahesh

Okay, sir, done. Thank you.

Vijay Anandh

Thanks.

Moderator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Jai Mundhra from ICICI Securities. Please go ahead.

Jai MundhraICICI Securities

Yes. Hi, sir, good evening and congratulations, sir on the results. Sir, I have few questions. So first is, in this quarter, we had cut SA rate during the quarter, but still the cost of deposits has gone up. Was there any deposits repricing which led to higher cost of deposit and is it safe to say that the cost of deposits now has peaked because you have cut the SA rate and TD rate also and there is no more repricing disadvantage there?

Vijay Anandh

The cost of deposit is because of TD. And we have currently the TD rate only in the month of April, number one. Number two, our SB rate also, we cut only in the February last week, so that is the reason why the cost of deposits is slightly higher.

Jai MundhraICICI Securities

Right. And there is no, even if the TD were to reprice, there will not be any, you will gain to benefit only, right even if any maturity TD were to reprice, it will be repricing downwards only?

N. Kamakodi

Yes, Mundhra, there are two things. Kamakodi here. Basically, like the deposits, current fixed deposits which are maturing today when they get contracted into the new rate, there itself, I am getting a benefit now. So incrementally, but as Vijay Anandh said it will be cumulatively giving us benefit, but already the benefit has started, basically, let us say, two things we timed well. One is shifting the gold loan into fixed rate, so when the rate reduction cycle started, actually, we need not reduce the rate and also when the 25 basis points reduction happened in the repo rate, the final average yield reduction, it worked out about close to 10 basis point depending upon the risk rating and how much of adjustment that happened in the risk premium and things like that. Because of that and also the cumulative effect of, let us say, Savings Bank reduction and also the withdrawal of, to the previous question, why the cost of deposit increased? When we, just before entering into the 4th Quarter, anticipating a tighter market, we had gone for a special FD schemes of 333 days in tune with the market rate and let us say, the bulk of the growth happened through the term deposit accretion and which has that 12 basis point increase in the weighted average yield. So when the older deposit is getting matured now, we get that benefit on the reduced rate of interest in the term deposit today and so it has potential to cushion whenever we get into the reducing interest rate cycle. The margins contract during decreasing rate cycle and whenever we get into the increasing interest rate scenario, margins expand, despite into the rate cycle where you have seen, let us say, 2 rate cuts instead of the margins decreasing it slightly expanded by 4-5 basis point mainly because we timed it well. So some amount, you cannot make it with the surgical precision, but we are able to manage it with the reasonable level, so we are able to say with confidence that the existing rate margins should be at the current level plus or minus 10 basis points is what Vijay Anandh is conveying.

Jai MundhraICICI Securities

Right. No, sure, sir. That is very helpful. Just that so you mentioned this out of first 25 basis point rate cut, the blended yield, let us say, impact on the portfolio was around 10 basis points, right? So this relationship ideally should have held up, right in the sense that if RBI cumulatively cut 75 or 100?

N. Kamakodi

It is let us say, you have, it is basically on the EBLR plus wherever you have given a strategic discount, wherever you have a risk premium, there are multiple factors getting involved. Finally, market forces take up.

Jai MundhraICICI Securities

No. So I am asking, sir, if there is a cumulative 100 basis point rate cut by regulator, then you should ideally have around?

N. Kamakodi

So you can't say it is going to be only 40 basis points.

Jai MundhraICICI Securities

But what would be the range, sir, 40-60?

N. Kamakodi

It could be 50-75. Some lag will have.

Jai MundhraICICI Securities

Right and despite that, right, because the consensus is that there will be?

N. Kamakodi

Yes. One more thing what you have to understand is like, every quarter 25% of your CC limits will get renewed. Whenever you renew it, you will be having a revised contract where you will be resetting the rate. That reset rate will depend upon the individual risk assessment and all such things with some amount of lead and lag factor in transmission. In the past, let us say, almost a decade back, we had seen a cycle when, because of surplus liquidity available in the system, the rate transmission was even faster than the RB rate. So all these things are determined by the market forces both at the overall level and also individual account basis, so it is very difficult to have one- to-one, let us say, prediction. And another thing, if the rate cut cycle is relatively slow say, for example, if 1% rate reduction, whether it happens in one-half or 1 year or 1 quarter, it also plays a role. So multiple factors determine how fast the transaction happen and let us say, for example, as you always know only which are directly involved with the 50% of your portfolio, for example, is linked to the EBLR, only that 50 has to have direct relation of, let us say, the 25 basis point means overall portfolio will have only 12%. So within that you will be having a quarterly renewals for which, there will be reset of rates depending upon the individual risk rate and all and there will be some amount of what you call lead factor or lag factor. You will find it very difficult to predict precisely what will happen.

Jai MundhraICICI Securities

No, that is fair point, sir. I can understand there are multiple moving parts. What I was trying to understand is this NIM guidance of plus minus 10 basis points is, you, of course, assume that there will be let us say which is widely anticipated two more rate cuts, right? So this guidance is not only the rate cuts which has announced so far, but also assumes that RBI may further announce one or more rate cuts, two rate cuts assuming that is the guidance?

N. Kamakodi

See, the point is, if 2 rate cuts happen in one quarter, if 2 rate cuts happen in one half, or 2 rate cuts 3 quarters or 4 quarters, the impact will be different depending upon how quick the rate cuts happen. That is what I am trying. Whatever predictions we give, we take an assumption that this rate cut will happen over the period of next 1 year in a graded fashion. Whatever yield cuts we have to take because of the reduction in the repo rate and the benefit we get in the repricing of the term deposits, will largely match and compensate to a greater extent and overall, yield will not go higher from wherever we are is our expectation with which we are going.

Jai MundhraICICI Securities

Secondly, sir, on the growth, right, so I wanted to understand, what is the MSME growth in the sense that there is some change in the MSME reporting over the last 1-2 quarter or last 1 year because of this MSME norms, etc., what would be MSME growth and maybe if you have number for disbursement growth in MSME, just to understand how effective is the new LOS versus what we were doing earlier. So if you have any number for, let us say, 4th Quarter disbursement versus 4th Quarter of last year just to get a sense as to how this new LOS is helping in terms of the fresh disbursement. Of course, the outstanding number is visible, but I wanted to check if you have any number on disbursement also?

N. Kamakodi

See, we had total credit growth of about Rs. 6,500 crore for the current Financial Year, perhaps, the highest whatever we have recorded over the period of, in our history. Out of this Rs. 6,500 crores growth, about Rs. 4,000 crores growth has come from the MSME. For example, this should give you some idea, definitely the digital lending for MSME through our Newgen software which was guided by BCG last year. It has helped us to accelerate our credit growth per se, so less than Rs. 7.5 crore, the decision is by and large now taken by the system with minimum manual intervention. So that is now helping us to proceed further. Actually speaking, the outstanding MSME growth was 23% for the current Financial Year.

Jai MundhraICICI Securities

So MSME growth was 23% and of course, the overall growth was 14% because you also took some IBPC etc., and disbursement growth must have been maybe 40%-50% right in the MSME itself, just to get that 23% number?

N. Kamakodi

The disbursement for the whole year it is close to Rs. 10,000 crore. So in that you will also have CC portion which will be having lower utilization. You can't have 1:1. So that is why we don't discuss too much about that disbursement per se. We explain on an outstanding basis.

N. Kamakodi

Still the amber portion is more. So how we have made is that, like when the red conditions are clearly given, they are washed off. On the amber side, let us say, the tuning will take, at least I think by before the end of the Financial Year '25-26 that tuning will happen.

Moderator

Thank you. Jai, I am sorry to interrupt you. I will request you to come back for a follow- up question. Thank you. Next question is from the line of Rakesh Kumar from Valentis Advisors. Please go ahead.

Rakesh KumarValentis Advisors

Yes. Hi, sir. So like, I think this quarter, the quite critical part was deposit growth that you managed to report quite a strong number. So just wanted to know what is the strategy around the deposit mobilization that we did, because we had to manage failure as well, so what are the product on the asset side or on the liability side, we had this quarter or what is the kind of manpower that we had to manage or to show this kind of deposit growth and what would be the strategy going ahead also because we are looking at similar kind of credit and deposit growth number with the earlier. So if you can help us understand that part? Thank you.

Vijay Anandh

So we started this year with the advance target. We wanted to have a good growth on advances. I think we were pretty decent and Q3-Q4, we had dedicated structure for liabilities and we had lot of trust and we had the structure in place in sourcing the liabilities numbers. I think there were a couple of new arrivals, the new recruits as well. So this has given a strong focus, we have a dedicated structure and this has yielded the results, number one. Number two, what is going to be the future as we said in the call, we wanted to keep the LDR at 85. So that is the number which we are looking at and our growth will also be basis the same.

Rakesh KumarValentis Advisors

Got it. So next fiscal year, we are looking similar kind of growth number in deposit or because if I look at the real TD rate for the system, it is like kind of high in the last 4- 5 years. So the real TD rate has to come down. So it will have some repercussion on the TD growth number. So overall deposit growth number, we have similar number in mind as compared to credit growth number?

Vijay Anandh

Yes, that is the point I said. We have already reduced the TD rate in April. We have kept the target of 85% in LDR. That is the number which we are targeting for the credit growth what we are envisaging for this Financial Year, for the current Financial Year.

Rakesh KumarValentis Advisors

Got it. Thank you, sir. All the best.

Moderator

Thank you. A request to all the participants. Kindly restrict to 2 questions per participant and join the queue for a follow up question. Next question is from the line of Akshay from HDFC Securities. Please go ahead.

Akshay

Yes. Hi. Thank you for taking my question. Sir, firstly, the slippages are slightly higher for this quarter around 2%. I would like to know the reason for that from which sector that it is coming from?

Vijay Anandh

When we started this year, we confirmed that we would be around Rs. 800 crores. So we started with Q1 of Rs. 178 crores. Q2, we moved from Rs. 178-Rs. 176 crores and Q3 from Rs. 176, we moved to Rs. 201 crores. So we were around Rs. 555 crores as of Q3. We had Rs. 800 crores. That is the number which we were envisaging for the year basis the prediction what we have done. We had ever SMA-2 customer. So we do not want to take any chance. So we thought that when we have a room, we will just fill this. And that is why we have moved it to Rs. 800-815 crores and we were well within the expectations and hence we made this movement.

Akshay

Sure. And second question was around, there is uncertainty regarding the global tariffs, global scenario because of the increase in tariffs. So has any, within our MSME sector, since we have exposure to export oriented companies, especially the textile sector, having seen any sort of some disruptions in some of these sectors or any early signs of any stress building up here?

N. Kamakodi

See, currently, we did not have significant exposure to the export oriented units- it is low to middle single digit only. Within that, Coimbatore built textile exposures for the last 3-4 years, they had the impact because of the strong competition from the Bangladesh. After the regime change and things like that, there was some advantage for them and currently and it is better than what it was there last year. What I can definitely say is that whether any significant improvement will have positive effect, but if there is any deterioration, they will not have much deterioration. But to what extent supply chain impact will be there, whether India-Pakistan war will come, whether it will affect the thing? There are macro questions and all which we expect there should be, let us say, the existing situation will continue that you have tension always, but nothing on field any change. This is what we expect.

Akshay

Thank you. Thank you so much.

Puneet

Yes, sir. Thanks for taking my question. Just one bit on the credit cost thing, we are expecting to increase our PCR in line with other private peers, right, around 70% and we plan to maintain our credit costs around the FY '25 levels, right, all else being equal, of course. And so am I right, sorry I missed some of the opening comments, that is why?

N. Kamakodi

No, actually like in the beginning of the last year, we told we will be improving our provision coverage ratio number and the number that we were anticipating was somewhere around the current level 60 only, which we have already done. You always, on “as is where is” condition, like we don't have any specific number in our mind. So we don't make a call depending upon what is happening in the market or whatever because the 70% coverage ratio including technical write-off is something which was there on the regulation which we had covered a long back. Post the call which you take depending upon how market progress and what are all the things you need. So far without drastically changing anything in a phased manner, we are able to see about 90 basis point reduction in w gross NPA number and about 70 plus basis point reduction in the net NPA number. We can proceed in the slow and steady fashion without compromising on the ROA. If you need to compromise on the ROA, increase your provision coverage ratio to much higher level. That option we always have and we can take at any point of time, but as of now, we think we will be proceeding on this level. The decision whether to go for extra provision to reduce the net NPA number, to what extent you need to compromise the ROA and have extra provisions and all, those choices we will be taking a call as the quarters progresses.

Puneet

Right now, we are targeting stable ROAs with let us say, there is no target.

N. Kamakodi

Yes, right now, we don't anticipate any target as we speak. With the current level and with that the slow and steady fashion itself, you have already seen desired reduction in the gross NPA and net NPA. You also need to factor in, this is going to be, Financial Year '25-26 going to be my 15th year which is regulatorily permissible as the CEO. What is the net NPA number, I want to hand over to the successor, we have to take a call, the way how you we proceeded during the quarters.

Puneet

And sir, your margins, the guidance 3.5, sir, if I am not right I heard that only 31% of the book is fixed. So in such a scenario, so deposit repricing happens with the lag, right? So for us guiding 3.5-3.7 next year looks like aggressive guidance given we have around 70% floating rate book, right, so any comments on that?

N. Kamakodi

So that is what I explained in detail. So you have multiple levers working. In fact, the expectations even for us, we would have had reduction in the net interest margin in the 4th Quarter itself compared to the 3rd Quarter because there were multiple rate cuts. But still we were able to scrape through because like, on the yield side, you are going to have reduction in the yield. As you rightly said, you have only 30% in a fixed rate. Floating rate also, let us say, 25% of your CC accounts get repriced every quarter when they come for the renewal. So in that 25%, it need not be that the same reduction in the repo rate is getting passed on because you re-negotiate the rate depending upon the risk appetite, how you want to have a strategic discount whether there is a surplus liquidity in the system, so many factors come into play. So as I explained earlier, the 25 basis point repo, finally the net impact on the yield was only in, high single digit, not the 25 basis point as you guys think, which was to greater extent taken care by whatever reduction in the Savings Bank rate or in future the benefit you are going to get. Because every quarter you are going to have 25% of your term deposits getting repriced. So we had special rates for term deposits for the last quarter which we have withdrawn and the rate at which the current term deposits are maturing and at what rate we are now currently offering market rate including the market rate. So there is going to be reduction in the deposit rate. Similarly to greater extent they will be getting offset by the reduction in the yield. So they will be going in tandem. So that is why we feel it may not be in a surgical precision. That is what I also explained, in future, it depends upon how fast the rate of interest comes down, say for example, everybody is factoring another 50 basis point reduction in the Financial Year. If the reduction of 50 basis points happens in one go, the market dynamics surplus liquidity in the system, so many things come into play. So if we expect this 25 basis point reduction in stages over the period of next 4 quarters, we hope this is what we expect. Based on that, the existing margins with the plus minus10 basis point will hold is our expectation.

Moderator

Thank you very much. Puneet, sorry to interrupt you. May I request you to come back for a follow-up question, please.

Puneet

Yes, I am done. Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. Participants, kindly restrict to 2 questions per participant. Next question is from the line of Anand Dama from Emkay Global. Please go ahead.

Anand DamaEmkay Global

Yes, sir. Thank you for the opportunity. Wanted to check, sir, how do you see the retail portfolio shaping up in FY '26 and FY '27 because you have been very strong on the gold loan front, housing is also your strong forte, which are the new products that you are going to introduce or scale up number one? On people front, have you made any new changes? Have you hired some new team as such, in the retail team as such, and whether that will have an impact on the overall cost in FY’26? I think in the initial comments you talked about some increase in the cost. Is it more related to the retail business as such or there is something more to it?

Vijay Anandh

Yes. The cost was more on retail front. We said that we will be around 48-50 this year, number one. Two, in terms of retail, yes, our home loan has been pretty decent, and our LAP has also started picking up, loan against property. As I was speaking some time before, on an average, we started hitting double digit rate in terms of the overall blended rate for retail. So our focus on LAP and HL will continue. Also for through our branch network, we are focusing on affordable home loans. So this business also once it starts picking up, I think we should have the decent book in terms of retail and broadly the hiring is done. We have hired Sales Head, we have hired the Zonal Heads, we have hired Credit Risk Heads for the zones. We also had the feet on street. As mentioned multiple times, we don't have plans to go with third party sourcing for home loans for sure. So broadly, home loans will be a brand sourcing. Only for LAP, North and West and some part of South where in Tamil Nadu we plan to do a DSA sourcing for loan against property. Otherwise, AHL is broadly a branch-based strategy where the branch will sell the affordable home loans to their customers or new to bank customers with the existing retail set up. This is what is broadly on the retail plan. So we will continue with our overall strategy of 95%-98% secure. We don't have any change there and the remaining would be a credit card and a small bit of PL if you want to give for our existing customers or salary customers per se.

Anand DamaEmkay Global

Great. Sir, on your SME book, wanted to check, like now that the rates have been cut. So are you passing on all the rate cut to the customers or you are trying to delay that by few months by increasing the risk premium because the macro disruptions are certainly up there? And so you can always increase the risk premium. Are you doing anything of that sort and that is basically the reason why you seem to be more confident on the margins front or maybe in the guidance seems to be more optimistic as compared to what one would have expected it to be?

N. Kamakodi

See, as we explained, you may clearly see there are multiple levers. Say you have fixed rate for which you are not going to have any impact. So you have what is EBLR for which the impact reduction will be immediate for let us say other floating by and large what is in MCLR, you will be getting only when it is coming for the renewal. And the 25% of your CC limits will be coming for renewal every year. So as we explained 25 basis point reduction in the repo, the ultimate impact in the blended yield of the portfolio was in high single digit. It was not into the double digit because of the composition of the loan book and also wherever we had given strategic discount even earlier where some amount of the interest rate concessions were given in earlier contract itself. So whenever there is a reduction in the let us say, EBLR comes, a part of that will be observed in that, the extra reduction that was given in the past. So taking everything into account for that 25-basis point repo rate cut, because of the composition of loan book with the fixed rate EBLR, MCLR or all different type of things, the net impact in the overall yield was in high single digit is what we faced.

Anand DamaEmkay Global

And any reason for a sharp jump in the CEB and the other charges, the fee income in this quarter?

N. Kamakodi

Good question. There are two things, which was resulted in this. One impact because of change in the remuneration structure. In the insurance income, we could see substantial jump which was hovering about Rs. 54 crores in the Financial Year ‘24. We could get closer to just under 100%, about Rs. 97 crores or something for the Financial Year ’24-25, which is a substantial jump. Similarly, we had 2-3 years of lower growth in the core advances growth and MSME. As the advances growth rate started picking up, particularly after the arrival of Newgen based lending and other things, there is a substantial jump in the processing fees also. These two have resulted in substantial increase in the Commission, Exchange, and Brokerage fee side of the bank.

Anand DamaEmkay Global

Sure, sir. That is very helpful. Thanks a lot.

Moderator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Bunty Chawla from IDBI Capital. Please go ahead.

Bunty ChawlaIDBI Capital

Thank you, sir. Thank you for giving me the opportunity and congrats on a good set of number. As you earlier in FY '25, you have guided for the slippages of Rs. 800 crore and net slippages will be negative. So if you can share similar outlook for FY '26, this net slippages negative will continue for FY '26 and how will the slippages number or slippage ratio will be in FY '26?

Vijay Anandh

So we gave the number of Rs. 800 Cr for the current financial year, which we closed at 815. We are looking at another.

Moderator

Sir, sorry to interrupt you. Bunty, can you please mute your line from your side? Thank you.

Vijay Anandh

So we gave a guidance of Rs. 800 crores for the current year and we closed at Rs. 815 and for the next year, we will be around Rs. 650-Rs. 700 crores. That is the number we are looking at. But in terms of provisions, we will also have, D1, doubtful 1 to doubtful 2 extra provisions we will have for the year which we may have to take. Otherwise, we are quite confident of recovery, will be more than slippages for the current year as well. So to answer your question, Rs. 650-Rs. 700 crores is the number we are looking at. Recovery will continue to surpass the slippages.

N. Kamakodi

And number two, let us say, the extra provisions depending upon the provisioning requirement and also in tune with the expected net NPA numbers. The provision numbers, as we have always pointed, the decisions will be taken as we enter into the quarter.

Bunty ChawlaIDBI Capital

Secondly, sir, as you said, the margins will be in the range of (+5) to 10 bps, 3.5-3.7 and cost to income ratio will be around 40%-50% kind of a thing. So any chances of improvement in ROA or we are still going with stability in the ROA at 1.5% for FY '26. That is it for my side?

N. Kamakodi

See, we don't want to be too optimistic, overpromise and under-deliver. So our earnest efforts to improve that are always there and we will be working for that.

Moderator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Gaurav Jani from Prabhudas Lilladher. Please go ahead.

Gaurav JaniPrabhudas Lilladher

Thank you, sir and congrats on good quarter. Firstly, sir, I missed Vijay sir's comments on shredding of lower interest rate loans. Can you repeat that please, which two segments would be there?

N. Kamakodi

See, what we explained was that for the entire year that 14% growth rate was achieved after exiting about Rs. 1,200 crores of Interbank Participation Certificate, low yielding and also the Rs. 150 crores of low yielding NBFC advances. Out of Rs.1250 cr, Rs.750 cr happened in the last quarter itself. The interbank participation certificates we had to enter the previous year because we had to exit gold loan Agri portfolio and because of that achievement of target, some amount we had to enter, but that we had to compromise on the yield that we had now exited. So there are two things because of the two outcomes. One, we could achieve 14% growth despite, shedding about Rs. 1,250 crores of loan book and it has also helped us to have a better yield because whatever we exited were of low yielding. In fact, about Rs. 150 crores were around let us say 8%-8.5% and that remaining Rs. 1,250 were about, let us say, 6%-6.5% in that very low rates because we had to regulatorily go for that to achieve our agri target in the previous year to achieve the targets.

N. Kamakodi

We have opened up almost everything possible, to what extent renewals are coming, to what extent the fixed rates are there, whatever these things are there, we don't anticipate any more. Finally, it all depends upon the market dynamics and how the rates pan out. As of now, at least on cards, we don't see anything to come down so fast, let us say for example, we have about 2% of our portfolio from NBFC lending which is about Rs. 1,417 crores as given in the slide number 27. So how that yield adjusted as we get into, these are all basically corporate lending and they will always have lower yield compared to your core advances. And if the yield in their portfolio, how it gets adjusted because of the market yield and what are all the alternate options available for them, whether we will be better off by continuing those rate of interest because these corporate lending will be around 9% or even 8.5%-9% and things like that, but we will be able to have an average yield of the portfolio close to, let us say, 9.5% to even double digit, whatever it has come closer to that. So those calls are taken on a dynamic basis on a continuous thing. We don't have a target and all in our mind and all. We also never expected that we will be, let us say, totally exiting from all these things. One of the reasons is because that, like we could do the gold loan better with better yield and also on agricultural lending and things like that.

Gaurav JaniPrabhudas Lilladher

Sir, thank you. Just one last from my end, if I may. You mentioned about the Commission, Exchange and Brokerage, right? So can you understand that was it also bulked up in because it was Q4 and could there be further normalization in the coming quarters or this is new base that you are looking at?

N. Kamakodi

See, Commission, Exchange and Brokerage, the insurance income hike is perhaps the change of remuneration structure and some amount of change of marketing campaigns which we took, we will be fine tuning and there is some more juice available over there and on the processing charges front, it will be the function of the credit growth.

Gaurav JaniPrabhudas Lilladher

Understood, sir. That is it from my end. Thank you, sir.

Moderator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Arun, Independent Shareholder. Please go ahead.

Arun

Hello. Can you hear me?

N. Kamakodi

Yes, sir.

Arun

Thank you for taking my question. Actually, my questions were largely answered, but one question I had on the retail portfolio growth, are you looking at it primarily to grow in Tamil Nadu or is it the other states as well because I also saw you have done a fair amount of branch expansion recently, so is the focus going to be more on your MSMEs in the other case only or will retail growth be there as well? To that, do you have like a goal or target in mind on retail growth?

Vijay Anandh

The retail growth is going to be across. It is not restricted only to South. Having said that, we have a decent presence in the South, so whatever the business we are getting is at a 0 cost. So basically, I don't have an acquiring cost which is normally very high in retail. Our branches can fulfill this business. Having said that, our retail business is going to be in complete Pan India apart from South. We wanted to be 3% of our overall business on MSME business year-on-year. That is the number which we have in mind. So to be precise, we are looking to exit this year with Rs. 3,000 crores. Rs. 3,000 crores should be the exit number for retail for this year as we speak.

Arun

And currently, what it is, sir, sorry, I don't have it open?

Vijay Anandh

We should be around Rs. 1,000 odd crores as of now.

Arun

So you are looking to grow it for FY '26 to Rs. 3,000 crores?

Vijay Anandh

Yes, Rs. 3,000 crores should be the exit number.

Arun

Thank you. That is all there. Thanks.

Moderator

Thank you very much. Next follow up question is from the line of Jai Mundhra from ICICI Securities. Please go ahead. Jai Mundhra, may I request you to unmute your line and proceed with your question, please.

Jai MundhraICICI Securities

Yes. Hi, sir. Thank you. I wanted to check their when did you move the gold loan from floating to fixed and what is the outstanding risk weighted assets number?

Vijay Anandh

We moved on July from floating to fixed, the gold loan rate. Sorry, what was your next question, Jai?

Jai MundhraICICI Securities

Sir, the outstanding risk weighted assets number?

Vijay Anandh

Rs. 39,900 crores, the overall risk weighted assets.

Vijay Anandh

Rs. 39,900 Jai, is it audible?

Moderator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Ajit Kumar from JM Financial. Please go ahead.

Ajit KumarJM Financial

Thank you for taking my question, sir. Just one question from my side. I wanted to know your take on recent bill introduced by the Tamil Nadu government to prevent coercive loan recovery practice. I understand it is not applicable to RBI regulated entities, but any impact on your on-ground operation if this deal is passed and especially given Tamil Nadu firms more than 70% of the total business, so any impact for you?

N. Kamakodi

Yes, this law doesn't apply to RBI regulated entities, you are right, particularly for the banks. So we don't anticipate any, let us say, issue because of this law, any new impact because of this.

Ajit KumarJM Financial

That is it for my side. Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Pritesh from DAM Capital. Please go ahead.

Pritesh

Yes, good evening. Just two questions. One is on the branch expansion strategy. We have done good branch expansion in this quarter and this year. Next year, where do you target and how much are you targeting to increase the branches?

N. Kamakodi

See, we opened about 75 branches in the current Financial Year ‘25. We had been consistently opening about 50-75 every year except during the COVID years. So this year, from 875, probably we will be taking it to about another 50-75 basis points, 75 branches. If let us say, things are favorable, we may also open few more branches.

Pritesh

925 is what we are looking at? I missed that number?

N. Kamakodi

Yes, 925-950.

Pritesh

And second, the branches will be incrementally outside Tamil Nadu or it will be spread across depending?

N. Kamakodi

Yes, exactly. You might have seen incrementally the non-Tamil Nadu branch numbers are increasing. Proportionately, the Tamil Nadu based branches in terms of percentage is holding or coming down. So we are almost reaching a stage of exhausting the TN expansion. So incrementally except for the unbanked, rural and regulatorily to be opened branches, we will have proportionately higher number of branches in the non- Tamil Nadu states.

Pritesh

Got it. And question related to basically as you open more branches, the SA per branch number is coming down. We were doing quite a decent few quarters back, but we have seen that from last quarters, the SA per branch is coming down. What is the strategy there? How do we improve our SA per branch number?

N. Kamakodi

Whenever we open a new branch, maybe for the first 3-4 years till it comes to stable business, the number of people employed per branch will be after one Manager, one Officer, and about 3-4 Relationship Managers. So it will be lower than the current level of average number of persons per branch, so that number may look a little bit coming down, but on the other side, we are in the process of, let us say, creating the sales structure, partly we have done and a small portion is left under the sales. Structure itself, we are in the process of making that. Some amount of expenses, we expected in the last year slowly getting shifted for the current year also. So let us say, as we explained maybe for another 1 to 1-1/2 years the cost to income ratio because of this additional sales force and things like that. Some 48 to 50% cost income ratio will be there. Once that start delivering results when the income starts coming, you will start seeing the cost to income ratio coming down.

Pritesh

Thank you so much. Thank you for answering those questions.

Moderator

Thank you very much. As there are no further questions, I will now hand the conference to Mr. Jignesh Shial. Please go ahead.

Jignesh Shial

Thank you. On behalf of Ambit Capital, we are thankful to the management of City Union Bank for the detailed discussion. I will now hand over the call to Dr. N. Kamakodi - MD & CEO of City Union Bank for his closing remarks. Over to you, sir.

N. Kamakodi

Thank you Ambit for arranging this call and thank you all for joining. So just to sum up, for some years, the credit growth was evading us and we have now recorded firmly about 2%-3% growth over and above that of the credit growth of the industry. Should be in a position to firm that up further in the current Financial Year. We are getting better visibility for the asset quality. We are seeing the slippage ratio getting better. We are seeing SMA numbers getting better. We are seeing NPA ratios getting better. We hope these things will further get better in the Financial Year. And with this, we are also seeing other income showing substantial growth particularly from the third- party sales and the insurance and your credit processing charges. So overall, as I told, we are entering into the year when the remuneration structures, going forward, the productivity has to get aligned with that and the things have to get improved from here. So we hope the geopolitical situations don't deteriorate from wherever we are, but on whatever situation we are currently seeing and on “as is where is” condition, the visibility for a better year is there and with this positive note, I hope we should be having a Financial Year ’25-26 even better than whatever we saw in the Financial Year ’24-25. So with these words, I once again thank you all and let us complete this call. Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you very much. On behalf of Ambit Capital Private Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us and you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.