Jindal Stainless Limited

Mar 2024 call

2024-05-16 Transcript PDF
Moderator

Thank you very much. The first question is from the line of Amit Dixit from ICICI Securities. Please go ahead.

ICICI Securities

I have two questions. The first one is potentially on EBITDA per ton. So if we see in this quarter, there has been a meaningful de cline. Now if you could group the decline in three buckets, that is nickel price decline, the inferior product mix or the third one is the freight cost. If you can just break the EBITDA per ton decline in these three buckets, that would be easier for us to understand? And what kind of trajectory do you we see in Q1 FY'25 for EBITDA per ton especially since ferrochrome prices are up, nickel prices have started moving up and so are the stainless steel prices. That is the first question.

Tarun Khulbe

So on the EBITDA per ton, I mean like this year normally the nickel prices fluctuate. But as we can see that unprecedently for the nine months, this year the nickel prices continuously fall. And if you see in the quarter 3, the fall was even steeper. So on one han d, while we try to minimize the impact of freight by managing our supply chain in an efficient way, but this was a bit continuous fall for us. Then secondly, coupled with that, we were trying to maintain our volumes also, our quarter 4 volumes have been our highest ever. And then the third one, as we said, that the Red Sea problem because of which our exports, freights and all which suddenly multiplied, I would say, to our key markets of Europe and U.S. But Q1, we definitely see that already the change in t he nickel price is improving, we can see the things improving and we see the positivity here onwards even on EBITDA per ton.

Abhyuday Jindal

So one thing I would like to point out, and this can be seen every time by studying stainless steel markets, that when nickel starts to fall, the whole market actually stops. Because there is no clarity in nickel how much it will fall, what is the fall that can happen? But this is what the company has performed despite nickel consistently falling April to I would say almost Jan-Feb of this year. It has fallen consistently every month. And despite that, we have still post more volumes than was envisaged. So that is the positive on the company side. Otherwise, in the past, always you see with nickel falling, volume decr ease always happens. But this time, we have done a lot of effort to at least ensure there is no dip in volume and there is an increase in volume. And already like Mr. Khulbe is saying and Amit like you were saying already with our raw material prices inching up, we are seeing better realization.

ICICI Securities

So basically on EBITDA per ton front and I'm not asking for a quarter or something, for year FY'25 we reiterate our guidance of 18,000 to 20,000?

Abhyuday Jindal

Absolutely. We are quite confident of achieving that and we are reiterating our guidance.

ICICI Securities

Okay. The second question is if you can just highlight a bit on the progress on NPI project in Indonesia. And when can we expect the production at Rabirun and Rathi to come in?

Abhyuday Jindal

So NPI project our -- as per the original contract, as per the original JV agreement, it was supposed to get the commission by Q4 of FY'25. But I can inform that we see that early Q2 '25, we are expecting it to get commissioned.

ICICI Securities

Okay. So we would expect some kind of commercial sales also in this year?

Abhyuday Jindal

A little bit will start absolutely -- Amit, a little bit will start but obviously to reach 100% capacity utilization it will take two, three, four quarters. But definitely, once from Q2 some commercial sales will start.

Tarun Khulbe

In FY'26, actually, we expect almost to reach 90% of this utilization, which is around 25,000 ton versus a full capacity of 28,000 ton which is the 14% nickel content what we had to maintain is of 200,000 NPI.

ICICI Securities

Okay. And Rabirun and Rathi?

Abhyuday Jindal

Rathi has started now into the rebar side because we started earlier with the wire rods, now we started putting the rebar from. So on Rathi we are now hitting almost 75% of our capacity but producing more of wire rods. Rebar, we have just started. And here onwards, our rebar which is more value-added will be ramping up on a month-on-month basis.

Tarun Khulbe

Every month from now, we will start reducing wire rod and start increasing our sales in rebars which is getting us more demand also and better realization also.

Abhyuday Jindal

And on Rabirun, we have just started now producing our tubes. We have just started it, so it will also gradually pick up. And we expect it to go to the level of 1,000 to 1,500 in the next couple of quarters.

Tarun Khulbe

Rabirun is right now under more on a trial run, but we just started the plant gradually basically under a trial conditions.

ICICI Securities

Understood. Thanks for the elaborate answer and all the best.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Ritesh Shah from Investec.

Investec

Sir, can you detail a bit on the product mix on how that's changed in Q4 or if you can give some color on FY'23 versus '24?

Abhyuday Jindal

On the product mix, you mean series wise?

Abhyuday Jindal

Just give us a minute.

Anurag Mantri

In FY'24, basically series wise, 200 serie s at almost 35%; 300 series was close to around 45%; and 400 was around 20%.

Investec

Has 400 reduced on a year-on-year basis by any chance?

Investec

Sure. This is helpful. My second question is…

Abhyuday Jindal

Ritesh, 400 like a strategy like we discussed, so every time we want to only increase 400, so more applications, more areas of supply we're trying to create for 400 series.

Investec

Perfect. Sir, my question is more, say, with a three or four year view after the capex announcement of what we already had, are we looking at any major growth capex for, say, next three years, four years or is it something we should look at maintenance capex only I think?

Abhyuday Jindal

It is definitely -- Ritesh, it is definitely in our plans that after, let's say, this investment that we have just announced, looking at the growth coming in India, looking at domestic demand requirement, we are very bullish on stainless story. So definitely, after three, four years, we will be coming up with a big capex. But at the moment, it's still too early to announce or discuss, but looking at the growth projections, looking at the demand, looking at our customer what they are saying, it will definitely be required.

Anurag Mantri

Idea is to first exhaust this 1.2 million ton capacity expansion which we are doing and then we'll obviously look for -- continue to look for the growth beyond that once we start exhausting those capacities.

Investec

Sure. We have basically acted on JCL, the implied valuations look pretty good. Why didn't we go for the entire state, any timelines? I think you have given a timeline of September this year. I just wanted to get surety on that ? And secondly, will the valuations be at par or is it could actually change?

Anurag Mantri

So we have already around 4% stake and balance, obviously, we are in the process, as I mentioned. Valuation will be -- obviously cannot be below this. So it's expected to be at par. We are trying to optimize the cash in hand of JSL. That's the reason it's taking some time, but it's on track.

Investec

That's useful. And on Chromeni, any timelines on the residual stake purchase?

Abhyuday Jindal

No. We are evaluating it and we are open to it, evaluating it cannot give a timeline right now. From our side, we would like to close it ASAP, but because there are external partners that we need to deal with. So it could take a little longer than what we want. But from management side, if I can say tomorrow, I would like to close it. But it will take maybe a few more months or something.

Investec

Perfect. And the last one on Indonesia Upstream asset sale, what is the status? How are we looking at that?

Anurag Mantri

Our cold rolling unit. So that -- Ritesh, you are talking about the cold rolling unit, right?

Anurag Mantri

So, the liquidation process has already started, Ritesh, on that. I think as far Indonesian law, all the process and formalities, we are now on track. I think Indonesia, as a country takes some time because their compliances are much higher than what we see in India. But it's on track, and we expect that to be closed in maybe this financial year, hopefully.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Kirtan Mehta from BOB Capital Markets.

BOB Capital Markets

The question I would want to go back to the EBITDA per ton to understand better the impact. Is it possible to share what was the nickel inventory valuation loss that we accounted in this quarter?

Anurag Mantri

See, as we already mentioned that -- see, what happens is that when nickel is consistently falling, typically between raw material and WIP, we maintain a more natural hedge mechanism where we actually try to ma intain the nickel inventories within the range to cater to our order book between raw material, WIP and FG. So balancing our order book and the sourcing time and manufacturing time. So when typically we have seen that nickel moves in a range bound manner in that case actually it recover on overall we don't see that much of impact, but as Abhyuday mentioned is that since May it was falling and you saw last two quarters we were still holding and because last quarter anyway our volumes were lower. So we could actually manage with optimize the product mix on -- to have a like blended EBITDA margin. But since it was continuous fall combined with the low exports which actually improves our blended EBITDA margin because otherwise those inventories will have to sell it into the -- some of the domestic market where the margins are comparatively lower in a different segment and also the ocean freight which actually put up a pressure on this. So all put together they all have close to INR250 crores impact on these mul tiple events which has happened INR250 crores to INR300 crores.

BOB Capital Markets

This is primarily the impact related to the nickel and not the other impact on the freight which was additional?

Anurag Mantri

No, it's all inclusive asset. It includes the frei ght, the lower exports on our targeted market everything put together.

Abhyuday Jindal

The major impact was because of nickel and lesser on the freight reason.

BOB Capital Markets

And the reason the nickel had major impact was basically in the first two quarters, three quarters basically we are holding to the extra nickel inventory which had been liquidated in Q4, and that is the reason the impact gets booked in the Q4. Is that the right understand?.

BOB Capital Markets

No, our assessment is like if nickel is falling during the first 9 months. Why do we see the higher impact in the fourth quarter that I'm not able to sort of understand?

Anurag Mantri

Okay. Let me try to explain on this basically. What happens in that -- so last quarter actually we should have in Q3 we should have seen the impact, but Q3 we actually sold -- if you see our volumes we actually restricted our volumes in that price. We had a plant shutdown last quarter. So actually we had -- volumes are on our side that all that part then suddenly, at the end of quarter 3 the Red Sea crisis happened till that time exports were actually going in, I would not say very good, but at least the right trajectory. Immediately after the Red Sea crisis two things have happened. One is that our current export order we have to only pay the higher freight and even the new order we didn't start seeing those types of EBITDA margins on the new order. So we actually stopped booking those kind of orders in our books which are reflected in Q4. So when you are pushing the quantity see as a practice we first absorb the premium and high -end Indian markets like auto, railway which will continue to exhaust and we try keep our high er share of wallet in those markets. And then balance remains in -- between -- the play between the export market as well as on the other domestic market -- other domestic segment. So when your export markets are not doing very good obviously then you have to play with the other domestic segment which actually brings down the blended EBITDA. So it's a combination of it's really not a pure math because we don't hold any inventory. We just hold the inventory which just require to support our sourcing time, manufacturing time and delivery times. So that's the inventory which we have been running and that's why we moved on a consistent basis.

Abhyuday Jindal

And two things I would like to add why you are saying Q4 is a bigger impact because the sharpest decline has happened in nickel was towards Q3. So that is why that impact we're seeing in Q4 that is one thing. And second thing knowing that these impact is going to come. We as the company took a decision and we need to push volumes. We've just invested last year in expanding our stainless capacity and to make these machines robust, we have to push volumes. We have to do better than the rated capacity production. So and if you go on post volumes the plant will never get ready at all in a robust manner. So that's why looking at Q3 little net sales volume we want to give the confidence to the market that there is more than enough demand in our country where Jindal can cater. So let’s push the volumes, let's push all our manufacturing facilities, capabilities to get ready for the good demand that we have foreseen coming up.

BOB Capital Markets

Thanks for this color. In terms of sort of understanding further the impact, so the Red Sea disruption still continues, the impact on the freight into Q1 as well as the export market has not picked up that well. So how much this will weigh on the Q1 margin?

Anurag Mantri

So exports are going to remain under pressure because the freight cost is still high and therefore the export EBITDA margins are not looking that great which we would have expected. So, obviously, we'll continue to push our volumes in the domestic markets. But concerning all this thing I think if you look at a full year basis we are reiterating our guidance of 20% volume growth with an EBITDA margin of INR18,00 0 to INR20,000. So you have to look at in a more longer -term view. I think at this stage we are just reiterating those guidance and Q1 is expected to be better.

BOB Capital Markets

Quarterly it could be weaker, but over the period basically -- this would basically ultimately be able to deliver that margin.

Anurag Mantri

No Q1 is expected to be better than Q4.

Abhyuday Jindal

Q1 is going to be better because even in the export market. One is that the stabilization has happened because at that time the Q3 when the Red Sea happened we were having orders which we had to serve despite the higher ocean freight, but now the situation is more balanced comparatively, but that is why the impact of the Red Sea would be lower in Q1.

BOB Capital Markets

Understood, sir. One more q uestion, if I can squeeze in about the expansion. We had sort of planned for a next Greenfield site to go beyond sort of looking at the volume beyond '28, '29, so this expansion allows us probably to sort of extend the growth runway to FY '28 or FY '29. And typically a Greenfield site requires 3 years to 4 years of advanced planning. So when do you think you would be again starting to look at…

Abhyuday Jindal

[inaudible 29:00] already expansion is happening, already a lot of discussions are going on, but like as a company like you see once we are ready, once we ourselves are confident that this is the best time forward then only I will come with announcement. So absolutely like you're saying it has this gestation period which is why we are also cognizant of that and already work has started, but we have enough to do right now to focus on these acquisitions and expansion that we announced. Till then a separate team is already working on next growth phase. And also the very fact that we have invested in Indonesia for this reason only as you said that it takes some time for a Greenfield. So for the midterm our requirements and to cater we have gone for the investment in Indonesia which is a very quick plug-and-play kind of a model over there. And as we have already announced that within 2 years that plant would become operational.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Ritwik Sheth from One Up Financials. Please go ahead.

One Up Financials

Yes. Sir, a few questions from my end. Firstly, on the capex that we are doing on Chromeni, it's a 6 lakh ton CR. So is this plant operational and if not then when do we expect this to get operational and what is the roadmap for this plan?

Abhyuday Jindal

So this pl ant is not operational. This plant was closed somewhere in the middle of 2020 and since then it is closed, but we hope that within 6 months' time we should make it operational.

One Up Financials

And so this will coincide with ramp -up of 6 lakh ton will coincid e with the Indonesia JV upstream capacity. Is that the right understanding?

Abhyuday Jindal

No, this is going to come before so this we will be coming from our existing.

Management

This Chromeni acquisition is also from the strategy to increase our cold rolling capacity buildup. So that is the main reason why as a company also we have less cold rolling with this acquisition, we are able to increase our cold rolling output.

Management

Actually with the acquisition and put together the Brownfield which we are doing in Odisha we will be able to increase our downstream cold roll facility to above 65% which are currently below 50%..

One Up Financials

So currently 1.4-odd million ton of downstream will go towards 3 million ton is that the right understanding after 2 years?

Abhyuday Jindal

What was your question?

One Up Financials

So the downstream capacity of close to 1.4 million tons currently will be close to 3 million tons in the next 2 years with Chromeni, Rabirun and the Brownfield that we're doing at Jajpur?

Abhyuday Jindal

Not exactly I mean if you are combining everything that may be, but that is not the way we look at it actually. So maybe there's a bit of a difference in understanding your question I'm feeling. Because Rabi -- now if you talk about Rabiru n it is totally a different product as compared to what Chromeni he is going to make. So that's why maybe I'm not understanding the question per se.

One Up Financials

Sir to put it in another way what can be the EBITDA per..

Moderator

Sorry to interrupt you sir may I request you to rejoin the for a follow-up question.

One Up Financials

Yes. Just one follow-up on this then I'm done. Sir, on this Chromeni, Rabirun what is the kind of margin that we will make on these cold roll?

Abhyuday Jindal

That's why it's a ver y different product mix. It is not the same product mix that I can give you an answer. Rabirun focus is more on pipe and tube segment and Chromeni is a cold rolling unit. So from cold rolling side, it is clearly rotor guiding INR18,000 to INR20,000 for the full year. That is Chromeni is also part of that whenever it starts, but for Rabirun pipe & tube is a different way. We don't consider that in this INR18,000 to INR20,000 EBITDA. That is something additional that we are talking about.

One Up Financials

Sure sir. I will get back in the queue. Thank you and all the best.

Abhyuday Jindal

Just I think more clarity to understand the different downstream products that will give you a better understanding.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Rohan Vora from Invision Capital. Please go ahead.

Invision Capital

So my first question was when we are saying that we're adding INR18,000 to INR20,000 EBITDA per ton. So this is excluding JUSL benefits that would be in addition to this INR18,000 to INR20,000 am I right?

Anurag Mantri

Yes..

Invision Capital

Understood. For the Q4 what will be the benefit from the JUSL on an EBITDA, absolute EBITDA if you can just give me that number?

Anurag Mantri

You mean to what is EBITDA for JUSL say FY '24 overall basis we have done?

Anurag Mantri

Q4 was INR178 crores.

Invision Capital

Got it. And can I squeeze just one question. I would like to know outlook on how you see the export markets improving throughout the year and g ive us a better backing for the INR18,000, INR20,000 EBITDA per ton that would be very helpful? Thank you so much.

Anurag Mantri

See. The first full year export market, it's the kind of geopolitical situation and what's going on, it's difficult to predict. We can probably say our key export markets are not to our liking at this stage in terms of the demand uptick, though we are seeing some pockets, some demand picking up. But obviously, the export market picks up at the end of this fiscal -- say in H2, surely we can do actually much better, which we have proven in the past also/

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Anupam Gupta from IIFL Securities Limited.

IIFL Securities Limited

Couple of questions. Firstly, if you can just break up the FY '25 capex, which you said INR4,800 crores. If you can break it up by project that will give a better picture?

Anurag Mantri

Okay. So overall. You mean only the FY '25 number, right? Out of the total capex around what we have said is that the Chromeni acquisition will go upfront in this year, which includes a shareholder loan of INR 1,295 crores total outflow of INR1,340 crores. The Indonesian SMS facilities with the joint venture, the outflow in this year is expected to be close to, I'm giving the number in it rupees equivalent because these are all dollar payments, so around INR570 crores and between HRAP and CRAP expansion, which we have announced in Jajpur, close to almost INR650 crores to INR700 crores will be the outflow during this financial year. Now then there are other infrastructure, RMHS facilities, railway siding the other capex, which we have announced, that will be close to INR600 crores in Jajpur. Then there is a -- we are doing some ESR and other related capex which is there, which is around INR250 crores. And then various ESG and renewables fund, that would be close to INR270 crores of the capex. And there would be a restart and revamp capex for -- between Rabirun, Rathi and Chromeni, which is expected to be around INR275 crores. And we have spillover capex from the previous year, which is close to INR775 crores. So all put together between INR4,700 crores to INR4,800 crores outflow is expected in this year.

IIFL Securities Limited

This does not include maintenance capex right? And what was the quantum for maintenance capex, the regular one?

Anurag Mantri

Typically, INR500 crores what we have been maintaining, I think that's what the maintenance capex will be there in this year also.

IIFL Securities Limited

So overall should be INR5,300 number, right, including maintenance?

Anurag Mantri

Right.

IIFL Securities Limited

Okay. And sir, second question is on this INR18,000 to INR19,000, which we do. So now that will source material and process material in different locations. So, let's say that I'm taking slabs from Indonesia, getting it to Jajpur and then moving it to Mundra for final processing. Can you broadly give a breakup of let's say if I am m aking INR18,000, INR19,000 overall, what is the breakup between the three facility abroad.

Abhyuday Jindal

No, we will not be to and we would not like to share that kind of breakup also.

Anurag Mantri

Because the -- I think the way you should look at it for the balancing…

Abhyuday Jindal

It is our whatever trade secret or our production methodology, we cannot give a breakup of where, what costing is coming out.

IIFL Securities Limited

In general, sir, let's say, if I just take Chromeni, what will the CR line mean as EBITDA. I'm not asking if you don't give a breakup.

IIFL Securities Limited

So sir, why I ask this question is, as long as you were owning 100% of everything it was fine with us taking 19,000 per ton EBITDA and giving a sort of valuation to it. Now that you own varying percentages in various stuffs from valuation purposes we'll need some clarity on this aspect. So that's why question came up?

Abhyuday Jindal

For clarity you have also given. So I think we can take this question off-line then. I will ask my team to discuss because th at gives a clarity where you want it. And as I mentioned, our target and our wish is to own 100% of Chromeni. So already discussions are on and we would hope and would like to close it as soon as possible. So definitely, we want to own 100%. But to answer your question, I'll ask our IR team to take it up with you separately offline.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Tushar Chaudhari from Prabhudas Private Limited.

Prabhudas Private Limited

Various investment projects happening in Indonesia, what is your..

Moderator

Sir, May I request you to please ask your question again.

Prabhudas Private Limited

So looking at the current investments happening in Indonesia nickel and as well as nickel projects. What is your outlook on nickel prices? So the, let's say, mediu m term, not in the near term, near term is probably we have seen the uptick because of LME ban. But let's say, in..

Abhyuday Jindal

There are a lot of factors that govern the nickel market, especially now with EV battery or net nickel consumption in EV battery. So it's a very dynamic situation. That is why we work on our natural hedge. We don't want to take any positions. We don't want to take these kind of calls. We will continue to work on a natural hedge. So nickel price is something that we really want to keep reducing it as a factor -- so -- and to give you a prediction per se, it's very difficult. I don't think so anyone in the global market will be able to give you a prediction on medium-term nickel prices.

Prabhudas Private Limited

Okay. And sir, second one was on NPI. I think you've said NPI will start -- I missed that portion. We will start production from second quarter of FY '25?

Anurag Mantri

Second quarter.

Abhyuday Jindal

Q2 of this year.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Ritesh Shah from Investec.

Investec

Can you please detail the capex breakup for FY '26 as well?

Anurag Mantri

So FY '26 between Odhisa HR and CR capacity is close to, say, INR700 crores to INR800 crores, depending on obviously some timing measures overall SMS of Indonesia will be around INR150 crores. And the other capex of the Jajpur infrastructure and other augmentation will be close to between INR250 crores to INR300 crores. And on ESG renewables, the residual capex will be around INR25 crores to INR40 crores. So that's being capex over the next year. So overall, we are expecting that what capex we have outline right now close to around INR1,200 crores to say INR1,300 crores of the capex next year in FY '26.

Investec

Sure. That's useful. And on the debt matu rity profile, if you could give some broader numbers for '25, '26, '27?

Anurag Mantri

See, I can share that debt maturity profile. But I can tell you, I think most of our debt are currently on an average tenor, we have actually refinanced most of our debt. And we have actually increase the balance sheet itself by repaying the shorter -term debt. And with the same debt we have actually now refinanced most of the capex last year. That is the reason you will see our net debt declining. So though -- so the way we have created a space for our capex is that by repaying the short -term loans, reducing the liability for the repayments while not increasing the debt. So only now it's almost 4.5 to 5 years on average maturity. I can share you the year-wise profile. But again, it's also in the process, we are further refinancing some of the debt in the process of refinancing some debt.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Dhyey from Niveshaay Investment Advisory.

Dhyey

I had this question regarding the C hina dumping products in India. So is the -- scenario still in place in Q1 and FY'25 as well?

Abhyuday Jindal

Yes. China dumping has continued. And though we are fairly continuously taking with the comment this issue but the fact remains that the dumping has continued.

Anurag Mantri

In fact, our Q4, the Chinese imports in the country has increased by 20% as compared to Q3. So it's actually becoming very alarming at this stage unless on the China side.

Dhyey

So as you already mentioned, are we expecting any support from the Indian government?

Abhyuday Jindal

So the dialogue is always on, and we always expect that something positive should come out, but immediately, in the short term, I don't see anything, maybe in the medium term, some relief could come, but nothing to really mention at the moment. As always, as I mentioned, we as an organization are not going to depend on government duty coming or not coming. Whatever guidance we gave which is despite any of this. If this external factors support the company, we will definitely do much better. But this time external factors did not support us. So the due support we get we can do much better.

Anurag Mantri

The measures also largely helps the MSME manufacturing ecosystem, which is very critical for to develop th e manufacturing ecosystem. Otherwise, for us larger players have access to the export market and premium players. I think for us, it's -- all the government support will help all the MSME sector more.

Moderator

Next question is from the line of Kunal Kothari from Centrum Broking.

Centrum Broking

Sir, can you share the JUSL? For JUSL what was the volume in quarter 4 and FY'24, can you please share?

Anurag Mantri

JUSL volumes? It is 4, 64,000 is the quantity that job work has been done by the JUSL for the full year -- for the quarter 4.

Abhyuday Jindal

It is 1.7 million.

Centrum Broking

Okay. Secondly -- sir, my second question in regard to overall raw material costs. Can you share the breakup of the raw material costs we are having and with overall capex, what we are doing with the NCI bringing in and all the other capex as well, how are raw material costs will it help in decrease in the overall raw material cost? And also like with the change in the overall sourcing mix, it will reduce the vulnerability towards the fluctuations in the commodity prices. Can you help it to understand it better?

Abhyuday Jindal

Kunal if can request because this is a very long question, which is actually understanding the fundamentals of our investments. And over analyst call, it will not -- we will not be able to explain like that. So it's definitely you would like some clarity in this. We are more than happy to share, but I would request our IR -- you take it up with our IR team, and they'll give you the clarity. But you asked long questions and it's not a 1 or 2 line answers.

Abhyuday Jindal

Please take it out, we definitely may be more than happy because we are very confident in all these things as you can. So we'll be more than happy to share.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Ritwik Sheth from One-Up Financial.

One Up Financials

Sir, 1 question on the Indonesia JV. so do we have any right of -- first right of refusal on the 1.2 million tone and anything on that?

Management

Yes, So we have our right of us refusal of 1.2 million tons.

Abhyuday Jindal

Full offtake, it is for us to decide if we want to take 100% output, 20%, 50%, it is totally our asset if I can say.

One Up Financials

And the operations will be done by the JV partner, right?

Abhyuday Jindal

Yes. Absolutely.

Abhyuday Jindal

So if you look at it from the Indian point of view, we see for producing a stainless steel nickel is a must as a raw material. And in India, nickel, okay, globally, stainless steel is produced either using the stainless steel scrap or the NPI route. So more than 60% are being used as the NPI as a source for nickel. Now in India, whether -- if you look at stainless steel scrap that is not available, NPI or nickel or anything of that group is also not available. So we see a really less possibility of this happening from the Indian government side. So chances are very less because practically, this is kind of a raw material that we're bringing in. like Mr. Kulbe saying, either we can bring it in a scrap format or an NPI format or in a slack format also. So that is why we feel that it's unlikely the government should put. But if there is, for any reason, some d uties imposed, then we already have it in our contract with our partners of how the offtakes will be sold globally then.

One Up Financials

And just 1 last question. So last year, we spent out the dividend payout policy that gradually will take it up to 20%. So this year, it's similar to last year at 10%. So any comments on that, how do we plan to take it towards 20% in say next 1 or 2 years?

Anurag Mantri

So the policy remains as it is what we described is that since right actually, we are seeing all the capex coming up, so we'll have to optimize the shareholder returns. So I think the way you should look at it. I think we believe that the investment in these will actually be much value - enhancing for the shareholder perspective. and from the business perspective. So it's all about a 100% dividend will be more return, beneficial return than the investing in the business. It is always a balance sales, for our capex allocation positive is outline the 3 things, which include enhancing in the growth capex, and also dividend as 1 of the part. So we are -- the investment which we are doing has a very high -- good ROE and payback period, so which should be overall revenue enhancement for the all the stakeholder perspective.

Moderator

As this was the last question for the day. I now hand the conference over to the management for closing comments. Over to you, sir.

Abhyuday Jindal

Thank you so much. One other point I would like to reiterate before my closing remarks, is that despite this dip in EBITDA in Q4. If you see for the full year, we guided as we achieved between INR18,000 to INR20,000 and we delivered on that. So that is something that speaks about the company fundamentals and our commitment as we always try to adhere to. And again, I would like to also thank every one for attending this call. We continue to remain extremely bullish on the Indian market, while we aim to maintain our leadership position and ensure sustainability in sourcing, processes and products. I hope that we have been able to answer all your questions in a satisfactory manner. And as mentioned also, should you need any further clarifications, we're more than happy to -- for you to get in touch with our Investor Relations team, and we'll be answering all of them. So thank you once again for attendi ng the call and hope to see everyone soon physically as well. Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. On behalf of IIFL Securities Limited, that this conference call. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.