Nippon Life India Asset Management Limited

Quarter ended Mar 2024

2024-04-24 Transcript PDF
Moderator

Thank you very much. We will now begin the question -and-answer session. We have the first question from the line of Lalit Deo from Equirus Securities. Please go ahead.

Equirus Securities

The first question was on, so like in this quarter with the strong growth on the AIF side, so we have seen some reduction in yield. So, could you give us a broad breakup of yield by segment and the reason for lower tax rates during the quarter?

Sundeep Sikka

Lalit, I will request my colleague Amol to answer this question, please.

Amol Bilagi

So, on the yield side, Lalit, we are seeing a 1 basis point quarter-on- quarter decline in the yield. If you exclude the ETF, the blended decline has been marginal at 0.5 basis point quarter -on-quarter. Segment wise yields, for equity - the yield stands at 63 basis points. On debt, we would be around 25 basis point s. On liquid, in the range of 10 to 12 basis points. And on ETF, it would be around 15 basis points.

Equirus Securities

Yes, so on the tax benefit.

Amol Bilagi

Yes, on the tax front, lower tax rate for the quarter was primarily due to movement of some of the investment from short term to long term, which has resulted in the reduction of tax rates, and there has been a reversal of provision for previous years post the completion of the tax assessments. So, these are two factors which have affected the lower tax rates for the quarter.

Equirus Securities

And this ETF, 15 basis point includes your gold ETF also in it and the newer one which is coming on the ETFO side as well.

Amol Bilagi

Yes.

Equirus Securities

And this quarter we have done really well on the employee expenses side and there are some other expenses. So, going ahead for FY25 and FY26, what is our outlook on the expenses side?

Amol Bilagi

So, on the expenses side, very difficult to predict, but probably growth should be in the range of 8% to 10% excluding the ESOP cost for the fresh stock granted.

Equirus Securities

Are there any new plans for ESOPs on this?

Amol Bilagi

Yes. So, today the Board has approved a grant of some ESOPs and that cost would come over a period of four years, it would be around in the range of 85crores to 90 crores in total.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Madhukar Ladha from Nuvama Wealth. Please go ahead.

Nuvama Wealth

So, two questions. First on the ESOP cost that you just mentioned of about 85 crores, 90 crores over a four -year period. Can you give me a split over the next four years? Second, admin and other opex has seen a sharp jump both on a YoY and on a QoQ basis. So, what is happening over there? And similarly, even the fee and commission expenses. So, some sense on what the normalized run rate of them would be, that would be helpful. And third, even our other income this quarter, we didn’t have any big movement in equity. So, we have been fairly sort of just about the 2.8% move on the NIFTY. And the yield have also been fairly stable. So, what has driven such a strong performance even on the other income? Some color of there would be helpful.

Amol Bilagi

Thanks, Madhukar, for the question. So, on the ESOP cost, we are expecting about 50% of the cost to come in the first year i.e. FY25, and then will taper down over the following financial year s. In terms of admin expenses, out of the incremental cost QoQ, about 30 -35% cost will be one -off expenses and the rest would be in normal course of business on account of marketing that we are marketing, IT spends that we are doing. On the fee and commission part, this is directly linked to the business , including alternates and the PMS business. So, as the revenue grows, it also results in the increase in the brokerage cost. And the last question was on the other income. So, other income is purely mark-to-market. There is no one-off or nothing to add on that.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Prayesh Jain from Motilal Oswal. Please go ahead.

Motilal Oswal

So, firstly, you know, if you look at your expense ratios to the basis points of AUM, that’s come out pretty strong and pretty healthy in this quarter and this fiscal. How should we think about this from a, say two to three-year standpoint as basis points of AUM? How would the trajectory be in terms of spending and which element of the business are we really investing into kind of see any elevated expenses?

Sundeep Sikka

So, Prayesh, broadly from our perspective, we have been seeing in past also more operating leverage. As the AUMs grow, we do not expect any significant increase in expenses. Broadly, the only area where we will keep investing is going to be digital. We are investing. We will be investing substantially in digital and the brand. These are only two areas. The other area that you may see us investing will be in the alternate business, which is at the consol level, not in our AIF where we remain open to acquiring new skill set wherever acquired. So, that again will be more on the human capital side.

Motilal Oswal

And sir, just as you alluded to the alternate fees, how do you see this business scaling up to say in the next three years’ time frame? What AUM aspirations you would have for this segment?

Sundeep Sikka

Prayesh, it will be difficult to put a number for an AUM . Today about 90% of the revenue of the overall company comes from mutual fund so how do we keep reducing that and that will help by increasing the overall business coming from AIF and offshore. As we have been talking for in these quarterly calls, whether in mutual fund or AIF, we do not want to target AUM. Our focus will remain on profitability.

Motilal Oswal

And sir, on offshore piece, where are we in terms of different geographies? And what is the scale up that we can expect in ours? Are we in advanced stages in any of the geographies to launch new products? Where are we in that sense?

Sundeep Sikka

In offshore, let me admit, you know, while we have seen a very strong performance on the mutual fund side, a lot of new things happening on AIF. Offshore has taken a little more time than we thought. But there is a lot of work that is happening, and we believe over the next two, three years you will see some positive things because there is a lot of offshore, the returns become a binary 0, 1. It takes more time. But from a geograp hical point of view we will continue highly focusing on our home base, which is Japan, trying to get more Japanese money into India. That will be our main focus area. Even the new fund that we mentioned about the AIF, the tech fund, the majority of the LPs that we are talking to are from Japan. So, Japan will remain as one of our focus areas. But other than that, India continues to track money from various markets. We have seen some money coming from LATAM this quarter and overall offshore AUM grew 52% in this financial year.

Motilal Oswal

And last question, out of the current SIP run rate, how much would be said, via the non -Nippon digital route? So, in a way, sourced not from Nippon’s website but from outside. How much of the SIPs would be coming from that?

Sundeep Sikka

I will request my colleague Arpan to take this question, but I will just say as a philosophy, we do not want to differentiate between what is coming from our side and others because the idea is we want to create an ecosystem for the investor to have a good digital experience with us. But having said that, Arpan, if you could please take this.

Arpan Saha

So, the way we look at our digital over here at Nippon is that when we work with our partners, we have integrations in play and what happens with the integrations is, we always understand what is the platform of choice that the consumer wants to buy on, right. So, we have the storefront philosophy where we ensure that if our consumer is going to say X, Nippon products should be available on the storefront versus if the customer comes on our website, anyway, he is getting all the Nippon products. So, it’s a proper 360 embedded philosophy where we believe that there is no single reason why a consumer would want to come to a website or would want to go to an integrated partner. It is all connected.

Moderator

Thank you. We have the next question from the line of Swarnabha Mukherjee from B&K Securities. Please go ahead.

B&K Securities

So, three questions from my side. First of all, just wanted to understand that the restrictions that we have put in terms of the SIPs and the STPs for the Small Cap fund towards the end of March, so do we see for Q1 going ahead, would we see any kind of change in dynamics in terms of the SIP flow considering that that particular fund would have been attracting a considerable amount of flows? So, wanted to understand from that point of view, how should we think about going ahead on our overall say SIP flow book? That is the first one. Second is in terms of the competitive intensity in the industry, how are we seeing the payout levels? In order to garner business, do we require to pay out a little bit more to the distributors? If you could share what the current, what are you seeing in the landscape right now and if you could also give some color on where would be the flow yield vis -à-vis the stock yield particularly in the growth-oriented segment? And thirdly, also given that we have been focusing on the H NI segment and that in this particular segment, the distribution happens through slightly larger distributions in distributors in several cases, can that also have an impact on our overall realizations as we go through them? So, these three questions.

Sundeep Sikka

So, I will request Saugata Chatterjee to take the first question on the SIP from the Small Cap and the competitive advantage point, I will come back to that after that.

Saugata Chatterjee

So, on the Small Cap piece, you know, though we are putting restrictions and twice we have brought in restrictions now, the good part is in the past and even after the second limit introduction, our SIP inflows have primarily been in the less than INR 10,000 bracket perpetually, wherein 75% to 80% of our SIP flows come from transactions in that space. And hence, after the introduction of the new limit also, we haven’t seen any sizeable reduction in our flows which is what has been our strength historically. You know, whenever we have built this SIP book in our system, especially in the Small Cap fund, it has been in the smaller ticket space. And on the other side, like we had mentioned in the previous call, we are seeing sizable inflows in our other schemes, like the Multi Cap fund, Large Cap fund. We have the value fund. There are multiple funds wherein we are getting now good inflows which is sort of de -risking our till towards Small Cap. And going forward this will be the way we will plan our business on the SIP side.

Sundeep Sikka

The second one, the competitive pressure coming because of new AMC is doing higher brokerages and all, the way we see it, as stated in past, our focus remains on profitable growth. We do not want to get into any price war. We are very clear that for us overall AUM, while it is important, but profitable AUM is more critical. And that’s exactly the reason to also mix it with the second question. We will continue focusing on retail part even more. While HNI market share continues to grow for us, but retail we believe is more sticky and more profitable and more difficult to build. Since we talked about the Small Cap fund earlier on this, so you will be happy to know , while there have been restrictions on Small Cap fund across the industry and for the month of March, February over March industry saw an outflow of about 4,000 crores. But while we are at ~19% of the industry size, what the outflow that we saw was only 2% of the industry because we have very, very highly retail and the top 10 investors in our Small Cap fund constitute less than 1%. So, retail adds stickiness and profitability, and our focus will remain to execute to go the difficult way of building business, which is retail, small ticket size, more sticky and more profitable for the long term point of view.

B&K Securities

Sir, any indication on the flow versus stock realization, what we are seeing right now?

B&K Securities

Just to suggest, I think that has been the trend over the last few quarters. Just wanted to understand how the delta has moved, has it kind of widened or narrowed? If you could explain this?

Amol Bilagi

See, for us as Sundeep mentioned that we want to be on a profitable side of business. So, probably we have not increased the payouts as such. So, our yields on the new business have remained constant. And as mentioned last quarter also, we have rationalized our distribution cost in one of our larger schemes and this would help us in maintaining our margins on the new cost.

Saugata Chatterjee

Just to add, you know, if you see the behavior of our net sales, which is what we articulated in the opening speech, we have a much healthier net sales than the industry and hence our old assets are still intact which is giving us better margins always.

B&K Securities

Sir, just last one quick question. When you mentioned about the HNI segment in your disclosures, is that on the basis of how MFI defines the HNI segment?

Saugata Chatterjee

Yes, very much.

Sundeep Sikka

Yes.

Saugata Chatterjee

2 lakhs plus.

Moderator

Thank you. We have the next question from the line of Shreya Shivani from CLSA. Please go ahead.

Most of my questions have been answered. I just wanted clarity on the staff cost, did you mention that it’s the major increase that will happen next year onwards will be on account of ESOPs and not really any addition to the staff counts, right? I should assume the staff count to remain at the 1,000 level for the next foreseeable future. Or will there be some additions on that side as well?

Sundeep Sikka

Yes, your understanding is correct. Broadly the number of staff will not increase substantially other than the fact that in our subsidiaries, we may add some more to grow our business to invest or acquire certain skill sets. But broadly, your understanding is correct and the overall mutual fund business together at 1,000 plus, that number will not change substantially.

And just also on the admin cost, is there anything? The pickup for the last two years has been strong on this cost. Is this in line with the growth in business or was there anything incremental that has happened?

Amol Bilagi

Hi, Shreya. Amol here. So, just going back on that employee cost, so there would be normal increment that you would see in the employee cost. So, that would be there. On the admin cost, probably the net run rate would continue, and this is mainly due to the investment that we are making in our digital assets. And probably we may add some branches in this financial year, but that would not have a major impact on our overall.

Sundeep Sikka

Because it will be the smaller cities and towns. We are already 263 locations. So, the smaller cities and towns, the cost will not be high.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Lalit Deo from Equirus Securities. Please go ahead.

Equirus Securities

Sir, just one correction. Like what will be the ESOP cost for this year and in this quarter as well?

Sundeep Sikka

Are you talking about ESOP cost?

Equirus Securities

Yes. What was the ESOP cost for FY24 and as well as quarter four?

Equirus Securities

No, that one is for FY25. I was asking for FY24, like in the current year cost.

Amol Bilagi

So, in FY24, the ESOP cost was around 7 crores.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Madhukar Ladha from Nuvama Wealth. Please go ahead.

Nuvama Wealth

Can you comment a little bit about our slow market share, how that has been? Q2 was very strong. In Q3, there was a little bit of moderation. So, Q4, I wanted to just get a sense of whether that is sustaining or not? And you just mentioned the ESOP cost number for this. So, can you just repeat that actually?

Saugata Chatterjee

So, yes, on the flow side, Madhukar, after Q3, \Q4 continues to be in the similar range. So, from equity net sales point of view, we are in the double-digit space still and like we had mentioned earlier and Sundeep did mention small cap, large cap, you know, these are certain categories where we have been able to continue to have double -digit net sales. When you take the entire year FY24 into aggregate - we conclude the year with the double-digit net sales market share.

Nuvama Wealth

Congratulations again. And on the ESOP cost number for FY24, can you repeat that?

Saugata Chatterjee

Just to clarify, all these net sales what we mentioned is ex of arbitrage.

Amol Bilagi

So, Madhukar, on the ESOP cost, there are two or three things that we need to consider. First is that we have come up with the ESOP grant after three years of period. Three years. So, the last ESOP was in 2021. So, that’s why the ESOP cost for FY24 was only 7 crores. However, this year it would be substantially higher given that there is a fresh grant that is happening. And also this would help us in retaining the talent and that would help us in ensuring the fixed cost does not increase beyond a certain limit.

Moderator

Thank you. We have the next question from the line of Raunak Singhi, an individual investor. Please go ahead.

Congratulations for achieving this highest operating profit this year. So, my first question is that given the increased marketing spend in that attracting the younger generation alongside with your growing investment in maintaining the data base and all in the artificial intelligence space to analyze the investors behavior, I would greatly appreciate if you could provide a breakdown of the SIP contributions by each group, young versus old generation? Because I am interested in understanding the percentage of HNI contributions coming from the young investors versus the old investors since this marketing campaign, it’s being targeted towards the younger generation more.

Sundeep Sikka

Raunak, if I could understand, your voice was a little faint, but I would like to just share with you a lot of things that you mentioned, we are using internally the artificial intelligence, demographic features and how to market to investors. And one of the reasons for a strong sales and digital presence is that because that cannot happen manually. So, we have been using a lot of these tools internally. And to the earlier question which was asked by one of the to the earlier questions regarding future investments, this is an area we will continue investing for in future also. We do not give breakup of the age, background of this of all our investors and SIPs in the presentation, but I want to share with you we use it for business for sure.

So, my next question will be, sir, since you said the number of staff has been increased, but I can see the slight reduction in the employee expense cost on QoQ basis. So, is it due to outsourcing?

Amol Bilagi

So, it is mainly due to the PLI provision that we keep on doing on QoQ basis. So, that could be the reason for that.

Sundeep Sikka

Reversal of provision.

Amol Bilagi

So, we keep on reviewing our performance incentive QoQ and based on the number, we keep on adjusting the provision. So, the downside could be because of that.

I just want to clarify what provision we were talking about because of the reduction in the internal expense cost basis?

Amol Bilagi

So, this is basically the performance incentive or the bonus that we give out to the employees. So, we keep on reviewing QoQ basis and based on the management estimate, we keep on adjusting for that. So, the decline QoQ is due to that reason.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Bhavin Pande from Athena Investments. Please go ahead.

Athena Investments

Just wanted to understand what sort of growth are we looking at both in the MF space and in terms of alternate space as well in terms of the numbers, if you could give out in terms of AUM growth?

Sundeep Sikka

Bhavin, we would not like to comment on the future growth. We believe we are in the sunrise industry. The industry will continue to do well. As a management team, we believe our job is to continue to execute and our focus will be on profitable growth. So, I do not want to, you know, because it would be unfair to put numbers at this point of time, because ultimately this business is also cyclical because of the capital markets, a lot of things keep changing. And the purpose, the reason of saying this is because when we are very good for the future, we should be conscious of the fact that market cycles also have an impact. Mark -to-market revenue, everything that we do has, you know, so this share of the business has been good. There has been a very strong tailwind of the markets and we have been execut ing well. So, we will continue focusing on our execution and focus on profitable growth.

Sundeep Sikka

So, from our product suite point of view, we have a very good product suite at this point of time. If you have seen over the last three, four years, we have not been coming out with NFOs. We believe in focusing on our existing schemes and scaling them up. Having said that, in the passage we will continue launching a few themes, which we believe can help the investors from a long -term point of view. But pure active mutual funds, our focus will be to scale up and capitalize on the great fund performance and the track record that we have and build on the existing schemes.

Moderator

Thank you. We have no further questions, ladies, and gentlemen. I would now like to hand the conference over to the management for closing comments. Over to you, sir.

Amol Bilagi

Thank you for coming for the call.

Moderator

Thank you. On behalf of Batlivala & Karani Securities, that concludes this conference. Thank you all for joining us. You may now disconnect your lines.