PI Industries Limited

Quarter ended Sep 2023

2023-09-30 Transcript PDF
Moderator

Thank you very much. We will now begin the question and answer session. We have our first question from the line of Abhijit Akella from Kotak Securities. Please go ahead.

Kotak Securities

So just a couple of clarification s, I wanted to s eek, one was on the pharma entity performances, s o first of all, if you could just help us understand from an accounting perspective, why do these Ind AS reductions or adjustments show up when we are booking the net revenues in our financial s? Also, the earnings have been on the negative side and how should we see that trending forward over the rest of this year and into next year? And finally just on Therachem within the pharma business, the revenues for the quarter seem to be in the range of Rs. 6 to Rs. 7 crore, I believe the run rate was much higher at the time of acquisition, about Rs. 200 crore for the full year or thereabouts, so what exactly is happening there and how we should see it moving forward?

Rajnish Sarna

Re your first question, this is more about aligning the accounting practices. So one of the companies was following a different accounting standard and since now we have combined all these entities in PI Health Sciences, we were to align the accounting policies and standards and therefore these Ind AS adjustments. The second point on Therachem, it is more a bout the scheduling of the business . They were already carrying some inventor y for their requirement, so in this CDMO business, it is more about campaign and the supplies according to t he customer requirement but ye s, there are different schedule for different products in following quarters and there is no significant downsizing of the business from the customer side, it is more a matter of scheduling of the business and inventory.

Kotak Securities

Just to clarify, should we continue to assume roughly Rs. 500 odd crore revenue base for the pharma business for this year and this Ind AS adjustments are more of a onetime alignment and they will go away at some point in the subsequent quarters?

Anil Jain

This is Anil Jain here. Rs. 500 crore revenue was our indication for the whole year. During this financial year, one acquisition is almost 11 months and other is almost close to 9 months. We are therefore on track right and Ind AS adjustment would have one off effect.

Kotak Securities

And just one last thing from my side, if you will permit on the CSM side, the agrochemical CSM business, how does the growth outlook look like for the second-half of this year and there is a mention in the results about shipment that got lost in transit about Rs. 40 odd crore, so number one, what happened there exactly? Is it shown as cost in the raw material line and excluding that then the EBITDA margin seemed to be even higher at about 28% for the overall company, so it seems a very sharp improvement versus what we were doing, so if you could please just elaborate a bit on what has driven the margin improvement and how we should see that going forward?

Rajnish Sarna

There are too many questions in your one question. So let me try and remember and answer one by one. First of all, we still maintain our growth guideline including that of CSM of clocking close to 18%-20%, and accordingly, second half will also be seeing growth in this business. Talking about this container thing, yes, this is a very unprecedented situation which we have never experienced t in last 75 years of our Company and also in the industry . In few of our sealed container for exports, theft took place, which is very unprecedented and we later on also found out that it is not only with PI, but few other chemical companies have also experienced this. But good part is that Police has already nabbed some of these culprits and traced the theft material . I must therefore certainly appreciate the kind of effort put in by the state and police administration for a very swift action. So at this stage, since the matter is still under police investigation, we will not speculate on the recovery and its timing but to be on a conservative side, we have accounted for the material cost in our financials for this quarter.

Kotak Securities

And just the last point was the margins have expanded significantly if you adjust for this cost, so what is driving that and how should we see that going forward?

Rajnish Sarna

The product mix has been favourable for us during this period and even in our domestic area, we have focused on quality of re venue and favourable product mix rather than chasing the volumes and values. That has certainly helped improve the overall EBITDA margin during this quarter.

Moderator

Thank you. We have our next question from the line of Rohit Nagraj from Centrum Broking. Please go ahead.

Centrum Broking

Thanks for the opportunity and congrats on a very strong set of numbers. First question is on the pharma initiative, so what is the progress in terms of some of the R&D molecules in PI’s kitty getting commercialized through the manufacturing facilities outside. So how do we expect the rollout over the next maybe 2-3 years’ timeframe?

Anil Jain

Anil here, I do not know which molecule you are talking because this is a platform where we are providing the services to the companies, not the product.

Centrum Broking

We had mentioned earlier that we have been working on the Pharma segment R&D, so those molecules?

Rajnish Sarna

Those are more of intermediates and key starting materials . So yes, those are also progressing in our R&D CRO bench that we are pursuing, and this is part of our evaluation.

Centrum Broking

And second question is that given that during current year, th ere have been a significant decline generally in all the RM prices, how are we seeing our prices for the next year contracts, 2024 contracts for our products?

Rajnish Sarna

Are you talking about our exports? CSM exports?

Rajnish Sarna

Given our business model , in any case, pricing, etc. , for each campaign is reviewed before we start campaign. While the price structures are defined but final pricing is worked out basis the prevailing raw material etc. S o yes, before starting 2024 campaign , necessary price corrections would take place, whether it is reducing or increasing.

Moderator

Thank you. We have a next question from the line of Vivek Rajamani from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Morgan Stanley

Thank you for the presentation and congratulations for a good set of numbers. Sir just two questions, firstly, on the broader inventory situation, you obviously touched upon that, you are still seeing the destocking kind of playing out , just in terms of your assessment compared to maybe a quarter or two back , d o you get a sense that you are starting to see some improvement either in the intensity or are you starting to see some green shoots from any part of the world?

Rajnish Sarna

We a re certainly seeing some improvement because the consumption remains strong in different geographies, whether it is South America, North America, even in Asia, Europe as the crop acreages are almost same or m arginally increased . So obviously the inventory destocking has gradually improved in last quarter. But yes, it may take a few more quarters, again depending on products (generic or commodities), before things should normalize, is the expectation.

Morgan Stanley

And just as a n extension to that, is ther e any particular geography where the problem is extremely severe in your general understanding?

Mayank Singhal

In our understanding, Brazil has been facing a major challenge because there was a l ot of stocking in previous years there , mostly of the generic products. Yes, given that there were supply challenges from the last year, and further added to that was the price escalation, which has now shown a turnaround, both the availability and price points with a double impact and that is something we expect in the next couple of quarter shifts hereon.

Morgan Stanley

And just last couple of clarifications from me before I rejoin the queue. The 18 % to 20% guidance on the Agchem side, I would imagine that is predominantly volume driven, correct?

Rajnish Sarna

Yes, majorly because price corrections are already there on the inputs.

Rajnish Sarna

We have guided for close to Rs. 800 odd crore of capex in current fiscal and so far we are progressing in line with that.

Moderator

Thank you. We have a next question from the line of Noel Vaz from Union Asset Management. Please go ahead.

Union Asset Management

I just have one question on the one molecule which was mentioned, this is the new product which the company is coming up with which is the new Diamide, so I just wanted to know what exactly is the total market size that we are potentially looking at as well as how does the company plan to take up this product?

Mayank Singhal

This is a very proud moment that PI has been the first Indian company to receive the International Organization for Standardization ISO recognition named PIOXANILIPROLE, but I think I would say this is , we have right now got the registered name, the product is under evaluation in various geographies across the world. We had discussions with various partners evaluating the produc t performance at various levels , at the field level , in various crops , in various regions to figure out the potential. As you may know that this is a Diamide molecule, globally a couple of billion dollar market. So , we will be looking at how we are going to play into this market. that’s how I would put it for now.

Moderator

Thank you. We have our next question from the line of Rohan Gupta from Nuvama. Please go ahead.

Sir, my first question is on this pharma business, you mentioned that one off Ind AS impact is over onetime, so this you are talking about that the current numbers which you are already factoring in terms of the reporting is over or it is going to be for the balance of the year itself in the similar ratio?

Rajnish Sarna

No, whatever was, we had inherited the inventory, and all those things would have onetime impact.

So you are saying the H1 Rs. 35 crore Ind AS adjustment that was all over, right?

Rajnish Sarna

Yes.

So from H2, we should be seeing some positive contribution in terms of the contribution from the pharma business?

Rajnish Sarna

Yes net of any one-off Ind AS adjustments.

Sir, second question is the ramp up of this pharma business once again and the margin profile, it is quite different than when we have got the numbers from this time of acquisition , so is it still in terms of because of the higher cost which you are incurring at these plants , that is so, or at the time of acquisition th is profitability margin was high around these plants , you also mentioned that this year you would be looking roughly 14% to 15% margin, while H1 pro forma margins are still at 7% , so we see that the margin of 15% will be only achieved next year because your long-term guidance in margin in pharma business is still in the 20% to 22%, so when we are expecting that?

Rajnish Sarna

Frankly, this is too early to look at the volumes and the margin percentage of this business. I understand your point, but if you recall, we were cautioning the analysts in our earlier calls for not reading too much into deal valuation basis previous year numbers. Basically, two-three things are happening here. One is that there is lot of development spend being done as the idea is to scale up this business and not run these businesses as individual entitities. I mean, whether it is the starting material company or the API company, we are not wanting to run them independently as standalone business but integrate them and scale up them in a differentiated model to cross leverage and during this initial period, there is certainly going to be pressure on these margins due to this development spend, but we are confident that post full integration, which will take next several quarters or a year's time, we will get to the expected margin level of 20% in this business.

Sir, second question is on our domestic business , though we have seen most of the formulation companies in India have done collectively well in first half and Q2 was fan tastic for most of the domestic formulation guys, however, that is not the case for us, so even in H1, if we combine that with the Q1 as well, we actually see the dip only in our revenues compared to last year, while in general the season and the demand scenario has been pretty decent as far as the domestic market is concerned, any particular reason for that?

Rajnish Sarna

In fact, we have seen very mixed results. There are situations where the local players have not been able to kind of achieve growth. Significant impact is there in terms of revenue and more so in terms of the margin profile and this genericization and generic situation , pricing situation has certainly reflected across the industry in the performance . We as a Company, focused on our specialized product rather than chasing revenue growth. Our focus in first and second quarter was more on quality of revenue and the discipline around the working capital and margins etc., and that has been one reason for the flat revenue. Whatever few percentile moderation that we have seen in revenue could have been avoided if we would have also chased those typical products, even in our portfolio, but that was not done.

Mayank Singhal

So strategically, some of the products which have been kind of a generic exposure for volatility.

So actually we refrained away from selling generic products and focus more on specialty that helped us actually in improving our margins, but not reflecting revenues?

Mayank Singhal

Margins and working capital efficiencies, so that is a clear reflection of quality of business having a substantial shift for more value accretion .

This is a time being exercise, sir, or you think that we may continue to do so going forward as well.

Mayank Singhal

This is a temporary exercise, obviously because the volatility doesn't add value , so its stressed. We will eventually play this game as when things stabilize.

Rajnish Sarna

But of course, if this situation for gener ic remains the way it is, our focus will be more on specialized and specific categories.

Moderator

Thank you. We have our next question from the line of Siddharth Gadekar from Equ irus Securities. Please go ahead.

Equ irus Securities

Sir, my first question is on the Diamide, we had highlighted earlier that we are in talks with global partners for the product , so any progress on that side and how should we look at 3 years higher down the line in terms of the launch? Could you give us any timeline for that?

Mayank Singhal

No, but as I just mentioned to earlier question that now we have a name and we are in the process of evaluation of the product in different crops/geographies/etc and the market opportunities of Diamide are quite sizable.

Rajnish Sarna

This evaluation normally takes a long time as it is done across multiple seasons, in different geographies, crops and comparative trials.

Mayank Singhal

Patent is, always date of filing is counted, not on the date of the launch of the product. That is the way it is done.

Moderator

Thank you. We have our next question from the line of Naushad Chaudhary from Aditya Birla Sun Life Mutual Fund. Please go ahead.

Aditya Birla Sun Life Mutual Fund

Congrats on a good set of numbers in a challenging time. Within the existing basket of commercial molecule and the molecule which are at the advanced stage of pipeline, how many do you think can become Rs. 400 - Rs. 500 crore of revenue per molecule the next 3-4 years?

Rajnish Sarna

Will you please repeat. We were not clear about your question.

Aditya Birla Sun Life Mutual Fund

Within the existing basket of commercial molecules and the molecules which are at advanced stage of pipeline, how many do you think can become Rs. 400 -500 crore of revenue per molecule in the next 3-4 years?

Rajnish Sarna

There are many of them , because this is one of the key criteria we evaluate products when we start working on them. When we get into these molecules, these molecules are at a very early stage of their commercialization and their potential is more clearer when they are already registered and commercialized in few geographies. So yes, while the initial indications are very good for several of these molecules, but we will be very sure of their scale-ups and growth potential as we progress further.

Moderator

Thank you. We have our next question from the line of Nitin Agarwal from DAM Capital. Please go ahead.

DAM Capital

In terms of when you have dedicated plans for CSM versus multi -purpose plants, typically what is the difference in asset turns you are able to get higher asset turns on the dedicated plants?

Mayank Singhal

Are you asking a question that, are you able to get a higher asset turns for dedicated plant?

DAM Capital

Yes, and a sense on how much higher do we are able to get typically?

Mayank Singhal

It is unfortunately not a straightforward answer because we have to look at various factors e.g. dollar per kilo, margin per kilo, etc. it could be lower asset turn, but better return on capital, better margin. Pure asset turn may be high for the bulk chemicals, but for the specialty and big chain molecules, it could be lower asset turn, but gives you better returns on investment. So there’s no standard ratio which you can identify, but typically if you look at the chemical industry in this space, it can go between 1.5 to maximum 2.8-2.9.

DAM Capital

And sir, secondly on our CSM business, with the volatility which has been there in the raw material pricing over the last few quarters, do we go through quarters during the cycle where there is a lag and lead impact in terms of the raw material pricing and the final product pricing, there are the gains we make in a sense, if there is a declining raw material pricing situation, we end up making gains in a particular quarter likewise and vice versa, does that really come about in particular quarters?

Mayank Singhal

As explained earlier, we have this pass-through model and that has been PI way of working as mentioned earlier by Rajnish on a contract to contract, quarter-to-quarter basis based on the contract.

DAM Capital

Sir, on the overheads this quarter, Y-o-Y there will be very little increase , so is there any particular factor which is driven that despite the growth in revenues?

Mayank Singhal

Overheads, frankly, are not linearly proportional to revenue , but yes, there has been a good approach to this because we obviously are looking at the volatility of the market and trying to see how we can continue to optimize and run this.

Moderator

Thank you. We have our next question from the line of S Ramesh from Nirmal Bang Equities. Please go ahead.

Nirmal Bang Equities

So first on the CAPEX you have done in pharma and the disclosure you have made in the segment assets, can you explain the mismatch because you have acquired assets for Rs. 497 crore and you have shown an asset of Rs. 1,257 crore in the segment assets, so how do we tie in these two numbers if you can help us understand?

M. Viswanathan

On the pharma side, there is one acquired asset and what has been shown is retained assets, I can send across the details to you. offline.

Rajnish Sarna

Maybe you can connect with our CFO separately.

Nirmal Bang Equities

The second thing is to dwell bit more on the pharma economics. What is the level of gross margin we should see on a stable basis as you scale up over the next say four to six quarters? And in terms of the proportion of overheads to revenue again, if you can give us some sense in terms of the percentage, it will help us work towards when you can possibly breakeven and get to that 20%-25% assuming a certain scale for the revenue, we can just help us understand that?

Rajnish Sarna

Yes, sure. So currently the gross margin is at 70%-75% plus level and we believe that this can certainly be sustained on the scaled up level as well. Re Overhead percentage and EBITDA margin, as I explained earlier that we will have to keep in mind that this is going to be a development phase for next several quarters as we are integrating these different resources and companies from CRO ti ll API in the interest of long -term objectives of building a differentiated model , s o yes, once we get to a maturity level, we will see that we wil l be generating 20%-22% kind of EBITDA margin.

Nirmal Bang Equities

So in terms of the development expenditure , in terms of cash outflow, what is the kind of expectation you have say in the second-half and for FY25 for the pharma assets?

Rajnish Sarna

Well, we don't have these specific numbers right now on the call because all this is still in development phase, but yes, we can have a separate call on this.

Nirmal Bang Equities

So finally on the tax rate, now there is a certain amount of difference in the tax rate for pharma and the existing business, so can you give us some sense in terms of where the tax rate will settle for the pharma entities once it is in a steady state stable profit generating phase? What is the kind of tax rate which would assume there?

M. Viswanathan

That tax rate for pharma would be around 2 5% normally. But what you see in this current quarter is one off effect on account of merger.

Nirmal Bang Equities

So pharma, we can work with 25%, right?

Rajnish Sarna

Yes.

Krishan Parwani

Just one clarification from my side, when you said 18% to 20% revenue growth, did you mean for overall company including pharma or just the Agri CSM?

Rajnish Sarna

Well, this is only for the Agri CSM we are saying without considering the impact of pharma acquisition.

Krishan Parwani

Thank you so much for the clarification. Wish you a very happy Diwali.

Rajnish Sarna

Thank you. Same for you.

Moderator

We have our next question from the line of S Ramesh from Nirmal Bang Equities. Please go ahead.

Nirmal Bang Equities

So just as a follow up question , now in terms of the domestic business, I know it is a little bit of a challenging environment out there, so if you look at the second-half, given the challenges in terms of moisture levels, last time you had said that you hope to do well, so what is the kind of expectation you have for growth in the domestic business in the second -half and how do you see the new molecules and normal economic condition guide you in terms of the potential volume growth for say FY25 in your domestic business?

Prashant Hegde

Yes, last time we did mention, we were hoping that the rainfall situation will improve, but if you look at August was completely dry, that has impacted overall numbers in the domestic. As we look forward basically the second half, there are few areas, one is South and the wheat. Wheat is obviously very positive looking at overall com modity prices, looking at the acre ages. However, we are seeing some challenges in the South, where it is a rice and chilly because of water levels are very low, mainly because of dry conditions prevailing in parts of Andhra Pradesh, Telangana and Karnataka . That will have some impact , b ut we are expecting a growth on the quarterly basis both in Q3 and Q4.

Nirmal Bang Equities

And any sense in terms of what we can expect for FY 25 based on your current portfolio and the new molecules you have launched?

Prashant Hegde

It is a tough question to answer at this point of time looking at the overall volatility which we are seeing globally as well as in India, probably after December, we should be able to give you a good indication.

Moderator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question for today. I now hand the conference over to the management for closing comments. Over to you, sir.

Mayank Singhal

Once again, thank you everybody for coming on to this call. We at P I management are very well encouraged and supported by the Investor Community and continue to look forward to the support in these challenging times and I wish you and all your families a very Happy Diwali, a great year, full of happiness, joy , great health and success. All the very best from the PI team. Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. On behalf of PI Industries Limited, that concludes the conference call. Thank you for joining us and you may now disconnect your lines. This is a transcript and may contain transcription errors. The Company or the sender takes no responsibility for such errors, although an effort has been made to ensure high level of accuracy