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POWERINDIA · FY2025 Q3

Hitachi Energy India Limited analyst Q&A

2025-01-30
Moderator

Thank you very much, sir. We will now begin with the question-and-answer session. The first question is from the line of Subhadip Mitra from Nuvama. Please go ahead. Subhadip Mitra: Good afternoon and thank you for the opportunity. Firstly, I would like to congratulate the management for a great set of results and entering double-digit margins earlier than guided, so congrats on that.

N Venu

Thank you. Subhadip Mitra: Sir, my first question is with regard to the HVDC order, would it be possible to outline what would be the size of this order in your order book?

N Venu

No. Subhadip, we said this the last time also, we do not like to give exact numbers. As you know, similar projects are also ongoing, so we do not like to give exact numbers on that. Subhadip Mitra: Understood. Also, the amount that has got included in your order book, would that be after excluding the quantum that goes to BHEL?

N Venu

Yes, of course. BHEL thing we do not book, right. We book only our orders. Subhadip Mitra: I am sorry, sir. I could not hear you clearly.

N Venu

I said the BHEL portion is not booked in our books. Our books, what is there in this, is pertaining to our order. Subhadip Mitra: Perfect. Understood. And am I correct in understanding that most of this would be indigenously manufactured with a lower import component?

N Venu

Yes, you are absolutely right.

9/19

Subhadip Mitra: Okay. Secondly, with regards to the upcoming three HVDC projects, the Bhadla project, Khavda-Olpad, and Pang-Kaithal, would you be assuming that most of these would get ordered out over the next 12 months? And are you participating in all three of them?

N Venu

As I said, just to give a background on the HVDC technology, this technology has been invented by us when we were part of ABB 70 years back. Last year, as we celebrated 75 years in India, at HVDC technology we celebrated 70 years globally. Today, globally, around 150-gigawatt worth of links run through our technology. In India, including the one which we have received this quarter, that is Khavda-Nagpur, total is 16 HVDC links, out of that eight links run with our technology. So, that is the kind of invention and continue to invest in technology to ensure that we remain close to our customers. And as you recall, we have seen this thing coming in, and we have opened our manufacturing facility, especially in Chennai, and we have end-to-end capabilities doing that. So, we will try and participate in as many tenders as possible. So, our view of the two tenders which you are talking about, one tender might get finalized in the next six months or so, and one more tender may be the last quarter new fiscal year. This is our assessment, but as you know, it depends upon the customer's finalization plans, and there are many other plans. Subhadip Mitra: Understood. Last question from my side, sir, with regards to the QIP that you have announced, if you could also outline what would be the usage of the funds?

N Venu

Yes. We will come back on that, Subhadip. As you recall during October last year, during our EDW, we had announced Rs. 2,000 crores worth of investments, and it's basically for the future growth and capital expansion. We announced in October 2024 a significant capacity expansion for our transformer factory, upgraded testing facilities, and also the capacity of the traction transformers and expat companies' network control. That's what we announced. But in addition to that, usage of the funds also from short and long-term working capital requirements, and strategic initiatives’ expansions. As you know this is an enabling resolution, so basically it enables the management to be ready and whenever it is needed. Thank you. Subhadip Mitra: Understood, sir. Thank you so much.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Parikshit Kandpal from HDFC Securities. Please go ahead.

Parikshit KandpalHDFC Securities

Hi, Venu. Congratulations on a great quarter, sir. Sir my question is again on HVDC, so is this entirely done by the Indian entity or in partnership with the parent entity? N Venu i: This is done entirely by the Indian entity.

N Venu

We will be importing some parts like semiconductors which we required for that. Again, when you are talking about import content, for example, the transformer, you also import the CRGO. So, we need to look at those kinds of things in that. But at least 80% to 90% of the products we manufacture here locally in our factories.

Parikshit KandpalHDFC Securities

The other question is on the fund raise, so while you have detailed it out, so Rs. 4,200 crores looks to be a very big number when you compare it with the Rs. 2,000 crores CapEx. And generally, we have seen your gross order book of Rs. 1,200 crores, and 5 times we were running on asset turn, so this potentially could be almost a Rs. 20,000 crores kind of revenue potential, which looks to be very large. So, does it include some part of capacity allocation from the global parent for the export markets, or this will largely be for the Indian HVDC market?

N Venu

As you said, and we also mentioned in our stock exchange disclosure on 18th of January, the Board of Directors have approved the proposal for raising funds up to Rs. 4,200 crores, right. So, and this is an enabling resolution that will give us flexibility to manage the capital structure of the Company and react to any potential initiatives that might require capital. And we believe that it is prudent for us to take such an enabling resolution. Having said that, I also told in the previous question that this is part of that we already announced in October 2024, what we want to do, where we want to expand it. And we are also looking at, these expansions are not only in HVDC, but also in transformer, HVDC, our high-voltage businesses, it's for the domestic business as well as some part for exports in that. And this fund can be used also for our short-term and long-term working capital requirements, strategic initiatives, capital expenditure for M&A and other related activities. And some of the things can be also used to repayment or prepayment of debt, servicing any present or future debt.

Parikshit KandpalHDFC Securities

So, this will be an entirely fresh issue, right? I mean, there would not be any OFS, so this does not include any OFS, it will be entirely coming into the system.

N Venu

We would not like to comment on this. As I said, this is an enabling resolution, so whenever we decide, that time we will let you know on the timing, etc. But right now, it is an enabling resolution.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Mohit Kumar from ICICI Securities. Please go ahead.

Mohit KumarICICI Securities

Yes. Good afternoon, sir, and thanks for the opportunity. My first question is on, it looks like from the order inflow is that order was driven primarily by export and HVDC. Can you please comment on the domestic order, excluding HVDC?

11/19

N Venu

Yes. So, I think, our orders growth is primarily driven by HVDC, you are right. But if you exclude the HVDC order also, our base order growth is also a double-digit in the quarter. And that growth has maybe fueled from partly export, but also domestic. As we said, domestic we have data centers and industries, all those things have contributed for our growth also.

Mohit KumarICICI Securities

I was asking the question because there is a lot of activity in the domestic transmission, right. And so, to that extent, the last quarter seems to be on the weaker side. Just asking, how do you see this panning out as we go forward?

N Venu

Sorry, I didn't get you, you were breaking in between.

Mohit KumarICICI Securities

Given that there is large activity in the transmission side, in FY '24 and YTD FY'25, it seems like there is a delay in awarding from the projects. Is it fair to assume that this will pick up as you go forward?

N Venu

I think, first of all, we are not seeing that, there may be a slight delay which is expected, but it is not a major delay in awarding some of the projects. And we believe that, at least from our perspective, the pipeline is very robust, and we see customers are finalizing the orders.

Mohit KumarICICI Securities

Understood, sir. My second question is, what is the timeline for execution of HVDC Khavda-Nagpur? And how does the revenue booking happen over the contract duration? Is it fair to say that booking will be back ended?

N Venu

Sorry, what did you say?

Mohit KumarICICI Securities

Sir, my question is, what is the timeline for execution of HVDC?

N Venu

Yes. It is 48 and 54 months contractually. 48 months is a Bipole-I, and 54 months is a Bipole-II. That's our contractual thing.

Mohit KumarICICI Securities

And how does the revenue booking happen over the contract duration? Is it lower initially then picks up? Is it fair to say the booking will be back ended?

N Venu

Yes, it is low for sure, the first 12 months is a low, but then next 12 month of second year and third year will have the bulk of the revenue coming in.

Mohit KumarICICI Securities

Understood, sir. Thank you and all the best, sir. Thank you.

N Venu

Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Mohan Krishnaswami, an individual investor. Please go ahead.

12/19

Mohan Krishnaswami

Yes. Thanks for the opportunity. My question again is on HVDC side. I just wanted to understand the differences in the technology offered in the market, both the VSC and LCC. Because one of your leading competitors publicly mentioned that the VSC technology which they are exclusively operating in is superior to LCC technology. But most of the bids in India is on the LCC side. But I also noticed that the Adani order which was awarded to us one and a half years back was on VSC technology, which means we are fairly strong there as well. So, any color on what is the preferred basis in India and why it is preferred would be useful, sir.

N Venu

So, thank you Mr. Mohan for the question. As I said in the beginning, let me reiterate once again. The HVDC technology has been invented by us 70 years back.

N Venu

Today both VSC and LCC put together, we are running 150-gigawatt worth of lines around the world. We have been investing in both LCC and VSC. Furthermore, these technologies need continued investment, to localize for developing skills for execution of such project. As it is a very complex project (HVDC), once you have end-to-end capabilities, then it is easy to execute. That's exactly what we did. As far as any technology concern, whatever a customer chooses, we have a very comprehensive competitive offerings for our customer whether LCC or VSC. Having said that, country like India where you are talking about transferring 6,000 megawatts in one link, the LCC makes more cost-effective compared to the VSC technology. VSC technology has a limitation from a technology standpoint to transfer 3,000 megawatt or more. But as I said, end of the day, we leave this to customers. We will offer both technologies; we have the complete end-to-end capabilities in India through whether it is LCC or VSC. Just for information, as you rightly said it's the Mumbai project, which is completely executed through VSC technology.

Mohan Krishnaswami

And sir my second question, thanks for that answer, is on the larger potential. Now, today India has about 33,000 megawatts of HVDC transferring capacity. When you compare that to, say, China, China is close to 300,000 megawatts. And our own power demand is running into capacities for 4 lakh megawatts. So, where do you see this number growing? I mean, you think it's a multi-decadal opportunity where we are just about 33,000 megawatts, maybe adding another 30,000 megawatts to 33,000 megawatts in the next five, six years. Can it keep growing because we will increase the share of HVDC of the total capacity line?

N Venu

I believe so, in my view. I was articulating this at least for the last two years or three years, that India used to have one HVDC project for every four or five years. But today the need of the hour is one project per year. And now the need of the hour is not one,

13/19

but two projects per year. So, it is completely evolving. We need more and more HVDC links to ensure that anywhere you produce the green energy, you can transmit to the load center very seamlessly, at the same time ensuring that the grid is robust, flexible, and secure. And this technology plays a major and vital role. And you talked about China. I do not have the figures off the hand to give you that, but absolutely, compared to any place, we have to have many more links going forward. And that's why we are investing. We are investing in our factories. We are investing in the capacities. We are investing in people as well.

Moderator

Thank you. We will take the next question from the line of Vinod from Phillip Capital. Please go ahead.

Vinod Chari

Yes. Thanks for the opportunity, and congratulations on a great quarter, sir. Just to again harp on HVDC, you have a 50% market share in India, and I believe globally also you have a similar market share. So, what is it that makes ABB or rather Hitachi stand out in HVDC? Like how is your offering stacking up against what competition is offering? I think globally, it's basically GE Vernova and Siemens, which are offering similar products on the DC side. So, what differentiates Hitachi? Is it your localization drive? Can you just elaborate on what makes you the market leader?

N Venu

Yes, thank you, Vinod. We do not talk about our competition; we talk about ourselves. So, as I said, we invented this technology and since then we have been investing in it, right. One of the things very clearly stands out is that we continue to invest, continue to bring the value-add, continue to reduce the footprint, losses, everything. In addition to the localization, creating the local competency, those are the things we clearly stand out. And on top of that, our execution capabilities, okay, that also is a very clear differentiation we bring it to our customers.

Vinod Chari

The other thing is if you look at the National Electricity Plan, intra-state is also an equally big component. So, do you see DC technology making any inroad in the intra-state grid as well? What are we witnessing in the intra-state grid?

N Venu

I think intra-state, depending upon there are some states that quiet, again, it makes, every technology makes sense whether it is AIS or AC or DC. What we need to look at is our return on investment standpoint. If it is longer distances or you have weaker grids, it makes even more commercially viable for us those kinds of things. But the technology standpoint will work anywhere. There are many examples outside of the world, where for a shorter distance, for a lower 1,000 megawatts itself, these people have been using this (HVDC)technology because of the inherent capabilities and benefits it has.

14/19

Vinod Chari

Sure. Thanks for the explanation, sir. Thankyou.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Ruchita Parik from I-Wealth LLP . Please go ahead.

Ruchita ParikI-Wealth LLP

Hello, sir. A very good evening and congratulations on a good set of numbers. So, sir, my question was mainly on the industry side. So, there is this investment that we have pointed out that Rs. 9 lakh crores of investment on the transmission industry. So, on that I just wanted to understand how much of that would be on the substation side? And under that how much would be, let’s say, a 765 kV transformation capacity, how much would be for the 400 kV, 200 kV, if you could give a broad breakup of that.

N Venu

No, I think, we do not have off-hand figures now. But if you go to the NEP-24 plan, you have the complete breakdown over there in that. So, in our view, this Rs. 9.16 lakh crores is basically for the transmission, which includes HVDC transmission, which includes 765 kV, 400 kV transmission, because that's where ISDS comes into picture.

Ruchita ParikI-Wealth LLP

Right. But we do not have, like, something like how much would be for the substation part?

N Venu

Yes, I do not have the off-hand numbers.

Ruchita ParikI-Wealth LLP

Got it. And, sir, just because I missed this point, this HVDC project of ours, so by when do we see the execution of it?

N Venu

Yes, I already said that but let me reiterate once again. So, the schedule for us, from the customer is 48 months for bipole-I and 54 months for bipole-II. So, that's where we are on track to complete that. And if your question was on the revenue that also I talked about is that our revenue will start slowly coming up in the first year and then start picking up in the second and third year, and that's where the bulk of the revenue flow comes into there.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Vimox Shah from GoyamLabdhi Fintech. Please go ahead.

Vimox ShahGoyamLabdhi Fintech

Yes, thank you for the opportunity. And congratulations, sir, on the great set of numbers. I have a question that in the presentation you showed that strong growth in the data center segment, so what is the expected future contribution on this segment in company revenue?

N Venu

So, as I said, we do not give any forward-looking statements on that, but data center is, as we have been also saying for several quarters, this is one of our key growth

15/19

segments. The data centers are really growing in the country, basically by usage of data and privacy laws, etc. And more and more, the AI-ready data centers will further add more things. Just for your information, a query on the ChatGPT requires at least 8 times to 10 times more energy than the Google search, and that clearly shows that the data center market is really in upswing going forward.

Vimox ShahGoyamLabdhi Fintech

Okay. Got it. And another question is like, in the last meeting I think you had mentioned that you are also exploring the opportunities in the battery storage side, can you provide an update on any progress in that area?

N Venu

We said energy storage is also one of our key initiatives. We are looking at it. And we do not have anything to tell you at this point in time. We are looking at the market, assessing the market, what are the technologies that make sense, and how do we localize those other things at this point in time, it's in our mind.

Vimox ShahGoyamLabdhi Fintech

Okay. And one more last question is like, what is the current status of Leh-Ladakh HVDC project? Any expected timeline for the leads?

N Venu

Yes, Leh-Ladakh, I do not know, our customers are working on that. So, as and when they will do that, we will start discussing that. At least from our standpoint, end of next financial year, coming financial year.

Vimox ShahGoyamLabdhi Fintech

Okay, yes. Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. We will take the next question from the line of Yash Mehta from Aart Ventures. Please go ahead.

Moderator

Yes, Mr. Mehta, please go ahead.

Yash MehtaAart Ventures

How much of the portion of the HVDC order will be services?

N Venu

No, I think right now, services, you mean commissioning, or what exactly you mean?

Yash MehtaAart Ventures

Yes, the commissioning part.

N Venu

Yes, we do not tell the exact number on that, but it will be roughly a ballpark of around 10%.

Yash MehtaAart Ventures

Okay, all right. Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Sagar Gandhi from Invesco Mutual Fund. Please go ahead.

16/19

Sagar GandhiInvesco Mutual Fund

Sir, my question is on yesterday's press release, which mentioned that there is a first of its kind thing which has happened, wherein the consulting team has entered into a capacity reserve agreement for nearly a year for renewable studies with a customer in decarbonization space. Can you explain this in bit of more detail?

Manashwi Banerjee

So, this is a part of a year-long contract where they have asked us to allocate resources to help them conduct various renewable studies, just indicating how the anticipated growth is in the renewable market. I do not think we have shared a customer name in the press release, and we will not be sharing the same.

N Venu

So, but you need to understand, this is a thing where we are articulating that we need to move from a project-based to program-based. Because the energy transition tailwinds are very huge. If we have to meet the deadlines of the customers, it's important that we need to reserve the capacity for the customers so that we are able to take care in a very efficiently, and also bring the synergies between that. For example, every time you do one-time engineering, and you are replicating it instead of that, every time you are doing engineering and then doing execution, and then once again one more time engineering, execution. So, the trend around the world what we have seen is that you do one-time, and replicate, two, three-time projects. You design for one project and execute for two, three projects. With that what's happening is the whole cycle and efficiencies and the cost benefits can be derived for both the customers and all stakeholders. And this is one example of a capacity reservation where our customer has signed with us for certain given period.

Sagar GandhiInvesco Mutual Fund

So, sir, this is a global customer or Indian customer?

N Venu

Indian customer.

Sagar GandhiInvesco Mutual Fund

Okay. So, they, I mean, capacity reserve in terms of manufacturing capacity reserve or only your, I mean, employee?

N Venu

No. It is basically when we are doing a study, so whatever the studies, instead of doing one study for every project, so we agree for it that we will do the studies for one year or something like that.

Sagar GandhiInvesco Mutual Fund

Okay. Yes. Thank you. Thank you so much.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Prathamesh from Antique Stock Broking. Please go ahead.

Prathamesh Rane

Hello, sir. Congratulations on a very good set of numbers. So, I had only one question related to your margin guidance. So, you are maintaining that double-digit margin guidance for FY '25?

17/19

Ajay Singh

Thanks, Prathamesh. We have been always speaking on the same lines. As you see, we have already touched the guidance level that we are talking. So, still we guided the same intention.

Prathamesh Rane

Sure, sir. Thank you, sir. Thank you. That's all what I wanted to ask you.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Parikshit Kandpal from HDFC Securities. Please go ahead.

Parikshit KandpalHDFC Securities

Yes. Thanks for the follow-up. Sir when you spoke about excluding HVDC, the order inflow growth is in double-digits, you were talking about Y-o-Y growth, right?

N Venu

Yes, Y-o-Y .

Parikshit KandpalHDFC Securities

Okay. And sir, in this HVDC, it is primarily like you said that 10% will be installation, that means 90% will be the product suppliers?

N Venu

We do not say it like that, installation, product supplies, system engineering, everything is in one only. I said I have just given a figure just you wanted to ask, see that what could be the thing in the services part.

Parikshit KandpalHDFC Securities

But this is classified under project, this will be classified under project this year, right?

N Venu

Yes, this is under project, you are right.

Parikshit KandpalHDFC Securities

So, but why do you do that and why not under the products, I mean, why you classify it in the projects?

N Venu

I think we have a very clear definition of the product; product means we supply our product and then the obligation gets over. Whereas here we supply the product, but then we have to integrate the product to ensure that the system is working there, so that's the difference.

N Venu

No, it does not have civil and other things part of this.

Moderator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will take the last question for today, which is from the line of Varun Basrur from Julius Baer. Please go ahead.

Varun BasrurJulius Baer

Good afternoon. I hope I am audible.

18/19

Moderator

Yes, sir. Please proceed.

Varun BasrurJulius Baer

All right. Thanks for this opportunity. Sir, just on the order book side, with the exception of HVDC order, what sort of delivery or execution timeline is there?

Varun BasrurJulius Baer

With the exception of the HVDC order on the order book side, what is the delivery or the execution timeline for the order book?

N Venu

No, as I said, our order books are, it's depending upon the project. For example, this HVDC project will be completed in 48-54 months. But when you say complete, means we will have to start executing slowly for the first year, and then it will pick up in the second and third year. So, that's why it is a various thing, right? It has a visibility; our order book has a visibility for several quarters.

Varun BasrurJulius Baer

Right. But would you say that if you exclude the HVDC order, would the execution for the remaining order book be between the range of maybe two or three years or is it longer than that?

N Venu

It is at least close to two years.

Varun BasrurJulius Baer

Right. Sir, and just a second question is that you seem to be sitting on a fair amount of operating leverage as the revenue ramps up. Directionally, I mean, I know you are not giving absolute margin guidance, but directionally, where would you see the margins trend? Would it be high double-digits, high teens or mid-teens or, any guidance from your side would be helpful?

Ajay Singh

Yes, Varun, as we have very clearly mentioned that we are really not been commenting on any forward-looking indications. We remain committed to what we have been talking and we go step by step. But that is how we will proceed.

N Venu

But having said that, our effort of all these things to ensure that we improve on everything, all KPIs, right. So, that's exactly our endeavor. Of course, subject to market conditions.

Varun BasrurJulius Baer

All right, sir. Yes, thank you. Thank you for that.

Moderator

Thank you. As that was the last question for today, I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. N. Venu for closing comments. Over to you, sir.

N Venu

So, thank you very much for taking time from your busy schedule and attending our conference call. And thank you for your trust and faith. And we are really looking forward to receiving your feedback. If you need any information, please do not hesitate to reach out to us, and we are happy to engage. And thank you, and take care, stay safe.

19/19

Moderator

Thank you, members of the management. On behalf of Hitachi Energy India Limited, that concludes this conference. We thank you for joining us. And you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.