Railtel Corporation Of India Limited

FY2024 Q2

2023-10-27 Transcript PDF
Bala Murali Krishna

Rai!Tel Corporation of India Limited October 27, 2023 So Edge data center, the RFP is already floated and we are likely to close it in another maybe two months. It is already in the process and regarding the order book, as I already told you, during my address, it is around £NR5, I 00 crores as on date. Then regarding subscriber added during this quarter is around 25,000 in RailWire. And total broadband connection at right now? Roughly around 5.6 lakhs. Okay. Thank you so much, sir. Yes. Thank you. Thank you. The next question is from the line of Mr. Bala Murali Krishna from Oman Investment Advisors. Please go ahead, sir. Could you give an update on this Kavach part? We are supposed to tag with one OEM after getting the approval from RDSO. Is there any update on that? So as on date, there is nothing new on that, but we have in fact spoken to a couple of Kavach OEMs and there is one more change in that. Now new Kavach applications will be implemented with L TE only, whereas the earlier one was not with L TE. So there is going to be some time before the tenders are out and we expect another three to four months before the tenders will be floated by the railways. So this is an update. And L TE part, we are already working with the OEMs that how can it be implemented. We now are setting up a center of excellence also for Kavach with L TE, wherein we will be collaborating with the industry to work out solutions. So, sir, by introducing this L TE, so we are anticipating around the 4.000, 5,000, so the opportunity for Rai!Tel in this Kavach wallet. So what could be the opportunity if we include LTE also? L TE, I think I have already given an anticipation number lru.t time also that \\e should be having around 4,000 to 6,000, which you have already said. And we may optimize and bring it to even INR 10,000 crores to INR12,000 crores kind of business over next five to six years. So that we still are hopeful of getting, but the tenders have to come out And this is going to take time because this is not a matured technology. So there will be continuous evolution. Okay, sir. And one more on the telecom side, there is some uptick in margins. So what contributed for this uptick and going forward how we can put the margin trajectory in telecom sector? You're talking of, just a minute, can you please repeat your question? In the telecom segment, there is some increasing improvement in the margins. So what is the reason for this improvement and going forward how we can see this telecom segment margins? V Page 4 ofl2 IWI.JB. <

Sanjai Kumar

Rai!Tel Corporation of India Limited October 27. 2023 So our EBIT is around 24% right now. And you're talking of Wi-Fi or telecom business? Telecom. Overall, we are maintaining around 24% and we hope that we will continue with that. There may be small aberration here or there, but we are continuously trying to basically shift higher to our own network. So that will certainly will give us some boost. Secondly, we are also now penalizing our last mile service providers with penalties on SLA accounts. So that reduces our expenses also. Thank you. The next question is from the line of Mr. Sanjesh Jain from ICICI Securities. Please go ahead, sir. Yes, good afternoon, sir. Thanks for taking the question. First, again on the telecom services, this quarter around the revenue growth was just 4. 7%. I think the anticipation of the revenue growth in this segment was 10% to 12%. Is there any one-off or any reason you can elaborate for the slower revenue growth in this quarter? There's no one-off. But there is certainly price pressure on telecom side is there. Overall, even country is growing at NLD segment. Country is also growing at around 5 to 6% only. And 5G storage is also not getting backed faster as was anticipated. And it's going to take time because 5G use cases are not coming up the way expected. But yes, in future, when the 5G story gets through, the revenue growth in telecom segments will happen. Because telcos were expected to have more number of towers co-located with us. But that kind of momentum is yet to come. We are continuously in touch with telcos who will take our tower co-location. That would have given certainly a flip to our telecom growth and margin as well. So is it fair to assume that until the 5G pickup shows up, the revenue growth will be in a mid­ single digit for the telecom services? No, I still expect that our overall telecom revenue will grow at around 10% to 12%. Okay. But this quarter, it was significant... This quart.:r, yes. It seems to be muted because of the tariff. There was a pressure on tariff from the customer side, coming customers. In that case, that will continue for the full year, right, whatever the renegotiation has happened ... So tariff decision once in a year. Generally, it happens in the beginning of the quarter. But this time, it happened in the middle of the year. But still, I see that the growth of the telecom side will happen. We are also basically finding new ways how to maintain this growth momentum of 10% to 12%. And we are sure, we are tweaking our tariffs. We are even dark fiber and tower co­ locations.

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Sanjesh Jain

Rai!Tel Corporation of India Limited October 27, 2023 We have revised our tariffs so that the - because of the prices in telecom industries have been lowest in the world. And after 5G coming in, the pressure of capital expenditure on telecos has increased even more. So then we have to support them with the reduced tariffs. Otherwise, they might crumble. So that is the thing. So I think it should remain there. I 0% to 12% growth guidance should continue. Overall, a period of year, annual, if we see some longer period time. Got it. And on the margin, last year also. this Q2 was, I think, reasonably high in terms of margin. And then it tapers off. This time, you believe it is different and margin should stabilize at these levels? As you said, you have some cost-driven measure? And a related question to that, you said that you are shifting some of the traffic from off-net to on-net. But that will also involve a capex, right? Because we need to lay the fiber. We would have gone to somebody else because we don't have established fiber there. So should we look at capex in that sense? See, capex we have been doing. But due to COVID,-the capex thing got delayed. So we had to hire some capacities from other vendors also to provide the SLA compliance. Now, as our network has come up, so we are basically now rehiring those capacities. So that is also resulting in some efficiency. So how much have you spent in this year and what is the plan for the full year from the capex side? Capex side, we are contemplating around INR180 crores. Of course, not completely on the network side. We are adding to data center, laying some OFC also, and that power bank and all that. So roughly around INR 180 crores. Now, ifl recall very properly what we spoke earlier, we said that the margins in telecom business has structurally come down because our fiber, which have now become old, have seen an increased repair and maintenance. Is there change in that commentary? I think, we have reduced our margin guidance earlier. I don't think, we have spent significantly on replacing the fiber. .. If you recall the older numbers, our margins used to be in 30% plus. Now, that correction has already taken place and we will continue with that kind of activity. But that is not a new factor now at this point of time. That we have already taken care of. More kind of EBIT margin should continue for the rest of the year. Will that be a fair assumption? Sorry? This 24% margin should sustain for the remaining six months? I hope so. I have no doubt. Okay, that is great. Second on the project business, what is leading to a spurt? ls it more ofVSS getting delivered or which project is driving a higher growth in the project business for us this quarter? Page 6 of12 &.r RAIIJB. <

Sanjai Kumar

Rai!Tel Corporation of India Limited October 27, 2023 We have a couple of good projects where margins are also good. We are making one data center for C-DAC, for Government oflndia, through C-DAC. That is one project. And VSS, of course, is one of the projects which is also getting rolled out. So, these two projects, of course, have contributed to projects. And what should be a realistic assumption of a project revenue for FY '24? I think, we remain committed to what we said last time around INRl,400 crores to INRl,500 crores. INRI,400 crores to INRl,500 crores. So, that looks achievable for this year? That is the best which we will be striving for. Okay. Got it. That is all from my side and thanks for answering all the questions and best ofluck for the coming quarter. Thank you, Sanjeshji. Thank you, sir. Thank you. The next question is from the line of Mr. Viraj from Jupiter Financial. Please go ahead, sir. Yes. Good afternoon, sir. And congratulations on a good set of numbers. Thank you. My question, sir, is that this order book which we talked about INR 5000 crores, it should be executable in how much time, would be? See, there are various components in this. There are some projects which are even 10 years. There are some projects which are capital intensive. So, we will be spending and earning revenue in shorter term. So, that actually that composition keeps changing. It's very dynamic. And the kind of numbers we are sharing like INRI,400 crores to INR L500 crores of project revenue this year, we have worked out from that number only. We have -- though we have not split it into future years, but mostly out of this INRI,500 crores, roughly INR3,000 crores to INR3,500 crores would be kind of realizable in next two years to three years. Okay. Sir, my next question is on Kavach only. What will be our opportunity size and what will be our margins. Could you give some color on that? That's a difficult question now. Let us keep it pending for some more timt:. Okay. And what is our ARPU now with the RailWire subscriber mming up? ls ARPU also moving up? Yes. We are maintaining the same number, INR550. Okay. Page 7 of12

Sanjai Kumar

Rai!Tel Corporation of India Limited October 27, 2023 And, sir, this update on our venture with 3i lnfotech, any further updates on that? How is it progressing then? It's progressing well. And it has started now on field also. So, maybe another three months to six months, we should start getting more numbers and more revenues from this because all other preparations which were required are almost complete. And what will be the revenue size kicking in any? Minimum revenue is the same, INR 12 crores. But once we get good momentum from the advertisers, which now we have started seeing because this is, first of its kind in the world, in any Wi-Fi ecosystem. Sony, it was INR14 crores, not INRl2 crores. Okay. And sir, guidance for the year, it would be closing this year with what? What revenue and be fair to assume, sir, net margin of I 0% for the year? Yes, should be close to I 0%. And the revenue would be in what range, sir? 20% to 25%. That's what the guidance we are working with, 20% to 25% kind of growth guidance. Okay. And my last question, how do you see the momentum year forward? Is the thing getting better for us? Because last time I met you, you were very optimistic about it, on cost? Regarding? How's the next year onwards? Things are going better for us with the change in economy and ... Certainly. Yes. We are very much optimistic and things are happening the way, we anticipated. That's it from my side. Good luck to you, sir. Thank you. Thank you very much. Thank you. The next question is from the line of Mr. Bala Murali Krishna from Oman Investment Advisors. Please go ahead, sir. Thanks for the follow-up opportunity. Sir, regarding the Rai!Wire incremental subscribers is very low oil quarterly basis. So, is there any further future plans to improve the subscriber base? Yes, we are actually, see, this market is very hot, \I.'.!") cutthroat, and smaller players are many times playing spoiled sports. So, we are continuous!:. in fact, getting into the granularity of the business. And we are empowering our regional teams also to act so that the decision can be taken faster at their level. We are doing every effort, at least so, in this business. It's not only growth, but sustaining the numbers is also equally importart. Page 8 of12 ~ RAIUEI. 1

Dhvani Shah

Rai!Tel Corporation of India Limited October 27, 2023 So, I think that we would continue with our kind of numbers, at least this number. There would be some spike somewhere or here or there. But overall, I think we should remain in the market. And I don't see any decline. I would say, any change which is remarkable, I can say now. But yes, on an average, we'll continue with the same kind of growth, maybe a little here or there. The best part of the Rai!Wire is there is no debt. We are getting everything in advance. Okay, I understood. Thanks for the explanation. And regarding the 3i Infotech, are we recognizing its revenue in this quarter or is it still yet to come? We have started recognizing revenue already. I think it's directly inside the bottom line. There is no investment in it. Yes. Okay, thank you. Thanks a lot. Thank you. The next question is from the line of Ms. Dhvani Shah from Investec. Please go ahead, ma'am. Yes, just a couple of questions. First, if you can give the breakup ofNLD, ISP, and IP revenues in telecom? So, the breakup is NLD is INR147 crores, ISP is INRI 11 crores, IP! is INR51 crores. Then railway projects and other projects put together is INR290 crores. Another question was that you all have guided for EBIT margins of 5% to 6% in the project business for this year. And in this quarter, we've achieved around 8% EBIT. So, going forward, the margin should come off given that these new projects are coming at lower margins, is that assumption correct? See, this is an opportunity which decision you have to take at the moment when you see that the competition is high or low. So, sometimes we get good margins, sometimes we get even lower margins. But we feel that I'll continue with the same statement that we'll average out to around 5% to 6% on an average. The guidance will remain the same. Understood. And your employee cost has come off a bit in the quarter. Will there be certain performance related payments coming in the next half of the year? Employee cost is almost the same. Maybe some perks here or there. Last time, it was INR52.37 . Now, it is INR51.59. So, there may be some one-off expense. Otherwise, it is the same. There is no contributory factor which I can point out. Okay. And just a last question on telecom. In Telecom Q2 is supposed to be seasonally stronger given you all have some invoicing. Did that stand true for this quarter? Or is there any shift in the invoicing? Because the revenues came in a little softer hut the margins were higher. So, is there any shifting or how should we see this going forward'' Page 9 of12

Sanjai Kumar

Rai/Tel Corporation of India limited October 27. 2023 I told you that there was some revision on tariff with some customers. So, that may be the only reason. There is no other reason as when I was answering to questions asked by other investors also. Otherwise, and then, yes, Wi-Fi income has also contributed to this. In the North-East region, there was some chum-out also during the last quarter because of unrest in Manipur and those areas which had affected to some extent. That was also one small contributor, you can say. But otherwise, there is no perceptible contributes. Thank you so much. Thank you. Thank you. The next question is from the line of Mr. Vishal from IDBI Capital Markets arid Security Limited. Please go ahead, sir. Yes, sir. Sir, a couple of questions from my side. First, as per the footnotes, we have mentioned that the ECL provision of roughly like INRIO-odd crores, that is not required. So, the INR 10 crores reversal has happened for this quarter or it is for which period, sir? Yes. See, we have further corrected, rather I would say a minor correction we have done. Earlier, we were taking three years for counting ECL. Now, we have corrected it to five· years on a realistic basis because most of the projects, five years were more realistic. So, that correction has taken place. But otherwise, impact is not much. We have not taken any reversal during this quarter. Okay. So, INRI O crores is for quarter I, not for this quarter, right, sir? INR 10 crores is from quarter 2. So, it is quarter 2, we have not reversed, right? No, we have not. We have not reversed anything in quarter 2. Okay, got it, sir. And second, sir, as per ... Vishal, the ECL was INRIO crores in quarter 2 and quarter I, it was INR16 crores. INR6 crores improvement. Okay. So, for the first half, roughly INR26-odd crores in this particular financial year, right, sir? Yes. Okay. Second, sir, capex, if we look at in first half, is a little bit on higher side for in the first half. So, how do you see this full year panning and will it be possible, like, where exactly this capex spending is happening in any colour that you can provide, sir? Again, the same, INR180 crores which \I.: were targeting . So, fortunately, we have spent now in the first half, 130. So, another INR5ll c:rores should be coming out. You want to break up? Yes. RAftta. ~

Sanjai Kumar

Rai!Tel Corporation of India limited October 27, 2023 No, no. So, basically, it is particularly coming only from telecom side and any particular? Telecom and data centre. Yes. And some other sector they complete power supply, then some OFC replacement, small quantities and all that. Okay, okay. Got it. And you clarified that, your full year guidance for doing like 20% to 25% revenue growth. But, I mean, I was just doing some bit of working that if we do like 1400 to I 500 crore revenue in project side and maybe a steady state number of 5% to 10%, then our growth number could be more than 30 odd percent at a company level. So, I mean, are we conservative in guiding or how one should see that, sir? I won't comment much on this. But, yes. 20%-25% is what we are anticipating. Realistic. Okay. Got it, sir. Right. Maybe one last thing from my side. I think you did just touched upon the modem train control system. So, for our set of vendors or equipment suppliers, so RDSO approval were pending. So, when do you see the timeline of getting that approval? See, OEMs have already got it. It's not that no approvals have come and we have spoken even a couple of those OEMs whose products have been approved by RDSO. But the challenge is now the requirement is that it should happen with L TE, which was not the case in the earlier tenders which are already under implementation . So, kind of -- that change will require some more time for new tenders to get floated. So, that is why I told you initially also, earlier also, that this is a new technology and it will take some more time to mature. And that's why we are cautious. We don't want to indulge somewhere we get stuck. But we are certain that this technology is going to be there and it is going to mature. The kind of push given by Honourable Minister will certainly expedite the process. And not only that, we will be in position to export the technology as well. Okay. So, in terms of our set of vendors, can you name like the three approvals which RDSO has given? I mean, like, who are they? HBL, Medha and Camex. These are the three OEMs. Okay. HBL, Medha and Camex. No, but these vendors, they already have tie-up with some system integrators. But for our I mean like, set of equipment side, anything that you think can get an appro, al or probably like, we can also eye for an opportunity when these tenders come? Till now, we were not active in this segment. But we being an organization with a good number of experienced signal and telecom engineers of railways working \\ ith us, I think there cannot be any other organization which can take such projects at faster pace because of our natural connection with railways. We come from railways. So, that is wh~ that advantage certainly will accrue an upper hand vis-a-vis other system integrators.

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Sanjai Kumar

, Vishal Periwal:

Sanjai Kumar

RailTel Corporation of India Limited October 27, 2023 So. once we decide and then we have already decided and we are already in discussion with these OEMs and the OEMs whose products have not been approved. And the new technology part which is LT portion is yet to come. We are sure that we should be getting a good share from this technology in railways. Okay, sir. Maybe one last question from my side. So, any particular segment in railway capex that we are seeing a growth for us that we can capture? Maybe, RDN or earlier it was the content on demand anything that become? Not yet, not yet We are targeting but not yet. We have not yet made it part of our bucket. We will certainly announce or do so whenever the time is right Okay, okay. Sure, sir. And certainly, a lot of potential. Sure, sir. I will come back in the queue, sir. Thank yolL As there are no further questions. We would now like to conclude this earnings call. On behalf of IDBI Capital Markets and Security Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joinmg us and you may now dis<;onnect your lines. Thank.you. Page 12 of12