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RECLTD · Dec 2024 call

REC Limited earnings call

2025-02-10
Moderator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to REC Limited Q3 FY '25 Conference Call hosted by Equirus Securities. As a reminder, all participant li nes will be in the listen-only mode, and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions a f t e r t h e p r e s e n t a t i o n concludes. Should you need assistance during this conference ca ll, please signal an operator by pressing star, then zero on your touchtone phone. Please note t hat this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Shreepal Doshi from Equir us Securities. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Shreepal Doshi

Hi. Good morning, everyone. Thank you, Neerav, for passing on t he call. We welcome you all to the Earnings Conference Call of REC Limited to discuss the 3 Q performance of the company and the business update. We have with us the senior man agement of the company, represented by Mr. Vivek Kumar Dewangan, Chairman and Managing Director; Mr. Vijay Kumar Singh, Director of Project s; Mr. Harsh Baweja, Director o f Finance; and Mr. Mohan Lal Kumawat, Executive Director Finance. Without taking much ti me, I'll hand over the call to CMD, sir, for his opening remarks, post which, we can open the forum for question and answers. Over to you, sir.

Vivek Kumar Dewangan

Good morning, everybody. Our Q3 results were declared on 6th of February. I hope that all of you must have gone through it. I would just like to highlight c ertain salient points that our disbursement has grown significantly in the first 9 months. It stands at INR1,45,647 crores. Last year, you may remember that total disbursement was INR1,61 ,462 crores. And as we are talking, our disbursement has reached to that level and still a bout 1.5 months is left. We hope that disbursement in the current financial year is going to increase substantially. Our loan assets / asset under management has grown by 14% in Q3 . Although disbursement was highest ever in Q3, that was INR54,692 crores but because o f some prepayment, the loan book has grown by only 14%, but we hope that in Q4, this loan a sset will grow between 15% to 17%. And we are quite confident that we'll be able to sustai n growth of 15% to 17% in the years to come. And that's why we are targeting that our asset u nder management will grow to about INR10 lakh crores by the end of 2030. Our significant disbursement has happened in respect of renewab le energy projects. The disbursement have increased by 79% in the first 9 months in res pect of renewable energy projects. While non-power infrastructure and logistics, it has seen growth of 30%. The profit after tax has also grown significantly by 15% to INR11,477 crores. Now coming to the cost of fund. We have been able to bring down our cost of fund to about 7.15%. The spread has increased by 12 basis points to 2.94%. Th e net interest margin has also increased by 12 basis points to 3.64%. Return on net worth is a bout 21.07%. Debt-to-equity ratio is 6.38 times and capital adequacy ratio is 25.33%. O u r N e t N P A h a s c o m e d o w n t o 0 . 7 4 % a n d g r o s s N P A h a s c o m e d o w n to 1.95%. Here, I would like to inform all of you that there are 4 operating asse ts where we are expecting good resolution because bidding has already been completed in the as pect of KSK Mahanadi, where we are likely to recover 154% with respect to the principal amount. Reversal is likely to happen about INR908 crores, more reversal will happen. In respect of Sinnar Thermal project in Nashik, recovery with respect to prin cipal is about 52.65%. Again, there also, we are going to get reversal of provisioning amount ing to about INR761 crores. Third, operating asset is Hiranmaye project where recovery with respect to principal is going to be about 82.75% and reversal o f provisioning would be about INR440 crores. And Bhadreshwar, reversal of provisioning is likely to happen to about INR 42.59 crores. In all these operating 4 assets, our reversal of provisioning w ould be about INR2,200 crores. And most of the assets, these are the operating assets, resolut ion are likely but NCLT order may take some time. Order may come or may not come in Q4, may g o to the next financial year also. But by December 2025, all this reversal will happen. With these few words, we have a small presentation. If you all agree, we'll go through the presentation.

Supreet Pandya REC

Good morning, everyone. We'll take you ahead with a brief prese ntation about REC. The presentation has also been uploaded on the Stock Exchanges. We' ll take you through the presentation, which contains REC’s journey over the last 5 deca des from where we have grown from a company registered with NBFC with RBI in 1998 to a Maharatna entity in 2022. Also in 2024, where we have been appointed as National Program Implementing Agency for PM Surya Ghar Muft Bijli Yojana a nd in 2024 we also did our mai den yen bond issuance of JPY61 billion and the USD Green bond issuance of $500 million. REC key strength remains to be that it is a Maharatna company a nd a strategic player in the Indian power sector and infrastructure and logistics sector wit h a diversified asset base and robust access to diversified funding sources. REC occupies a st rategic position in the growth and development of the power sector and a major player in renew able energy segment and creation of India's green energy corridor. REC has a very healt hy asset quality with adequate provisioning coverage ratio. REC has strong fundamentals and pr ofitable business with stable margins leading to strong profitability. On the ratings front, REC commands highest domestic ratings of AAA, which is from all the 4 major rating agencies in India. And internationally, we are at par with the Sovereign Rating of India and enjoy Baa3 rating from Moody's, BBB- rating from Fitc h and BBB+ rating from Japan Credit Rating Agency. We are the nodal agency for major G overnment of India's power sector programs such as RDSS, Saubhagya, Deendayal Upadhyaya Gram Jyoti Yojana, rooftop solar programs to name many. We have an experienced and managem ent team with sector expertise. REC is among the coveted few Indian PSUs, which enjoy a Maharat n a s t a t u s , w h i c h i s t h e highest rank for top-performing PSUs in India. We are only amon gst the 14 PSUs, which have been accorded this status. This Maharatna status allows us grea ter operational and financial autonomy. It also allows us strategic investments by incorporat ing JV, subsidiaries and M&A activities in India and abroad. It also helps us in acceleratin g growth and supporting government's vision for the power sector. REC has also diversified into loan portfolio with a mandate of up to 33% loans in non-power infrastructure and logistics sector, where we have been funding t o m e t r o , p o r t , w a t e r w a y s , airport, oil refinery, roads and highways, IT infra, fiber opti cs, steel infra and also health sector. We will take you ahead to the shareholders' outlook. As of 31st December 2024, we continue to be held majorly by Power Finance Corporation of Ind ia at 52.63%. The FPI and FII continue to hold more than 20% in REC since IPO in 2008 and still hold 21.74% in REC. The insurance companies hold 4%. Individual, HUF, NRI hold 10.5 8%.The mutual funds and AIFs hold almost 9%. The corporate bank FIs are holding 1.7% of REC equity and others are holding 0.23%. Some of the largest shareholders in REC include, apart from Power Finance, are Government of Singapore, HDFC Trustee Company, Nippon Life India Asset Trustee, Life Insurance Corporation of India, NPS Trust of Aditya Birla Sun L ife Pension, SBI Life Insurance Company, SBI Quant Fund, Vanguard Total International S t o c k I n d e x F u n d a n d Tata AIG, general insurance company. On the dividend front, we have declared the third interim divi dend for Q3 FY '25 of INR4.30 per share in addition to the first and second interim dividend for Q1 and Q2 of INR3.5 and INR4 per share, respectively. Aft er this third interim dividend , the total interim dividend that has been declared by REC amounts to INR11.8 per share on a face value of INR10. W e a r e a l s o h a p p y t o i n f o r m y o u t h a t R E C h a s b e e n a w a r d e d t h e Gold Shield under the financial service sector other than banking and insurance secto r, category from ICAI i.e. Institute of Chartered Accounts of India, Award for excellence in financial reporting for the financial year 2023-24. This is in addition to the various awar ds that we have been getting on the corporate governance, risk mitigation and to name many. Let us come to the operational performance for the quarter and 9 months ended. During the 9 months FY '25, REC has sanctioned INR2,71,814 crores worth of p rojects, including renewable projects of INR79,135 crores. The details of the sanc tions are available on the Slide #13 of the presentation. During 9 months ended of December 2025, REC has disbursed INR1, 45,647 crores, which is the highest ever quarterly and 9 month disbursement by REC. Thi s signifies an increase of 19% in 9 months of FY '25 over 9 months of FY '24. As per the i nitial guidance by REC, the renewable disbursement has increased by 79% during the 9 months FY '25 over 9 months FY 2024. The outstanding loan book stands at INR5,65,621 crores as at 31 st December 2024, which signifies an increase of 14% year-on-year. The renewal book has also shown a good increase of 58% from last year and stands at INR52,394 crores as of 31st December 2024. We continue to have pan-India presence across all the states in India and the state sector outstanding is close to INR4,98,444 crores and the private sector book is around INR 67,177 crores as of 31st December 2024. The Our top 10 major borrowers of REC include Tamil Nadu Genera tion and Distribution Company Limited at outstanding of INR39,670 crores; Maharashtra State Electricity Distribution Company Limited at INR27,023 crores; Tamil Nadu Po wer Generation Company Limited at INR22,249 crores, Kaleshwaram Irrigation Project Corporation Limited, INR17,911 crores; Uttar Pradesh Power Corporation Limited, INR17,732 cror es; Telangana State Power Generation Corporation Limited at INR17,242 crores; Andhra Prad esh Southern Power Distribution Company Limited at INR17,233 crores; Jodhpur Vidyu t Vitran Nigam Limited, INR15,406 crores; Telangana State Southern Power Distribution C ompany Limited at INR15,042 crores and Maharashtra State Power Generation Company Limited at INR14,813 crores. REC has a well diversifi ed asset portfolio with top 10 borrowers accounting for nearly 36% of the outstanding loans. None of the top 10 borrower accou nts for more than 8% of the total loan book, and there has been no NPAs in top 10 accounts ever. Turning to the asset quality of REC. The asset quality has impr oved as at December 2024 and the gross NPA has come down to 1.95% and the net NPA has come d own to 0.74%, primarily owing to resolution of 3 assets, which are Lanco Amarkantak, Na gai Power and Lynx with total outstanding of about INR2,778 crores. Consequent to resol u t i o n o f t h e s e N P A s , t h e provision coverage ratio stands at 61.88% as at 31 December 202 4. Category-wise ECL provisioning is also available in the presentation on Slide num ber 20. And just to again confirm, there is no NPA in the state sector. We have a provisi on of nearly 62% on the NPAs. And in addition to that, we also hold a provision of 0.73% on t he standard assets. And in addition to these provisioning, w e also have reserves available in the form of statutory reserve under Section 45IC of RBI Act and reserve for bad and doubtful debt under Section 36(1)(viia) of the Income Tax Act, amounting to INR13,134 crores and INR1,320 crores, respectively. Our current NPAs are under various stages of resolution. There are about 13 projects under NCLT with outstanding of about INR9,543 crores with provision o f 68%. While one project is also being pursued outside NCLT with an outstanding of INR1,503 crores and provision of 50%. On the borrowing profile of REC, we continue to hold the credit ratings by Moody's, Fitch and Japan Credit Agency, as already been told, and domestic rating of AAA i.e. the highest by from all the 4 major rating agencies. The perpetual debt of REC are also rated highest, AAA by CARE and CRISIL. T h e o u t s t a n d i n g b o r r o w i n g s o f R E C a s a t 3 1 s t D e c e m b e r ' 2 4 h a s increased to INR4,89,595 crores, which is an increase of 13% from year-on-year. We have access to multiple sources of funding with a mix of international and domestic sources to mee t the business growth. We are also one of the only 4 companies which are allowed to raise low -cost capital gains tax exemption bonds. During the 9 months of FY '25, we have raised funds to the quan tum of INR1,15,020 crores, which have been raised from across all the sectors, domestic as well as international. Just to throw some brief light on the financial highlights for 9 months. We have recorded the highest ever 9 months FY profit of INR11,477 crores. The total income stands at INR40,805 crores, which is an increase of 18% year-on-year. The net inter est income stands at INR14,191 crores, an increase of 24% year-on-year. The net profit for 9 m onths is at INR11,477 crores, which is an increase of 15% year-on-year. The loan book has als o reached INR5.66 lakh crores, an increase of 14%. Asset quality has improved to 0.74% from 0.82%. The net worth of REC stands at INR76,502 crores, which is also an increase of 18 % year-on-year. The capital adequacy ratio of REC is at comfortable 25.33% with Tier 1 capi tal at 22.95%. This is against the requirement of 15% by RBI. So REC is adequately capitalized . On the key ratios of REC, the yield on loan assets for the 9 months has improved from 9.9 8% from last year to 10.09%. The cost has remained stable from 7.16% last year to 7.15%. Con sequently, the interest spread has improved to 2.94% and the net interest margin have also improved to 3.64%. The return on net worth remains impressive at 21.07%. The interest coverage r atio is fairly adequate at 1.57x and the debt equity ratio at 6.38x. The profitability statement is also given on Slide #29 of the presentation. In the Q3, we have recorded profit after tax of INR4,029 crores , which is an increase of 23% f r o m t h e l a s t y e a r a t I N R 3 , 2 6 9 c r o r e s . F o r t h e 9 m o n t h s , w e h a ve recorded total profit of INR11,477 crores, an increase of 15%. This is in line with the last year's profit of INR14,019 crores. The position of balance sheet is also given on Slide #3 0 of the presentation. As already informed, the net worth has increased to INR76,502 crores, an increase of 18%. From this year, we have also given slides on the ESG at REC Lim ited. What REC is doing on the ESG front, the detail has been given in the presentation on Slide number 31 onwards. Just to give you a very quick details on the ESG front. The REC ESG policy was was approved by the Board in January 202 3. The ESG targets were assigned for quarterly compliance in June 2023. From there on, in February 2024, the new ESG-related policies were introduced and more human rights and well-being trainings were organized. In April 2024, assessment of GHG emissions of all RE C offices were completed. REC has published its first ever ESG report reference to GRI fo rmat in August 2024. And in October 2024, REC has committed to net zero in Scope 1 and 2 em issions. The details of the ESG-related activities being done by REC and what we have been targeting for the coming years is also given in the presentation. With this, we are open for the question-and-answer round and the management is happy to take the questions from the investors. Moderator Thank you very much. The first question is from the line of Shreya Shivani from CLSA. India.

Shreya Shivani

Congratulations on a good set of numbers. Sir, I have 2 questio ns. First is just wanted to understand the prepayment bit slightly better. So the repayment rate, what I was seeing, in the distribution sector for our segme nt has remained elevated for t he past couple of quarters. I'm assuming it's because of the RBPF scheme. If you can help us understand whether that scheme is contributi ng to the elevated repayment rate that we see in the distribution segment. Also, in this qua rter, it seems like the repayment rate in the gencos book, which includes the renewable, has also been elevated. So did the prepayment come from the renewable genco book? Or is it just th e elevated DISCOM prepay repayments that we are seeing that has slowed down our growth i n this quarter? That's my first question. Second, we have an exposure to an Adani plant in Jharkhand, I b elieve, which provides electricity to the neighboring c ountry. Sir, is there any conce rn that we have over there? Have we raised a provision on that asset? Or any color that you can give to us on that would be useful?

Vivek Kumar Dewangan

Thank you, Shivani, for asking a very pertinent question. You'r e right that revolving bill payment facility, we have given to the distribution companies. A lot of repayments have happened in respect of revolvin g bill payment facility. And wit h respect to generation, some renewable energy projects, some prepayments have happened becau se you know the nature of renewable energy projects. After they get commissioned in 2 to 3 years and thereafter, the promoter wants to sell off its equity and then monetize it and then go on for new projects. So that is the trend actually. You will see across all these re newable energy projects, there is t e n d e n c y t o s e l l o f f t h i s p r o j e c t . A n d w i t h r e g a r d t o A d a n i p o wer plant in Jharkhand, government of India has allowed Adani Power Generation company in Jharkhand. In case there is no offtake from Bangladesh, they can sell in domestic market. However, the repayments are happening in time, and we don't see any concern with regard to repayment from this Adani power plant. I'll request Director Finance to c orroborate on th is repayment issues.

Harsh Baweja

Actually, you might be aware that our average repayment is arou nd INR9,000 crores per month. So it is absolutely on the track. During the quarter its elf, we have got the repayment of INR27,000 crores, which is a regular repayment. And INR5,600 cr ores is towards the RBPF which is again in the regular co urse of business. This amount i s remitted by them and again, we disburse them. So it doesn't affect our loan book. The important thing was about the prepayment, which we have go t from the ACME. That is around INR2,000 crores, which is because of the fact that the c ompany has gone for the public issue IPO. So out of their proceed, it was mandatory for them t o make the prepayment to us. So that prepayment has come additionally over the regular repay ment being received during every month.

Shreya Shivani

Got it, sir. That's very useful. Sir, last one follow-up questi on on the disbursal trend. For the first time in your PPT, you have put RDSS disbursals. This is t owards that smart metering program. It's a very small number, but should we expect this se gment to start scaling up from next quarter onwards?

Vivek Kumar Dewangan

Thank you so much, Shreya. You're absolutely right. What has ha ppened that under RDSS, there are 2 components. One is loss reduction work and second i s prepaid smart meters. Our capex loan, we have sanctioned, is in respect of loss reduction work. And initially, the distribution companies have utili zed the government of India gr ant to the extent of 20%. Now the work is picking up. And we do hope that in the next year an d the subsequent year, substantial disbursement will happen in respect of RDSS loss reduction work. With regard to prepaid smart meters, this is being done by AMI SP service providers, those private players who have won the bids for installation of prepa i d s m a r t m e t e r s . T h e y a r e installing in TotEx mode. So they are seeking loan from us, and we already sanctioned about INR7,000 crores loan to these prepaid smart meter operators. Th at also is likely to pick up in the next 2 years. I'll request Director Projects to give more color to it.

Vijay Kumar Singh

So I think in RDSS, we have done 2 types of funding. One is called counterpart funding, which is 40% remaining capex amount. 60%, you know that it is coming from government of India grant and 40%, some of the discounts have availed now. So that funding we have done. We have also done a funding which we call, I mean, interim funding , I suppose DISCOM is receiving these grants slightly late, but they have to continue with their capex program. So we have supported them ev en for 60% with the condition that whenev er they get the grant, they repay that. These 2 types of funding is under RDSS, as CMD sir said that w e are also supporting AMISP. We have done large projects for Gemstar, some INR4,500 crores. We have also done I n t e l l i S m a r t a n d t h e r e a r e o t h e r p r o p o s a l s a l s o o n o u r d e b t , w hich are currently under evaluation. So definitely, I mean, this is one area where, in fact, we were saying this in the past t h a t f r o m t h i s y e a r o n w a r d , t h i s p a r t i c u l a r s e g m e n t w i l l p i c k up. We'll see disbursement happening going forward as well.

Moderator

Next question is from the line of Avinash Singh from Emkay Global.

Avinash SinghEmkay Global

Two questions. The first one is that on conventional generation . The good news there, what I see is that Mahagenco has already floated a tender even for fin ancing of its unit 11 and 12 at Koradi. That is nearly INR10,500 crores kind of a loan requirem ent and it particularly suits into your kind of a borrower criteria. The question here I have is that, okay, I mean, it's a great thing that finally things are mov ing in state utility sector in thermal. But in that bid document, they are kind of what they have said is the interest rate under 9 % . N o w - - a n d t h i s p r o j e c t involves nearly kind of a moratorium of 6 years, I mean, COD pl us 12 months and COD will be close to 5-odd years. So now with the conventional thermal sector, a 6-year kind of a moratorium and under 9% yield, I mean, how does it pan out for profitability if you wer e to fund this one? So that is -- and if this is the case, I mean, across the most state utilitie s, if they -- as and when more and more projects come for financing, then do you see kind of a pre ssure on your margins emerging? Because, I mean, these are conventional projects with long gestation period on moratorium. So this is -- that is where I would like to hear your thought. Second one is more kind of on data. If I look at Slide 21, and you mentioned, including Lanco Amarkantak, there were 3 assets that got resolved. I guess there is some kind of a mista ke here in your -- NCLT is still saying 13 projects where the outside NCLT is saying just one, w here if I recall correctly, all these 3 were kind of under NCLT. And also, if I try to use the PCR of 68% and 50% are 2 categories as given on Slide 21, the total PCR is going up. So there is something, I mean, I guess, miss here. So these are my 2 questions.

Vivek Kumar Dewangan

Thank you, Avinash. Let me first handle the second question tha t you asked. Out of these 13 projects in NCLT, 7 projects are heading towards liquidation ac tually. And the remaining 6 projects, their bidding has already completed. So that's what I want to clarify that liquidation process, it does take some time, but we have already made 100% provisioning in respect of those assets. With regard to your question on conventional generation biddin g by Mahagenco, we are evaluating this aspect actually. We are in discussion with Powe r Finance. Actually, normally, the conventional generation business, we share equally with Pow er Finance Corporation. And this specific request that in the bid document that they have m entioned, may not be feasible that we are in discussion. I'll request my Director Project to answer this question.

Vijay Kumar Singh

So sir, there's a very large pie. I mean many projects are line d up under thermal generation category, close to 50,000, 55,000 megawatt of projects that wil l come under state sector utility, and we are targeting close to 50% of that particular business. So we do understand that some of the business, there may be competition like in case of Korad i and what we understand in case of Koradi also that the bid is not submitted perhaps by a lender, but by a syndicator, who, in turn, will actually secure loan now arrange loan from banks. But having said that, I mean, there are big opportunities available for us. In 1 or 2 states, we do see this kind of things happening. But then as you know that la st year, we did 8,500 megawatts of greenfield thermal generation. This year also, we have done 3,700 megawatts already. And of course, we will be targeting a few more projects under therm al generation category. But the size of the business available in this particular segment is to o large. And obviously, other players will definitely chip in.

Vivek Kumar Dewangan

As the central electricity authority that is taken out of the M inistry of Power, already made projection for optimal generation mix. And since renewable ener gy is intermittent in nature and the base load comes from the thermal power coal-based therm al power only, the country will require 80 gigawatt to abo ut 94 gigawatt capacity by the y ear 2032. You know that our market share, REC's market share is about 20%. So we are target ing minimum 20% of this opportunity, which is going to be open for us.

Avinash SinghEmkay Global

Sir, the question was more that do you see t hese ki nd of proj ects getting funded at a 9% or under 9%? Because I mean, these are long gestation period, you have to provide 6-year moratorium. These are not renewable. So question was more on th e rates. I mean, do you see these rates being kind of a viable -- and particularly, if this kind of a rate pressure comes in more and more state utility project, will that put a pressure k ind of on your margins? That was the question. And related to that also here, despite being a brownfield proj ect, this is like the capex or rather cost envisage is like INR10 crores per megawatt. So I mean, yes , so is that the thermal power generation cost also kind of increasing kind of create some kin d of doubt over the viability of the project?

Vivek Kumar Dewangan

Yes. In fact, greenfield coal-based power plant project cost ha s now increased about INR12 crores to INR13 crores per megawatt. But since some already bal ance of plant facilities are there, they have made a projection of INR10 crores per megawatt . That's correct. But with regard to pressure on interest rate, I think it will get stabil ized because the expectation is that our renewable energy projects is like that. I don't think that renewable coal-based power plant will not be able to command the same interest that REC projects are generating.

Vijay Kumar Singh

So I mean this definitely is something which we also need to, I mean, closely watch. But then this is one of the transactions. But if you look at remaining t ransactions, 90% of other funding, where there are no such pressures. We do expect such things to happen in 1 or 2 projects in 1 or 2 states or 3 states. But in other states, this kind of situation as of now, it does not exist. And we believe that this is a one-off transaction.

Avinash SinghEmkay Global

Okay. On that NPA Slide 21, just I wanted clarification because last quarter, you had 13 under NCLT and 3 got resolved. So now left after from this quarter, i t is 10 under NCLT or still 13 are still under -- because your Lanco Amarkantak and 2 other yo u mentioned that you have already resolved.

Vivek Kumar Dewangan

Actually, what has happened that although the bidding has been completed like KSK Mahanadi, Sinnar, Hiranmaye, Bhadreshwar etcetera, but final order has not yet been issued by NCLT. That's why about 6 operating assets are there, 7 are unde r liquidation process. So 13 is correct figure, 13 are under NCLT for resolution.

Moderator

Next question is from the line of Shweta from Elara Capital PLC.

Shweta

Congratulations on a good quarter. Sir, a couple of questions. If we look at quarter-on-quarter basis, yields have slightly risen and this has been pretty cons istent now for past 3 quarters in a row. But if I look at the mix, t hat has remained largely steady . So any particular asset or segment that is contributing to that? And a related question, s o now we are 12% private sector asset exposure, so could you just provide some color on what ki nd of renewable private assets we are looking at? And if any other major exposure on the priva te sector side? That's question number 1. Question number 2, so just a clarification. So you mentioned i n your opening remarks that the write-backs now across these 3 assets, KSK, Hiranmaye and Sinna r is around INR2,200-odd crores but earlier you had mentioned INR1,500 crores. So I also recall, you also mentioned about recoveries coming in higher. So if you could just clarify the numbers for the sake of convenience.

Vivek Kumar Dewangan

Thank you, Shweta. You're right that our exposure to state sect or has come down from 89% to 88% and the exposure to private sector increased from 11% to 12 %. There is not substantial increase. But a number of renewable energy projects we have san ctioned for the private sector where disbursement is going to happen in the current financial year and next financial year. The share of private sector lending is 12%. It will gradually i ncrease to 30% by the end of 2030. As more and more disbursal in respect of renewable energy projects takes, the share of private sector will increase because most of the renewable ener gy projects, which we have sanctioned are in respect of private sector. And with regard to what kind of renewable energy projects we a re sanctioning for private sector are solar, wind, hybrid solar wind projects where PPAs a re already in place, the solar module manufacturing units, wind turbine manufacturing units, t he storage solution, battery energy storage, pump storage projects, green hydrogen, green ammonia. So we are covering the entire gamut of renewable energy projec ts when we are sanctioning and most of them are coming in the private sector. With regard to w rite-backs, reversal of provisioning in respect of these 3 operating assets; KSK Mahana di, Sinnar Thermal and Hiranmaye. In the last con call, we had mentioned that our writ e-backs we were expecting INR1,500 crores to INR2,000 crores. But now the bidding is over . So we come to the correct figure. So now the total reversal is going to be about INR2,200 crores.

Harsh Baweja

Of which, INR351 crores has already been done.

Vivek Kumar Dewangan

Yes. For KSK Mahanadi, INR351 crores has already been factored in this quarter, Q3 itself because NCLT had allowed that the amount which was lying in the TRA to the tune of at that point time INR6,500 crores was to be distributed among the lend ers. That amount has already been distributed among the lenders.

Shweta

So then the Yield increase is attributable to?

Harsh Baweja

Sorry, I couldn't get your question. Can you repeat it?.

Harsh Baweja

Actually, this is regarding the composition of the disbursement . So our generation rates are a little bit on a higher side. So the disbursement towards the ge neration sector have been increased, which has resulted into higher yield during the quar ter itself. It is not because of the reset. It is a routine feature. That is what I'm saying.

Vijay Kumar Singh

It is largely because of the disbursement happening in a segmen t where we are charging a little higher as compared to other things like, for example, generation, thermal generation.

Moderator

Next question is from the line of Dipen Shah, an individual investor.

Dipen Shah

Yes. I had a couple of questions. Firstly, on the forex loans, which we have, the rupee has been depreciating quite a bit. So could you just give us some more i nsights on what we should expect going ahead as far as borrowing is concerned? And second ly, on the existing forex loans, which are outstanding. And the second question is, if yo u can just give us some color on how do you expect the NIMs to move over the next couple of years.

Vivek Kumar Dewangan

Okay. Thank you, Dipen for asking very pertinent question. With regard to your question on NIM, we hope to maintain the NIMs of more than 3.65% to about 3 .7%. Going forward, we'll be able to hold on to the NIM. With regard to forex loan, I'll request my director finance to give the detailed reply. But let me assure you that 99% of forex loan are already hedged. So there' s not much concern. I'll request director finance to give more color on this forex loan.

Harsh Baweja

Sure. Our foreign loan outstanding is around INR1,59,000 crores , o f w h i c h F C N R i s INR43,000 crores and external co mmercial borrowing ECB is INR1, 1 5 , 0 0 0 c r o re s . A n d o u r 99% loans are very much hedged. And as you know that since REC has a treasury team that keep on reviewing the hedging margins, so on that basis, we are regularly reviewing our portfolio. And in case if any remedial action is needed to be taken, that is always taken on well in time. So again, since this is a recent phenomena, the rupee devaluati on is recent phenomena. So we are working on that. And whatever the best action would be requ ired would be taken immediately.

Moderator

Next question is from the line of Abhijit Tibrewal from Motilal Oswal.

Abhijit TibrewalMotilal Oswal

Sir, first things first, I mean, while in your opening remarks, you've already spelled out the 4 projects. But if you could also give the breakup of this INR2,2 00 crores that we spoke about just once again, for the benefit of everyone. That is my first question. The second thing is, sir, this 9 months of this fiscal year, if you could also give the spli t of disbursements and sanctions between private and public. The thi rd and the related question to RE again is, sir, this time, we spoke about prepayments that we got from ACME and you also explained that they went for a public IPO and subsequently, it was part of their mandate to repay REC. If you could just help us understand how should we look at prepayments now from the REC -- from the RE book? Is it going to be elevated going ahead as well?

Vivek Kumar Dewangan

Yes. Thank you, Abhijit. With regard to your asset resolution q u e s t i o n , I h a d a l r e a d y mentioned that these 4 assets, KSK Mahanadi, we already got INR 351 crores reversal has already happened in Q3 because NCLT had allowed some amount lyi ng in TRA to be distributed among the lenders and the remaining. So total reco very of loan portion is going to be INR2,596 crores. And recovery with respect to principal is going to be 154%. The total reversal provisioning will happen in case in KSK Maha nadi to the tune of INR908 crores. With respect to Sinnar thermal plant in Nashik, the rec overy with respect to principal is going to be 52.65%, and our reversal of provisioning would be a mounting to about INR761.34 crores. Hiranmaye Energy, our recovery with respect to principa l is going to be 82.75% and reversal of provisioning will happen to the tune of INR440 cror es. In respect of Bhadreshwar our reversal of provisioning is going to be about INR42.59 crores. Now with regard to your question on disbursal...

Vijay Kumar Singh

So sanctions, so we are generally considering private sector sa nction only in case of renewable and in case of the distribution segment for smart meeting which we earlier spoke about. So largely under renewable, the majority of the projects are actua lly private sector projects. So whereas we are also doing some renewable energy projects in the state sector as well. In INR79,135 crores total sancti ons that we have done for renew able, which includes largely private, I believe 80% of it is towards private sector. But I t hink offline, we can provide you this breakup in the exact numbers.

Vivek Kumar Dewangan

And with regard to your question on the trend of prepayment in respect to our renewable energy projects, that is very basic nature of renewable energy projects. That will keep happening actually. It happens in respect to all the projects, actually. What is happening that the project developer, they want to monetize this is only up to the time of commissioning. After commissioning, they want to monetize their equity portion and then move forward for new projects. Would you like to add on this?

Vijay Kumar Singh

I just want to add that this is a very, very common activity. R efinancing is very active in RE space. But you might see that we are also taking over any commi ssioned assets from other which are actually financed by ot her lending institutions or fi nance through foreign funding. So for example, we have very recently done the INR2,500 crores of lending to ACME for commissioned portfolio, which actually was funded by foreign le nders, I mean it was funded through bonds. Now it is being taken over by us. So this is an activity which actually keeps happening. Likewise, I mean, there are other projects also where we have t aken over assets - commissioned assets in our portf olio through refinancing. So I mean this is an activity which keeps happening. There are a few assets which are financed by u s. They are refinanced by somebody else, but we also do the same thing. On the whole now, we have seen that it has perhaps no impact on our, on the growth of our RE loan book.

Abhijit TibrewalMotilal Oswal

Got it. Sir, and just one small follow-up on that. Sir, while w e kind of keep saying that RE majority of it is private sector projects, I mean, is the under standing correct that, I mean, despite they being private, what still gives us a lot of confid ence of doing private in RE is because all of it or most of it is PPA backed? Or they have PPAs?

Vivek Kumar Dewangan

Yes. They are all PPA backed. But let me also point out that so me large hydro projects also coming in renewable energy sector, that is coming in the state sector and PSP project, pump storage project are also coming in the state sector. Isn't it?

Vijay Kumar Singh

Yes. That's true.

Moderator

Next question is from the line of Suraj Das from Sundaram Mutual Fund. Suraj Das Yes, thanks for the opportunity. Sir, three questions. The firs t question, if I look at Slide 20. The Stage 1 and 2 PCR for the renewable segment, is showing a d ivergent trend between the private sector and the state sector in the sense, that if you l ook at the PCR for Stage 1 and 2 coverage for the state sector, it is continuously increasing for the renewable. For the last 5 quarters, it has increased to 50 basis points to 97 basis points in this quarter. While in the private sector, the trend is opposite. It is conti nuously coming down. It was as high as 1.6, it has now come down to 60 basis points. So sir, w hat is the driver, I mean what is the rationale behind this? So that is the first question. And then I have two more questions.

Harsh Baweja

Yes. Actually, we made provisions for minimum of 0.4%. So there a r e s o m e o f t h e o t h e r factors which affects the ECL working, which includes the exten sion of COD and there are market-driven factors, which is really done by our third-party consultants. We get our ECL working done by our third-party consultant. And on that basis, suppose if the things are on track, then the ECL gets reduced. And in case some riders are not being met, then the ECL gets in crease. So in case of state sector projects minimum is 0.4%, whereas it is average coming, it is around 0.75% and private sector, since most of the parameters are on track, so it is 0.55%.

Suraj Das

Okay. Understood. So, I mean, in a way, it is -- I mean the sta te sector is some -- what's seeing some kind of delays due to so many operational factors, hence, probably you were revising the ECL because that's what the case should be. Right?

Harsh Baweja

Correct.

Suraj Das

Understood, sir. And the second question is, sir, in terms of o n the signing of PPAs in renewable, a few of the news articles and all are mentioning th at there has been on ground in last calendar year FY -- calendar year '24, there has been some kind of 4 to 8 months delay in various states. Something like Gujarat, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Prad esh. So what has been your e x p e r i e n c e ? I m e a n a r e y o u s e e i n g a n y k i n d o f , l e t u s s a y , d e l ay in signing the PPAs in renewable sector? And a related question to that is, sir, in this I think recentl y, the government has said that there will be no pay for the in pump power, for the generation of in pump power. So are you going to have any kind of impact because of that, or let's say what i s the exposure towards the pure- play and the merchant power type exposure for us across sectors?

Vijay Kumar Singh

So normally, I mean, whenever we do funding, we do funding only after signing of the PPA and not only PPA, the PSC also by the DISCOMs. So when a projec t comes for funding to us, these 2 activities are already do ne, and we take up funding onl y after signing of these 2 very critical documents. There are delays in terms of signing for PP A for the contracts awarded to SECI, NTPC, NHPC with the discount. But t hose proj ects, we do not fund until the PPA is signed. So that is one. And secondly, there are now limitations on IPPs, particularly R E IPPs for selling of in pump power. Earlier, they were allowed but recently, there's a notif ication that in pump power, if at all it is there, can be supplied only to the PPA off-taker. But those kinds of things, we do not generally include in our financial model. These are incidental things they may happen, they may not happe n. And as such, because of this regulation on our financing and on our financial models al so, I mean there's going to be no impact because such a thing and such a scenario is not taken in to consideration while considering financing.

Suraj Das

Got you. Understood. And sir, last question. In terms of DISCOM health, I mean, how you are seeing that in terms of DISCOM, sir, because last year, I think fourth quarter, we saw some upgrade -- rating upgrade for the DISCOMs, and do you expect so mething similar this quarter also in the fourth quarter of this financial year that again I mean there will be some rating upgrade on the DISCOMs because they are now doing well and henc e, probably some kind of extra provision write-back coming in fourth quarter? That would be my last question.

Vivek Kumar Dewangan

Yes. DISCOM health has been improving because of implementation of RDSS because all the DISCOMs have to adhere to certain reform measures to get this G overnment of India grant. Again, new rating is likely to be issued in this month of Febru ary itself and some DISCOMs are likely to be upgraded. That's true because DISCOMs have bee n making consistent efforts to bring down their AT&C losses, to bring down government depar tment dues, legacy dues. In all the fronts, DISCOMs are taking very proactive steps. The tariff orders are getting issued in time. Filing of the tar iff petition by November, like for the next financial year, they are supposed to file their tariff petition by 30th of November 2024. 99% DISCOMs already filed their tariff petition and the t ariff order would be issued by the concern state Electricity Regulatory Commission by 31st March.

Moderator

Next question is from the line of Nikhil from Bernstein.

Nikhil

My only question is on the renewable side. Renewables, we are f acing headwinds, as was just discussed, PPAs are not getting signed, sell import restriction s have come in, transmission charges will be applicable July onwards on them. So I wanted so me color. Are you seeing a challenge to meet the long-term aspiration we have for loan boo k growth driven by renewables, given these recent headwinds? And also, is there heightened competition for banks on the same note to participate in this space?

Vijay Kumar Singh

Yes. So delay in signing of PPA by renewable energy implementing agency like NHPC, NTPC SECI is definitely delaying our funding. So to that extent, yes , the project that we can finance, say, today, it is not, we are not able to do that because the P PA is not signed. But as we mentioned in earlier question that we are taking a funding of p rojects only after signing of PPA. So non-signing of PPA is not posing any risk because we do not want a project without PPA. But delay, definitely, I mean, it will certainly have some degr ee of impact on our ability to finance such projects. I mean, otherwise, they would have come for funding little earlier. So -- and the second question?

Vivek Kumar Dewangan

Second was transmission charges.

Vijay Kumar Singh

So transmission charge, I mean, th is is something which is alre ady factored in. This is announced way back in 2020 to '23 that the trajectory of transm ission charges was taken into consideration while bidding for each of the PPA or I mean proje ct, so that is something which is not going to impact because those charges earlier, it was ni l. Now there's a graded manner in which transmission charge will be levied. And that particular e lement is already factored in by the IPPs in their quoted PPA charges, tariffs.

Nikhil

Got it. So overall, our loan book growth aspiration stays intac t, you don't see a challenge due to any of these events?

Vijay Kumar Singh

I mean if you see that we are actually in terms of disbursement , we are doing quite good. In terms of sanction, also, we will perhaps be at the same level a s we did last year. Last year, we did normally well. This year also, we are likely to touch the s ame level. And we believe that, of course, this PPA signing issue is there, but we will still b e able to do same level of funding. It is largely because of one more fact that we are not dependent on this PPA signed by all these agencies with DISCOM. We are also targeting some large ticket hydro projects and PSP projects. Hydro, you know that PPA signing is not mandatory in the beginning itself. So these are another area at which we are currently concentrating and this also is becoming part of our RE loan book.

Moderator

Next question is from Aagam Shah from Flute Aura Enterprises.

Aagam ShahFlute Aura Enterprises

I just have one question. Given that we are going towards a new income tax era where gradually all the exemptions will be removed. I just wanted you r view if Section 54 exemption is removed, what would -- how would that impact us? Do you think it's a probable event?

Vivek Kumar Dewangan

This, we have discussed with the Ministry of Finance also. This 54EC bond will continue. It is there because government wants that to incentivize these invest ors for those who are selling their real estate properties once they get capital gains, they want to save on paying this capital gain tax. This 54EC bond provision will continue going forward also. And this is the cheapest source of fund available to REC. We are paying only 5.25% inter est for this capital gains tax saving bond of 54EC bond. This is likely to continue.

Moderator

Next question is Saket Yadav from India Capital.

Saket YadavIndia Capital

Congratulations on the great set of numbers. Sir, just one ques tion around the provision this quarter. So we have taken a write-back on P&L of about INR89 cr ores, but you were mentioning earlier that we had a reversal of about INR350 crore s f r o m t h e K S K M a h a n a d i project alone. So just wanted to understand where we have to ta ke additional provisions, which brought down that write-back number to INR89 crores this quarter? And just one small clarification. Sir, you mentioned earlier th at on KSK, we expect INR908 crores of reversal of which INR3 57 crores have already been tak en. So the remaining is about INR550 crores odd. Is that understanding for us?

Harsh Baweja

Yes, you are very correct that out of INR908 crores is INR351 c rores has already been done. So as regards to the provisioning made during the quarter itsel f, it is because of the change in the PD and LGD and the incremental disbursements which have bee n done. But out of that, we have made a reversal of INR359 crores of KSK Mahanadi. So that one is there. And some of the reversal on this Stage 3 accounts that is Amarkantak, Nagai , Lynx and Konaseema was also there. So that has impacted result. And there was also change in the Stage 2. There was also change in the Stage 2 from 1% to 0.5%. So that has also given this kind of treatment. So accordi ngly, the net figure is INR89 crores, which is coming in the books of account for the quarter 3.

Moderator

Understood. Next question is from the line of Pranav Gupta from Aionios Alpha.

Vivek Kumar Dewangan

Yes. We are talking about ultra-supercritical thermal power pla nt because new power plant which are coming, they are going to be ultra-supercritical. Tha t includes FGD also. The efficiency factor for ultra-supercritical power plant has gone up to 46% as compared to the earlier one, which was having efficiency factor of 42%. And the F G D c o s t h a s a l s o b e e n included actually. That's why the cost is coming INR12 crores to INR13 crores.

Pranav Gupta

But if we exclude all of that and look at a general greenfield power plant, what would the estimated cost per megawatt be approximately?

Vijay Kumar Singh

So it all depends actually on the technology that is being depl oyed in terms of BTG, boiler turbine and generator. Nowadays, all the utilities are deployin g this ultra supercritical technology. The capex is very high. I mean they're comparativel y high. And earlier, it used to be around 8-plus FGD, it used to be around INR10 crores. So INR10 crores has become INR12 crores, but now it all depends on what is the cost of generation. So it has this additional capex being done on ultra supercritical technology is actually yielding in lower cost of generation. So that is the b enefit of putting this technology for the projects.

Pranav Gupta

Right. Basically, the PLFs get better in the new technology.

Vijay Kumar Singh

Coal consumption reduced drastically, and therefore, the cost o f generation becomes very attractive as compared to other technologies.

Moderator

Next question is from the line of Neha Agarwal from SageOne Investments.

Neha AgarwalSageOne Investments

Sir, you mentioned that solar module projects are also part of the renewable energy loan book, if I heard that correctly. So however, these projects are gener ally not backed by PPAs and typically, the order books that these plants would have would b e of 1 or 2 years. So how are we monitoring these assets and protecting ourselves from the po tential industry headwind, if there's a future scenario of overcapacity in the industry? And also, if you can highlight what percentage of our book curr ently would be the module and turbine manufacturing be? And what is the typical loan tenure that we have for such loans?

Vijay Kumar Singh

I'll take your second question first. So module manufacturing, incidentally, this quarter, we have not done. But yes, we have a portfolio of close to 6 to 7 gigawatt of module manufacturing and module manufacturing, the payback period is f aster, and therefore, the loan tenor is also shorter. So normally 8 to 10 years of funding we have done. We have done 7 years also in some case, but 10 years also in some case. So it is ranging between that particular thing. And for solar, we have done close to 8,000 megawatts of solar p roject. Whatever funding we do, we need firm tie up of solar modules from the suppliers, Ti er 1 suppliers or wherever this ALMM is applicable there the firm tie-up has to be in place at the time of almost at the time of funding or before the documentation and certainly before we make the disbursements. So I mean, that kind of risk is not there in any of our project that is financed by us that there's any issue with regard to volatility in prices of the solar module because everything is firmed up before we enter into the project and the start our funding.

Neha AgarwalSageOne Investments

When you say firm tie-up, if I may add, that generally, these t ie-ups would be for specific projects only, right? So again, the tenure would be much shorte r. And while our loan tenure is about 7 to 10 years, as you mentioned. So in that, during that period, especially in the second half of it, practically, we will not have much control on the p redictability of their utilization in the plant, et cetera, right?

Vijay Kumar Singh

So loan tenor, which we mentioned it was about the module manuf acturing facility, but in case of IPPs, who are having the solar component, there the loan ten ure is high. Generally the PPA tenor is 25 years. So all the REIAs, they are entering into PPA for 25 years, even including the state sector entities who are having this bilateral PPA with th e private sector entities are also 25 years. So wherever this 25-year PPA is there, there we are l ending close to 16, 17, 18 years of loan tenor that we are providing to these developers.

Neha AgarwalSageOne Investments

Yes. So I was actually referring to the module projects only an d not the IPP projects. Here, if you can, just one last point of mine. If you can highlight what percentage of the overall project cost do we typically finance? And what is the debt equity of such projects?

Vijay Kumar Singh

So debt requirement, generally -- the debt equity is in the ran ge of 70-30 and it goes for the top rated entity up to eve n 80-20. But generally, 70% to 80% of fun ding is around 75-25 debt equity ratio. Loan tenor, as I mentioned, for PPA around 25 yea rs, we are giving close to 16 to 18 years of funding. Project cost varies. Now if you see that plain vanilla solar pr ojects are not being auctioned, what is coming as FDRE, but we have some benchmarks for each of the technologies. So for solar, the current price is close to INR3.5 crores to INR4 cror es per megawatt. For wind it is close to INR8 to INR9 crores per megawatt. Likewise, for hybrid project, where we have solar also and wind also for FDRE project, where we have in addition to solar, wind battery also, we have benchmark prices with which we compare the project cost and then do the funding.

Moderator

Next question is from the line of Arjun Bagga from Baroda BNP Paribas.

Arjun BaggaBaroda BNP Paribas

Just one data keeping question. So what would be the repayments for the LPS scheme, sir, over the last 9 months?

Vijay Kumar Singh

Yes. LPS, we have given funding ranging from 7 years to 13, 14 years. So that was dependent on the total outstanding charges payable to the Gencos. So wher e the outstanding is lesser, the lesser tenure is given and where the outstanding is more a high er tenure is also given and the moratorium is also ranging from 1 year to 4 years. I think repayment has not started in a much, I mean, bigger way. But I think it will start in the years to come. But in some of the cases, this four years is also not completed. So even disbursements are still happening, and they are still in the moratorium period. So close to INR2,000 crores of LPS will still be disbur sed each quarter by us on which there will be moratorium continuing for up to 4 years from the date of first disbursements. But I think LPS, no major repayment is happening as of now. It will start maybe from next year onwards, where the projects will complete 1 or 2 years of moratorium.

Arjun BaggaBaroda BNP Paribas

Got it, sir. So any kind of quantum that you would have any bro ad numbers for the repayments for the next year?

Vijay Kumar Singh

Only for LPS?

Arjun BaggaBaroda BNP Paribas

Yes, sir, only for LPS.

Vijay Kumar Singh

We will have to work out that particular number depending on wh at, I mean, the overall disbursement that we have done, but I think...

Harsh Baweja

You can take it that it's around 10 to 13 years in making all t he repayments. So that is coming in the 10 to 13 years, in the equal spread on monthly basis or the quarterly basis.

Moderator

Thank you very much, ladies and gentlemen, we'll take that as t he last question. I'll now hand the conference to Mr. Shreepal Doshi for closing comments.

Shreepal Doshi

Thank you, Neerav, and thanks to all participants for being par t of the call. Special thanks to the management of the company for giving us the opportunity to host the call. Thank you, sir, and good luck for the next quarter, sir.

Vivek Kumar Dewangan

Thank you so much. Thank you all.

Moderator

Thank you very much. On behalf of Equirus Securities, that conc ludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.