SHREE CEMENT LIMITED

FY2026 Q3

2026-02-06 Transcript PDF
Moderator

Thank you very much. We will now begin the question and answer session. The first question is from the line of Rahul Gupta from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead, sir.

Morgan Stanley

Thank you for taking my question. A couple of questions. First, given you are prioritizing absolute earnings, your volumes have lagged the overall industry to some extent. Now in fact, your operating rates would be more like mid-50 utilizations. Now how should we think about your capacity expansion plans and target of 80 million tons from the next 2 years' perspective? How should we look at your volumes from the next 2 years' perspective? That's my first question.

Ashok Bhandari

Mr. Gupta, thank you for your question. Now please understand that since October '24, I had been maintaining that we will be concentrating on value over volumes. That was with a purpose. The purpose was very simple. We had a large divergence between our sales price and sales price of competitors like UltraTech. If you will notice by restraining our volumes, we have narrowed the gap from about INR30 a bag to about INR15 a bag. Now naturally, if you want to maintain discipline on pricing and narrow down the gap, you had to take the pain of sacrificing volumes. That is what we did. And I'm very happy to report that the December growth, though aided by additional demand over November, volume-wise November we sold about 2.7 m illion tons and December we sold about 3.3 million tons, and January is more or less in line with December '25. We expect the same momentum to continue with a much higher realization and it should automatically improve our capacity utilization. On the other hand, the capacity utilization will further be augmented by concentrating more and more on RMC plants, which shall give me a better geographical reach, a more logistical cost optimization and increase the volumes as well. Now coming to your second question of our declared capacity of 80 MT by FY'29. FY'29 is still far off. We are still sitting in FY'26. We shall get back to you in due course.

Morgan Stanley

Got it. So two follow-ups, sir. One, given you have narrowed the gap from INR30 to INR15, is it fair to say that you would continue to focus on reducing this further? And my second question is what would be the absolute revenues of the RMC business and how much cement your RMC would be using internally?

Ashok Bhandari

My dear friend, your first question is infructuous. You are saying that will you keep on reducing the gap? It is obvious. I'll keep on increasing my profits. So that is one part. The increase in profit mainly in cement is because of top line. The cost is more or less the same for the industry, except in a few factors. Point number two, as on date, we have 19 commercial RMC plants. We intend to take it to 45 within next 6 to 8 months, means you can easily assume that by September'26, the number of plants will increase to 45 from 19. We started RMC about 2 years back. And in 3-3.5 years, we will be achieving 45 plants. Whereas leading players in RMC like UltraTech has over the last 25 years setup to reach its current scale. So we are on track. It is very difficult for me because much depends on how the demand scenario emerges. But certainly, all my RMC plants will be using my cement and it will aid the cement quantity and capacity utilization.

Morgan Stanley

Just what would be the revenues from RMC as of now?

Ashok Bhandari

One second, I'll ask Mr. K.K. Jain to give the answer.

KK Jain

It is INR 71 crores for the quarter.

Ashok Bhandari

For the quarter, we did INR71 crores, my friend on 19 plants.

Morgan Stanley

Got it. And how much captive consumption of cement is going into RMC?

KK Jain

So 45% is the captive consumption for RMC plant for the quarter.

Morgan Stanley

Got it. Thank you. Wish you all the best.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Pinakin from HSBC. Please go ahead.

Pinakin

Yes. Thank you very much. Sir, in the September quarter the sales volume was 7.9 million tons. What would be the comparable sales volume in the December quarter?

KK Jain

8.7 million tons.

Pinakin

That would imply a roughly 7% decline in blended realization, which seems to be higher than what the peers have reported. What would be driving this decline in realization sir?

Ashok Bhandari

No. You have to do your math correctly. Please understand that my per ton realization has gone up. The blended realization, I don't know how you are calculating. If you want we will give you a detailed calculation sheet. Mr. Jajoo, CFO of the company will send you a mail or you can send him a mail asking precise question. I think you are mistaken somewhere.

Pinakin

Got it. So we were just basically dividing net revenues?

Ashok Bhandari

So that is the point. You have to be slightly careful my friend. You write a mail to Mr. Jajoo and Mr. Jajoo will give you the reply.

Pinakin

So sir, what would be the comparable Q-on-Q change in pricing for the company?

Ashok Bhandari

December '25, realization was INR 4,652. December '24 is INR 4,554. I don't have the September '25 numbers.

Pinakin

Got it. Sir, any colour on the capex for next year at this point of time? How much will the company be spending?

Ashok Bhandari

As I said, we will be adding about 26 to 30 RMC plants. And the capex expected is about INR500 crores in FY '26.

Pinakin

Sure. And sir, my last question that it looks on a per ton basis, there is a decline in power and fuel costs?

Ashok Bhandari

Obviously, there are two reasons. One is that per kilocalorie cost is lowest in the industry sitting at 1.56. And my renewable energy has kept on increasing and it has reached almost 61%.

Pinakin

Okay. So this trend should continue, right?

Ashok Bhandari

This trend, why it should not improve, my friend? You see, as far as the per kilocalorie cost is concerned, you have to understand that it is the function of international coal prices or pet coke prices. I cannot take a call there. What I can say is over the 40-year existence of this company we have always been the lowest price procurer of fuel. And that is why my fuel cost is lower. My renewable energy portfolio has kept on increasing. We are having the highest renewable portfolio today, and we have reached almost 61%, and we are trying to add 2% or 3% more. As far as Kodla, the new unit, which is due to be commissioned by March, I'll be having a Waste Heat Recovery System there, which will add up to my renewable or alternative energy. So the energy cost should logically come down if the coal and pet coke prices do not go up.

Pinakin

Got it. That’s very clear. Thank you very much, sir.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Rajesh Ravi from HDFC Securities. Please go ahead.

HDFC Securities

Hi, sir. Good evening. Sir, just a few housekeeping questions. What were the trade and blended cement share in this quarter and lead distance?

Ashok Bhandari

I will give the line to Mr. Subhash Jajoo, he will give you the answer. Subhash Jajoo: The lead distance for the quarter is 446 kilometer and the trade sale is 65%. What else you want?

HDFC Securities

Blended cement? Subhash Jajoo: Blended is also 65%.

HDFC Securities

Okay. And if I look at your fuel costs sequentially, this has come down by around INR0.10. So there is a INR50 per ton saving and your green power mix remains similar. So how is the power cost per ton at a company level? Power cost per unit. Average power blended?

Ashok Bhandari

Means bought out and renewable and waste heat recovery and everything?

Ashok Bhandari

I may not be having that data immediately. I will send you. Subhash Jajoo: We will get back to you, Rajesh, on this.

HDFC Securities

Sure, sir. Yes, certainly. And the realization for the quarter you mentioned was 4,625, right? Grey cement?

Ashok Bhandari

4,652. Yes.

HDFC Securities

4,652. So which is almost 3% - 4% decline quarter-on-quarter?

Ashok Bhandari

That is what I'm trying to figure out. The earlier, somebody had asked a similar question.

HDFC Securities

No, on a blended basis, because you don't disclose the power revenues, that is why the blended number.

Ashok Bhandari

Ravi, listen to me for 2 minutes. What I'm saying is that you write a mail to us. We will reconcile the numbers and get back to you.

HDFC Securities

Understood. And just wanted to understand, you mentioned that you'll be focused more on bridging the gap and getting a better price realizat ion. So at least on the volume, what sort of growth one should build in for this year because earlier we were looking at 37 million to 38 million tons for this year, which seems there could be a slip of 1 million to 2 million ton on the volumes?

Ashok Bhandari

So I explained. I already explained what was the rationale.

Ashok Bhandari

Mr. Ravi, please here me out fully. Number one, the demand in October and November was low that you know, which I had no control. December, the demand picked up, we have picked up more. January, the trend is similar to December. We don't find any let up in February and March because the central government budget has to be spent by 31st March, so I don't think there will be any let up in volumes. I can easily and with a great deal of confidence, say that within this quarter, we will do 9 million to 9.5 million tons. In total, yes, I will not be growing at 7% to 8%. But then that was a function of low demand, what to do. But going forward, I'm confident that we should do. You see today, the RBI governor has pointed out to a 7.4% GDP growth rate for FY '26-'27 in his MPC. And I have been maintaining that cement generally grows at 1x to 1.1x national GDP. So next year, I expect the demand to be around 7.5% to 8%.

HDFC Securities

Great, sir. And lastly, if you could share the UAE performance, which you did in last quarter?

Ashok Bhandari

It is getting better by the day.

HDFC Securities

Okay. Possible to share the volume revenue and EBITDA number?

Ashok Bhandari

I don't have the UAE numbers with me at the moment. We'll share with you.

HDFC Securities

Great sir. That's all for now. I'll come back in queue. Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Indrajit Agarwal from CLSA. Please go ahead.

Hi sir, thank you for the opportunity. Couple of questions.

Ashok Bhandari

I'm sorry I missed your name.

Indrajit Agarwal from CLSA. Sir first, on pricing, can you indicate how the trends have been so far in January and heading into February.

Ashok Bhandari

As I said, the December pricing was much better, and the same trend is continuing. We don't see any let up in demand because of the central government compulsion of exhausting the budget within this quarter. So if demand is good, the pricing will remain good. As a matter of fact, as we have been focusing and we have been reducing the delta between our price and UltraTech price. I expect the same trend to maintain maybe at a slower pace because I'll be doing volumes now also.

And sir, secondly, do you think that from now on, we will continue to grow ahead of industry or largely in line with industry at least?

Ashok Bhandari

Let us say, if I want to push volume, then I have to sacrifice price, isn't it? Both don't go hand in hand. So it is a calculated equilibrium game, which we have to play. And as the scenario emerges, we'll keep on updating you. As on date, I expect no let up in demand and no let up in pricing.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Jashandeep Singh Chadha from Nomura. Please go ahead.

Jashandeep Chadha

Thank you so much sir for the opportunity. I won't trouble you much sir. Just a couple of quick questions. Firstly, sir, Shree Cement has been operating in multiple regions. I wanted to understand the basic understanding of how all these regions are performing? Not necessarily from Shree perspective, but from industry perspective?

Ashok Bhandari

Can we be at divergence with the industry region-w ise? So we will be in line with the industry only. Exactly how much Shree has sold in each region of its capacity, the number I'm asking Mr. K.K. Jain to share with you. That in this regi on, we say Shree's capacity is 100, then region- wise, how much we have sold in this quarter. And that should be roughly the line of operation of all pan-India cement companies. For regional companies, it's not comparable. So I'm asking Mr. Jain to give you the reply.

K.K. Jain

Yes. In North region, the sale is 53 lakh tons, East 23 lakh tons and South 11 lakh tons. And in percentage term, it is 61% in North, East 26% and South 13%.

Jashandeep Chadha

Thank you so much sir. This is very valuable information. But I was also looking from January and going ahead, which region you are seeing uptick coming in volume demand?

Ashok Bhandari

What is the date today my friend? It is 6th of February. Let the January numbers come to me.

Jashandeep Chadha

Okay, sir. Once they are out, I'll reach out. Sir, second question. I understand on per kilo calorific value, Shree Cement has been the lowest and will continue to be the lowest. But with pet coke international prices going on, what kind of impact will be on the cost for fourth quarter? Any sense can give us?

Ashok Bhandari

Please understand that nothing stops me from changing from coal to petcoke or petcoke to coal. I have multi-fuel burners. This is a constant ex ercise which my purchase people do, that which mix gives them the best landed fuel cost. I am not at all concerned with international prices. I am concerned with landed cost of fuel because that is the actual cost to me. So, this is a constant exercise. As on date, we are at 1.56 per kilocalorie. It may remain same for January, but it may go up in February and March. In any case, I don't think it should increase to1.80, which is my peer group fuel cost.

Jashandeep Chadha

Understood, sir. And thank you for that. Just one last more of a clarification. If I can understand from your previous, answer to the previous question. You are expecting 7 to 8% Y-o-Y growth for the industry, and Shree Cement will largely be in line with the industry. Is my understanding right, sir?

Ashok Bhandari

Your understanding is correct, with a caveat that we had generally grown better than the industry. Last one year you leave, because that was with the strategy of narrowing the gap between the selling prices. But once we have achieved that, then probably we may grow better than the industry also. But let the time tell its own story.

Jashandeep Chadha

Sure, sir. Thank you so much and all the best for the future, sir. Thank you.

Ashok Bhandari

Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Shravan Shah from Dolat Capital. Please go ahead.

Dolat Capital

Yes, thank you, sir. Sir, two questions. First, in the last con-call Q2, you highlighted that investors should look at the Shree Cement from th e consolidated perspective. But in last two quarters, you have shared the UAE volume, and this time, this is not part of the press release. And also post the call, when we try to connect with the CFO, sir, Mr. Jajoo, he is not ready to share the numbers. So, how can one look at these things? This is first part.

Ashok Bhandari

One second. Now let me stop you here. One second. Do you mean to say that we have not published consolidated numbers?

Dolat Capital

No, volume, I'm saying the volume?

Ashok Bhandari

Wait a minute, no, one second. So, please go through the results. I don't think you have gone through the results. Please go through the results. Standalone is there, consolidated is there. And you very well know how to calculate UAE from the two numbers. So, what are we trying to say? You try to make simple things difficult at all the times whenever we receive your call.

Dolat Capital

Sorry, sir. When did I make it difficult?

Ashok Bhandari

Let us not argue on this. You ask your second question.

Dolat Capital

Yes, sir. What's our clarification on the MC A investigation that is on under section 210?

Ashok Bhandari

It is a routine inquiry. They have asked for information; the information has been shared. Now, they have not come up with any report. So, what do I do?

Dolat Capital

Okay, no issue, sir. Sir, road rail mix for this quarter and fuel mix for this quarter?

Ashok Bhandari

Mr. Jajoo will give you. Subhash Jajoo: Road-rail is 88% and 12%.

Dolat Capital

And fuel mix, petcoke and coal? Subhash Jajoo: It's 76% petcoke, 6% coal, and balance is alternative fuels.

Dolat Capital

And capex till now how much we have done for FY? Subhash Jajoo: Till now, we have done around INR1500 crores. And another INR400-INR500 crores is to be done in this quarter.

Moderator

May we request that you return to the question queue for a follow-up question. The next question is from the line of Satyadeep Jain from Ambit Capital. Please go ahead.

AMBIT Capital

Hi, thank you. Just first question on the strategy - pricing versus utilization. You've added capacity in North and South in the past few qu arters. How do you look at an ideal utilization given these capacities have been added, but overall volume increase is not there? So, is there an ideal utilization you look at when starting an asset to optimize the operating leverage, fixed costs there?

Ashok Bhandari

Please appreciate that I had always been maintaining that demand is not in the hand of any cement manufacturer. Demand emanates from overall growth within the economy. We are not happy with our current capacity utilization. We are taking steps to correct it. We have corrected it largely to some extent in January. I have also pointed out that we are concentrating on setting up more and more RMC plants, which should give me a fillip in capacity utilization. But at this point of time, especially in this quarter, because in this quarter the demand may be abnormally high due to pull from the central agencies, we may better answer this question in the first quarter of FY '26-'27.

AMBIT Capital

Sure. Sir, in that context, the focus on utilization, how do we look at the 80 million ton? Would you rather wait to improve utilization? And what's the progress on Jaisalmer?

Ashok Bhandari

Generally, your thinking is correct, that we ar e not announcing specific sites and specific plants only because we want the capacit y utilization to increase. I had hinted that 80 million tons by FY '29 may get deferred or may culminate is completely dependent on how the demand pans out in FY '26-'27. So, this is a question for which I don't have a ready answer. I would like to expand. Please understand that Shree Cement has increased its capacity 110 times from 1985. Means in last 40 years, we have gone 110 times in capacity. So, our growth has not been lagging. Our CAGR for growth is 12.5% plus. And we expect to do it better. But then you must set up capacity not for idle capital but for productive capital, which is a function of demand. If demand doesn't have the necessary leverage, what is the point in setting up capacity and keep on operating at 56%, 60%, or 62%? Ideally, we should reach 70% kind of a capacity utilization. Now, whether it takes place in one year or in one and a half years, time can only tell.

Moderator

Thank you. The ne xt question is from the line of Siddha rth Mahortra from Kotak Securities. Please go ahead.

Siddharth Mahortra

Thank you, sir, for the opportunity. Sorry if I missed this number. Sir, what is the capex we are expecting for say 2027?

Ashok Bhandari

Look, my major focus is going to be 26 RMC plants, 26 or 30. Per RMC plant it costs about INR5 crores. So, 150 crores visibility I have. Balance is completely dependent on how I try to attain. Like March '26, we will be completing Kodla plant. We have spent about INR2000 crores of capex in this financial year. Next financial year, I'm giving you a INR150 crores capex. I'm also working on railway sidings, which should be about how many crores?

KK Jain

About INR150 crores to INR250 crores on railway siding.

Ashok Bhandari

About INR200 crores to INR250 crores on rail way siding. So, INR400 to INR500 crores of capex visibility is clearly there. Balance visibility I'll be able to give you once I start planning my further capacity addition. So, you will have to give me one more quar ter to give you more clarity on this. However, you are may be fully aware that we are completely net debt free and we have about INR6000 crores of free cash sitting in our balance sheet. So, we are not worried about the quantum of capex we need to spend. We would like to be watchful of the demand and the potential capacity utilization.

Siddharth Mahortra

Understood, sir. So, essentially that means we ar e planning to put at least two railway sidings, approximately INR150 crores to INR200 crores per siding, as well as the RMC plants. INR500 crores, we have clarity and maybe some additional capex basis whatever your capacity schedule sort of decides. Is that correct?

Ashok Bhandari

Exactly. Which I'll be able to tell you either in next con-call or in the June con-call. I don't know. You will have to give us time.

Siddharth Mahortra

Okay. Second sir, could you sort of quantify what sort of industry growth was prevalent in 3Q for the industry? Some ballpark number?

Ashok Bhandari

Q3, you see, it is not comparable. I had a differen t strategy of operating my plants. The industry had a different strategy. So they are not apple-to-apple comparison. I was concentrating more on value, less on volume. So obviously my growth was lower than the industry. If you want we can share those numbers. Those numbers will be available elsewhere also. But you can write a mail either to Mr. Subhash Jajoo or to me and we will give you the reply. We have not grown to our fullest potential, by design. Now we will see how it moves.

Siddharth Mahortra

Got it sir. Sir can I just please get the power mi x split sir if possible? It's 34 megawatt was the total green power mix. There should also be additional captive power. So could you just lay out what are the individual components? Say solar, WHRS?

Ashok Bhandari

Wait a minute. Mr. Jajoo will give you exact power plant capacities of various kinds. Subhash Jajoo: See our total power capacity is currently 1137 megawatt, out of which 503 is the thermal power capacity and balance is all green. WHR is 265 megawatt, Solar is 314 and Wind is 56. So 634 megawatt of green capacity, 503 megawatt of thermal, total 1137.

Siddharth Mahortra

Understood sir. Just one last question sir if I co uld squeeze in. Sir a couple of your peers have sort of sounded out, that they see a very interesting and exciting opportunity in UAE to either sort of increase their stake in subsidiaries there or expand their capacities there in additional grinding units. So sir, given the fact that we already have a long standing exposure to that geography...

Ashok Bhandari

Let me stop you here my dear friend. Do you think that if there is a profit opportunity Shree Cement will let it go a-begging? If there is potential, if there is real demand perk up, if the operations are profitable or good enough profitable, we will certainly do whatever is required to be done. We have the largest cement plant in UAE today in our control.

Ashok Bhandari

I would not like to comment on that as yet. I'll comment in March.

Siddharth Mahortra

Understood sir. Thanks a lot for your time sir.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Tushar Chaudhari from Prabhudas Lilladher Private Limited. Please go ahead.

Ashok Bhandari

Good evening. First of all, please do me a favor. If you meet Amisha Ben tomorrow please give my regards to her.

Prabhudas Lilladher Private Limited

Sure sir. Sir just wanted to know this employee cost is little bit higher this quarter. Is it because of Baloda Bazar?

Ashok Bhandari

Read Note number 3 of the result.

Prabhudas Lilladher Private Limited

Okay I missed that then. So volume actually I wanted to know?

Ashok Bhandari

Listen. The new labour code has made me provide for all back liabilities which is amounting to INR56 crores. We do not show any expense as an exceptional expense, because it is all in routine course of business. So we have additionally provided INR56 crores as required by the law and we have disclosed it by way of a note in Note number 3. This is all employee cost. Now what is the second question?

Prabhudas Lilladher Private Limited

Volume 2% growth is written. Last year it was 8.77%.

Ashok Bhandari

So last year what had happened my dear friend? Last year what was my realization? This year what is my realization? I gave this number.

Prabhudas Lilladher Private Limited

I have only blended realization?

Ashok Bhandari

December '24 my realization was INR 4554. And December '25 my realization is INR 4652. So you sell to lose money or you sell to make money? We have deliberately constrained our volumes to decrease the delta between other selling price and my selling price.

Ashok Bhandari

We have reduced it by 50%. Now it is fine. Now we will see what to do.

Prabhudas Lilladher Private Limited

I understood that sir. You had explained it pretty well earlier. 2% volume growth, is it including clinker?

Ashok Bhandari

That I don't remember it off hand.

Prabhudas Lilladher Private Limited

Because press release is saying 2% volume growth?

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Navin Sahadeo. Please go ahead.

ICICI Securities

Yeah, good evening sir. Am I audible?

Ashok Bhandari

How can you not be audible? You are the host man.

ICICI Securities

Thank you sir. So my question was on this value versus volume strategy in the context of market share as well as industry superior profitability. Like past four quarters as you mentioned in your opening comments, since October '24, the strategy of value over volume was clearly I think rewarding us in terms of significantly higher EBITDA per ton or margins versus the peers. In this quarter it is a bit of a dampener and also of course the volumes are also like, some maybe if I may say some loss of market share as well?

Ashok Bhandari

Navin, slow down. Hear me out. There were two major changes in our sales strategy in last one year. One was that we had made our rebate and discount policy so transparent, non-negotiable and non-discretionary that the favoured dealers were getting pissed off. So it took some time for them to realize that this is a non-negotiable policy and now they have fallen in line. And number two is that end November we have inducted a new President Marketing and he has shown good results in last one month, one and a half month. So I expect that the things should be better in coming times. Now of course I can say anything. I cannot but be bullish on cement. So I will keep on talking bullish sentiment on cement. But please understand that demand is not in my hand. If demand is there you will not find us wanting.

ICICI Securities

Helpful. Thank you so much. My second question was on realizations. So in, I think in Q3 we have sequentially, I think, realization drop is about four odd percent?

Ashok Bhandari

All of you are saying this. Unfortunately I don't have this number. But since all of you are saying it maybe this is correct. Maybe there was a drop in realization or whatever. But you ask me a pointed question or you come to Calcutta. Come one day. I will give you good tea. We have nice tea. I will give you good lunch also if you want. And we will discuss this threadbare.

ICICI Securities

Right sir. So then I'll have the discussion over tea. Thank you so much.

Ashok Bhandari

It is better. By sitting face to face we talk more freely and with all the data.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Indrajit Agarwal from CLSA. Please go ahead.

Yes sir. I just wanted to clarify one number. Did you say fourth quarter run rate to be similar as December and 9 to 9 and a half million tons volume in fourth quarter?

Ashok Bhandari

Yes, I did.

Ashok Bhandari

Maybe 1% or 2% growth I don't know. I have not done the maths.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Harsh Mittal from Emkay Global. Please go ahead.

Emkay Global

Sir just one question. So given that our cash le vels as on December ending is INR6000 crores, and we are expecting an healthy cash flows in the coming years with a limited capex. So sir, can we expect a material upside in the dividend outlay going ahead?

Ashok Bhandari

Let us understand, material is a relative definition. So let me assure you that yes the dividend payout will be better. It is not my prerogative to say how much better, how much not better, that is up to the wisdom of the board. But I expect the dividend payout for FY ‘25-‘26 to be better than FY ‘24-‘25. And it is not a differential of INR5 rupees kind of a thing. We may give you a better one.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Lakshm inarayanan from Tunga Investments. Please go ahead.

Lakshminarayanan

Yes, thank you sir. Sir some of the return metrics for the comp any, we see that it's currently trending downward. Predominantly because of lower profitability from incremental capacity.

Ashok Bhandari

No, my friend. Sorry. Please let me correct you. The profitability absolute number has gone down because we had by choice taken a value over volume path. Please understand. We have achieved the convergence vis-a-vis say UltraTech on per bag prices. So it is not that, the capacity utilization has substantially affected my profitability. It was my design that it had lower volumes to better my prices which had affected the profitability.

Lakshminarayanan

Got it. Sir my question is slightly different. I mean, I understand your point. So now our ROCE or ROEs are trending downwards over a period of time. Given this trend, what is the primary metric the company prefers to evaluate its long term performance?

Ashok Bhandari

One second my dear friend. Let us understand. If I keep on making profit, my capital employed keeps on going up. If the additional profit, I am not distributing or I am not utilizing for capex then it is giving me a 4% to 5% revenue return. So if you combine everything you find that, the ROCE or the ROE is going down. On the other hand, I am committed to add on cap acity to 80 million tons. So what do I do? I have to bear the pain of rather inefficient cash utilization in the form of treasury, till I formalize my plan to have major capex. For the first time in my career, I think, I have spoken of a INR400 to INR500 crores capex visibility in next financial year. We had never done that. But then the demand scenario is such that I cannot give you a firm commitment on when my capacities will come up. As soon as the capacities come up the the return on cash of 4% will vertically jack up th e ROCE or ROE. So you will have to bear with me.

Lakshminarayanan

Sure sir. Thank you so much.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Uttam Srimal from Axis Securities Limited. Please go ahead.

Axis Securities Limited

Yes, good evening sir. Thanks for the opportunity. Sir my question pertains to premium cement. So we have made a very good progress from 15% last year to 22%. So where do we see this number going forward in next year?

Ashok Bhandari

Have you read any cement research report which has talked of anything else but premium cement? So if everybody is going to make premium cement, then where is the premium? The premium cement becomes the normal cement. Number one. Number two, the brand belongs to the company. The classification of brand also belongs to the company. There is no standard which defines premium cement. So it is your ten brands, it is your pen, and it is your pencil. And whatever you want to put, you put as a premium brand and sell it. Because there is no yardstick to define what a premium cement is. So please understand, we are at about 21%-22%. We have defined our premium brands and we are sticking to it. We are not changing the mix of my total cement as per my convenience. And at the moment with the current demand scenario we are at 21%-22%, and we expect to maintain the same run rate for this financial year. Next year what will happen let us see.

Axis Securities Limited

And sir, in next year what would be our depreciation cost?

Ashok Bhandari

Depreciation should be about INR1,600 crores.

Axis Securities Limited

You said INR1,600 crores?

Ashok Bhandari

Yes, I said INR1,600 crores.

Axis Securities Limited

Okay sir. Thanks a lot. That's all from my side.

Ashok Bhandari

INR1600 and INR1700 please don't hold me to th e number. But it will not vary as it had been.

Axis Securities Limited

Okay sir. That's all from my side. Thanks a lot.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Rajesh Ravi from HDFC Securities. Please go ahead.

HDFC Securities

Hi sir, just a follow up question. On the realization which you explained that you have bridged the gap with UltraTech, can I believe that is visible in numbers. When I compare yours with the like-to-like numbers of UltraTech, in last one year while your competitor has shown a INR50 rupees decline, yours realization has gone up by INR100 rupees. And similarly is the trend in for last two years, there is a sharp swing upward on your number. However, if I look at the margin front, your margins have been more or less flattish year-on- year, while the competitor had seen a margin upswing, both on a year on year basis on a two year basis. So is it like you have maintained your pricing?

Ashok Bhandari

Ravi, one second. Fixed cost recovery is completely dependent on capacity utilization, that you appreciate?

Ashok Bhandari

To catch up on the value terms, I had sacrificed volumes. So my fixed cost recovery was less. So my margins dropped. Now if I play intelligently, my fixed co st recovery will improve and my margins will also improve.

Ashok Bhandari

This is the first time in the history of this co mpany, that I have reported a more or less equal EBITDA per ton net of labour code expenses vis-a-vis UltraTech. Otherwise we had always maintained a INR100 to INR150 delta plus side. And I expect to catch that up.

HDFC Securities

Great, that's happening. And sir just on the adjusted for the labour cost still your employee cost is higher by INR20 crores quarter-on-quarter versus INR250 odd crores.

Ashok Bhandari

My dear friend, what happens if I increase my capacity?

HDFC Securities

Okay. This is with regard to the new plant ramp up?

Ashok Bhandari

Exactly.

HDFC Securities

Okay. So we should factor in this number as a recurring number and accordingly. And sir lastly just on the UAE business could you make it a practice to in the press release only to share the volumetric and the numbers in AED. Would that be more useful for us?

Ashok Bhandari

I will certainly give a thought to this. Give me one quarter, let us see what I can do in next quarter. If I can I will certainly do that.

HDFC Securities

And sir lastly could you repeat the capex number for full year and next year what are you targeting?

Ashok Bhandari

This year I'll be doing INR2,000 crores.

Ashok Bhandari

I've already completed INR1,500. I will be doing about INR500 crores in this quarter. Means January-March.

Ashok Bhandari

One second. Next year I have not firmed up my plan on further cement capacity addition. We have frozen the plan to set up about 30 RMC plants. One RMC plant costs roughly INR5 to INR6 crores. So you take about INR200 crores for RMC, INR200 crores for my railway sidings, and INR50 to INR100 -crores for normal routine capex. So I am giving a guidance of next year capex at INR500 crores.

Ashok Bhandari

But I am putting a caveat that, this is only because I am not firmed up my plan of adding up further capacity. If that gets fructified the numb er will substantially change. But you will have to wait for that.

HDFC Securities

And so there is no capacities which will come on stream next financial year, at least because no concrete work is going on as per you know...

Ashok Bhandari

Yes. I don't think we will go beyond 72 million ton which we will achieve by March '26.

HDFC Securities

Okay. Great sir. That's all from my end. Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Navin Sahadeo from ICICI Securities. Please go ahead.

ICICI Securities

Yes. I'll take the last question sir. So in the like, you mentioned that we have narrowed the price gap versus the industry leader from INR30 to INR15. So what is then the next milestone? Is it coming at par or is it like, ho w should one benchmark it at that point of time onward then we again start chasing volume?

Ashok Bhandari

Navin, hear me out. I don't have the capacity or capability or even the enthusiasm of saying I will sell at par with UltraTech. If I say that, you will not believe it. But on the other hand, I with full confidence I can say, that I'll maintain th e delta on EBITDA per ton basis, vis-a-vis the competition, which I had been doing except in this quarter. I had been doing it for 40 years that you know.

Ashok Bhandari

This quarter we lost out on volumes it's all right. It was a calculated move.

ICICI Securities

Fair point sir. Sir on the staff cost I just wa nted to know what would be the normalized cost?

Ashok Bhandari

You ask this to Mr . Jajoo. I don't know.

ICICI Securities

Okay. Last question to you sir. At a broader industry level, do you think non-trade share or non- trade exposure is rising because everybody is chasing those bulk volumes, RMC units? Is that a fair thing to observe?

Ashok Bhandari

No. As I told you my dear friend this quarter becomes very typical. Non-trade is basically large purchases by infrastructure projects. This quarter the government has to finish the budget allocated in FY ‘25-‘26. So this quarter you may have a trend where non-trade may be more. But I don't think that is a sustainable trend. We will go back to 75-25 kind of a level. We are today at 65-35.

ICICI Securities

Understood. Very clear sir. Thank you so much.

Ashok Bhandari

Is your last question finished?

ICICI Securities

Yes, yes. I'm done. There are no more questions.

Ashok Bhandari

So why are you always the last one to shaft me?

ICICI Securities

Over tea we will discuss this. Thank you. Nessia you can go ahead and conclude the call please.

Moderator

On behalf of ICICI Securities Limited that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us and you may now disconnect your lines.

Disclaimer

This is a transcription extract and may contain transcription errors. The transcript has been edited for clarity. The Company takes no responsibility of such errors, although an effort has been made to ensure high level of accuracy.