Shyam Metalics and Energy Limited

Nov 2025 call

2025-11-10 Transcript PDF
Moderator

Thank you very much. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. The first question is from the line of Amit Dixit from Goldman Sachs.

Goldman Sachs

I have a couple of them. The first one is on a recently introduced PLI scheme for stainless steel and for the specialty steel. So just wanted to understand that how we are going to benefit from that? And how much benefit can we quantify over the next 5 years, at least, I mean, that's what document speaks of?

Brij Bhushan Agarwal

Actually, the scheme has just been announced. We are evaluating, but more or less, we have seen that close to around INR400 crores to INR500 crores, we can be -- we can get the benefit from the PLI in the stainless-steel business. But final figure, we can't discuss right now because there are a lot of clarifications which is required, which might -- our team is in touch with the PLI bodies. And once we get all the clarifications, then we will share the note.

Goldman Sachs

Okay. Got it. The second question is essentially on stainless. Now as I understand that some of the capex that we would be spending would also be towards stainless. And now we are basically entering in -- I would say, we would be one of the largest players in India apart from Jindal Stainless, and we would be entering directly into competition with them. And our EBITDA per tonne at least as of now is lower than Jindal Stainless. So just wanted to understand our thoughts around that, how we are going to increase the EBITDA per tonne? And what are the thoughts on Jindal Stainless as a competitor?

Brij Bhushan Agarwal

See, right now, we are into the long product. We just took a company from the NCLT a couple of years before. And now we have stabilized the plant, and we are creating a complete value chain in the long product. So, the numbers, what you are seeing is in the long product, if you compare the stainless-steel number of Shyam Metalics vis-a-vis Jindal Stainless. And in long product also, we are adding the wires, which we already commissioned, and we are doing some more addition in the wires and bright bars businesses, which will enhance the number on the downstream side. On the upstream side, we are building our own steel melting shop in our existing Odisha plant, where we have our own captive power, we have our own specialty alloy, ferro alloys, iron. So, in the time to come, our cost will also be substantially low in comparison to what we are incurring now. So, we'll be able to create a decent margin in our existing long product profile. In addition to that, we are also setting up a flat product, what Jindal Stainless is doing. And we believe that once we are able to commission this plant, we will have an edge from the ore to metal -- like, we'll be making the stainless steel from the iron ore and the ferro alloy ores with our own captive power with our own steel melting shop. And we are going downstream in the flat product from the HR to the CR final products. So, we will see a lot of value addition happening once we come into the stream. So, we will be -- it's very difficult for me to share right now like we will be cheaper than Jindal Stainless, but yes, we will be highly competitive, I can tell you.

Deepak Agarwal

In addition to this, I would also like to highlight that once our flat stainless steel will be commissioned maybe in the year '26, '27, then you will see our margin will almost very competitively improve -- substantially improvement will be arrived in the coming year.

Brij Bhushan Agarwal

Yes. Everything will change because we are going all on the value addition, major expansions of the organization is getting into a more value-added chain like stainless steel, aluminum, we are putting up backward integration. We are -- so if we are making our own melting shop from the ore to steel, so we will be at the global competition level, like we have everything in our country, except the nickel. So, nickel is -- most of our products are 200 and 400 series where it doesn't attract too much of nickel as an ingredient or a cost. So, we'll see a lot of things will transform in the years to come.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Shaleen Kumar from UBS.

Congratulations to the management for a pretty decent set of numbers given the tough environment and also, congratulations on the rating upgrade. Just to begin with, if I can ask on sector-level question. Bhushan ji, there have been multiple quarters of -- we are seeing that there is a declining realization. I mean any -- if you can just highlight what's your sense if you're talking to your peers or your customers, etcetera, like is it the demand issue, supply issue? What are the problems? Any insights on that? Are we close to the bottom of the realization? Or do you think that this pain may still stay for next few quarters or whatever you can add value here?

Brij Bhushan Agarwal

If you see overall, there has been a big turbulence in this metal business in last 2, 3 quarters. We are seeing the correction in the raw material prices are not very big. The iron ore prices are pretty tightened. And we are also seeing there is a lot of disruption happening across because a lot of exports in the complete sector affected because of so much of ambiguities in the policies internationally, what we are seeing. But apart from that also, if you see overall, we have been able to sell what we have produced. We are able to get into -- more into a value addition. We are converting our businesses more on the value side. We are going more downstream, activities. We are creating more high-margin products. So, a lot of activity within the organization, we are trying to capitalize. On the value addition side, if you see all the capex, what you see is related to the downstream activity. Nothing is coming on the upstream. So, we are just trying to get more and more into a downstream value chain, and we are adding -- we are planning to add more and more numbers in a time so that we can increase more and more bottom line once we increase more and more value addition. So, this is something what we are doing now. And on the stainless-steel side, like the major ingredient for the stainless steel is iron, ferro alloys, specialty alloys and power. So, we are very much within in that space, like when we are putting up any new projects, it's nothing like we are doing something greenfield. It's all brownfield projects where we are adding a lot of value. And now in the last couple of years, getting into a new stainless-steel stream with a small capex, we have learned how to create a better value for the company, Shyam Metalics. And we are not seeing a major competition in the stainless steel presently. So, we are sure with our competence level, with our past record and whatever we are doing right now, we will be able to create a good number in the near future.

No, no. Sure, sir. I agree on that. I think the execution has been pretty remarkable. If I ask -- I could see in the presentation that you have decided to drop the DI pipe capex. If you can answer what's the rationale behind that?

Brij Bhushan Agarwal

See, we have been evaluating like we were working on the DI project for almost 1.5-2 years. And from last 6-8 months, we have been contemplating because there are a lot of changes, and shift has happened on the technology of the pipe. Because a lot of places, the DI is getting replaced with OPVC, which is a plastic pipe, which is right now, most of the government companies, they have started introducing, and they started replacing the DI, where the cost of that pipe is close to 30% - 40% more cheaper. And it's very easily -- the services are also very -- so we were discussing on this factor like when you see any changes on the obsolete -- on the product side, it's there, we thought of why to risk our capital. So, it wasn't giving us a great comfort with the new businesses and with the time when we are seeing the product is getting obsolete. So, we thought of keeping this and dropping this project on.

Brij Bhushan Agarwal

Yes, we will be -- we are -- right now -- we have not taken any Board approval on this, but we are evaluating -- like, we have -- already, we have an SMS shop there, which is a Spanish shop, and we are trying to figure out what steel we should do. So, it will be too early for us right now to something which is not mature. But yes, we'll be doing the downstream, which we will be converting the complete iron into a specialty steel.

Okay. Okay. So, there will be something else replacing this project?

Brij Bhushan Agarwal

Yes, yes, we'll be doing, yes, yes.

Got it, sir. Got it. If I can ask one or two questions to Deepak ji. Deepak ji, we have the various capex line up in your -- in the presentation. Possible to give ballpark the key capex timeline, like if you can provide us like upcoming -- anything commissioning in Q3, Q4, let's say, some -- any timelines on the FY '27? It will help us just to -- for a modeling’s sake.

Deepak Agarwal

100%. The capex, which we have already announced, out of this capex in the current financial year, in the fourth quarter of the current financial year, we will commission our 90 megawatts of power plant, and 0.15 million tonnes of color coated. These are the two capex which will be commissioned in the current financial year. And the rest will be commissioning -- when we talk about the financial year '26-27, majorly the aluminum business, what we have already announced like aluminum mill with caster, aluminum flat rolled product, aluminum coil, which will be commissioning in the second quarter of the next financial year. As far as stainless steel is concerned, the stainless steel will be commissioned in the financial year 27-28. And every -- all capex will be commissioned at the end of the financial year 26 -27.

Got it, sir. And sir, any thought beyond that, like are we -- like what are our thought process? Because our 5 years' journey of a higher capex plan will be completed by end of FY '27. So, are you forming up any plan beyond that?

Deepak Agarwal

Yes, yes. As you're aware of that, we have a prudent capital allocation policy there. So, whatever we are generating cash, out of this cash, 60% - 70%, we will further refinance, reuse in our growth plan. Definitely, the post '27, the kind of substantial cash generation will be there, which will be -- definitely we will announce, we are working. Our capex committee is already working. And sir already said that we will be -- very shortly, we will announce our downstream and value-added product, maybe in the next quarter or in the fourth quarter of the current financial year, post '27, the kind of free cash is there in the system.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Shrosh from Vedang Capital.

Brij Bhushan Agarwal

Generally, it takes -- once we are -- once we commission the plant, it takes around 6 months to a year time to stabilize the plant to set up the market, qualities and all. So, we will gradually see. Like, the color-coated business, we are already in, we are doing expansion. So immediately in next 3 to 6 months, we will see the business will be start rolling smoothly. In aluminum also, we are already in the aluminum products, so we don't need to develop the product because it's already developed. So, it will not take much time. In next 3 to 6 months, we can see that everything is getting ramped up. Where the stainless steel is concerned, the new product, it will take around 6 months to 9 months to come in 60%, 70% stream, yes. So, this is a general ballpark, what generally all these kinds of an industry look like.

Shrosh

My next question is, where do you see our growth for the next 2-3 years, top line and margin, sir?

Brij Bhushan Agarwal

If you see in last 3 – 3.5 years, we had grown pretty decent, from INR6,000 crores top line, to close to INR15,000 crores we did this year. And we expect that we'll be enjoying a double-digit growth close to 15% to 20% on an average for next 2 to 3 years minimum. And since we are going into the downstream value additions and all. So definitely, in time to come, the margins will also definitely -- we expect that close to 200 or 300 basis points, we'll be able to improve it.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Dhiraj Shah from RJ Investments.

RJ Investments

Yes. I have a couple of questions. Firstly, aluminum foils exports formed almost 24% of the total exports in the first half of '26. So, could you throw some light on current utilization of existing foil capacity?

Brij Bhushan Agarwal

See, the plant is operating at almost 90% plus capacity. And it is operating much better what we expected. And we are making a very specialized foil. So, these are all very special foil, which has a very unique usage. We are supplying to the defense industry and other packing industry, which has a special application. And this will continue to grow like this because today, the domestic margins are much better. And there is a little penetration on the international market, though the demand is there. And we have a good, decent sales book of close to 5 to 6 months now looking forward. And there's a good penetration of demand on well acceptability of our product. So, we are very confident. I don't see any kind of surprises.

RJ Investments

Understood, sir Understood and also more of a follow-up. So, given 60% of exports come from aluminum business, so any maybe near-term pricing pressures that you may foresee?

Brij Bhushan Agarwal

No, no, not really, not really. Very -- we will be having a better edge because once we commission the aluminum plant next year, so the raw material, what we are using for the foil stock, we'll have our own captive production. So, we'll be increasing the margins on that because we'll be doing our own raw material of foil stock. And seeing the demand and the richness and the uniqueness of the special product what we are doing, I don't see there is much -- these are all penetrations a little bit on the duty side and all, but I don't think this will last for very long, whether it is helping us to develop more and more new businesses, more new products, more new revenue. And now I can share that it's a very stable business. So, I don't see any kind of surprises or any kind of challenges in the time to come.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Prachi Cheda from SDA Finance.

SDA Finance

I had a few questions lined up. My first question, sir, with new color-coated and parallel flange beam lines coming up, what incremental revenue contribution can we expect in FY '27?

Brij Bhushan Agarwal

See, we expect that from the color business, the flat product, what we are -- the expansions -- after expansion, close to INR4,000 crores, INR4,500 crores will be the total revenue coming out from the flat product businesses, including the color coated and all, close to. I'm not 100%, but yes, 90%, I can tell you.

SDA Finance

Got it, sir. Also, have you seen any margin improvement due to higher captive power usage and improved logistics via captive siding? Higher captive power usage is at around 81% right now.

Brij Bhushan Agarwal

Yes. It's improved, no. If you see, the power cost is very stable, and we are not using any kind of a fuel. Most of the fuel what we are using is on the reject side, and its cogeneration. So, it's not really going to impact very largely because we are extremely very, very competitive, and we are not using any fresh coal in our plant. So, it's majorly the rejects and all. So, the advantage what we get from all these things is on our product side -- other product side. But yes, the cess of INR400, which was charged before, has come down. So, it is also helping us on the cost side. It has given some kind of a comfort. So, I would say, yes, it is positive.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Rakesh Roy from Boring AMC.

Boring AMC

Sir, my first question regarding, sir, can you light on the raw material prices from Q2 versus Q1 and Q3? How is it trending now?

Brij Bhushan Agarwal

I don't see there is much changes in the raw material prices presently. It is almost marginal. So it's not a very -- but the cess impact on the coal has been -- is beneficial. And Deepak, can you elaborate on this with your numbers and all because I'll not be able to share very...

Deepak Agarwal

No, no, correct, sir. The raw material prices have not been corrected from the quarter 1 to quarter 2, which is mostly in line. But in the current quarter, in the third quarter, the coal prices have been going down by 5% to 7%. And iron ore prices are also going down by a little bit. But similarly -- but in the account of specialty alloy, the manganese prices have been corrected by 10% and the ferro chrome prices has also been corrected by 4% to 5%. These are the price -- raw material prices have been corrected from quarter 1 to quarter 2, but not majorly like iron ore fines prices has not been corrected, but we hope that it will be further corrected.

Boring AMC

Okay. And regarding the pricing, any chance because -- many companies will compensate if they are hoping, or they are expecting the price increase from the November? So are you also looking to increase the price from -- or are you looking to increase the price from November or December?

Brij Bhushan Agarwal

So the demand -- after this, we are all waiting for the Bihar election issues to be over because we had been all during the festive season. And if you see all the years, this quarter has been always very low because of the festive season, and this time because of the election. So the demand of the overall industry will go up. And once it -- we start looking everything post- election, so the price will start correcting. Yes, we are all hopeful and optimistic.

Boring AMC

Okay. So can we hope that H2 is better than H1 in terms of volume and pricing, both?

Brij Bhushan Agarwal

At this point of time, it's -- we have to wait for some more time.

Deepak Agarwal

But definitely, if you look into our financials, we will be always in the volume growth. If you look into quarter-on-quarter percent, we are increasing our volume growth. And with the recent commissioning of pig iron in the third quarter, definitely in absolute number, definitely, we will be improving from quarter 1 to quarter 2 in the next quarter 3 and quarter 4.

Boring AMC

Okay. And sir, last question regarding, sir, SS business -- stainless steel business, sir. Sir, can you light on, sir, government is also just -- they are doing some antidumping duty after talking, sir, because -- can you light on this, sir, regarding SS?

Brij Bhushan Agarwal

There are some thought process going on the DI side and some kind of relaxation, but these are very -- the margins in the SS are very good today, the flat product businesses margins and all. And I see today, the demand of the SS is growing very decent. So very difficult at this point of time till everything is clear. But overall, with the country demand and with the present production, I see decent numbers coming up from this business.

Boring AMC

Right, sir. And sir, how is the demand -- hello?

Brij Bhushan Agarwal

Sorry?

Boring AMC

Sir, how is the demand for your TMT business in Eastern part, especially how is the demand? And how is it looking, this point of view, after?

Brij Bhushan Agarwal

Actually, after this -- we are right now in the festive and Bihar election, we expect that it will go up. By end of November, we should start seeing the changes.

Boring AMC

How much are you looking at? How much growth you're looking compared to...

Brij Bhushan Agarwal

See, if the demand is growing -- if the demand is good, it will grow. So we'll be able to -- because we have not expanded the capacity on the TMT. Whatever we are going to produce, we are going to sell it. It's all about the margins, which will increase. So overall, we know that today because of the -- and for the industry, festive seasons and all these things are always -- some moment where things are not very rapidly growing, but I think now we are done with this, and we will start seeing things changing. So it's -- all the quarter, we have been seeing the same thing.

Deepak Agarwal

And also, in the quarter 2 in the metal industry, the monsoon season is there. So there will be a disruption in supply chain management. Definitely, the demand will improve in the third quarter, fourth quarter, basically because of the most of the government contracts and everything has been concluded at the end of the financial year. So definitely, the demand from the raw steel will improve in the third quarter and fourth quarter.

Boring AMC

And one thing, sir, in Mittal Corp, how much revenue from this quarter from the Mittal Corp? And how much is the utilization?

Deepak Agarwal

The utilization is in the level of 70% to 80%, and we have further revenue...

Deepak Agarwal

We are selling -- stainless steel we are selling only 20,000 quarterly basis -- 20,000 tonnes of stainless we are selling.

Boring AMC

Okay. In terms of revenue, total revenue come from the Mittal Corp this Q2?

Deepak Agarwal

INR600 crores.

Boring AMC

INR600 crores. And for full year, how much you guided, sir, for FY '26 for Mittal Corp?

Deepak Agarwal

It's around, you can say INR2,000 crores. We will be targeting to achieve INR1,500 crores to INR2,000 crores.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Pathanjali Srinivasan from Sundaram Mutual Fund.

Sundaram Mutual Fund

I have a couple of questions. So firstly, this captive plant that -- power plant that we have shown in our presentation, I think we're doing around 100 megawatts at around INR350-odd crores. The cost seems very less. Could you explain a bit about what configuration or what type of plant this would be?

Brij Bhushan Agarwal

We are -- if you see the history, in the past, whatever plant we have commissioned, we have been extremely very capital effective. So, this is very well taken. I appreciate your point. And if you see the PLF of our power factor is always 90% plus. So generally, it's all brownfield project, and we take the technology from the best of the boiler manufacturer, be it Thyssenkrupp or Thermax and all. And so being in the steel business and a strong engineering foothold, we work together, and we make sure that we should be at least 15% - 20% more capital effective. And all our turbines are from BHEL and Siemens.

Brij Bhushan Agarwal

We are better, yes.

Sundaram Mutual Fund

Yes. No, you feel substantially better, which is why I just wanted to figure out. We are doing something very different than what industry does.

Brij Bhushan Agarwal

Thank you. I appreciate.

Sundaram Mutual Fund

And just one more question. This quarter, our production in terms of sponge iron was a bit lower. Did we take any -- or not production, maybe sales, did we take any maintenance or anything, sir, this quarter?

Brij Bhushan Agarwal

These are regular things; very small marginal changes are there. So we generally have some maintenance, or when you do a power plant shutdown, some maintenance comes, you have to - - so these are all -- after 2 -3 years, each and every plant has to be taken a long shutdown. Sometimes we have to take annual shutdowns.

Sundaram Mutual Fund

Okay. So it's just a routine seasonal thing. There's nothing -- there's no other reason.

Deepak Agarwal

No, I don't think there is any changes in our production of sponge iron from the quarter 1 to quarter 2. The sales volume is definitely going down because we sell more pellet -- iron pellet because our realization is more on iron pellet, that's why we sell more iron pellet.

Sundaram Mutual Fund

Got it, sir. Yes. That's what I wanted to figure out. Like there seems to be some bit of a decline, but it's not visible at a revenue level, that's why I just wanted to figure out. Got it, sir.

Deepak Agarwal

That is the only reason. Because the realization is more on iron pellet, that's why we sell more iron pellet. We are not converting iron pellet into...

Moderator

As there are no further questions from the participants, I now hand the conference over to Mr. Sumeet Khaitan from MUFG Intime for closing comments. Over to you, sir.

MUFG Intime for closing comments

Thank you, everyone, for joining in the call today. I hope the management was able to answer all your queries today. I also want to thank the management for sparing the time and joining the call today. We are MUFG Intime, Investor Relations Advisors to Shyam Metalics and Energy Limited. For any queries, please feel free to reach out to us. Thank you, everyone.

Deepak Agarwal

Thank you, everyone.

Moderator

On behalf of Shyam Metalics and Energy Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.

Brij Bhushan Agarwal

Thank you.