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SUZLON · FY2025 Q1

Suzlon Energy Limited analyst Q&A

2024-07-24
Moderator

We will now begin the question-and-answer session. The first q uestion is from the line of Sumit Kishore from Axis Capital. Please go ahead, sir.

Sumit KishoreAxis Capital

Sir, my first question is, could you spell out the reasons for i m p r o v e m e n t i n t h e W T G contribution margin in Q1? We've also noted that your project or segment mix has shifted more in favor of captive C&I retail ev en on a sequential basis, now almost two-third. Is the pricing better in this segment versus state or central bid?

Himanshu Mody

So, Sumit, Hi! On the margin, of course, whilst we've reported close to 23% contribution margin on the WTG segment, it is not something that may be sustainable because this quarter saw lower activity on the project execution side. So, whilst from a readiness perspective we had about 230 MW of turbines ready on the ground for commissioning, but we di d only 70 so far because the balance 160 MW lies in the scope of our customers, which is out of our hand. Had that kicked in, there may have been certain delta revenue and cost which may have pulled down the margin a bit. But having said that, needless to say still the margins would have been in the late teens or maybe around the 20% vicinity. So, that's the answer to your first question. On the second one, the mix of course is what it is between C&I and IPP . But, in terms of our average selling price to the both class of customers, it is pretty similar, There is no visible differentiation in pricing across customer class.

Sumit KishoreAxis Capital

My second and last question is for S144, how many WTG sets have been delivered or installed so far? So, if you could give your experience of how that parti cular turbine is operating on the field and any other experiences in terms of commissioning this?

JP Chalasani

We commissioned close to about 100 MW as of now. Everything is in line or better than what anticipated in terms of our design parameters. And in fact, we are also now going through the high wind season to establish further – Everything has been smo oth touchwood and better than what was expected in terms of the design power curve .

Amit Binde

I had two questions. One, with your plan to change the timing of your merger, so is the qualification to NTPC getting affected because of that? And second thing that I wanted to ask in similar lines is that you have made a framework agreement with CESC. So, if you can give some details on that one?

JP Chalasani

On the NTPC, we did discuss last time. We said that we qualify and we participated in the bid largely then the results and we will continue to participate in other public sectors as well. So, we have no restriction to participate.

Amit Binde

Without this merger procedure ha ppening, still you are eligible for NTPC bids?

JP Chalasani

Y e s .

Amit Binde

On the CESC, sir?

JP Chalasani

This is a framework agreement which was announced by the CESC. As far as we are concerned as and when some of them get fructified into a definitive agree ment as per our policy with confirmed advance, we will keep announcing.

Amit Binde

Any indication on the size of t he framework agreement that you can -?

JP Chalasani

Any framework agreement is subs tantial quantum, so therefore let's leave it there. But as far as we are concerned, we are not considered that in our order book, and we consider in order book as and when each segment of the framework gets converted into a firm contract with an advance. This is not part of our 3.8 GW what order book we have announced today.

Amit Binde

And the other question that I had was if you can help us under stand how your deliveries would shape up because now captive and IPPs are increasing more in th e bids. So, then would the delivery timelines be faster and can we expect the ramp up in the near next two, three quarters?

JP Chalasani

Second portion I can't say becaus e that looks like a guidance sort of thing, but the deliveries would depend upon whether it is an IPP or it's a C&I, anyone on this is with respect to the readiness of site. Remember last time also that the reason why as a country, we are not able to move forward much quicker is the execution challenges on the ground. As Himanshu explained some time back, in fact, our commission capacity would have been 230 not 70, but the balance 160 we could not connect to the grid while it is pre-commission ed, everything is ready, either because the clients connectivity is not there or clients BOP are not ready. So, if you add that 150 to 770 of country, then country also would have been around 930 and our share would have been 25%, which is what normally we've been maintaining. It all depends. It's nothing to do with this, right? Like for example, NTPC awards the BOP contracts in advance. Then after a time gap they award for the turbines like what we participated now for those projects, BOP is already awarded by them. So, therefore, expectation is that case the preparation is much better, the supplies would be much quicker. So, it depends upon each quarter what mix of projects are scheduled based on that is acceleration happens if the supply is not an issue. Once again I am underlining supply is not an issue, issue would be readiness the projects to offtake.

Amit Binde

So, just on this one, so your realization of revenue for the i nstallation part would still be left unrecognized, right? So, that would get recognized when the ins tallation happens for this 160 MW?

Himanshu Mody

Yes, that's correct.

Amit Binde

And the last part that I want to understand is the penalty not ice that was like you had put out a press release three, four days ago of 20 million. So, that one would we recognize that in our income statement in this year as a cost or in this quarter or w ould you be recognizing it afterwards?

Himanshu Mody

No. We will only recognize it only as and when it fructifies. Right now, you can say at best it's a contingent liability, but it has not fructified. While we've received those notices at our end, we will be as a company defending the notices and only as and when it is paid off fructified is when it will go through the P&L.

Amit Binde

So, currently no provisioning or anything would not be made for that Rs.20 crores.

Himanshu Mody

N o .

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Rohit Bahirwani, Vijit G lobal Securities Private Limited. Please go ahead sir.

Rohit Bahirwani

Just wanted to understand the reason for decline in revenue fo r operation and maintenance. Quarterly, there's a decline of around 50 to 70 crores.

Himanshu Mody

Yes. Hi, Rohit. So, the reason because in Q4 of FY'24 where ou r revenue was a little over 500 crores on the O&M side, there were certain one-time billing on V AP and V AS sales plus certain contract renewals that got delayed during the year which was all booked at the time of Q4 before the financial year end. That caused a fillip or increase in the Q4 revenue of OMS. Certainly, that is not a steady state view. So, you should not annualize Q4 FY'24 revenues as steady state. What you see in Q1 FY'25 and also other similar quarters is what you should take as annualized revenues other than any V AP, V AS sales that we do during the year.

Rohit Bahirwani

Just wanted to understand the timeline between commissioning o f a wind turbine? And by when does the operation and maintenance of that coming into the busi ness, let's say you have done 274 MW in this quarter?

Himanshu Mody

So, there's a difference. I'll just make a small correction. W e've done deliveries of 274 MW in this quarter, but what is commissioned is 70 MW. So, I will use 70 MW as a reference point. So, let's say if 70 MW has got commissioned in Q1 of FY'25, anywhere between two to three years is our warranty period that we give to our customers, so which means that Q1 FY'27 or Q1 FY'28 is when this 70 MW would start earning revenue from an O&M basis.

Moderator

The next question is from the li ne of Aashish Upganlawar, InvesQ. Please go ahead sir.

A Upganlawar

So, we've come a very long way in the last 1.5 years in terms of the turnaround of the business. Congrats on that. So, just to und erstand the addressable size t hat Suzlon can achieve, we have on the targets that the government has laid down for itself in terms of 10 GW a year and private as it is going on. So, for us from here, where do we see maybe the best case for us because execution on the ground remains different from the government s ide, plus the issues on the evacuation side. So, just some idea on that will help us frame our thoughts on that?

JP Chalasani

Let's talk about sector. That would give you what Suzlon will do because there's always a correlation between how much sector does and how much is done. This year, we are expecting anywhere between 5 to 5.5 GW is what country will do compared to 3,250 MW what we did last financial year. And our expectation is that this in FY'26 would go up to anywhere close to 6.5 to 7 GW. And thereafter from FY'28 onwards, we expect it to be any where between 8 to 9 GW. Why we are saying this also is the reason is that one is gradua lly we hope these hurdles on the ground will get removed, because more and more capable people a re coming in and then there are some advanced actions being taken on the land and also the Government of India as we mentioned last time has now started acting on removing the hurd les for wind. In fact, just two weeks back they issued the revised guidelines on macro setting, removing some of the hurdles. So, if that is a rate, 5.5, then next year about 7, and followi ng year about 8 to 9 is what is opportunity, then you can always think that where will we be from that point of view rather than me saying that how much is Suzl on will execute. And we always k now that what is the correlation between what country does and what Suzlon does. I will take that as a guidance rather than giving you guidance on the company's trend.

A Upganlawar

Sir, what's the executable capa city now as we stand today just to understand how much we will have to do in case these numbers on the overall macro of India come in until FY'28?

JP Chalasani

Come again.

A Upganlawar

So, what's the current capacity in terms of how much we can de liver in case the demand side picks up, as you said FY'26, '27, so what's the capacity right now?

JP Chalasani

Our supply capacity is anywhere between 3.5 to 4 GW, we can ea sily do it per year which will get further expanded let's say in FY'26 and FY'27. But then please understand, I keep each time clarifying this when you talk about the manufacturing capacity, manufacturing capacity is provided your machines are constantly loaded, assuming that month-to-month, there is a load of that nature. It cannot happen that 4 GW means that first quarte r nothing happens and second quarter picks up, third quarter nothing happens, then this gets constrained. Capacity what is lost in a quarter, in a month is lost.

A Upganlawar

So, 70% better assumption to go with?

JP Chalasani

Sorry.

A Upganlawar

70% utilization would be a better assumption to go with given the seasonality –

JP Chalasani

Your guess versus my guess is with respect to the offering on the particular projects which are scheduled for delivery in that quarter. It could be 100% and it could be as low as 50% to 60%. It would vary from quarter-to-quarter depending upon which proj ects are scheduled to be delivered during that quarter. Some projects are well prepared, like for example I said that NTPC if we win that let's say one, there's an advanced operation by NTPC. So, therefore it's much more predictable for supply of turbines. This will keep changing. I am not trying to dodge your question, but it all depends upon quarter-to-quarter, we need to keep monitoring it.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Viraj Avendus Spark. Ple ase go ahead sir.

Viraj

So, this guidance you've given for the year of 5.5 GW of execu tion at the country level, does it include C&I or is it only disconnected?

JP Chalasani

Total wind capacity connected to the grid including CMS. If at all there are any as it is which are not connected to the grid, they are behind the meter.

Viraj

The second question is on the auctioning or awarding a project . So, we know government wants to achieve about 60 GW overall f or the year and about 10 to 15 on wind. So, where are we on that target in the first quarter, meaning how much has been auctioned or awarded?

JP Chalasani

Bidding is huge. I think we lost count of bidding. In fact, th ere is a huge amount of bidding completed, projects awarded where they're now chasing, with one waiting for the PSA. PSSA to be signed so they can move ahead. And even if you look at curre ntly as we speak just in the month of June for different awards put together, there're about 3.7 GW awarded for it just in one month of June. And today there is about 7.5 GW of the bids subm itted, and another 13 GW of bids called for. Targeting about the bids awarded and pending f or execution, which is close to 20 GW, and we already have another 4 GW awarded in the month of June, another 20 GW bids either submitted or called for. This is all in addition to the C&I. And in fact, if you look at our order book, two-third is C&I and one-third is the PPAs. So, I d on't think there is any concern with respect to whether the government is coming out bidding or whether there's enough volume. What as a country we need to only concentrate on is how much ca n we commission each year. So, I don't think there's any issue with respect to the market availability or not. That is at least for the next at least two to t hree years, we don't need to worr y about are there opportunities in the market, sector as a whole, including Suzlon.

Himanshu Mody

No. So, the revenue is recorded for the entire 274 and COGS al so is recorded for the 274 entirely. For the 70 MW commissioning, the correspondent revenue and costs are recorded. Whatever is not commissioned, we are yet to recognize costs or revenue associated with it.

JP Chalasani

And also please be clear that these 274 and 70 has no linkage. It's not that the 70 MW is what is out of these 274. The turbines could have been supplied even a couple of quarters back and commissioned now. So, therefore these two are independent of ea ch other. On a quarter-to- quarter basis you can't compare s upply versus COD. So, there's a time lag between supply and the commissioning.

Moderator

The next question is from the li ne of Nikhil Abhyankar, ICICI Securities. Please go ahead sir.

Nikhil Abhyankar

Sir, can you just elaborate on w hat exactly are these difficulties that we are facing in execution?

JP Chalasani

No, we talked about execution. It is nothing to do with Suzlon . I am talking about as a sector the reason why we are not able to go up to 8 GW, 9 GW is fundamentally the two or two reasons we can say. One is the availability of land and the pathways. And more importantly, continuous availability of pathways. You might have taken a pathway to tak e your turbine and everything, but after you've taken it, then again, there could be issues locally with people to do that. Because please understand that wind projects are scattered by. They are in an open area; they are not in a closed area like what you do solar or you do a fossil fuel-based plant. So, that's the major concern today everybody is facing in terms of the land and also because most projects got concentrated in Karnataka today. So, therefore there is more pressure there and also the regulations in Karnataka for land acquisition is a very combustion process. Th at's one state which still you need to convert into non-agriculture because many other states have changed over saying that, okay, if it is renewable, it's automatic conversion, you don't need to do that. So, therefore the whole process itself is too long in Karnataka. On top of it, ev erybody is in Karnataka. So, the whole state is stressed out for that. That's one reason. Second reason why we are saying execution is in terms of connectivity is one reason where the substations there are timelines to come in, sometimes there's a delay in the substation coming up by a few months. So, therefore that gets delayed. Third is that the BOP capability building, capacity bu ilding is still happening in the country, because no other OEM does end-to-end exceptional Suzlon . And even in our case, only one-third is EPC, the balance two -third is not EPC. That means we are not doing end-to-end. The third-party BOP capacity building is still happening. So, therefore they're seeing the delays of BOP not in the speed at which is expected. So, these are the three major reasons why we are struggling for capacity addition, but as I said sometime back t here are different actions being taken in all these areas, we are gradually seeing. In fact, our opinion is that there's significant amount of capacity which is ready for commissioning even in the Q1 not just ours of 160 in total, which would come quickly on to the grid in Q2.

Himanshu Mody

So, there are various milestones that are defined in our agree ment right from advance at the time of execution to dispatch of various components of the turbine a nd the turbine components reaching upon site. So, based on the various milestones defined in the agreement, we receive a chunk of the payment. I don't want to say the percentage in terms of payment that is received till turbine, reaches site, but fair to assume that a large chunk of the payment is received by the company upon commissioning or erection of the turbine.

JP Chalasani

Also, please understand our supply contract is different from installation contract. These two are independent contracts. So, in supply contract, you have indepen dent payment terms, but there could be some payments linked to the commissioning. As and when commissioning happens even if that is a separate cont ract. So, supply contract runs i ndependent of installation. That's a separate contract. And in fact, if you have a full EPC there ag ain BOP contract is independent. And if we are bidding land, land contract is independent. These all contracts are independent. They don't talk to each other in terms of LDs or any payment terms.

Nikhil Abhyankar

Global peer is looking to sell its India business. So, will we be looking to acquire?

JP Chalasani

First part of it, are you looking at it? We are looking at it, like everybody looking at it we are looking at it. Are we looking at it to acquire? I don't think so. Let's see that what happens. There is no definitive answer of yes or no for that.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Dhawal Doshi, Dymon Asia. Please go ahead, sir.

Dhawal Doshi

I am sorry if I would have missed this point, but can you just touch upon what is the current pipeline looking at in terms of the bids that you've submitted? Secondly, what kind of inflow numbers do we expect to go through as far as the share is concerned? I know you won't give me an exact guidance on this, but some color in terms of how do you see things for this year?

JP Chalasani

First thing is we don't submit an y bids. We are talking about the government run bids. We don't participate in that bidding because the IPPs which run the bids and then IPP please come to us for equipment supply contract. Only bid we participate is that public sector for selecting equipment suppliers, they run a bid like NTPC, which was the question previously. That's where earlier we were not participating because we were not able to m eet the financial criteria. Now, we meet that and we started participating in the bids for NTPC and other public sectors. That's the only bid we participate where there is a bid for equipment supply and the private sector doesn't run a bid, they just invite you to discuss.

Dhawal Doshi

So, if I have to rephrase my question, what are the kind of ti e-ups that we could have for which either the IPP or Suzlon itself is under various bidding proces s and we could expect some kind of an outcome?

JP Chalasani

Nobody does. That arena has gone where people used to have a f reebie tie-up in the initial stages of SECI-1, SECI-2, SECI-3 maybe after 5-6 people tie up, but no w IPP has experienced the pricing. They will talk to you at the most for some budgetary c ourse, but they take their own judgment on what would be the pre-bid tie-ups and go ahead and bid. If they win the bid, then they'll come and talk to us, saying that, will you please supply and negotiate a contract. There is no pre-bid arrangement per se in any more on this. It used to be there earlier. We did have many pre-bid things, but in the current system it doesn't exist. So, it will be done by their own without any pre-bid tie-up.

Dhawal Doshi

Some sense on what could be the order inflow for the year and the timeframe over which the existing order book needs to be executed?

JP Chalasani

What is going to come? Obviously you will know whenever it com es, and we keep announcing it. So, therefore you would see that like Himanshu mentioned it in his opening comments, there are a large pipeline which is under discussion on the table, but it is a closed contract signed and we receive confirmed advance then obviously we don't take that as an order. So, there is no point in talking about how much is unde r discussion, there is substan tial amount which is under discussion.

Dhawal Doshi

No. So, what I was referring to was the kind of order inflow t hat we are budgeting or we are targeting, some sense of numbers, some growth numbers, and the timeframe over which the existing 3.8 GW needs to be executed, two separate -

JP Chalasani

3.8 GW is between this year and the next year most of it, some part of it would be early FY'27.

Dhawal Doshi

And on the order inflow, any targ ets that you would want to give or -?

JP Chalasani

No guidance on that please. But again, as I said that just to reconfirm, orders for us need not be monitored currently, but there are enough orders, it's a questi on of how much we want to pick up and that is the reason in the opening comments we also menti oned that we are looking at orders where we think as a confirmed offtake would be there in a definitive timeline, after we will always be there. But is there a definitive timeline and what is the quality of that order, that's important for us.

Dhawal Doshi

You mentioned the executable capacity that we have is close to 3.5 to 4 GW , right, was that number correct?

JP Chalasani

Manufacturing capacity.

Dhawal Doshi

And we are looking at expanding this probably in FY'26. What w ould basically be, sir, the expansion?

JP Chalasani

Obviously that would again you will indirectly draw how much i s we are targeting the orders. So, therefore let's leave it there. We are expanding it. So, on ce the expansion is completed, we will let what capacity we are for FY'26.

Dhruv Muchhal

Just one clarification. You men tioned that the developers no longer do pre-bid tie-ups. So, does the assessment of what PLF they will generate kind of win profile, that's all independent by them and then they select the equipment which they have to, is that how it works?

JP Chalasani

What happens is that some of them are developing their own sit es. So, obviously they know what the PLF is likely to be there based on the wind data if th ey have it. There are one set of IPPs. The second set of IPPs they don't finalize with you, but maybe they'll sit with a couple of more suppliers and then ask a budgetary quote saying that we ha ve a site, what would be the budgetary quote but not finalized from the order. So, they wil l take some sort of a thing from the market, test and then go ahead and do it. Because most of the people today are doing multiple projects. They've been in the sector. So, therefore experience for them is much different today.

Dhruv Muchhal

And the second question was on the contribution margins. So, p robably a bit early we have started delivering the new turbines. I think the numbers are re latively better than what we were guiding. But do we still stick to the guidance of I think 90 lakhs per MW, does that remain or do we see an upside to that number based on the run rate that we a re achieving and based on the actual deliveries now?

Himanshu Mody

So, we are maintaining that our average selling price is about 6 crores per MW. It of course differs quarter-to-quarter and based on our margins, which we'v e said is mid to late teens, whether that's 90 lakhs or close to a crore would be the contri bution margin. So, if we sort of end up doing of course 20% margins on a ASP of about 6 crores, that's about 1.2 crores. But there may be a playoff where we may be a little shy of 6 crores , but we would have improved margins. So, therefore I don't want to comment on 90 lakhs or 1 crore or whatever that number is, but that's where we are.

Dhruv Muchhal

So, ideally we should look at on a percentage basis, is that t he right way to think of it or should it be absolute the way it works?

Himanshu Mody

You should look at it as a percen tage basis of our overall revenue.

Dhruv Muchhal

Say, for example, if I look at t he revenues right now for the quarter, if I just do a division by the deliveries, it's about 5.5 crores. I understand the installations and deliveries will never be exact, but assuming the installations are also done all to I mean equa lly, what the realization number would have been, I am just trying to understand, you mentioned the contribution margin would have been 20 percentage, but what the realization would have been?

Himanshu Mody

No. So, as I said, 20% was just the math that I walked you thr ough. I am not saying that it would have been 20%.

Dhruv Muchhal

Around?

Himanshu Mody

Yes, around that. And in terms o f calculations, of course, if you see our average selling price over the quarters, it's been a little shy of 6 crores. So, anywhere between 5.8 to 6 crores has been t h e a v e r a g e , w h i c h i s w h a t i s c l o s e t o 5 . 5 c r o r e s i n Q 1 t h i s y ear. So, of course, had the commissioning happen to a larger extent, for the 160 the shortf all we would have got close to the 5.8 to 6 crores average.

Dhruv Muchhal

What are the installed deliveries that we have done cumulative ly? What are the installations pending for our deliveries? You mentioned that system has a lot of this gap, but how much is this for us?

JP Chalasani

Our turbines including whatever the latest deliveries what we have done that would be somewhere anywhere close to about 800 MW is what is pending for commissioning.

Himanshu Mody

So, 720 MW to be precise is wh at is pending, uncommissioned cu mulative out of all the deliveries.

Dhruv Muchhal

So, 700 MW, which have been delivered to the site, but pending for just the grid connection and related?

JP Chalasani

No, we didn't say that. 700 is d elivered, 73 which has gone, m any of them may not even been erected. So, there are different stages. What we talked about w as only the 230 MW out of this which we erected and pre-commissi oned all the things, only 70 M W has been done. So, in the 770, 160 MW is what you can actually count as the turbines which are ready for commissioning but could not be commissioned because of the constraints in the 720.

Moderator

The next question is from the li ne of Vivek Sureka, individual investor. Please go ahead.

Vivek Sureka

Sir, just one question on the OMS side. Are there any plans to list this separately and capitalize on the current scenario?

Himanshu Mody

No, there are no such plans.

Moderator

The next question is from the li ne of Yash from Stallion Asset. Please go ahead Sir.

Yash

My question is that I think you've made 8% EBIT margins on you r WTG segment this quarter. Do you think we have scope for improving the margins further or this is a sustainable level?

Himanshu Mody

So, difficult one to say, but yes, I mean we are seeing that t he economies of scale and the volume play is playing out. So, whateve r historical thin margins that we've seen is hopefully a thing of the past. So, our sense is that these EBIT margins close to this region should be able to play out over the next few quarters.

Yash

I just wanted to sort of confirm this again. So, you're target ing 5 to 5.5 GW order book this year. Is that what I heard, right?

Yash

You'll maintain your market shar e of over 30% or is there a scope to increase that further?

JP Chalasani

If I say that, I am giving you the guidance. Anyway, let's hope so.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Neha Menon, NVS Brokerag e Private Limited. Please go ahead ma'am.

Neha Menon

Just wanted to get some clarity again. So, regardless of the o rder book that we have each year, what is our annual installation target or you may say average installation capacity?

JP Chalasani

It's not an installation capacity which would vary on various factors outside on this. What we talk about is that what is our manufacturing capacity means lik e what is our supply capacity. It is what we mentioned. Currently w e can supply anywhere between 3.5 to 4 GW which would expand further.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Prateek Giri, Subh Labh Research. Please go ahead sir.

Prateek Giri

I have one small query. Recently, we read about NITI Aayog try ing to indigenize the wind energy equipments which are there. So, I was just trying to understand currently in the entire bill of material, how much of that BOM is actually import-dependent?

Himanshu Mody

For us, it's not applicable because we are much above the numb er what they're talking about. Our domestic component is much, much higher than what they're talking about. This is basically meant for other players. That's a non-issue for Suzlon.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Preet Nagared, Wealth Fi nsa. Please go ahead, sir.

Preet Nagared

So, the question sir I wanted t o better understand is that you were saying there's a huge C&I pipeline and you mentioned something between 15 to 20 GW of tha t pipeline. So, can you tell me what is the driving factor this which is leading to such a demand?

JP Chalasani

No, the 15 to 20 GW what I mentioned was the bids invited by t he government agencies. So, that is what is the number what I talked about. So, obviously if you look at on the wind capacity side, currently we are at 46 MW. The requirement to meet on the least cost option and demand projections for 2030 the least cost option is wind has to reach 100 GW. So, there is a 54 GW of capacity addition has to happen in a six-year period. So, there fore, to meet that is what government is actually planning everything. Because if you want to meet by 2030 that much of it, most of it should be awarded, let's say, if that is FY'30 or FY'28, you should complete all the awards. I think our expectation is that awards would be complet ed even much before that. But then depending upon the execution, like last time we mentioned, it's not 100, our expectation is we will reach somewhere 90, 95 GW definitely by 2030.

JP Chalasani

Simple reason C&I is raising i s that most of these large industries want to move away from fossil fuel if they already have a fossil fuel captive capacity or they are right now driving the grid into a captive capacity. People are switching over from fossil to renewables because one is the tariff arbitrage compared to the fossil because that any one of them, if they have a coal-based capacity that coal is very expensive for captive plants, they need to bu y the coal in the e-auction, they don't get the linkage. So, therefore arbitrage is one. And #2 i s that if you need to export your product outside of India, this is now becoming more and more restricted, that means product has to be green. So, mainly the tariff arbitrage, but otherwise als o in their own targets for carbon footprint, that's why C&I. In fact if you see not just here, everywhere it's happening. Even if you look at the US, the largest capacity is assigned today by people like Google, Meta and Amazon and type of a people. So, gigawatts and gigawatts of capacities of PPAs they're signing there to buy. So, it's a global phenomenon where everybody is working on this and the tariff arbitrage is really helping.

Preet Nagared

How do you see the impact of pump storage for hydrogen project s rightly enable the storage solutions? How does that help out for wind projects if you can share?

JP Chalasani

The pump storage, it's nothing to do with the hydrogen. Hydrog en can also help, but also what we are now moving is that from i ndividual solar and wind so we move to the hybrid and from the hybrid now we are moving to round the clock what is called the farm and dispatchable renewable energy. That means instead of intermittent power supply, the renewable energy if you want to compete and replace fossil fuel, should also be able to generate on demand the way the fossil fuel generates. Therefore, in the fossil fuel, what happens is that you give your capacity in 15-minute basis and you respond to the demand on a 15 minute block basis. So, now the similar thing is what the bidding is happening in renewables, where you need wind, you need solar plus you need the storage. Current options for storage could be either the battery or the pump storage or could be any other way. But having said that, because of this storage system, because we also need a stable power supply for hydrogen, it also helps hydrogen sector. But it's more a pump storage as the storage is basically to make renewable, not an i ntermittent power supplier, but supplier on demand 24/7.

Preet Nagared

So, you've seen that all these initiatives are basically enabler for the wind sector as well?

JP Chalasani

Sorry. Come again?

Preet Nagared

Would you say that all these initiatives and technologies are also enabling the demand in the wind sector?

JP Chalasani

Yes, yes. See, today if a load following FDRE bid, when I say load following, is that your client is a utility company or if it is a C&I company can give you wha t is the load profile on a 15- minute block basis for 8,760 hours in a year and you're supposed to set up capacity. If your PPA is for 200 MW to supply on this basis like your wind capacity c onsent requirement would be anywhere between 2.1 to 2.4x. So, that's the extent of wind capacity what you need to make the power on FDRE basis. If it is onl y the peak, not the load follo wing type of FDRE bids, then it would be anywhere between 1.4 to 1.5 times. So, today what is h appening, why wind has to grow is that every single project what is being executed or wha t has been bidded out are a combined projects of wind, solar or wind, solar and storage. So , therefore the project can only get commissioned provided wind a lso gets commissioned, because it's an integral part of a project. So, therefore today we reach a stage where how much wi nd capacity is commissioned would decide the total RE capacity getting commissioned. That's why wind is becoming critical. That's the reason you see more a nd more attention of government towards removing the bottleneck for wind sector.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Depesh Kashyap from Invesco MF. Please go ahead sir.

Depesh KashyapInvesco MF

I am looking at slide 22. I jus t want to understand what causes this volatility in the contribution margins -- is it the mix of O&M and WTG?

Himanshu Mody

Yes, as the share of business of the WTG goes up in the consol idated pie, the contribution margin on a consolidated basis will of course keep reducing because as you know the contribution margin in O&M is at almost about 65%, 66%, whereas in WTG for this quarter it has been about close to 23%. So, in the overall revenue pie, the more the WTG business, the consolidated contribution margins would keep reducing.

Depesh KashyapInvesco MF

Those fixed expenses that are be low this employee and those expenses, I see that other expenses are constant year-on-year. So, how do you expect them to grow like will it be fair to take it like a 10%, 15% increase year-on-year?

Himanshu Mody

Yes, I think that's a fair esti mate, about 10% increase becaus e of course correction in sort of operating costs plus certain employee cost, in addition to that, we are also incurring certain one- time operating expenses this year and getting our systems and p rocesses right by engaging various consultants. So, that ma y attract some small CAPEX and one-time P&L cost as well, which the fixed cost may look a little inflated for this year, but I think those are one-time costs for long-term benefit of the organization. Although they may not move the needle significantly, but your assessment is correct, about 10% to 15% increase on the fixed cost is what you should assume.

Depesh KashyapInvesco MF

Secondly, sir, your current EPC mix is around 33%-odd I think if I remember it correctly. How do you expect it to grow with your order book that is in the pipeline?

JP Chalasani

We have been at around 23%, 24%, now it has come to 33%. As ou r advanced land development what we talked about earlier as that keeps increasing so that our EPC percentage should increase.

Himanshu Mody

Whilst these two are not directl y related, but working capital is something that we said we are working on constantly and you may not see a significant improve ment in one or two quarters, but directionally we are striving towards improving the working capital mix. As I've always maintained we don't want to give a target as to what the NWC wi ll be and by when. But rest assured, we are working on optimizing the working capital mix for the company.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Manoj, individual investor. Please go ahead sir.

Manoj

I have a couple of questions. Th e first question is regarding the exit of Siemens Gamesa in India. How much market share will it increase in case of Suzlon? And t he other one is regarding the offshore business. Government has announced a viable gap fundin g regarding that offshore business. So, can you throw some light on the offshore development project, how are we going to develop that in the future?

JP Chalasani

Siemens Gamesa will not have any impact on our market share be cause we were never under pressure because of them in the recent past about market share. So, therefore, I don't think anything is going to happen because of their exit as far as the turbine supplies are concerned. I am not talking about the service business; I am only talking about the supply. As far the offshore is concerned, yes, there is 1,000 MW viability gap funding, but these projects bidding, and ultimately actual execution is four to five years away. So, therefore right now for the immediate future of next 4-5 years, the offshore is not going to move the needle for Suzlon .

Manoj

But that's the future, right, I can assume?

JP Chalasani

No, the future, it all depends like we explained earlier, the offshore in India is different from offshore outside India. In case of India, the generation gap be tween onshore to offshore is not significantly different compared to what is in Europe and other places. Generation gap in scale of not being much different, but the cost being very high. So, therefore, cost of generation today as we see today in the offshore is very high, anywhere between Rs.7 to Rs.8. So, therefore that sort of levels at this stage, I don't think that you could actually go and sell the power unless there is a viability gap funding and viability gap funding can come o nly for initial set of projects to encourage offshore to happen. So, offshore to become a signific ant potential for us or for any player is still far away. We are not saying that we will not ge t prepared, and we are preparing because we do have an experience of offshore as part of when RE power was part of us. In fact, including our current chief technology officer, everybody is we ll experienced in offshore. We have prepared for that, but for a guidance purpose, I don't think it's going to change needle much in the near future.

Moderator

The next question is from Sumukha Jamani, which will be the la st question for the day. Please go ahead.

Sumukha Jamani

I have been a long-term retai l investor for Suzlon. It's good to see come back from Suzlon from pre-COVID era to post-COVID era. Having said that, on a slightly negative tone, please excuse me if it's a repetitive question, Suzlon has been receiving a lot of penalty from the customs, etc., So, what has been done in this regard to prevent this from happening? I understand they will be appealed in courts. And just a follow up on that. Has the appointment of the legal firm Khaitan being finalized?

Himanshu Mody

So, hi, let me take both the questions. So, so far as penaltie s are concerned, of course, a lot of these relate to the past. So, at our end we are now working int ernally to make sure that all our systems are automized and its sy stem-driven, so that there is n o room for any human error and such penalties are at least minimized, if not totally eliminated. So, that is the endeavor where we are working on is installing all the relevant software, ERP too ls and sophisticated tools that are available, whether it's GST, any indirect taxes for that matter.

JP Chalasani

But having said that, I just wa nt to add is that it has not something suddenly increased. What we are seeing is a new regulation wh ere anything happens you're su pposed to inform the stock exchange. So, therefore that's why you're seeing this for every s i n g l e c o m p a n y . I t i s n o t something suddenly we started getting penalties. Any company fo r that matter of fact. It's a regulation today. If you get a notice you need to inform.

Himanshu Mody

So, of course that is one. The Khaitan was appointed and as we informed the stock exchanges at the end of our board meeting, the report was presented by Khait an to our board and they have found no non-compliances whatsoever in the company. There are c ertain suggestions that Khaitan has made for recommenda tions I would say for improvemen t and best practices adoption, which the company shall consider for implementation i n a phased manner over the next few quarters. But the repor t has been absolutely clear wit hout any red flags, or any non- compliances being reported in the report and the same has been presented to the audit committee and board two days back, and the same has also been disclosed by us to the exchanges.

Sumukha Jamani

Does that include grievances from the independent director as well, if I may ask this?

JP Chalasani

This is with respect to that only.

Moderator

Ladies and gentlemen, I would now like to hand the conference over to the management for the closing comments.

JP Chalasani

Thanks, everyone for joining th is and we would continue to keep interacting with you and even post this conference, if there are any further questions, any f urther information required, my colleagues from IR are always available and we are also always available for any specific information if you people need. Thank you so much for joining us.

Moderator

On behalf of ICICI S ecurities, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us and you may now disconnect your lines.