The first question is from the line of Chandramouli from Goldman Sachs.
Sep 2024 call
My first question is on the favorable margin performance this quarter. There seems to be almost 70 basis points Q -o-Q improvement in margin. And when I just look at it seasonally versus previous years, it seems to be a much bigger jump than we had seasonally in the previous year. So just trying to understand what were some of the factors that helped margin performance this quarter?
Anything else?
Yes. Second question is around capacity utilization at switches, castings and lighting division. You mentioned that you continue to be focused on expanding capacity there. So just trying to understand what is the current free capacity in each of these segments? And lastl y, third question is just to understand, there has been a meaningful pick up Q -o-Q in electric two - wheeler revenue that we've reported on the PPT. So just trying to understand what the profitability of that segment now looks like now that we seem to be at a reasonably good revenue clip on a quarterly basis?
Thanks, so in terms of starting with margin performance, so as we normally say, in particular quarter-to-quarter, our margins may not be the right thing to look at, given our business volatility. So, if we see, definitely, Q1 to Q2 seems a bit improvement, but if you see last year to this year, the improvement is roughly around 30 basis points. This is despite some of the businesses are in the expansion phase. Some of the plants, which are still into the SOP phase where the costs are lower, and we continue to have this phase for a good medium term. So, as you see, year -on-year, the margin came roughly around 30 basis points, and it is in line with the guidance, which we have provided at the beginning of the year. That's number one. Number two, in terms of capacity utilization for switches and casting you asked about, so the switches business, capacity utilization stands roughly at around 80% to 90%, and the casting business is at around 90% , 95%, broadly. And the third question was quarter -to-quarter EV 2- wheeler revenues and profitability, yes, there is significant growth in EV 2 -wheeler revenues as we have been expecting and guiding as well. In terms of profitability, it still is below our average profitability level that we get let the business, gets into a stable phase of us, still into a lot of expansion phase with the capex still being incurred and depreciation, etcetera, which will be awarded on the full capacity, which are not yet ful ly utilized. So, in terms of profitability, there is still scope for improvement and so is the business.
Got it. That's helpful. Just if you could clarify on the capacity utilization for lighting as well, please?
Okay. So, capacity utilization at lighting, I'll split into two, for 2 -wheeler and 4 -wheeler lighting. For 2 -wheeler lighting, we are roughly around 85%, 90%. And at one of the point actually we're at around 95%. And 4 -wheeler lighting, we are almost at the capacity at ou r existing plants, and that is why we have been expanding our -- putting new capacities at Khed plant. In the interim, we are having some makeshift arrangement from where we are supplying to our customers. So actually, we are in terms of existing capacity at some of the plants, we are more than 100%. And once this new capacity is up and running in the next quarter, we will have some breathing space.
The next question is from the line of Mumuksh Mandlesha from Anand Rathi Institutional Equities.
Congratulations on the strong results. Sir, firstly, can you talk about this TLA with the Mobis for the speakers? And how do you see the business opportunity with a strong partner like Mobis? And any order work in progress, sir? And sir, second part is, if possible, can you share EV-specific component revenues for the quarter or the first half for th e 2-wheeler and the PV segment? And also, any orders which are close to win in the e -axle for the PV segment? And lastly, sir, last year, Den so and TG has done very well, have grown 40% last year and an even JV, Katolec, has doubled to INR 670 crores in FY '24. Just want to understand your explanation for TG, just for Denso and Katolec, can you explain what is driving the strong growth and outlook for these two companies?
So TLA with Mobis, as you rightly mentioned, it is for speakers. Definitely, it's a big partnership. And with a partner like Mobis, there may be possibility of opportunities in future, but there is no discussion as of now. So, the idea was to get into a partnership with Mobis and that too with a business where one of our existing partner heads is under bankruptcy. So, this was a very welcome strategic move for us. So, on both accounts, one is partnership with Hyunda i Mobis, another is getting this technology wide, which definitely helps in getting some incremental business. Yes, there is a discussion with our customers and the order is in progress. As of now, it is not yet confirmed. We'll definitely let you know onc e the business gets confirmed. In terms of EV -specific revenues, Mumuksh, we have been giving our total revenues from the EV segment. So, if you refer to our EV slide for 2-wheeler, this INR 228 crores is revenue we have got from the EV segment. And that if you see from a total revenue perspective for 2 -wheeler, it's almost around 13%, 14%. And the EV penetration is around 7%. So definitely shows clear outperformance of our pie revenue share in EV. We are not giving EV -specific components per se, Mumuksh, as of now. In terms of e-axle PV order, we are at the final stages of discussion with our potential customers. Hopefully, in the current quarter, we should have some good news to share with you as well. Until then, I don't want to promise anythi ng because there's always, saying that there is always slip between the cup and the lip. So, unless it has happened, it has not happened. While we are working it very aggressively, we stay positive to have this business addition. And accordingly, we will time our investments as well. In terms of Denso, TG, Katolec, what is driving growth? So Katolec, first of all, is supplying all these SMT components to all our internal businesses of all these businesses which are seeing significant growth because of the electronic components being increased. It's clearly visible on the revenue of Katolec and continues to grow. In terms of TG, one of the largest business is airbag business, and last few years, the penetration or application of airbags has been consistentl y increasing, that has been driving the growth. And as I have said for airbags that TG Minda business has recently also sort of commissioned on the new plant, which is currently expanding into the airbag capacity. That business will continue to see significant growth as we move forward. And the third was on Denso, so Denso also if you see the Denso JV, which is infotainment, past few years, we have been sort of static at around INR 400 crores. And now recently, you see that some -- we have got some business which is now showing us a good growth, and we remain highly optimistic on the potential of the Denso infotainment business as we move forward. I presume I have answered to all your questions.
In terms of growth for these companies, should we expect very strong growth even ahead also?
Yes, absolutely. We do expect all these businesses continue to have growth more than the industry growth.
Firstly, congratulations on a very good set of numbers. Sir, my first question was on the alloy wheel business. If you could maybe provide us a breakup of 2 -wheeler alloy wheel a nd 4 - wheeler alloy wheel revenues? And also, can you help us understand what is the industry scenario on the 2-wheeler alloy wheel side. We knew that there was a lot of imports happening from China, which have been kind of coming down over the years. But w here does it stand today? And a lot of your peers and even some new companies are putting up capacities on 2 -wheeler alloy wheel side. So how are you seeing the prospects there? And on the margin side, I mean, has profitability kind of come down over the y ears? Or do you see that kind of getting impacted given that so much of capacity is coming in?
Okay. So I'll go one by one, Nikhil. First of all, thank you very much. In terms of alloy wheel revenues, as I said, for the quarter, the revenues f or 2-wheeler was around INR 246 crores. And for 4 -wheeler is around INR 460 crores for the quarter. In terms of industry scenario imports and peers putting capacity, I think you would have seen the same scenario happened in 4-wheeler segment also a few years back. So in the last 4, 5 years, there have been consistent increase in capacity by the industry. In fact, at a country level, we might be having surplus capacity. But as Uno Minda, we have been consistently investing in expanding our capacities that sh ows the strength the Minda group enjoys in terms of the quality, delivery, product consistency, etcetera, and we continue to win business and grow this every year, we have been announcing one or the other capex portfolio segments. Same has been sort of happening for 2 -wheeler segment, but it's a little different story because 4-wheeler was driven more by the application factor and 2 -wheeler is more driven by the import substitution. So to your answer is right , my point is right that the competition and peers are also putting capacity, but we have seen the same thing in 4-wheeler. So I think from industry perspective, that's a good news that, as a country level, we sort of zero on imports and everything should be locally manufactured. And as you see, while we have initially launched the project with capacity of only 4 million alloy wheels a year 3.5 million to 4 million alloy wheels a year and we had said that point in time, if you remember that we will announce the expansion after maybe 2 to 3 years of operation. But even after 1 year, we announced expansion from 4 million to 6 million, and now recently 6 million to 8 million. So we have also been consistently expanding. And in fact, we have been also getting a good traction from the custo mers in terms of growth. So that's where we are in the 2 -wheelers capacity. In terms of margin pressure, I think if you see generally across businesses, we are in a competitive world, right? And people will put capacities, business will continue to face competitive pressures. But that is the skill I think we have all learnt to how do we bring economies of scale, how do we bring in efficiencies, how do we do VAV consistently to make sure that we remain competitive. So in terms of margin, you might not see an y significant pressure, but there is a not any significant improvement as well. So the performance is broadly in line with our expectations.
Okay. Just a follow-up, sir, what would be the percentage of imports happening today on the 2- wheeler alloy wheel side? And has there been some like BIS regulations that have come in, which have further impacted the imports?
Yes, yes. So there is, first of all, on imports, I don't have any credible data as of now. My data is little dated. We are st ill in process of compiling, there is still some imports happening in 2 - wheeler. Maybe we will circle it back to you. We'll take a note of it. And second point was, is there any duty? There is no duty, but there is a prerequisite in terms of getting the QC O, the quality control order, which has come. So anybody who is importing has to get precertification of the approval from the government. So not a duty, but yes, there is a requirement of prior approvals.
Understood. And just last question. Can you just help us understand on the sunroof side, you had announced a tie up. So what are the timelines? And how are you looking at scaling up that business over the next 2 to 3 years?
Yes. So sunroof business, as we have said that this is currently linked to our customer SOP. So we will be setting up this plant at Haryana in Bawal. And the current timeline is in Q4 of FY '27. We are expecting the SOP of the customer line. And so will be our sunroof business we have secured. In par allel, we are working with other customers to see if we can get some traction to expand the business. But as of now there is one customer from which we have got the LOI and that's what I can say and SOP in Q4 FY '27.
The next question is from the line of Aditya Jhawar from Investec.
Congrats on good set of numbers. My first question is, if you can throw some light on the new order win, so it's very encouraging to see order win of hub drive motor and mid drive motor. If you can talk a little bit more about it that is it for an existing model or a new model, what could be the time of commercialization? And how is the ramp-up expected?
Yes. Thanks, Aditya. So in terms of the EV motor for hub drive, these are primarily the two businesses we have got from both the new age OEMs, and they are in the process of launching new vehicles. So this is not for existing model and same is for the mid drive which is from existing 2-wheeler OEM, who is in the process of launching EV 2-wheeler, maybe after 1 year, 1.5 years. The business is for that so all these are for new upcoming models. And it's very difficult to say ramp up, we have been sharing the target revenue numbers in the past. But since last couple of quarters we stopped, beca use we realized that the numbers which we have been getting from our customers, obviously, there were a lot of optimism, we found was building and market is still at nascent stage and growing at a very different and erratic stage. In fact, if you see last 4 or 5 quarters, the EV penetration in 2 -wheeler is up and down, up and down. But overall, trajectory is positive only with last quarter, as I said, 7.2%. So that is very difficult to say what is going to be the revenues at this stage?
Okay, that's understandable. Second question is on order win for wall -mounted chargers. So two-part question on this. Number one, what could be the dollar value that we can ascribe to this at peak scale? And what kind of profitability we should expect as compa red to company average profitability?
Again, sorry, Aditya, I have to say that. While I said this wall -mount charger business we have got from a Japanese OEM. Again, very difficult to say peak sales because we don't know what will be the EV volume.
What about the profitability for us?
So profitably, we are expecting once it reaches the peak capacity, it should be in line with our average profitability.
Okay. Okay. That's good to know. My final question is on the Lighting business. The expansion that we are planning in Indonesia. If you can throw some light that if you have to look at the next 3 to 5 years, how big this opportunity could become in terms of its contribution of the overall Lighting business? What kind of customer engagement we have? Is it -- a little bit more about what's happening in Lighting business in Indonesia?
Yes. So Aditya, as you would have seen that until now, we have been primarily operating in the 2-wheeler segment in Indonesia and Vietnam. Even the last expansion we did in Vietnam for lighting was primarily for 2 -wheeler. This is the first time we are putting a meaningful capacity for a 4 -wheeler segment in lighting. As of now, as I said, we have got an anch or customer with a meaningful indicated volumes which is what has motivated us to put a new capacity. And also move our existing capacity there because we are running short of space, otherwise we would have done in the existing plant itself. In terms of 3 to 5 years. Definitely, we are very optimistic, and that is why we have gone to a new location, so that it can cater to future growth. But as of now, the business is only from one customer. And maybe in the next 12 to 18 months, once this business gets int o SOP, we will be able to get more confidence from the other customers in terms of having a setup plus running operations. So it may take a little bit of time in terms of getting traction from the new customers or other customers, but that is the endeavour we have in terms of getting more market in that region.
And just a bookkeeping question. If you can give a breakup of other revenue, which has now become 21% of consolidated revenue in Q2?
Yes. So broadly, as I said, at a very high level, Aditya, sensors is roughly around INR 140 crores, controller is around INR 150 crores. so controllers and ADAS is around INR 200 crores. Our Westport JV is INR 120 crores and so is the blow -moulding JV with Kyoraku. I think these are at a very high level and EV JV with FRIWO is something around INR100 crores.
So sorry, FRIWO number is how much?
INR 100 crores.
The next question is from the line of Siddhartha Bera from Nomura.
Congrats on a great set of numbers. Sir, my first question is, I mean, on the TLA with Suzhou, any color there about investments? How much will be required by when you plan to start making them? And by when should we expect revenues to sort of come in, that is the first. Sir, second question is on the seating side. I mean, we continue to see a soft growth here, and we were talking of some customer addition here in the last quarter also. Do you think the ramp -up here will be a bit slower because I think earlier, we were talking about the INR 1,500 crores of top line for this segment for this year, seems like it is slower. So some color and outlook there? And third is, sir, if you just can clarify the net debt, again, I sort of missed that at the end of the year, how much is the net debt now?
Okay. So thanks , going in the same sequence as you asked the questions. So TLA with Suzhou, investment and when to start, as I said, back, we are maybe at last stages of securing a LOI. And then yo u know that we normally commit an investment once we have visibility on the clarity on the LOI. So hopefully, in next couple of months, we should be having that, and that is the time we will be able to come up with - how much will be the investment, etceter a. That's on the TLA with Suzhou. In terms of seating, last time you said new customer, and as I said, in this quarter, that new customers actually launched multiple models in this quarter. So we have actually got that customer onboard, and you will see some revenue growth as we move forward. Unfortunately, the export market, as I said, has taken a bit of shine out of the seating business that has got significantly impacted because of lower exports. And our INR 1,500 crore target was for '25, '26. Yes, as of far, it looks a little bit stretched. But let us see how we can catch up and if everything goes well, maybe we may still be at a striking distance to INR 1,500 crores for next year. In terms of net debt, it stood at INR 1,735 crores for 30th of September.
Sir, then a follow -up basically on the capex side now with so many new projects being lined up, what is the plan for this year? And how do you think we should expect for the next year as well, if I look at the overall capex?
Yes. Siddhartha, so capex, we continue to maintain the guidance what we gave at the beginning of the year, which is around INR 1,300 crores to INR 1,400 crores of capex, excluding land. And we are, I think, in that range for the full year. In terms of capex for next year, maybe we will let you know in May as we always do after our budgeting exercise. But you can assume the large part of project capex to continue as they are ongoing.
The next question is from the line of Raghu from Nuvama Research.
Congratulations, sir, on a strong set of numbers. Firstly, on the Korean OEMs, we have been winning business over the past few quarters. We have also tied up with Hyundai Mobis and Korean OEMs form a reasonably good share of the market? And how do you see the potential for us to increase exposure with them? Secondly, on the margin side, there has been an improvement Y -o-Y and operating leverage is also playing a role. Going forward, w ith commencement of lighting, switches, alloy wheel plant in the coming quarters, how do you see the further ramp -up in revenue and its impact on margins? Broadly, would you maintain that 11% to 12% range or you're more confident on seeing a better margin from here going ahead? And lastly, on the capex plan, it's INR 1,300 crores to INR 1,400 crores, how much would be the investments we would have this year? And also, how much would be the land -related capex? That's all from my side.
Thanks, Raghu. Thanks for the compliments. So in terms of Korean OEMs, obviously, as you rightly mentioned, we have been securing business in past few quarters, even though smaller, we have been gradually inching up and improving our share of business. But still, i n terms of opportunities, there is still a lot of scope, a lot of room for improvement, which we continue to work. In terms of margin improvement for light, switch, alloy wheel, a lot of capex, considering how do we see. And again, we have also been asked in terms of the margin guidance for the current year. So while we gave the margin guidance at the beginning of the year, Raghu, we have actually factored all these capex which will come on board. And that's how we are in the guidance of 11% plus minus 0.5% at a group level, and we continue to maintain that guidance. And in terms of capex, the number which I shared is actually for this year, INR 1,300 crores to INR 1,400 crores. Otherwise, if you share a total announce capex, which it is much more. An d the land -related capex, we have spent almost around INR 600 crores to INR 700 crores on land. This first half of INR 300 crores, last time we spent around INR 200-odd crores. And this year, for the rest of the year, we will have maybe around another INR 100 crores to INR 150 crores of investment. So in and around INR 700-odd crores of investment in the land.
The next question is from the line of Abhishek Jain from AlfAccurate Advisors.
In Lighting business, how is the share of business in 2-wheelers and 4-wheelers segment? And how much increase in the content per vehicle do you expect in Lighting business because of the LED penetration?
So Abhishek, lighting 2-wheeler share of business stands at around 27%, 28%, and our lighting 4-wheeler shares stand at around 15 -odd percent. And our target is to take it to 18% to 20% over the next few years. In terms of the LED, the value initially when we started, say, for headlamp or a tail lamp, the cost or the price of LED w as almost at 2.5x. However, what has happened recently is that because of the complete change in terms of new technologies and you would have seen a long-connected tail lamp, the kit value has significantly increased. And today, the kit value goes to almos t like INR 17,000, INR 18,000, Yes, that's an exceptional example and that too only for a tail lamp. So the tail lamp, which normally historically used to be say for at around INR 2,500, INR 3,000, it's almost going to INR 17,000, INR 18,000. So that's the delta and that's the potential. So while we are ready, we have all that kit value or in terms of product readiness, it all depends on the customers in terms of what is the vehicle design and what is the difference which will drive the value in terms of the market size.
Okay. And in switches side, revenue growth was around 13% in this quarter. So what is the region of the outperformance such as the industry growth? And how do you see the growth going ahead in the medium term because of that new business and the capacity addition?
So in switches, both the 2 -wheeler switch and 4 -wheeler switch has seen growth, and even if the kit value has improved, and we might have increased our share of business also marginally, which we calcula te on annual basis in -- specifically in the 4 -wheeler segment. So both the segments have actually driven the growth in the switching segment.
And so in the first half, how much is the volume growth in the switches? And how much is the increase in the value?
How much is the volume growth and how much is the value?
Abhishek, if you don't mind, can you take this off -line because it is very difficult to put a number on volume because you have multiple types of switches in a vehicle. So maybe we can understand the question a little bit more in detail and take it offline please.
The next question is from the line of Ashutosh Tiwari from Equirus Securities.
Congratulations on very good numbers. Just one question on the new JVs and subsidiaries like Uno Minda EV Systems and Kosei Minda older JV anyways that and Uno Minda Buehler and all were making losses in last year. Any turnaround happening in those, like, say, with the revenue ramp up, are they like breaking even now any of these?
Yes. So Kosei Minda definitely has come to black, Ashutosh, in terms of profitability. So there's definitely some improvement there. However, in terms of the other two businesses, they are still in the process of ramp up, specifically the Uno Minda Buehler Motors and the Uno Minda EV Systems in terms of the overall profitability, it is still below our target profitability.
So as these subsidiaries ramp up over the next 2, 3 years, and become profitable and probably achieve the normalized margins. Our margin profile will improve over the coming years.
Yes, that's what the expectation is...
Also like large revenue drivers, like especially Uno Minda EV systems.
Yes. You are right, Ashutosh.
The next question is from the line of Rishi Vora from Kotak Securities.
Congratulations on good set of numbers. Just one question from my end, sir. As we progress ahead, how are we seeing demand trends on ground as you will be receiving production schedules, especially across domestic 2 -wheeler and 4 -wheeler? And what is your take going forward in terms of how do you think the demand trends will play out? That's it.
Yes. So Rishi, I'm sure you've talked to a lot of customers that we normally don't second guess our customers. So the demand trend on ground is in line with our expectations. In fact, Q3 generally tend to be a little bit softer than Q2, but broadly, we are expecting the same trend as we have been seeing in the past to continue because Q3 also have normally the annual shutdown at the end of the year, so some volumes also get impacted and we get rolling 3 months of indents from our customers. So broadly, the indents are in line, I would say, because there has been some inventory also sort of cleaning up, which we hear happening after the festive season though we are yet to see any credible data. I'm sure we all need to see same news. From that perspective, we are pretty confident in terms of the demand. And as we move forward, medium to long -term demand, we are very optimistic on the industry volumes. And you would have seen the kind of investments we are making not only in the current capex plans, which are approved, almost 13 new plants are under construction, the way we have been building our land bank for our future growth, and we remain highly optimistic for industry growth for medium- to long-term perspective.
The next follow -up question is from the line of Mumuksh Mandlesha from Anand Rathi Institutional Equities.
Sir, in the presentation, you have mentioned about some EV products for the hybrid se gment as well. I just want to understand any supply for hybrids also we have started? And how do you see this potential for the segment, sir?
So in terms of hybrid, we are not part of powertrain as of now, Mumuksh, but we do have components which are part of the hybrid vehicles. So our other standard EV agnostic or the ICE gnostic products maybe like lamps or blow moulding parts or switches, they are all sort of going into hybrid vehicles as well.
As there are no further questions from the participants, I now hand the conference over to Mr. Sunil Bohra for closing comments.
Thank you. I would like to thank everyone for joining the call. I hope we have been able to respond to all your queries adequately. For an y further information, we request you to please do get in touch with us. Thank you, once again.
On behalf of Uno Minda Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.