Gabriel India Limited

Jun 2025 call

2025-07-30 Transcript PDF
Moderator

The first question comes from the line of Jay Kale from Elara Securities.

Elara Securities

So my first question is regarding your existing business. We had spoken of trying to get a lot of new orders or new customers and likelihood of gaining market share in 2-wheelers suspension. So I just wanted to check where are we in that trajectory in terms of approvals, in terms of incremental growth over the industry? And a similar question on the sunroof business as well , while you all have spoken of Hyundai, Kia as customers, but where are we in the discussions of getting orders from the other players as well?

Atul Jaggi

So thank you, Jay. The first part of the question is related to 2 -wheeler. Now definitely, as you have seen, the growth that we had in the first quarter was 12% against the market, which was relatively flat. Now there are two aspects to this. One is the new models, new model launches. And second aspect is where the customers where we are predominantly pr esent like TVS, Suzuki, Honda, these customers have shown a far better growth than the overall industry growth. While you know that Hero was significantly down this quarter, whereas the TVS, Honda and Suzuki have been continuously growing. So that is defi nitely helping our cause. The transition into a few multiple models in terms of the premiumization, the inverted front forks also helped in better price realization with the market because the upside down front fork production has been continuously increas ing quarter-on-quarter as compared to -- like last year, if I compare with the first quarter, the numbers were, say, around 2,000, 3,000 a month, which has now gone up to 15,000, give and take a month. So that also is helping the overall 2-wheeler story. Now coming to sunroof, with the other customers, beyond Hyundai and Kia, right now, again, the status remains the same. We are in the discussion stages. We have received the RFQs. We are responding to the RFQs there, but we don't still have a firm LOI from any domestic or any other customer beyond Hyundai and Kia. While with the Hyundai and Kia, the journey continues. But till now, we don't have a formal LOI from this customer.

Elara Securities

And just in continuation to that, this capacity increase of 200,000 to 400,000 does kind of factor in some bit of orders ex of Hyundai, Kia as well, right, to utilize those? Or these can be largely met by a ramp-up of Hyundai, Kia as well?

Atul Jaggi

No. So the second line utilization also considers the other customers. So it is not only 100% Hyundai, Kia, but some capacity consideration is there for customers and orders, models beyond what we have today.

Elara Securities

Understood. And just one more on the fasteners JV that you've recently announced. If you could just help us some flavor on where are we in terms of orders over there, key customers? And how do you see that ramp -up going forward? What should be initial revenue run rate maybe in the first or second year?

Atul Jaggi

You are talking of the Jinhap, the Korean JV, the question is?

Atul Jaggi

So currently, on that, we have to construct a sort of plant there. So we are at that stage where we will start the construction of the plant. And in terms of -- in the first phase, ag ain, it will start with the localization of the products which are being imported. The total import would be of the tune of around, say, Rs.100 crores, Rs.120 crores, which will be in the first phase. And then parallelly, while we are doing this, we will continue the engagement with the other customers beyond the anchor customers to sort of start filling up the order books. You would like to add something on this? Okay.

Elara Securities

And just one last question. Your margin trajectory, I mean, it has been impre ssive and trending towards 10%. But you had mentioned that this 8% to 10% journey…

Moderator

Mr. Jay, may we request you to return to the question queue as there are several participants waiting for the questions. The next question comes from the line of Mumuksh Mandlesha from Anand Rathi Institute Equities.

Anand Rathi Institute Equities

Congrats on the healthy results. Just firstly on the results side, what was this MMAS, the Chakan, Chakan 2 plant revenue and profits for the Q1? How that business is doing, sir? And in suspension side, we saw very good on CV railway segment growth. Can you just explain what led to the strong growth there? And on the sunroof side, can also share the PAT margin for this quarter, sir?

Atul Jaggi

Sorry, on the sunroof, I could not understand.

Anand Rathi Institute Equities

PAT margin. You have shared the EBITDA margin. Can you also share the PAT margin for the sunroof business for this quarter?

Atul Jaggi

Okay. So yes, first question, Mumuksh thanks a lot. The first question is on the MMAS. As I mentioned earlier also, we are expecting around the MMAS is contributing around 4% to the total top line of the Gabriel stand-alone. Now in the first quarter, we booked around Rs.30-odd crores of sales. We are looking at a better second quarter. But overall , the projections remain what I had mentioned in the past also, Rs.150-odd crores, which will be close to 4% addition into that. In terms of the profitability, again, as you know, again, plant to plant, it has now become another plant of Gabriel. So plant to plant, we generally don't share the profitability. But yes, we all -- we know there are certain challenges in the MMAS business. We are working on 2 aspects of it. One is to reduce the losses by sort of optimizing the cost part of it. And secondly, we are also looking at how do we sort of improve the order book, which will take definitely some time because it cannot happen in 1 day. So I'll not be able to share the exact plant-by-plant profitability of this, but what we are anticipating from that busin ess, that part of the business is being positive in Q4 and PBT positive.

Anand Rathi Institute Equities

Got it. And sir, on the sunroof side, sir, any further new orders win, sir or the last update remains same? And for this upcoming Hyundai Bc4 order, what kind utilization levels for this new plant we see with this order, which is flowing next year, sir?

Atul Jaggi

So for the new plant, I believe you are talking of the Talegaon plant, we are in discussion with the customer. The final decision is expected to happen in the coming weeks. So we will come to know about that. But yes, we are in advanced stage of discussions post the quotations that have been submitted. But we will come to know in a few weeks' time once the decision is done by Hyundai on the acquisition.

Anand Rathi Institute Equities

Got it, sir. Sir, on recent group acquisitions, any guidance you want to share how do you see the growth for each of these businesses over the medium term? And any data available, what could be the PVC revenue mix, ICE revenue mix for this company, sir?

Atul Jaggi

See, on the fastener business, what we have shared is we are looking at -- obviously, this year, we will be starting the plant construction and then the operations of the plant. We are looking at Rs180 crores to Rs.200 crores of revenue coming by 2030 is what we had projected and with a double-digit EBITDA is what we had already shared. The business primarily would contribute will be coming from the passenger car side.

Mahendra Goyal

Yes. So I think this business is with a concept of Make in India. And of course, all of us know that there are many players in India, but there are certain parts which are being imported by customers actually. And it's a customer -driven pro gram where we will have opportunity to localize parts for customers that help Make in India basically overall.

Anand Rathi Institute Equities

Got it, sir. And just lastly, sir, can you update on the capex side for this year? Because I think first quarter has seen a larger number for the suspension? Or can you just share the capex outlook for FY '26 for suspension, sunroof business, sir?

Atul Jaggi

So just to again clarify, Mumuksh, the first quarter where we see capex that also includes the MMAS acquisition part, which is around Rs.40 crores have been contributed there. The rest has been the regular capex, our expansion capex. And for the year, on the suspension business, we are looking at Rs.150 crores of capex. And IGSS, we are anticipating around Rs.50 crores, but that would all depend upon the acquisition and the Pune location. So that number may still change, but we are looking at Rs.150 crores on the suspension side.

Moderator

The next question comes from the line of Aditya Khetan from SMIFS Institutional Equities.

SMIFS Institutional Equities

Sir, first question is on to the front fork production. Sir, you had mentioned like this has ramped up to around 15,000 a month from earlier 3,000 a month. Sir, this has been particularly from which quarter, if you can highlight because w e look at the margin trajectory compared to last quarter has been on the lower side only. So just wanted to know this change has been from which quarter? And has that flown to the bottom line?

Atul Jaggi

So there are two aspects. Thank you, Aditya. There are 2 aspects to the question. One is the numbers that I mentioned were against for Q1 this year with respect to the quarter 1 last year, okay? So on the -- especially on the inverted front forks were the number. Secondly, on the margins, yes, while defin itely the margins from all the ramp -up and the new products have flown in, the certain challenge on the MMAS also has sort of has been there for the first quarter, which we have already discussed in the past also for which we are working on. And that is what I said in the previous question that we are anticipating that part of the business turning out to be positive by the end of the year, quarter 4.

SMIFS Institutional Equities

Got it, sir. Sir, on to the Chakan 2 plant, which we have stated that, that plant has been completed. Just want to know, sir, what was the capex figure? And what is the incremental revenues we are expecting from this plant?

Atul Jaggi

I just mentioned this. We are looking at around Rs.150-odd crores as an incremental business coming in for this year.

SMIFS Institutional Equities

Got it. And sir, on the sunroof side...

Atul Jaggi

Capex has already been earlier shared. They are all in the public domain.

SMIFS Institutional Equities

Got it. Sir, on to the sunroof side, sir, I just wanted to clarify the capex for H2 is around Rs.70 crores to Rs.80?

Atul Jaggi

See, for the sunroof, one of the key -- because we have already invested in the second line. Now the next capex would be coming primarily from a next plant coming in what we have been discussing. Now that will depend upon primarily the decision that happens on the business acquisition for the Talegaon plant of Hyundai and other customer RFQs that we are addressing. So once that happens, then the capex will come into the play for the second plant.

Moderator

The next question comes from the line of Param Vora from Trinetra Asset Managers.

Trinetra Asset Managers

So what I wanted to ask was that the company is already making sales to the railways. So can we see any growth expectations regarding financial year '26 and financial year '27?

Atul Jaggi

On the railways is the question?

Atul Jaggi

So definitely, again, railway, it is always linked with the number of bogies and the number of coaches that the government is planning for the new trains. We are present across all the product segments, including the Vande Bharat and Train 18 and the locos. So definitely, there's a lot of trust from the government on improving the railway connectivity. So we will see a growth. Now how much of -- what is the number of coaches tha t they are planning for '27, we will have to wait and watch, but we are anticipating a reasonable growth coming this year also and the next year also.

Atul Jaggi

So there are definite plans to improve the exports, not only in the shock absorbers part where we are in discussion with some of the customers. We are also loo king at improving the exports through 2 product subsegments, I would say. One is the solar dampers and second is the e-bikes, which is primarily for the European market. The solar damper is, again, a global product that is being done. We have already won a couple of orders where -- for the exports, where I'm expecting the production to start in the quarter 1 next year for the exports, while the solar damper production will start this year, but in this quarter rather. But it will be first for the domestic market and then it will be for the export market. Similarly, on the bike part, we are expecting the production to start by the end of the year or Q4 '25, '26, which will definitely add on to the export in addition to what we are in discussion with some couple of customers on the shock absorber side, the automotive shock absorber side.

Moderator

The next question comes from the line of Abhishek Kumar Jain from Alfa Accurate.

Alfa Accurate

Sir, in this quarter, we have seen that employee cost and other expenditure is high. Is it because of the integration of your numbers of the MMAS or is there any one-offs in this quarter?

Atul Jaggi

Yes. Thanks, Abhishek. So there are two aspects to it. One is the integration cost of MMAS has also been factored in and the -- some part of the Project Rise cost also has been factored in. The restructuring cost has been factored in for the activities that we have completed till now. So both have been factored in.

Atul Jaggi

So yes, these are all sort of costs that we have incurred, obviously, for all the growth activities that we are doing, there is no abnormal expenses that we have booked into beyond this.

Alfa Accurate

Okay. And a s you are targeting around Rs.150 crores revenue from the MMAS in FY '26, so what is your expected EBITDA on this Rs.150 crores revenue?

Atul Jaggi

So see, exactly, I will not be able to share. As I said, it is a plant of -- it is a separate one of the plant of Gabriel. So we will not be able to share the expected EBITDA. The only thing that, as I shared was we are looking at it being PBT positive by quarter 4 of this year. But again, just to clarify, it will have a lesser EBITDA than the standalone business.

Moderator

The next question comes from the line of Pritesh from Lucky Trading.

Pritesh

Yes. Sir, just one question. Now considering the consolidation of your group entities and addition of a number of product lines, if you have to call out the revenue growth rate combined entity, what should be the range of the revenue growth rate that you would look at considering the new -- the addition of product line and the product expansions -- capacity expansions that you are doing for '26 and '27? Any ballpark revenue growth you want to give out.

Mahendra Goyal

So I think from the consolidation point of view, of course, there will be -- something will be totally consolidated from the sales point of view and some of them will be not part of the sales, but we have to do the consolidation of whatever is as per the accounting standards. So I think we will have around 20% growth in the sales of Gabriel, which is the size of 2 businesses, which we have already shared on the invested portfolio when we have presented o r also reflected company-wide results. So those were available on those sites also basically. But this is what we expect around 20% growth in the Gabriel’s sales.

Pritesh

Okay. This is in addition to Gabriel's normal growth?

Mahendra Goyal

Yes.

Pritesh

Okay. Now on that base, if you have to look at your expansions, what kind of top line growth we should look at a year from now, let's say, in FY '27?

Atul Jaggi

Sorry, you will have to repeat the question. I think Mr. Goyal already answered.

Pritesh

I said on that base of FY '26, which is -- which we called out based on 20% addition to Gabriel's growth rate of FY '26, there is a revised base for FY '27 for FY '26, which are all the companies put together and all the businesses put together, which are an nounced as of now, what kind of growth we should look at 12 months from now based on whatever expansions that we have taken up?

Mahendra Goyal

FY '26, we should not be able to consolidate actually. It may take time from the regulatory approval point of view. So this will be the way it is Gabriel today, I think in FY '27, which will be the following year from FY '26, I have already answered the growth, which we are expecting around 20% growth of the combined entity.

Pritesh

Okay. My last question is, othe r than this, what size of business still stays out of the Gabriel listed as a group? How much business still stays out of Gabriel listed?

Mahendra Goyal

I think I already -- we covered it last time also when we have an investor call. But I think it's still to answer. We are fairly covered by 40% of the total group size with this consolidation exercise, which we did and rest remains with Anand Group actually.

Moderator

The next question comes from the line of Jay Kale from Elara Securities.

Elara Securities

Just in continuation to my earlier question, on the margin side, we had a target of 8% going to 10% for the standalone business ex of any of these acquisitions being done. Where are we in that? Of course, we traversed half of it. Any updated targets that you would like to share, whether those targets will be met in the next 1 or 2 years? And how are we looking at margins from here for the core business?

Atul Jaggi

So I think as we have been discussing, we are looking at the standalone core business as a double- digit EBITDA. The continuous progress is there over the past maybe 2 to 3 years. I think we have been improving the profitability in a very stable -- in a very systematic manner. As I mentioned that we don't want to do anything which is ad hoc by just cutting down some cost or something because we are also a growing organization. We need to factor in a lot of other aspects of the business to make sure that the business remains healthy. Our Core 90 program has been a great support in this journey, and we co ntinue to do. So the effort towards double -digit EBITDA remains there. And as we have already mentioned that we are looking at next few quarters, I think, crossing that number.

Elara Securities

Understood. Great. That's good to hear. Just one more question, sir, from your group entities getting integrated. Now of course, one is the financial impact. But from a business standpoint, where are you more excited about in terms of synergies? Is it that you will get more access to the global markets because some of the global -- because of the group entities exposure to the global market? So any cross -selling of products of the existing entity that is possible or any cost structure benefits that are possible? Where is the management most excited about leveraging the stre ngth of these group companies going forward?

Atul Jaggi

See, again, these are all, I would say, the 4 entities that I think we spoke about earlier, they are all sort of in different part of business. They're all in different kind of business. There will b e different synergies with them like the forging business that we discussed. Now definitely, we see a lot of opportunities looking at our strength in 2-wheeler there. Aluminum forging is something where the market demand is very high. There are not too many players or rather, I would say, good players in the market today. People are looking at various alloys for lightweighting, and we see a fantastic opportunity there for growth. On the other business, similarly, on the Anchemco business, the network that Gabriel has today in terms of our aftermarket presence and the brand that we have, we can leverage that brand, we can leverage the network and we can definitely -- in addition to the OE relationships, we can grow it in the aftermarket significantly. With the other two, it is primarily, I think it is more global relationships. It is more technology coming in. It is more -- so we will have to, over a period of time, see and build more synergies there. So some of them are, I would say, immediate short term, some of them we are looking at more medium to long term.

Elara Securities

Great. And just one last clarification on how do you see this PN3 approval for the sunroof business? Where are we in that? Of course, it's been rejected once, but you had mentioned that there is still effort going on. Any time line whether what eventually it will be? It will be 100%, 49%, 51%, 60%, anything on that? Any clarity on that?

Mahendra Goyal

See, as you know that the government of India is not permitting anything right now. I thin k all what we expect that I think the original understanding was that the Gabriel should be the minority. That is the original plan, which was even -- find another thing, but we see that, that is not happening. And we foresee that when we look at the India n government conditions, I think it's still -- I think the approval should only happen for minority shareholding for the Inalfa globally actually. Otherwise, PN3 application will not be approved.

Atul Jaggi

Those discussions are going on. It will depend upon two factors. One is the approval again. And the second is obviously the discussions with the partner. So once we file for it, we will definitely be able to share more details on that.

Moderator

The next question comes from the line of Mitul Shah from DAM Capital.

DAM Capital

Sir, I have one question on your sunroof business, as we got decent traction in last 1, 1.5 years. But after, still we are catering to Hyundai, Kia Group only. And as you also mentioned in your initial remarks that other OEM-related discussion is going on, but nothing concrete. So what would be the competitive landscape after considering other few players also entering in the same business with the global tie-ups and all these are like a global technologically superior companies. So what would be our advantage over others? And how do you see the situation and our market share ambition in next 2, 3 years?

Atul Jaggi

Yes. So as you rightly mentioned, I think when we started or when we had the agreement with Inalfa to manufacture the sunroofs, the competitive landscape was very different. Post that, today, the competitive landscape has dramatically changed with, I think, almost every key global player having some tie-up in India. And many of them have their own parent association globally with different customers. So that also has to be sort of factored in. And this is a product where -- which takes time for the OEM also because obviously, there's a long development time. There's also a long development cost that is engaged there. So it is unlike some of the other components where every model, every platform, this component keeps changing, the process here is a little longish. So considering all this, I think we are quite optimistic about the growth beyond the anchor customers. But we have -- again, I would say we are also fortunate to have 2 good anchor customers where we see a good growth path. But hopefully, I think in a quarter or maybe 2 quarters, we will definitely see some outcome coming in. The market will remain distributed. Yes, in terms of share of business, while it is today difficult to foresee how it pans out with different customers, but it will be quite distributed market the way it is seen.

DAM Capital

So based on this, any minor changes in the strategy or possible slower ramp -up going ahead, considering wait and watch situation initially and then we'll ramp up at a later stage or something like that on the slower capex or anything?

Atul Jaggi

So the only point is because all the investments that we had planned for the Chennai plant, we have already done. So the capex has already been executed there. Some of the businesses are there, some of the businesses in anticipation. Now the only point here is on the second plant, this is a product which cannot be comfortably and easily transported. So you need to be closer to the customer just because of the, one, the sheer size of the product and the logistic cost and secondly, the criticality in terms of aesthetics and handling. So this is what happens on the certain platforms that we are discussing both with Hyundai as well as the other customers. The only slowdown that may be possible, again, it all depends upon the decision that happens. If the decision goes in our favor, we may have to actually expedite the whole thing. If unfortunately, the decision is not in our favor, then we will have to sort of wait and watch on the future investment for the time being. But whatever has to be done in Chennai is already implemented.

Moderator

The next question comes from the line of Shubham Sehgal from SiMPL.

Yes. So my question was on the new JV we just had. So like you mentioned that our main reason to get into the JV was customer -driven itself. But I wanted to ask, so will this be only a local play or a global play and also the JV partner, what are the key strengths and their position in both fasteners and precision forged products globally?

Mahendra Goyal

Yes. I think, as we said, this joint venture we started now and the primary purpose is make in India for most of the customers. And of course, we will be looking global opportunities. That is definitely is part of the game actually. That is not factored in our business plan, but that is something which we will be exploring with a partner as we have done in other businesses. And similarly, this will also include the precision forging parts as part of the business plan.

So I wanted to ask what are the key strengths and position of our JV partner in the fasteners and precision forged products globally?

Mahendra Goyal

You are saying like what is the global presence of the JV partner?

Mahendra Goyal

Yes. I think the JV partner is primarily focusing in Korea, and that is what the plan is actually overall. So there are many players in this segment and the category of fastener is different in many varieties. In nutshell, around, I would say, $500 million partner actually basically.

And like what would be the key strengths of our partner?

Atul Jaggi

So again, as Mr. Goyal mentioned, the key strength is on 2 aspects. One is the sp ecialized fasteners, specialized coatings, there are fasteners which are needed with very special coatings for specific applications and obviously, the precision forging. So these are the 2 areas where this company works. The top line he has already mentio ned around $500 million is the scale of operations for them. And in addition they have presence in U.S. market.

Okay. All right. The next question was on the merger of the group companies. Could you let us know what would be the share of aftermarket for each of the JVs? And also what kind of synergies are we seeing?

Atul Jaggi

On the synergies, I just answered this question. So we are seeing some short -term midterm synergies with two of the entities. We are seeing some long-term synergies on technology on the global market with the other two, which is Dana and Henkel. And aftermarket presence, again, it is very sort of different across all the entities, the percentage…

Mahendra Goyal

It differs from the product portfolio point of view, fr om the segment point of view, 2 -wheeler, 3-wheeler, 4-wheeler and not only the commercial segment, when we talk about the 4 -wheeler -- but if I understand your question precisely, Henkel doesn't do much of the aftermarket. But from the Dana point of view, we have almost, I would say, around 25% of the market share in the aftermarket. And similarly, on the synchronizer rings side, there is no much of the aftermarket this segment. But similarly, on the other side, the Anchemco related business. So it's a very, very vast market actually from the different point of view like it's DAF, it is coolant, it is brake fluids, there are different products. So I think it's very difficult to calculate the market size as this market is also evolving basically.

Moderator

The next question comes from the line of Aditya from Securities Investment Management.

Aditya

Yes. So sir, what would be the capex for the fastener plant which we are building?

Mahendra Goyal

So the overall capex is -- I think we intend to have almost incurring in the project implementation around Rs.60 crores to Rs.70 crores altogether. That is for the entire project. Partly, it will be contributed through equity, partly it will be contributed through the term loans basically.

Aditya

Understood. And when will this plant start commercialization?

Mahendra Goyal

I think it should take a year from now.

Aditya

Understood. And sir, you mentioned that you are looking at Rs.180 crores to Rs.200 crores in this business by financial year '30. But sir, just wanted to understand what would be the total market for these imported kind of fasteners in India.

Mahendra Goyal

Okay. Let me try to give you this. Imported market should be, in my view, around Rs.1,500 crores.

Moderator

The next question comes from the line of Soham from RV Investments.

Soham

Sir, what was the revenue in rooftop segment -- sunroof segment this quarter?

Atul Jaggi

Rs.114 crores.

Soham

And sir, at what margin it was like EBITDA margins?

Atul Jaggi

14.4%, I think.

Soham

And what are we expecting for FY '26, like around Rs.400 crores?

Atul Jaggi

See, again, we will not be able to share the projections for the future quarters on per se. The EBITDA margin, as we have already mentioned, we have been having this kind of a margin for quite some time. We have always maintained that the competition is increasing. In the long run, we are expecting it to stabilize around anywhere, while the effort will be to have a better margin, but we are looking at a long-term 12%, 13% EBITDA stabilizing there. There have been some challenges in the first quarter with one of the models of Kia not performing the new launch, the Syros not performing up to March. Practically, June was almost nil production. So that has impacted the top line a little bit. We are not very hopeful even for the second quarter, but the projections after that have been sort of at least positive from Kia. So that would impact some of the top line growth as compared to the -- our projections -- earlier projections.

Soham

And on the Gabriel standalone side, like what volume increase we should expect for FY '26 compared to the industry?

Atul Jaggi

We will not be -- as I said, the first quarter has been good. We have outperformed the market significantly in all the segments. We just gave you a brief on that. For the full year revenue projections, we will not be able to share any forward-looking guidance, please.

Moderator

The next question comes from the line of Vishnu Selvam from UTI AMC.

Congratulations on a good set of results. I just wanted to get some clarity on the utilization levels for the second line once it becomes operational in '25. What kind of utilization levels are you looking at for the sunroof post operation?

Atul Jaggi

On the second line, we would be looking at say next year, we would be looking at around maybe 50% utilization is my estimate. We will have to sort of map the num bers. Just a second. I think we are looking at around 40% to 50% utilization on the current capacity for the next year.

Moderator

As there are no further questions from the participants, I now hand the conference over to the management for closing comments. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Atul Jaggi

Yes. Thank you. So I take this opportunity to thank everyone for joining the call. I hope we have been able to address all your queries. For any further information, please get in touch with any of us or SGA or our Investor Relations Advisor. Thank you so much for joining the call. Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. On behalf of Gabriel India Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.