Vodafone Idea Limited

FY2024 Q2

2023-10-30 Transcript PDF
Moderator

Thank you very much. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. The first question is from the line of Sanjesh Jain from ICICI Securities. Please go ahead.

ICICI Securities

First is on the subscriber side. We had a lower decline this quarter and 4G additions also improved over last few quarters , and one of our peer s who has reported their number on Friday also showed higher subscriber addition. Is it a market wide phenomena and what is driving higher subscriber growth in the industry?

It is a mixture of a few things combined together. One is that, of course, the market intensity is higher and the overall customer acquisitions and maybe the additions of customers in the industry is also increasing. As I have also probably said in the past is that the subscriber trends we see over the last few years is a mix of new subscribers coming in and multiple SIMs being consolidated. It is a little difficult to assess what is the impact of SIM consolidation. But I think probably that impact has reduced over a period of time, we should start seeing the real subscriber grow th figures. As far as Vi's performance is concerned, I think besides the normal performance improvement that we are focusing on in terms of getting better subscriber additions during the quarter and I think after a long time while the figure is quite nomin al, we've also seen a positive trend on the consumer side of the postpaid business. So, I think that is also helping, but one of the main reasons for the trend in this quarter is that we have participated in a government scheme and that has brought in significant number of new subscribers including 4G subscribers, so that is one of the things which has helped us in this quarter. But even without that, we would have seen an improving performance in this quarter over the previous quarter.

ICICI Securities

Fair enough. Second on the cash management side, I think bank debt with the Q2, we said that a significant pressure on us will be behind. So, now for second half, what is the bank payment left and how do we plan to incrementally utilize the capital with the repayment pressure coming down? Will it significantly go towards increasing the CAPEX?

No. We continue to incur some minimal CAPEX and that will continue as to the necessary CAPEX in terms of where we are operating today. However, our growth CAPEX in terms of expanding our 4G coverage and also rolling out 5G which will go side by side will happen based on the new funding being tied up. In the interim, since our cash generation will now be more than our debt servicing, we intend to use this for meeting our regular requirements, regular CAPEX and then to some extent this will go towards reducing the vendor outstanding. But any significant CAPEX will happen after the new funding is tied up.

ICICI Securities

And on the funding side, is it fair to assume that we are closer in terms of procuring the funding now?

I had alluded in the last call that we have made progress after the gov ernment conversion had happened. D iscussions are progressing and we've again made progress since our last earnings call. I would expect that we should be able to conclude these discussions , which are relating to the equity investors in this quarter, which is also what I had indicated in the last quar ter. With the banks, the discussions have happened earlier and currently the focus is on tying up the equity investment basis which the banks will process the request for bank funding and process t heir internal approval.

ICICI Securities

Fair enough. One on the I oT side , the capability showcases also coming from the technology transfer from Vodafone PLC because I think they are one of the largest as far as IoT goes?

Yes, that is right. We benefit a lot from what is happeni ng at Vodafone Group and their leadership position in the IoT segment. And I would describe this as two different parts. One is the volume driven IoT segment, which is generally going in metering and PoS applications where it doesn't require any significant support from Vodafone Group as it is more Indian business and that is supported by the India team. But if you look at the automotive sector, Vodafone Group is kind of leader in that. So, wherever value added IoT applications are involved, we do benefit from them and that is the reason why we also have the leadership position in the automotive sector in India today.

ICICI Securities

Got it. One last bookkeeping question, Akshaya. This Rs. 822 crores of tax liability or what we have recognized, how much of it is interest cost and how much of it is principal?

Murthy GVAS

So, Sanjesh, the 8.2 billion is actually the tax charge and interest is additional.

ICICI Securities

Okay, this is only the tax charge and interest will be over and above.

Murthy GVAS

Yes, that's right.

ICICI Securities

And we have not provisioned for it, Murthy?

Murthy GVAS

We have provisioned for it.

ICICI Securities

But not through P&L or it is sitting in the interest cost?

Murthy GVAS

It is sitting in the interest cost.

ICICI Securities

And what will be that number?

Murthy GVAS

We will not be able to share that with you separately because it is a mix of various things. The tax figure was more relevant.

Anything which is provided right now will give you a benefit later on. Since in our position we are not recognizing a deferred tax asset at this point of time so that contra effect is not appearing and I would say some of these provisions have also been taken on a bit of a conservative side. We believe that it could actually be lesser than this, but I think there are many interpretation issues and I would say this has been taken more on the conservative side.

ICICI Securities

And Akshaya, this should be paid in the cash immediately if it crystallizes or can you adjust against the deferred tax you have?

One is that we have large amount of tax refunds which we still have to receive from the tax department. Again, this is multiple years and it's a compl icated thing, but to my mind, most of it, if anything happens which will take some time because just to be clear, these calculations if somebody has to do they date back to the year 2000 and you do a cumulative calculation from that time. We've done a quic k calculation. I think these can convert to actual cash outflow once the tax department has done their working, they kind of come up with what their interpretation and calculation and there will be some difference of opinion on the interpretation, so I think it will take some time but most likely, and Murthy can add to that whether this would largely offset the tax refunds rather than resulting in incremental cash outflow.

Murthy GVAS

Yes, that's right. Sanjesh, the tax refunds are higher than this amount, but currently we have not seen the demand. So, till such time, there's a trigger either at an ITAT or a High Court pertaining to that year because of other disallowances , then that will lead to the tax officer recomputing tax liability. This will not lead to any outflow immediately.

Moderator

Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Kunal Vora from BNP Paribas. Please go ahead.

BNP Paribas

First one, how is the launch of 5G by competition impacted you so far? Are any of the corporate customers demanding that you offer 5G and would you say that like so far the impact is not much or it's something which is becoming worrisome?

Kunal, as you can understand, this is something which we track on a regular basis and we do believe that we will need to have 5G, but until now we have not seen any significant impact of 5G not being with us and being with competition. And the reason for that is that let's say, if we look at our trends of churn for 5G device owners and non-5G device owners, there's no significant difference which would be relevant. Also if we look at the postpaid subscribers, which then generally is seen as a kind of surrogate for the higher ARPU subscribers or people with more 5G devi ces, actually in that segment in this quarter we have after a long time seen a grow th in the net ads in the consumer segment. So, really speaking, both these are indicators that this is not impacting us so much. And the reasons for that are that while 5G is a good technology, whether consumer feels the difference is one thing. And second, as we have discussed that while today people are not paying f or 5G usage as and when it comes to time for payment of 5G usage, currently, the experience on a small handset device is not that different. But your data consumption for watching, let's say YouTube video would be much higher. It is one of the challenges which ultimately will be there and those who understand it, they may find that. Of course, as the networks get a little more ubiquitous , experience of people on 5G will improve. So, I would say it will deliver a good experience over a period of time, but whether people are driven by the need for 5G, we've not seen any significant impact until now.

The SG&A cost, generally, on the customer acquisition part, which is the part of this cost, the cash cost would have gone up a little bit in this quarter. But if you recollect , last quarter we had made a change in the life of customer. Because of which, the deferment being lesser, the impact on the P&L was higher. So, this quarter, there is no impact because of the change in life. So, from a P&L charge, it is appearing better and we've also taken some initiatives to reduce the cost on the SIM side. So, just from a pure market a ctivity, given that our gross a dds are higher in this quarter , our overall market-based customer cost of acquisition has increase d. But that has been offset by other savings, largely in cost savings, as the deferment being higher in this quarter because last quarter we had changed the life of the customer.

Murthy GVAS

Also, there have been certain cost initiatives on the content side, which has led to certain savings, which we expect to continue.

BNP Paribas

Okay, thanks. And is there any change in competitive intensity in the market?

It is somewhat higher than what we saw in the last quarter particularly on the industry side.

BNP Paribas

Thanks. And you had announced the promoters would support Vodafone Idea to the extent of Rs. 2000 crore s. Is there any update on this and you made a payment of Rs. 1,700 crore to government recently. Did you get any funding from promoters?

No. In the last quarter, we had gotten a letter from the promoters that they will support us to the extent of Rs. 2000 crore. Till date they have not actually contributed anything. We had gotten some bank funding to tide over the short term mismatch that we had in the last quarter. The promoters’ commitment is there. They have said that they will support as and when required. And we expect that this promoters ’ contribution should also come alongside the tie up with the external investor.

BNP Paribas

But is that subject to external funding coming in, or even without that, the Rs. 2000 crores will come?

BNP Paribas

And any impact of Jio Bharat that you've seen so far?

Actually not very much, and the best i ndicator of that would be that, this was the quarter where we did most of our intervention of changing the entry level pricing , and that would probably have been a factor because the Jio Bharat phone was targeted more towards the people who were on entry level pricing or let's say, who wer e on the non-unlimited plan. So, if that was going to happen, significant impact or any impact at all, I think it would have reflected some impact on as we took the changes in the entry level price. Since that has not happened, that is one very clear indicator from an external perspective. But let's say this is not the subject of discussion anymore because it's not had any impact, so to say.

BNP Paribas

And lastly on the Supreme Court decision, would you be looking to contest it or do you think it does not really have any meaningful cash impact to like?

Murthy GVAS

So, we are evaluating that and we'll take some time on this.

Moderator

Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Himanshu Shah from Dolat Capital. Please go ahead.

Dolat Capital

So, one question. We went back to Supreme Court filing a curative p etition with respect to the differences or errors in the AGR liability. So, just want to understand what is the difference that we are envisaging? And why we are going back after almost a gap of 2.5 years since this amount was crystallized over the last Supreme Court judgment?

Before I answer this question, let me just say that the matter is before the Supreme Court. And so any response that I'm giving should be seen in light of the fact that this is subjudice. I'm just trying to provide as much clarity and information on the subject, but ultimately the final result will be what the court decides. Having said that, if you remember that , we have been at multiple times saying that there are errors in the demands and the Supreme Court judgment, which was given in 2020, had kind of mentioned that the demand which was captured in the affidavit filed by the DoT in the court at that time where this information was sought was kind of fixed, although DoT in their own filing the affidavit, they had said these are provisional in nature. Now post that , we had filed a review petition against the judgment of October 19, which was disposed of. And then we had filed another review petition post the judgment of 2020. This was filed in 2021. That review petition has not been disposed off. And since that was taking some time, we thought that at this point of time it would be best to file a curative petition because looks like the review petition one was rejected. In any case, we had to address that. And the other one was not progressing. So, one thought earlier was that both the review petitions we disposed of, they were relating to the same matter and then file the curative, but since that was taking some time, we finally decided that we should file the curative petition. In terms of the fact that there were errors and demands, this has been a matter of public knowledge. In fact, when the judgment was announced, DoT had asked us to do a self-assessment exercise, which was then kind of not proceeded with because that was the court direction. We had also filed our figures of self - assessment and all. So, it is clear knowledge that there are some errors in those demands and we have requested the Supreme Court to allow the DoT that if there are any errors in these demands, they can be corrected because I don't think any government would like to recover demands which are not right. The second prayer in the curative petition is also seeking waiver of penalty and interest thereon. And the rationale for this is that since till the time the last judicial pronouncement of this was given by the Tribunal, I think somewhere in 2015 the matter was largely divided in favor of the industry . So, really speaking, there was no opportunity to pay because the matter was decided in favor of the industry largely, and at that time TDSAT had directed the D oT to issue fresh demand based on the TDSAT judgment at that time. However, since DoT had gone into appeal in Supreme Court, they had not raised any revised demands at that point of time. So, basically the intention of the service providers is that there should not be any penalty levied, interest itself is the time value of money is being c overed by that, and in this case the interest itself was penal in nature. So, in summary, there are two prayers, one is allow and direct the D oT to make correction in the demands which they had provisionally raised earlier. And secondly, waiver of the penalty and interest on penalty there.

Dolat Capital

Sure, sir. This is very helpful and very clear. Just a small follow-up on this. Will there be any kind of hearings on the curative petition or the court will just review the filings and basis that they will unanimously decide on the curative petition, whether to give any kind of revision or not, this is one? And are there any timelines with respect to the curative petition outcome?

Himanshu, I'm not an expert on the subject, so don't hold me to what I'm saying, but my best understanding today is that first the court has to decide whether they will admit the curative petition or not, and that is the first decision to be taken. If it is decided that it will be taken, our sense is it would most likely be heard in the court, but I'm not sure about that. In terms of timelines, I think we cannot comment on the timeline that is for the court to decide.

Dolat Capital

Very helpful. So, with respect to one equity funding from external parties, any color you can provide on the quantum of fundraise that we are looking for from external parties?

I think Himanshu, while we are working on specific figures, given the nature of these discussions and the sensitivity around them, I would avoid answering that question at this point of time. But let me just put it this way if it is of any help that we have a business plan with an investment plan and basically the total equity plus bank funding that we are targeting is of a nature that we should be able to use that funding to make the investments and then improve the operations to a point where the balance sheet of the Company is addressed to an extent that we then become self-sufficient both in terms of cash generation from busines s being able to meet our requirements largely and if there is any gap to be able to raise new funding. So, all that I can say is that we are looking at an overall funding which will meet our requirements where currently our cash generation is less till we get to a point of self-sufficiency based on our projects.

Moderator

Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Aliasgar Shakir from Motilal Oswal. Please go ahead.

Motilal Oswal

First question was on your network coverage. So, while I see your coverage both in terms of population coverage as well as consensus towns have improved or at least remain stable, but your unique sites have to some extent, although very little but kept reducing. Are these overlapping sites therefore that we are reducing because also your total broadband sites have reduced or how should we see going forward in terms of our unique sites coverage expansion?

The real figure to be seen in terms of network coverage is the network coverage in terms of population, which is improving. And the point you are mentioning is mostly technical. What is happening is a lot of 4G is coming out of a 2100 frequency band being deployed for 4G. So, let us say that if in a particular circle we had deployed some 2100 for 4G already, but we're using one carrier of 2100 for 3G because that was the need based on the 3G devices in that location or in that circle. That would be counted as one 3G site in 2100 and one 4G site in 2100. Now, if that spectrum is refarmed to be used completely for 4G, then what you would say is that the number of 4G sites remains the same, but the number of 3G sites reduces. So, what is happening is that the overall broadband sites would show a reduction. So, that part is only technical. I think our capacity has been constantly increasing. Our coverage is increasing, though marginally and this reduction in broadband sites is more technical because of what I explained to you.

Motilal Oswal

Understood. This is very clear. And what about the unique towers, although that has reduced by a very little amount, but that has also been reducing every quarter. So, how should we read that?

So, let me answer that based on what I can tell you and if there' s anything that Murthy or others would like to add , they can do so. One of the reasons is that currently we are not rolling out new physical site, that is very few and some of these sites which are getting closed down are also because of landlord issues or those kinds of issues . So, some closures keep happening for that reason, and I think it should be largely representative of that reason unless Murthy wants to add something on that part.

Murthy GVAS

So, if we look at these numbers on a quarterly basis, there's hardly any difference except for a few and that I think is just normal.

So, that must be because of these, either because there is some safety concern, which government authorities kind of say this has to be closed or there is any landlord issues and the landlord says that we don't want to con tinue with that site . I think a minor reduction is happening probably on that count and since our new rollout is minimal at this point of time, you may be seeing a decline. This closure of sites happens with everyone, but because they rolled out more sites, so it may not be appearing so in the other case.

Motilal Oswal

Got it. This is clear. Second question is on the subscriber churn and dilution. While you did emphasize that you may have not seen as much impact in the low subscriber category because of the competition, but more so because of the revision in the price plan that you have done. Having said that, the 4G subscriber base has seen improvement. So, if you can just give us the overall perspective in terms of dilution, where are we seeing this, is it mainly only in the lower ARPU category and the premium segment we are gaining customers or how should we look at this, if you can just share some light?

While in this quarter w e have had a price intervention, g enerally speaking, post - December 21, there has not been any significant price intervention except this one where we changed the entry level pricing. And if ARPU is improving in that scenario, it is based on some interventions and upgrade of subscribers. So, it is very clear that on an overall basis, the subscribers are getting added to the higher ARPU category. In terms of churn, you're right that we are seeing most of the churn at the lower ARPU categories and some of it might have also been accelerated by the change in entry level price. So, I think that lots of subscribers churn is happening at the lower ARPU segment. So, I don't know was this your question and have I answered it or you're wanting to understand something?

Motilal Oswal

Yes, so point is basically at the premium end we have been able to more or less protect the customer base.

That's right. And as I said, in this quarter, we have also seen after a fairly long period of time, we've seen an ov erall decline in the number of s ubs and also on net addition in the postpaid sum, that's a marginal number. But that has happened after a long period of time. And that clearly shows that in terms of attractiveness of our proposition as far as subscribers are concerned, we are moving in the right direction.

Motilal Oswal

Right, got it. And just last bookkeeping question. So, we have about Rs. 7,174 crore of debt which is coming up due before 30th of September, 2024. So, would you be able to share, is this entirely coming on the 30th? Or it is coming in tranches and what are those dates and is this bank debt or are there any government obligations also part of this?

Let me try and answer to the extent I can and then Murthy can add on to that. So, firstly, this is spread over a period of time. Secondly, this is excluding the covenant breach related reclassification. It includes Rs. 1,600 crores of OCDs, which were issued to ATC. And if those get converted, then this will not need to be serviced. So, that is one part. The rest is bank debt, which is spread over, which is in the nature of amortizing this. I think one main figure would be that there is Rs. 2,000 crores of debt which we had taken in the quarter gone by as we said for taking care of the short term funding gap. And that will be rep aid in next quarter, which is Q4 FY 24. So, that is a larger debt servicing, otherwise the remaining debt is more of an amortizing nature. Murthy, is it right that 7,174 includes the OCDs of ATC?

Motilal Oswal

So, rest of the nearly Rs. 5,500 crore is spread across different period s of the year, right? And out of that Rs. 2000 crore as you mentioned is one tranche which will come in 4Q?

Murthy GVAS

Yes, that is the single large tranche. The rest of it is mostly amortized.

Moderator

Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Santosh Sinha from Emkay Global. Please go ahead.

Emkay Global

My question is regarding this Rs. 822 crores tax charge post Supreme Court judgement, so how judgement will actually impact the P& L going forward. That is my first question and second is regarding any major cash payment that has to be done in 12 months. So, these are my two questions.

Murthy GVAS

The first is that you see what the Supreme Court said is that the revenue share license fee, the tax allowability of that would be in line with the upfront license fee that was paid at the time of acquiring any license. And since that's happening now, then what will happen is that if you take a 20- year period of a license, then in that case one will tend to get 1/20th in the first year, 1 /19 plus the 1/20th in the next year. So, it's basically a waterfall that will happen and the second half of the license period, one gets better tax allowability as compared to the first half of the license period. As far as we are concerned, given that we are into losses, this is a onetime charge for the past years until such time that we get back to profitability while the taxable computation would obviously be a little lower than your book loss, it does not result in any tax outflow. This would possibly affect organizations and entities which have a taxable profit rather book profit because to the extent the tax profit would be higher.

Moderator

Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Sohan Joshi from ASC Consultants. Please go ahead.

ASC Consultants

Just one confirmation . In one of the previous question s, you said that since you have a good amount of cash now available be cause sizable chunk of the debt has been paid and you will be clearing the outstanding dues of the vendors. So, is it that before receiving those external funding and promoters funding, we are targeting a certain higher percentage for clearing the vendor payment so that the balance funding will then be entirely deployed for the growth CAPEX only?

Whenever anybody is providing capital today, the basic driver of that capital is that it should be invested in growth CAPEX because that is the m ain reason why the lack of investment is preventing our ability to compete in the market, primarily the lack of 4G coverage. So, any new funding which is coming either from equity or from banks, the main objective of that funding is growth CAPEX. However, given the fact that we have accumulated some vendor overdue and which is also happened somewhat because of the fact that we have continued to pay the bank debt on schedule on a regular basis, we are in discussion with our funding pro viders that some part o f that we earmark to clear the part of the vendor overdue and the rest will be cleared over a period of time out of the internal cash generation.

ASC Consultants

That was helpful, s ir. The second question, we have a significant stake in one of the vendors’ entity. So, up to last year there were plans that we might plan to sell out some stake in Indus. Is it that we might go ahead next year to sell out some of the stake in Indus or will continue the current capital allocation only?

Vodafone I dea does not have any stake in Indus. That stake in Indus is led by Vodafone Group. I cannot comment on behalf of Vodafone PLC. That is a question t hat can only be answered by them.

Moderator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question of our question and answer session. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Akshaya Moondra for closing comments.

Thank you, Ziko. With improving operations, we saw the lowest quarterly decline in subscribers post merger. We have reported 9 quarters of sequential growth in ARPU and 4G subscribers. We remain focused on providing competitive data and voice experience at locations where we are present and are building a differentiated digital experience adding several digital offerings in the recent quarter. Our share in gross customer addition continues to remain higher than our customer market share for last several quarters, clearly reflecting our ability to compete in the market once the investments are in place. We continue to remain engaged with our lenders for further debt fundraising as well as with other parties for equity or equity link ed fundraising to make required investments for network expansion and 5G rollout to compete effectively. We have been improving our performance with limited investments and we are very confident that with the investments coming on stream, we will be able to make more meaningful improvements in our overall performance. Thank you all for joining us on this call. Have a very good evening. Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. On behalf of Vodafone Idea Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us and you may now disconnect your lines.