Nuvama Wealth Management Limited

FY2024 Q3

2024-02-14 Transcript PDF
Moderator

Thank you very much. We will now begin the question and answer session. The first question is from the line of Amit Jeswani from Stallion Assets. Please go ahead.

Stallion Assets

Congratulations, Ashish ji for a great set of numbers Ashish ji, my first question is a bit more long term and just wanted to understand. Assuming today we are at INR 177 crores of profits and Nifty, one year from today is broadly where it is today. Would there be any difference in our facts? That is number one. Number two, is typically globally wealth management industry grows at three to five times the capital market industry. So would you say that since our penetration is low, that if assuming Nifty doubles in the next how many ever years, Nuvama's profit shou ld ideally be three times higher than or four times higher than what it is today. Is that a safe assumption to make?

Too complex, Amit, for me to answer this. I can only say…

Stallion Assets

But if you see it happened globally, the same trend is there.

So let me give you how I see the overall business. So again, if you look at the entire space of financial services, wealth management, in my view, is one of the most nascent pieces because India is still evolving, right? I mean, we are talking of 3,500 families. Our competition has some 7,000, somebody has 9,000. These are really small numbers. And even if you look at the assets under, I would say, client assets, not under management or advice, client asset numbers are also not very high in terms of the size of the country and the potential which it commands. So I think it's a very, very long runway ahead. Overall, obviously, you understand the equity markets far better than most of us. Equity markets should do well because if the underlying economy is doing well. And essentially, if the markets do well, Amit, if real estate does well, if these two things are doing well, who are the owners of these assets? The owners of these assets are finally individuals, right? Eventually, all these individuals who own these assets, in whichever part of the wealth spectrum they are, whether it is retail, mid -market, high net worth, ultra high net worth, their wealth is continuously going to increase. So one increase is obviously, let's say, you said from market increase, right? So if I'm holding Nifty, I will gain by that much just by holding Nifty. In addition to that, I have a salary income or a business income from which savings is getting generated. So, if you combine the two, obviously, wealth management will grow at a far faster pace than the market itself. So theoretically, what you're saying is absolutely correct.

Stallion Assets

Got it. And my second question is on allocation, on capital allocation. So we generate a lot of cash flows. And would you -- would it be right for me to, we are at 27% ROE, would it be right for me to say that our goal would be to reinvest in the margin fu nding and the ESOP loans that we give from the cash flows and reinvest our cash flows or we would move to a 30% dividend payout kind of structure? Because our competition has moved to a dividend payout structure. So just trying to understand, Ashish ji, how you think about it.

So we will move to a dividend payout structure. We don't intend to use the cash we generate to, you know, grow the book. The book which we run, Amit, is a facilitation book. It's not a target which we run that we need to grow the book which we run Amit is a facilitation book. It's not a target which we need to grow the NBFC by 20%, 30% every year. In wealth management, lending is just a facilitation part. It's on and off. There are times when your book will grow in a quarter, then it may come down. But we will move to the dividend model and not reuse cash in this. There could be other growth avenues. There could be something else where we will use. But for that, I think am ple amount of cash is getting generated that we can pay dividend and retain some. I mean, it will be a combination of both. But to answer your question, we will be more tilting towards the dividend side.

Stallion Assets

Got it. And my third question, Ashish ji, is about the recent SAT order which happened. Of course, Edelweiss has said that they have already indemnified you and they've given out in a press release. So whatever happens in the Supreme Court, like I've gone through the details, looks like it's a very -- should be a very easy case for you guys to win. And with very high probability, you guys should win. But just in case, like a very small 10% probability or a 2% probability that it doesn't go as per our things, then Edelweiss will pay the entire amount directly and we've got nothing to do with it, right?

See, it's a matter which is sub judice right now. And anything I say can be used by the opposing councils in the court. So I can only comment limited amount. I can say that it's a, like you said, I mean, it's a low probability event. It's a four-year-old matter of a discontinued line of business. We completely complied with all the regulation, no money was retained by us. It was given to the Clearing Corporation. And in the low probability event, even if it happens, I think we have a strong promoter, we have Edelweiss backing. I don't think it's going to impact any of our businesses or strategic growth opportunities. So one-off, if it happens, low probability, we'll handle it. I don't think it worries us at all.

Amit Jaiswani

Got it. Thank you. Thank you, Ashish. So nice speaking to you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Prayesh Jain from Motilal Oswal. Please go ahead.

Motilal Oswal

Hello. Good morning, sir. Congratulations on a good set of numbers.

Motilal Oswal

Sir, just firstly on the Nuvama Wealth piece. If we look at the net new money that gets -- that's been getting added, it's been from the peak of around INR 2,400 crores in 1Q, we came down to INR 1,300 crores and now to INR 640 crores. What's really transpiring out there? And how should we see this? That is the first question. Second is, on the same bit on the retention that has been kind of coming off from 1.09% to 0.98% in Q3. How should we read this and how should we look at it going ahead?

So net new money, basically, actually we disclose limited lines. So you're obviously right in saying what you're saying, because you're seeing the headline numbers. But the way we look at it, our focus obviously is on MPIS. And when we look at the flows in MPIS, the 641 actually translates to 1,050, which was about 950, 960 in last quarter, and about 1,500 in Q1. So it will keep going up and down. But from a trend perspective, I don't think there is anything to worry. First quarter, we had some bumper sales happening in one of the products which was closing, but otherwise 1,000, 1,100 and 1,200 every quarter in MPIS. And maybe in one or two quarters, we will start disclosing that line. This number has become 641, because we had an ESOP repayment of about INR 400 crores in HDFC Bank case when the price went up. So that went away. So ex of -- if you look at ex of loan assets and ex of broking assets, actually, Q-on-Q, it has gone up by about 10%. And on yields, it's a very simple thing. The mark -to- market on the broking part has been slightly higher, which is why your MPIS portfolio doesn't move that much by mark-to-market. So on the overall portfolio, there is a 4-5 basis point movement, which will get corrected in Q4, because Q4 typically is a higher insurance kind of a quarter. And insurance from a yield perspective is more bumpy. So it will come back to maybe 1.05, 1.1 by the end of Q4.

Motilal Oswal

Great. And just on this Nuvama Private, again, you know, from a new money flow perspective, could you throw some light there as well, the way you explain this? We have seen very strong in this quarter, which was closer to INR 5,200-odd crores. So just throw some light there as to how is this shaping up?

So I keep saying this, Prayesh, that it's not right to track so granularly quarter -on-quarter. This quarter has been very good because across categories, I mean managed products, loan assets, your ARR assets, every category flows have come. Maybe next quarter, it could be slightly lower or ballpark in the same magnitude. But there is decent client activity now, which is happening across the board, which gets reflected. We only get worried when you consistently see outflows from a good yieldin g portfolio on a consistent basis, which is not visible in any part of our business right now.

Motilal Oswal

Just to look at these two businesses combined, and possibly you can share this separately as well, as to what is the share of mutual funds? And in fact, we've been telling earlier that we want to increase the share of mutual funds and we're investing in th at piece of business. So where are we and how do we see this going ahead?

I think right now, it's early stages. And I don't think it will be just mutual funds. It's basically entire category of assets in which you earn trail. So it could be a PMS, it could be a CAT 3 AIF, it could be a mutual fund, depending on the customer preference, customer need and customer choice. Nuvama Wealth may have a higher proportion of mutual funds and Nuvama Private may have a higher proportion of PMS and AIF. We've started investing and focusing on that. I think maybe in two, three quarters, you'll start seeing and maybe I can disclose separately the numbers, which we'll start seeing. Right now, I don't think it's become meaningful. We have started seeing the green shoots. What we used to do in a year, we started doing in a month.

Motilal Oswal

Sir, my last question is on the profitability. We've seen a significant improvement in profitability for the entire company as a whole, but a large part of it seems to be coming in from Nuvama Wealth and from the capital markets business -- and largely from capital markets business more so, which is kind of cyclical. Would you say that this profitability in the capital markets business is not sustainable? And in case of cyclical downturns, what should be a normalized profitability in the capital markets business from a mid -cycle perspective? We are right now in a boom phase. So in a mid -cycle perspective, how should we look at the profitability in this segment?

So if you look at our capital, so overall, if you look at the cost income and if you look at the three-year trajectory, right. We would have moved from -- overall business has moved from, let's say, in FY'21, we were 73%. Then we came to 70%. Then we came to 69%. This year, hopefully, we will end up anywhere between 63%, 61%, 62% ballpark, that range. From 73% to 69%, if you see the entire benefit came from the operating leverage of wealth management because capital markets actually deteriorated. It went from 59% to 73% and wealth came from 88% to 67%. This year has been good. But I also pointed out that, you know, in our custody clearing businesses, last two years we were changing our business model. We shut down the line of business of domestic brokers group. And that basically had a two flat year kind of a scenario where costs went up. This is a full year normalized. So we saw a full year performance. And custody clearing is actually more than 60%, 65% of our capital markets profitability. So the more volatile part is your institutional equity investment banking. Having said that, if you look at -- so this is, let's say, a super cycle for them. If you look at a mid- cycle and if you say that in a mid -cycle, their cost income will deteriorate by, let's say, I'm asserting a number by say 700 basis points, 800 basis p oints. That will have an overall impact on our cost income by 100, 150 basis points, max 200 basis points. That is the sensitivity. A 10% deterioration there will have maybe a 2% deterioration on the overall business, assuming that wealth management doesn't improve from here, which is not the case because wealth management every year is improving by 200, 250 b asis points like I mentioned. And asset management, if you see, Prayesh, right now is more than 100% percent. Once we cross INR 15,000 crores, it starts adding to your profitability and starts bringing. So even if that brings that 100 basis points down, on an overall basis, I think we have a sufficient capability to absorb this capital market cyclicality.

Motilal Oswal

Thank you so much, sir, and wish you all the best.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Dipanjan Ghosh from Citi. Please go ahead.

Hi, sir. Good morning. Congratulations on a good set of numbers. Just a few questions from my side. First on the number of family increases that we have seen in Nuvama Private. And you mentioned that there have been some monetization events. Just wanted to get some sense of what will be your, let's say, client penetration in the new monetization events that you're seeing or the wallet share that you're getting in the new flow from an industry perspective compared to your peers. Second, you mentioned that there has been some variable cost realignment in Nuvama Private RM. If you can give some color on that and mention that the entire cost has been absorbed or there can be some spillover impact on that. The third question is on the IB pipeline. I mean, you would have probably some visibility on the next six to nine months and maybe give some color if the current trends are sustainable, assuming the market hold up at current levels. Lastly, two or three data -keeping questions, which you gave in the last quarter also. Your corporate treasury AUM, which was around, I think, INR10,000 crores last quarter. And the recurring flows into Nuvama Private, which I think were around INR 5,800 crores for first half, if you can just give those two numbers.

So I'll first answer the variable cost question. So variable cost in Nuvama Private, as I mentioned in the last call, that last year it was skewed towards Q4. And therefore, if you look at the nine - month cost income in Nuvama Private of last year versus this year, this year looks higher, which is why I think Prayesh was also saying that the cost income there is higher. But this year, the variable cost we have taken more uniformly. It will not be as skewed in Q4 like last year. So full year basis, we should end up at around 64% -65%, which is same as last year. After absorbing the entire impact of the AIF accounting, and just to tell you the impact of AIF accounting on the entire wealth management cluster is about INR 50 crores for nine months, which is about 7% from a revenue perspective and 20% from a PBT perspective. So if you were to compare with the old regime, this 27% PBT growth would actually have been 47% if this AIF impact was not there. But that now is absorbed and we are getting trail. So I don't think there will be a spillover of variable cost in Nuvama Private. I think that is fairly well absorbed. In terms of treasury assets, broadly at the same INR10,000 crores -INR11,000 crores level, I don't think that's a very big focus area for us to continue to increase that. Our flows, new money flows in Nuvama Private is about 5,300. Out of that, in this quarter, the ARR flows will be about 1,500 and rest will be non-ARR. And in the non-ARR, broking is about 2,000 and balance is fixed income, MLD , unlisted and all that. And first question, I don't think we track right now from the percentage of flotation and all that. And I don't think that's a scientifically trackable number right now. What we have started tracking rather is that what we take in terms of our own ECM mandates or M&A, PE mandates, how much of those clients we are converting. We have started hitting that to about 30% -35%. So anything which our IB wins, how much of that we are converting into assets, the way we look at it, that IB brings that upfront fees and the wealth management will bring the annuity by getting the assets in from those clients. That's how that combination will work. And your fourth question on the IB pipeline. So if you look at our IB business, Dipanjan, it's broken up into two parts. One is fixed income and second is on the equity side. Equity, obviously, as ECM and M&A, PE. And broadly, it's about -- in some years, fixed income is 60%. In some years, equity side is 60%-65%. This year, equity will be heavier. What we have done in the last nine months in IB, I think we should be able to deliver a similar number in the next at least six months. So that visibility is there.

Got it, sir. If I can just squeeze in one or two more questions. One is on the yield part in the Nuvama Private, ex of loans, recurring ex of loans. Based on whatever numbers you gave, it seems that has kind of jumped a bit, quarter -on-quarter. Is it because of more MLDs that you did in the quarter or if you can give some color on that?

MLD doesn't come in ARR, Dipanjan. This is because now you have to start accruing trail, right, in your AIF. And last year, trail has also started coming in, in products which we sold earlier. So combination of these two and plus whatever little first year fees come. So all three put together. And I think this yield will sustain at least for a quarter and then maybe it will normalize by 5-10 basis points.

Got it. And just from a strategic perspective, historically in your Ultra HNI segment, you know, let's say, if a client puts in INR 100 bucks in any particular year as fresh flows from a new client. ex of mark-to-market, how do you see that wallet size increasing over the next two, three, five years, how do you see that kind of increasing, which will give us some understanding of the organic growth that you can get from the existing client base, even if market, let's say, kind of corrects a bit from here?

I think same set clients on an aggregate basis, one can see about 15% growth. So some clients will be higher, some will be lower. But on an aggregate basis, about broadly 15%. But we will do a check on these numbers and maybe we can discuss it one more time.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Vivek Gautam from GS Investment. Please go ahead.

GS Investment

Sir, congratulations on a very good set of numbers. Sir, I think...

Moderator

Sorry to interrupt. Mr. Gautam, may I request you to use your handset, sir? Your audio is not very good.

Moderator

Yes, sir. Please go ahead.

GS Investment

Yes. Sir, congratulations on an excellent set of numbers. Just wanted to know about basically the opportunity size and expected growth for our sector and our company in India as well as abroad. And any comment on that being a cyclical sector and the steps being taken by us to make it non- cyclical? And one more question is about the NRI opportunity size and a lot of difficulties NRIs are facing in investing in India. So, any plans you have taken for that, sir?

So, first question, I think for overall wealth and asset management, we see a significant runway ahead and not only us, I think our peers and competition and everybody in the market believes that if the India story continues the way it is, obviously, as I said, capital markets will do well. If capital markets do well, the wealth in the hands of people will increase. And we are basically beneficiaries of that in whatever category of products we offer to the clients. So, if you assume that Indian GDP, nominal GDP will grow by 10%-11% and therefore, markets will grow by another 3%-4% higher than that. And in addition to that, savings of people will get added into this pool. So, you can clearly see the overall wealth wh ich will get managed across asset classes, across products, including deposits, insurance, mutual funds, direct equities, bonds, everything put together, should ideally grow order of magnitude 20%-25% every year. There will be years where the growth will be more than 40 -50, there will be years where the growth will be 10%. But if you take a 10 -year perspective, 20% -25% is easy. Then, second aspect which is very important is that in India, organized wealth management is extremely under- penetrated. It's less than 15%. If you take the total financial wealth in India today, it's about maybe INR 3- INR 4 hundred lakh crores. And out of that, all capital markets wealth, let's say insurance, mutual fund, equities, everything put together is say INR 150-INR 200 lakh crores. Out of that, all of us put together in terms of wealth management do not manage more than INR 15-INR 20 lakh crores. So, that penetration is about say 10% -15%. In a country like China, it's about 30%-40%. In developed countries, which includes maybe Singapore, Hong Kong, US, Europe, it's more than 80%-90%. And India, where we are today, which is at let's say 14% -15%, 10 years back was about 5%. So, if you combine the increase of wealth, which to my mind in 10 years should become at least 2x to 3x given our growth rate, and you take the penetration of 15% to even 30%, I think the size of industry will grow by 4x. This is the simple mathematics and everybody will benefit out of it. In terms of cyclicality, this is a slightly unique segment. It's not fully cyclical and it's not fully like a FMCG. So, it's somewhere in between. There is an implication of market, but the underlying keeps growing. The underlying wealth of the clients keeps growing. It's only allocation between different asset classes which changes. So, if you take a 5-year view, I think the industry is reasonably good to invest in. You have growth, you have under - penetration, and you have low number of players where you can actually invest and participate in this.

GS Investment

And the next question was about the NRI opportunity size. I believe a lot of NRIs are very much in the wealthier class and interested in investing in India, but they're finding a lot of difficulty in doing so through some regulatory process compliance. How do you tackle that? And if you can also highlight our differentiators and USP for us versus competition versus the recently listed companies? Thank you.

So, NRI as an opportunity, we have started looking into it now. We were focusing on domestic, so we are creating the pipes through which they can come in. If you look at overall NRI investment in India, I think broadly 10% of mutual fund AUM today is coming from NRIs. And I would say about 5% -6% of bank deposits would be coming from them. There is friction because they can't invest as seamlessly as the domestic investors can. So, we are building those pipes now. We are also building specific dedicated relationship teams to cover them. And I think we should start seeing impact of that in about a year or so because we want to reduce this friction. There is immense amount of interest in India right now. They want sim ple products. They want easy access. And I think it's not a big challenge to execute, so that we will do. In terms of differentiation as a business model, from a client segment perspective, we are fundamentally clear that we will offer a product platform which is extremely comprehensive and diverse. And it's targeted towards client wallet rather than what we want our revenue streams to look. So, biggest problem in India, I think, is people have significant amount of allocation in inefficient bank fixed deposits, at least in the mid-market segment. And that is where we started our focus on. We created a plethora of products for them to have higher yields, higher returns on a tax -adjusted basis while keeping the risk profile same. And I think that led to our huge surge in business there. Now we are expanding into different parts of the world. In Nuvama Private, I think the basic difference between us and some of the others is the product platform which we offer. The comprehensive access in addition to investments, estate planning, tax pla nning, investment banking, their business side advice, all of this under one umbrella is, I think, our value proposition to our clients which is differentiated from most of the players in the market. Like, you look at some of the players that don't even have a lending NBFC. If a client needs a loan, they will have to go to some other player. If they want to buy something off of a stock exchange, they will not be able to buy. They will have to empanel with some other broker. We have tried to build everything within the same umbrella to offer full service to the client.

GS Investment

Thank you, sir. And any anti-thesis point you would like to highlight along with the positivities?

GS Investment

Anti-thesis. Concerns, concerns, which can...

Okay, okay. So, concerns in the sense, I mean, it's a business of trust. And if, let's, where, you know, on ground, thousand people are talking to clients and selling investment products and all. So, we have to ensure high level of guardrails and governance that we do not breach our client trust in any manner. I think any wealth manager, that is one of the biggest risks that exists. People ask me, is there a regulatory risk? Can the regulations change? My fundamental view is that this industry has been in existence globally for hundreds of years. And this need is not going to go away. People will generate surplus every year. People will need advice to manage that surplus in an intelligent manner every year. So, I don't think there can be a regulation which will come and take this away. Then somebody can say that, you know, can technology replace this? At a retail level, when you have to invest small sums of money and monoline, yes, technology can play a role. But when the quantum increases, when the amounts become large, it's not very easy for somebody to place money in a, you know, a fund on a technology enabled device, which is, say, INR 5 crores, INR 10 crores, INR 50 crores. They need to understand whether this is the right step, whether this is the right product, whether this is the right time I should invest in. So, I don't think these are really the risks. The risks are execution. We may not be able to execute the opportunity or mis-selling of a product or breach of customer trust. I think broadly, if we can take care of this, business is in a fairly good shape.

GS Investment

Can you also highlight about PAG? Our parent are, and basically, most of the investors take it as an Edelweiss only. PAG, I believe, awareness level is slightly low.

Yeah, I can definitely talk about it. So, just to give you a bit of history, we are now demerged from Edelweiss. In 2021, PAG, which is a private equity and an alternative investment, Asia - focused alternative investment group, they invested about 56%. They became the promoter. It was a controlling stake. March of 21, they invested. And then the process of demerger started. In demerger, we got separated from Edelweiss. That got concluded in the beginning of this year, around April, when NCLT completed the whole process. Post demerger, Edelweiss stopped being the promoter, and PAG became the promoter of the company. Edelweiss still has a holding of about 13%, 14%, which they hold as a treasury stock. And after demerger, the shareholding, which Edelweiss had in our company , got distributed to their shareholders. So, retail shareholders and institutional shareholders of Edelweiss became our shareholders. PAG is an Asia -focused private equity platform, or rather an alternative investment platform. They basically have three lines of businesses, private equity, credit, and real estate. And they also run an asset management platform called Polymer, in which other asset managers are onboarded and they serve institutional clients. It's one of the largest Asia-focused firms. They have investments in Australia, Japan, India, China, broadly these four markets. They came into India in 2019. In private equity, they've been in real estate for some time. And they now have about a billion dollars already invested in India, and they're looking to increase exposure.

GS Investment

Thank you, sir. Keep up the good work. Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. Our next question is from the line of the Dhyey, from Niveshaay Investment Advisors. Please go ahead.

Dhyey

I had this question on the operational side of the business. So, for example, when a new client comes and he requires multiple services or multiple products, then how is the client segregated between the two major segments?

So, the target client segment itself is separate. And the relationship teams which go and acquire the clients, they basically go and acquire from their target segment only. So, for example, in Nuvama Wealth, the target client segment in top eight cities would be, let's say, employees of Category A companies. Nuvama Private RM will not go and target that client at all. For Nuvama Private, the target client will be a promoter of a company or a CXO or a CEO of a company who will at least have INR 50 crores, INR 100 crores to invest. So, completely the target clients are different and they get acquired differently. Yes, it can happen that in either of the businesses there could be some overlaps. That we basically manage internally and we move the clients from one place to the other.

Dhyey

Okay, understood, sir. I had this question. So, in the third -party products and the in -house products provided under both the segments, there is wealth and asset management. So, how does the asset management segment. So, does the asset management segment run the in -house schemes only or it runs multiple products at the same time?

Asset management basically, as I said, manufactures schemes which get distributed both through Nuvama and through third -party distributors. So, in that sense, they will offer products to Nuvama and to third -party distributors, to other wealth managers. And Nu vama Wealth and Nuvama Private will sell our own asset management products and third-party products. So, it’s like a crisscross.

Dhyey

Correct, sir. And, sir, I believe that most of our borrowings come from the market -linked debentures. Am I right on that?

About 55%-60% now. It used to be more than 70%-75%. And I think with the progress of time, it will keep coming down.

Dhyey

Correct. And what would be the approximate ballpark number for the borrowing cost, the rate?

Dhyey

Okay. Okay. Correct, sir. Also, sir, this is a little long-term question. What would we be focusing on in terms of broking, IB, IE or the wealth management side of the business, which area would we be focused more on in the longer-term?

So, wealth and asset management clearly, we have said, is the focus area. Because from a domestic market perspective, those are the sectors which are right now sunrise sectors. Wealth even more than asset management, where it’s nascent, we have had a reasonably good head start and we see a long runway of growth. If you look at IB and IE, from a business perspective, they are more mature, they are extremely profitable, and we will take those businesses and work their synergy with wealth and asset management. So, it will work like a complete synergy in a virtuous model, but in terms of focus where our investments will go, it will be essentially wealth and asset management because that's where the country is right now offering growth opportunities.

Dhyey

Correct, sir. Understood. I had this last question. So, we are planning to add around 15% Cagr to our relationship managers. So, how do we expect to increase our revenues? Would it be more linked towards the market performance as you explained, or we can expect some good performance from relationship managers as well?

I don't think market performance has significant impact on our revenues. Market sentiment has, like something like a COVID happens, all businesses get impacted. But if markets do not go anywhere for one year, our revenues I don't think will get impacted that much because very little is linked directly to market movement. So, it's a combination of organic growth of client assets, the products we offer, and the RMs who come in. So, even the current RMs, their productivity keeps going up year on year because you understand, let's take you as a client, right? Today, you have, let's say, INR 100 of surplus money, and you are managed by one RM. In five years from now, that 100 itself will become 200, 300. In addition to that, you would have earned money from your business or your salary, and you would have added to that. So, that 200, 300 can go to 400. So, by definition, on a single client basis, only 3x-4x asset increases. In addition to that, the RM acquires a new client. So, if you aggregate all this, you can see where the growth comes from.

Dhyey

Correct. So, sir, any ballpark number you could provide?

Moderator

May we request you to rejoin the question queue, please?

Dhyey

Yeah, sure. Thanks a lot, sir. That was really very helpful.

Mohit

Yeah, hi. Thanks for the opportunity and congratulations on the excellent set of numbers. There were two questions. First, if I look at say, Nuvama Private and Nuvama Wealth, I just wanted to do an analysis of the net new money received from the new versus existing clients. So, if you can give a color, you know, whether that has changed over the last 2 -3 years or perhaps that ratio has remained the same. So, that would be helpful. And secondly, in terms of the capital markets, like you said that you had an exceptional quarter. I just wanted to understand the INR 90 crores that we earned this quarter, is that kind of sustainable on an annual basis? So, that INR 400 crores is something that you envision or do you think there could be some kind of moderation over there? Yeah, that's it. Thank you.

So, first question, if you see the net new money between new customers and existing customers, as the business, so right now, if you ask me, the numbers can be anywhere between 75-25 or 60- 40. And it keeps changing. But on a business, which is continuously growing, right? Your base of clients will keep on increasing and the newer clients which will get added will be a small fraction of the base. So, in a business which becomes, you know, 20-30 years old, it will become 80-20 towards existing clients versus new clients. In a new business, it's reverse. The new clients which come in bring in more net new money. But that doesn't change the characteristic of the business. So, I don't think that data point should be focused on too much. In terms of capital markets performance, as I said, we can divide it into asset services, IB and IE. About 60%-70% of this business comes from our custody clearing business. And about 30%- 35% from a profitability perspective comes from IE-IB. Asset services is more stable compared to IE-IB. So, even if there is volatility, maybe this 92 can go to say 85-80 kind of a range. But I don't think we will see a further fall at least in the coming two quarters.

Mohit

Right. This is helpful. Thank you so much. I wish you all the best.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Bhuvnesh Garg from Magma Ventures. Please go ahead.

Magma Ventures

Hello, sir. Good morning. Congratulations on a good set of numbers and thank you for the opportunity. Just a couple of questions. Firstly, on our RM cost. So, if you can share how much of our percentage revenue goes to RM on an overall basis and currently and where do you see it stabilizing over the next 3-4 years? And how the revenue sharing with RM in India varies from revenue sharing with RM globally? Yeah, this is my first question.

So, broadly 20%-25% of the total would go to RM in India. And that is the order of magnitude which we have in a business which is profitable and in a business which is scaled in a non-bank category. Where you don't have too much of interest income. 20%-25% typically goes. When you go into banks, that number falls to maybe 5%-10% because the component of interest income is significantly higher. And when you look at the business models globally versus India, so globally there are two kinds of business models. One is the broking oriented or the broking led. And American versus European, that also is different. American would be more like a 40% payout because it's more broking led. And when you go to European private banks, it's more blended. It has interest income and they run huge portfolio leverage book. So, there again it falls to 10% -15% because wherever capital is used to generate income, the sharing ratio keeps coming down. And wherever it is pure fee income and commission income, the sharing ratio goes up.

Magma Ventures

Sure. Understood. And for our business, we are currently saying 20%-25%. And would it remain stable or how do you see it moving?

I think it will gradually trend down. But I don't think in India for let's say next 3 -5 years, you will see it going below maybe 17%-18%. It's difficult.

Magma Ventures

Understood, sir. And second thing is on attrition trends and vintage of RM. If you can share some data points that what's the current attrition rate in RMs and what is the vintage of our RMs both in Nuvama Private and Nuvama Wealth.

So, attrition Q3, Nuvama Private regret attrition is 0. Non-regret is about 2 RMs. And in Nuvama Wealth, our attrition percentage is broadly about 1% in the regret category. In vintage of RMs, what exactly would you want to know?

Magma Ventures

How much percentage of RM is more than 5 years old within Nuvama?

I may not have that number readily. Let me just look up. So, about 3 years plus is 65%. And less than 1 year as I said is about 20% because we are adding 20% capacity year-on-year. So, balance is between 1-3 years.

Magma Ventures

Got it. Understood, and finally, in terms of our arrangement with external wealth managers, how much of our revenue percentage goes, I mean, is shared with external wealth managers?

So, it depends on the category. So, when you get into an arrangement, it's a product -wise, volume-wise slab. Broadly, you can say anywhere between 50%-55% maximum that would go. And that is the global trend also.

See, there are two things. In external wealth managers, you don't have any opex, right? They have to create their own offices, they have to have their own... So, if you look at that entire part, that is managed by them. Second is, there are good years and then there are bad years, right? In a bad, let's say, hypothetically, in a COVID year, your payout to your RMs can increase to 35%-40% because the revenue itself will dip. And in case of external wealth managers, it's all variable. So, it's a business model choice. It's not that one is good or one is bad. You have a low opex and an infinite scalability when you do external wealth manager, but your quality controls, your compliance checks, those have to be kept in measure. If you grow everything organically, you have higher fixed costs, in case your revenue does not do well, your P&L gets impacted more. So, if you run a blend of both, it's far better.

Magma Ventures

Understood. Fine, sir. That's it from my side and I wish you all the best.

Moderator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, due to time constraint, that was the last question for today's question and answer session. I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Ashish Kehair for closing comments.

Thank you. Thank you, moderator. Thank you all of you for being here. I hope I was able to answer all the questions. We shall see you again in the next quarter.

Moderator

Thank you. On behalf of Nuvama Wealth Management, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us and you may now disconnect your lines.