Supreme Industries Limited

Sep 2025 call

2025-10-27 Transcript PDF
Moderator

Thank you very much. We will now begin the question and answer session. The first question is from the line of Shravan Shah from Dolat Capital. Please go ahead.

Dolat Capital

Sir, a couple of questions. So first, I just wanted to understand, can you provide the Wavin volume in Q2?

M.P. Taparia

In Wavin volume, we sold 3,000 tons. We acquired in August 1st . We got 2 months, August and September..

Dolat Capital

Okay. And yes. So for full year, we were previously looking at around 30,000-odd tons. So will that number remain same?

M.P. Taparia

Number remains same. But now as we have just started properly only from October, we believe this year, the sale may be around 20,000 tons in the 8 months.

Dolat Capital

Okay. So now, sir, considering the overall particularly the piping volume, so for 11-odd percent that we have done in the 1H. So to achieve 15%, 17% for full year, we need to have around 20% kind of a growth in the second half. So have we started seeing that kind of a momentum in the October itself?

M.P. Taparia

You have seen in the second quarter, we have grown by 17%. In first quarter, we have grown less due to segment got beating. But second quarter, we have grown already by 17%. So we are very confident. Now that rains have subsided and reservoirs are full with water, the agriculture market is going to come in a big way from November onwards.

Dolat Capital

Yes. So actually, my question is on that part only. So this quarter, so if you look at the Q -o-Q piping realization, which has gone up by close to 11-odd percent. And given that, let's say, ADD maybe, let's say, come from the 1st November itself, where we are looking at INR4, INR5 per kg PVC price hike. So in that scenario, sir, two things. One is, is there any product specific changes? And that's why in the second quarter, piping realization has gone up by significantly 11-odd percent. And no w if the ADD comes and, let's say, INR5 hike is there from 1st November, so how one can look at the realization for the third quarter?

M.P. Taparia

I can't talk about ADD immediately, I can't talk anything about ADD. Volume, we will grow between 15% to 17%. In second quarter, volume-wise, we have grown by 17%. So we are fully aware of our responsibility. When we say 15% to 17% volume growth, which means second half, the volume should be higher than 17%. Then only we can attain 15%.

Dolat Capital

Got it. And lastly, sir, on the margin front, EBITDA margin front. So in 1H, we have done 12.3- odd percent. So last time, we were saying that around 14.5% to 15.5% kind of EBITDA margin for this year. So is there any change? And if not, then we need to hav e a 17% to 19% kind of EBITDA margin in the second half to achieve this number?

M.P. Taparia

Generally in our business second half is better because first half, the three months of rainy season, the demand goes down, the margins are under pressure. And the raw material price is higher, already so much, there's not much scope now raw material price to fall unless the crude price goes down drastically.

Dolat Capital

Got it, sir. No. No. I understand. Even if, let's say, the prices remain stable, then also , Still we believe that we can see a 3%, 4% kind of EBITDA margin improvement from currently 12.3% to 17%, 16%.

M.P. Taparia

. We told them because our EBITDA margin for the full year will be between 14.5% to 15%.

Dolat Capital

Okay. Okay. Got it. Got it. And lastly, sir, now that we have a debt also versus the cash, which has significantly now has reduced with the Wavin acquisition and the capex that we have -- are planning. So on the full year basis, how one can look at in terms of the debt level and also similarly for the finance cost?

M.P. Taparia

We have no debt level. We will not have any debt.

Dolat Capital

True, true, sir. On the gross front, we have INR240 odd crores debt. But given the capex is there, do we believe that the debt level will again will come down at a gross level.

P.C. Somani

At a gross level, whatever debt we have taken is very temporary in nature, it’s short -term. By end of December, this will also go away.

P.C. Somani

March '26, we'll be having a reasonable cash surplus in hand,

P.C. Somani

There won't be much pressure on the capex payment now.

Dolat Capital

Okay, sir. I have further questions. Will come back in queue. All the best.

Moderator

The next question comes from the line of Sneha Talreja from Nuvama.

Good evening, sir, and thank you a lot for the opportunity. I just wanted to understand on the margins front, while we have seen quarter-on-quarter improvement in realizations, and even our gross margins have improved, we've seen a fall in EBITDA margins. What would be the impact of Wavin losses that we would have seen this particular quarter?

P.C. Somani

At the operating level, Wavin does not give any negative margins. They are plus only.

And what about inventory loss? Have we seen any inventory loss this particular quarter?

M.P. Taparia

Inventory loss for the first half, overall in the company, there is an inventory loss. The raw material price has fallen. That is not only PVC, CPVC, polyethylene, all the prices are dropping. So maybe inventory loss in the first half may be around INR50 crores to INR60 crores.

Understood. Any other insight that you would want to give because of which EBITDA margins are lower on a quarter -on-quarter basis, leaving apart the depreciation impact because you've added substantial capacity in this particular quarter?

P.C. Somani

Because of the lower volume than anticipated, that's why the fixed cost, which is otherwise segregated on the larger volume, remained a portion on the lower volume. There is no specific reason for lower margin. And that's how we are anticipating good marg ins in the second half and overall margin for the year should remain between 14.5% to 15% at operating level.

Okay, sir. And sir, could you speak about the demand on the ground? you have mentioned on the agri part and the infrastructure side that we could read in the press release. But how is the demand in general

M.P. Taparia

We deal mostly in agriculture and housing. The demand is going to look quite robust. In infrastructure, as on today, whatever demand is coming, they are not related to our pipe demand. We hope that now the rates have subsided, infrastructure demand may come. We have to watch. We are not a big player in the infrastructure market.

Understood. But on the plumbing side, you continue to see demand being robust?

M.P. Taparia

Plumbing side and agri side, both sides, we expect robust demand in second half.

Understood. And lastly, in case we can get some capex breakup, you have done substantial capex in the current quarter, leaving apart Wavin, which are the product segments where we have added capacity substantially?

M.P. Taparia

One is a window profile, which is around INR200 crores. Then a silent pipe system, we invested around INR80 crores.

Moderator

The next question comes from the line of Keshav Lahoti from HDFC Securities.

HDFC Securities

Sir, I want to understand on Wavin. So as you said, Wavin hasn't been profitable this quarter. So when we think the Wavin margin will be in line with company's margin? And what steps are you taking? Because earlier Wavin was loss -making. So what steps you are taking to possibly ramp up its operation and whether Wavin...

M.P. Taparia

Wavin price list has been changed to our price list. Wavin will be a regular margin just like us from November.

M.P. Taparia

We have cut their various costs, staff costs and their ground costs. We have cutmany of their costs.

P.C. Somani

Volume improvement, ultimately.

M.P. Taparia

Volume improvement, better utilization of the plant.

HDFC Securities

Understood. Got it. As the Wavin sale is ramping up, will it imply -- impact Supreme sale? And secondly, you plan to rebrand Wavin under Supreme, some of its sales. How are you planning going forward?

M.P. Taparia

Along with the Wavin asset, we've got 120 sales team member in our company. We've got 266 new distributor and dealers. So somewhere where our reach was poor, we got distributor and dealer, and our sales force has been strengthened by addition of 120 numbers...

HDFC Securities

Okay. Got it. As you -- one last question from my side. As you highlighted, INR50 crores, INR60 crores is the inventory loss in H1. So this was the same number in Q1. So possibly Q2 won't be having any inventory loss element. Is this understanding right? A nd secondly, still Q2 margin looks very subpar, 12.4%.

M.P. Taparia

Very difficult to say. As some product, we might have gained something. But I think, we believe that whatever inventory loss was there, it is already behind us.

HDFC Securities

Got it. So what I'm trying to understand, still this quarter, your EBITDA margin is 12.4%, while year-on-year, the margin in Q2 FY '25 was 14% inspite of inventory loss. So you -- if we adjust for inventory...

M.P. Taparia

Maybe our raw material cost is lower rate or we maybe sell more value-added item. Value-added item withs higher margins. So very difficult to just quantify like that.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Vipulkumar Shah from Sumangal Investments. Please go ahead.

Sumangal Investments

Hi. Thanks for the opportunity. Why consolidated margin consolidated net profit is lower than the stand-alone profit? Any particular reason?

P.C. Somani

Whereas consolidated, that goes away and the share of profit comes from the consolidated results.

Sumangal Investments

Okay. Okay. Thank you. So, none of the subsidiaries are making losses, right?

P.C. Somani

Yes, none.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Shravan Shah from Dolat Capital. Please go ahead.

Dolat Capital

Hi, sir. Sir, can you tell us with now 71,000 Wavin, our piping capacity is how much? And by end of this year, it will grow to how much?

P.C. Somani

Our capacity by end of March '26 would be 1 million plus. In piping system, I'm talking. For the company as a whole, it will be 1.2 million plus.

Dolat Capital

Okay. Okay. Got it. Got it. And in terms of this quarter, whatever growth that we have achieved on the volume front in the piping, will you help us in terms of the CPVC and the PVC ? Specifically CPVC growth was how much? And with Wavin -- and going forward, is there a broad -- any idea how the CPVC volume growth looks like?

M.P. Taparia

CPVC growth in the first half has gone up by 26% in volume.

M.P. Taparia

For our company we are talking. We can talk about our company only.

Dolat Capital

Yes. No. I mean for industry would be a much lower number then?

M.P. Taparia

Industry I have no idea.

M.P. Taparia

I am seeing, Supreme Industries and growth is at 26% in the first half.

Dolat Capital

Yes. Got it. Got it, sir. I got the point. I was just trying to understand whether we have gained the market share or not on the CPVC front.

M.P. Taparia

I have no idea, but I believe this is my conjecture our market share must have gone up.

Dolat Capital

Got it. Because that may be the reason why the Q -o-Q plumbing realization has significantly increased. Maybe this quarter, we could have a higher share of the CPVC in the overall piping volume and that may be the reason the Q-o-Q realization, which is 11%-odd increase. So, that's what I was trying to understand.

M.P. Taparia

Same is for our assessment. Yes, please.

Dolat Capital

Yes. And another, sir, in terms of last time, we have said that the JJM, so currently, how much broader our receivables are there? Is there any improvement on the JJM in terms of the government releasing funds?

M.P. Taparia

Total outstanding 17 days of the sale.

M.P. Taparia

17 days of the sale remain outstanding. 17 days of sale.

Dolat Capital

Okay. But we are not seeing any improvement there?

M.P. Taparia

17 days, we are quite happy.

M.P. Taparia

We are happy, 17 days comparatively company standard is quite low.

Dolat Capital

Okay. And sir, whatever the slightly lower reduction in the volume guidance, so leaving the plumbing, the three segments, so this is particularly from the industrial, that's why we are seeing a lower volume guidance?

M.P. Taparia

We have given 15% to 17% volume guidance. Now we are repeating same thing. P. C. Somani For the company,12% to 15%, I think it was the...

M.P. Taparia

This is what we told in April. This is what we are saying today in October. There is no change.

Dolat Capital

No, sir, I think last time we were looking at 14%, 15% overall. And now we are looking at 12% to 14%. So, is the industrial segment is the reason and that's why we are seeing or giving a 1% or 2% lower?

M.P. Taparia

Because the company’s business volume is very low . The company’s business volume is very low.

M.P. Taparia

And the main segment is now volume in Plastic Piping System; we remember that we had guided for 15-17% and we are maintaining the same percentage today.

Dolat Capital

Okay.And sir, any broader idea that this quarter in terms of overall the entire plastic pipe and plumbing volume growth would be how much for the industry?

R. J. Saboo

We could say we already stated for the year. For the quarter, we don’t know...

Dolat Capital

And for the industry for full year would be of 8%, 9%, that's the fair number?

M.P. Taparia

Maybe. You can better talk to the Reliance Industries . They will be a better person, better position to reply to you.

Dolat Capital

Okay. Thank you, sir, and all the best.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Kumar Soumya from Ambit Capital. Please go ahead.

Ambit Capital

Hi, sir. Good afternoon. Sir, just one question. If you could just give a little more clarity on the margin as to what should be the annual number -- annual margin we should be looking at? And what is the number that you think should be deliverable at least in the FY '26?

M.P. Taparia

Annual turnover should be between INR11,000 crores to INR11,500 crores and our operating margin should be between 14.5% to 15%.

Ambit Capital

Got it. Got it. And sir, what is the capex that we are looking at from the second half perspective?

M.P. Taparia

We believe overall capex should be around INR1,300 crores. But depending on how we are able to order book the order as we are negotiating. In first half, we paid INR869 crores as capex outflow. And as my colleague has told you, we will be having a reasonable good cash surplus on 1st of April 2026.

Ambit Capital

Yes, sir.. Thank you, sir. That will be all. I'll come back in the queue. Thank you.

M.P. Taparia

Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Raman KV from Sequent Investments. Please go ahead.

Sequent Investments

Sir, I joined the call a little late. I just want to understand there has been a big increase in the inventory levels. So can you give the reason why there is an increase in the inventory levels? And going ahead, if we are converting this inventory to our revenue in the coming quarters, will there be an impact on the margins? Because my understanding is we will sell this inventory at a lower level?

M.P. Taparia

No, we will price the inventory realization value. And we believe that the polymer price have come close to bottom only unless the crude price goes down dramatically. The crude price can go down a very low level , but today, prices are hovering between $62 to $65 Brent Oil. If will go to $55, then we may have inventory loss, b ut we cannot predict about the crude oil price going forward. But this is quite a low price of crude oil, which is prevalent today in our country, in the world actually a very low pri ce. So people don't anticipate otherwise i f it goes very low, then exploration will come down. And there may be a shortage of crude oil later on going forward.

Sequent Investments

No, I just want to understand what's the primary reason for increase in the inventory levels?

M.P. Taparia

We have a good business in second half.

Sequent Investments

Okay. The business was good in the second half?

M.P. Taparia

We gave good capacity and good prospect for second half. And this is our business experience of many years and second half all business will be better than first half.

Sequent Investments

Okay. Thank you, sir.

M.P. Taparia

Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Utkarsh Nopany from company BOB Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

company BOB Capital Markets

Yes. Good evening, sir. Sir my first question regarding the pipe segment margin. So if we see our pipe segment EBIT margin was down by roughly 250 bps on a Y-o-Y basis. Despite we have seen a pretty good volume growth of 17% in this quarter. Our share of value-added product has also gone up quite sharply say which was earlier 40%, now it has gone up to 45%. And what we understand that last year, we booked an inventory loss of INR 40 crores a nd whereas this year we have not seen any inventory loss in September quarter. So can you please, sir, help us understand what is the reason for the margin contraction in the pipe segment?

M.P. Taparia

In first half, we lost around INR60 crores in inventory.

company BOB Capital Markets

Sir, we have booked INR50 crores to INR60 crores inventory loss in June quarter only. And so if we are saying that we have booked INR50 crores, INR60 crores inventory in the first half, that means that there was no inventory loss in the September quarter?

M.P. Taparia

Second quarter, there was too much rain. So the prices have to drop down. This was a slack season. Second quarter is a slack season period due to pipe demand – pipe demand get affected due to rainy season. The second quarter ma rgin will be always low, but we try to give the off- season discount to the customer.

R. J. Saboo

And there was an extended rainfall also.

company BOB Capital Markets

No, sir. Like my reason was that like we have not seen any negative operating leverage. We have seen positive operating leverage benefit only because our volume was up 17% and our realization on the quarter-on-quarter was up pretty sharply. But fine, sir, I will just take it offline, sir, from you. Sir, my second question was...

P.C. Somani

If you are looking at EBIT margin, EBIT Wavin coming into hold from August onwards, the depreciation has increased definitely.

P.C. Somani

So that's why the EBIT margin would be impacted.

company BOB Capital Markets

Okay. Got it, sir. Sir , my second question is on the i ndustrial and packaging segment volume. So what we have seen that the Industrial segment volume was down even on a weak base of last year. And even packaging segment volume also came under pressure in September quarter. So what could be the reason for the same?

M.P. Taparia

In my opening remarks, I said all ou r division worked well, except i ndustrial component division. The demand from our customers who are making the primary product in the market, the demand was low in the second quarter and p ackaging segment due to rainy season demand was low. Packaging demand is going to have a good grow th this year. We informed that p ackaging division business will grow by double digit this year and may reach INR1,000 crores this year, which is a significant achievement for the company. After plastic piping division, the division which is going to reach INR1,000 crores is protective packaging division in the company.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question com es from the line of Navid Virani from Bastion Research. Please go ahead.

Bastion Research

Thank you for the opportunity. Sir I have a couple of questions regarding Wavin. So we see that when we have acquired Wavin, we have also acquired some technology with it. So the first question, which I want to ask is when do we expect these acquired technologies to start benefiting our piping segment?

M.P. Taparia

We have told that we have entered into technology license agreement that they have got several technologies in the portfolio. We have to decide whic h technology we want to take. Option is given to us, we are studying, we are developing on the market first of that product and then only we will enter into an agreement to acquire any technology. Once we acquire any technology license, we will inform all our partner immediately. As on today, we have still not started negotiation for acquiring any technology. We have got a license from them that we have full authority on exclusive basis to acquire any of the technology which is in the portfolio, which will decide when we meet in January, we may be able to dwell on some technology and then we will inform to everybody.

Bastion Research

Sure. Thank you for that clarification, very clear. Next I wanted to understand the overall outlook of the business, let's say, in 3 years to 5 years in terms of exports. So from what I'm able to understand right now, the export as a percentage of our total business today is very small. So how are we planning to build those -- the exports business and what can be the contribution of exports, let's say, 3 years, 5 years down the line? Is there any target which we are working with?

M.P. Taparia

Earlier we were exporting only through our Dubai office. Now we have put more resources. We're opening another market. So we are very optimistic that our export busi ness will go on growing quarter-after-quarter. Percentage, I can't say. We wanted to reach 5%. As on today, we are less than 3% of our turnover. Our aim is to increase the target of export as much as possible. In India, generally, there is too many constraint on boosting export of plastic product, but they are now being handled by the government, central government, state government also very effectively. So we hope that export will start growing quarter-after-quarter from now.

Bastion Research

Noted. And the packaging segment, is it right to assume that the packaging segment will lead the charge as far as export business is concerned?

M.P. Taparia

Plastic piping and packaging both.

Moderator

The next question comes from the line of Mehul from NMV Securities.

Mehul

Yes. So Wavin's turnover for FY '24 was INR1,000 crores. So if I assume the similar turnover in FY '25 and the capacity is around INR71,000 crores -- 71,000 metric tons. So realization per metric ton is around 1.35 lakhs, so which is broadly similar for Supreme Industry as well. But if I see this, the Supreme Industry is currently trading around INR 50,000 crores. And if I divide it by the capacity which currently Supreme Industry have, which is 8.70 lakh metric tons. So Supreme Industry is trading around 5.74 lakh per metric tons, whereas the company, the Wavin you bought, it's around 41,000 per metric ton.

P.C. Somani

Mehul, I think your understanding is wrong of the subject. Wavin turnover, what you're looking for FY '24 was inclusive of their tank business, which they have divested in '24, '25. So piping turnover, what we have acquired was less than INR600 crores.

M.P. Taparia

Earlier, Wavin turnover was along with the Vectus turnover. Wavin Vectus is marketing Vectus tanks.

Moderator

The next question comes from the line of Vandit Shah from Abakkus Asset Management LLP.

Abakkus Asset Management LLP

Sir, I just had one question. How is the inventory levels currently with the dealers? Is it normal or still we are waiting for a restocking of inventory?

M.P. Taparia

As per us, it may be lower than normal.

Abakkus Asset Management LLP

And do you believe that with the restocking might happen in the October & in the November month before the ADD comes in or in November, December months?

M.P. Taparia

So without ADD also, they have to start buying as when the peak season time. From November to May, the demand remains robust of plastic piping division. So they have to maintain and service their customers.

Karan Bhatelia

Sir, in the first quarter, we mentioned that we executed our PE piping order for gas applications. So you want to throw any light with respect to the FY '26, '27 visibility on revenue?

M.P. Taparia

Now we have DVGW approval for our fitting also. So now we are the only company who is able to supply pipe and fitting both from the same company. So we are very optimistic now that going forward, we will be able to meet the requirement of several gas comp any, pipe and fitting together. The schedule was issued in last week only. So we can talk better when we reach in the month of January, but we expect growing business. Business is not going to be very large, but it's a prestigious business, and this can help us to serve the community better.

Karan Bhatelia

What can be the market for this piping...

M.P. Taparia

Comparing to our business of INR8,000 crores, INR 9,000 crores of plastic piping, this can not be a large business. This might be below INR50 crores.

Karan Bhatelia

Right. And sir, any update on the greenfield facilities for the plastic piping over the next 2 years?

M.P. Taparia

Plastic piping, next 2 years, I'm not aware today. But we hope that we growing better than the industry . We told earlier also the industry grow 2% more than GDP. We must grow 2%, 3% more than the industry.

Karan Bhatelia

Last time we were awaiting land approvals at Bihar and Jammu.

M.P. Taparia

Jammu, we have still not started. Land is in our possesion. Land in Bihar also in our possession. But there we still not started any manufacturing activity. First, we will take up to put the plant at Bihar and Jammu will come later. We hope that all the capacity should be up and running in 2027 first half.

Moderator

The next question comes from the line of Vipulkumar Shah from Sumangal Investments.

Sumangal Investments

Are we required to pay any royalty to the Wavin for using their technology?

M.P. Taparia

Whenever we acquire technology, we have to pay them royalty.

M.P. Taparia

Whenever we acquire a new technology from them, then on all the technology turnover, we have to pay them royalty.

Sumangal Investments

But on this 71,000 tons of capacity, we will not be paying any royalty, right?

M.P. Taparia

We already paid them INR260 crores.

Sumangal Investments

Okay. And sir, since we have very little cash left, what is your capex guidance for next year, sir?

Moderator

Thank you. As there are no further questions, I would now like to hand the conference over to the management for closing comments.

M.P. Taparia

We thank you very much for a very intelligent questions, and we hope that we have satisfied all the questions raised by our partners. Thank you very much.

P.C. Somani

Thank you, everyone.

R, J. Saboo

Thank you, everyone.

Moderator

On behalf of DAM Capital Advisors, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.