Transformers And Rectifiers (India) Limited

FY2024 Q2

2023-11-03 Transcript PDF
Moderator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to the Transformers & Rectifiers (India) Limited Earnings Conference Call. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes. Should you need assistance during the conference call, please signal an operator by pressing “*”, then “0” on your touchtone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Ms. Krishna Patel from Ernst and Young. Thank you and over to you, ma'am.

Krishna Patel

Thank you, Zico. Good evening, everyone. I'm pleas ed to welcome you all to Transformers and Rectifiers (India) Limited Earnings call to discuss the Q2 FY24 and H1 FY24 financial results. Today from the management side, we have with us Mr. Satyen Mamtora – the Managing Director and Mr. Chanchal Rajora – CFO and Advisor to the board. Please note a copy of the disclosure is available in the investor section of the website as well as on the stock exchange. Anything said on this call which reflects the outlook for the future, or which could be construed as a forward-looking statement, must be reviewed in conjunction with the risk that the Company faces. Now I shall hand over the call to Mr. Satyen Mamtora for his opening remarks. Over to you, sir. Thank you.

Satyen Mamtora

Thank you, Krishna. Good evening, everyone. We wel come you all to the earnings conference call of Transformers and Rectifiers (India) Limited to discuss the company’s performance during Q2FY24 & H1FY24. We concluded our board meeting today and uploaded the financial results and investor presentation on the stock exchange, I believe you may have got a chance to go through the same. There are certain recent developments and updates t hat took place, and I shall begin by highlighting the same. In October 2023, the company successfully raised Rs.120 crore by the way of preferential issue on private placement basi s. This infusion brings comfort and confidence on the prospects of the company and in the medium term provides capital support to ensure smooth operations. Another such positive development is that GETCO has begun releasing the stalled payments from the 3rd week of October in tranches, thereby we expect reduction in receivables to a larger extent in H2FY24. The order book continues to be strong as on 30th September 2023. Unexecuted order book is to the tune of Rs.2,145 crores with 34% of the orders from central utilities, 11% from state utilities, 40% from industrial customer, 9% from renewables and 6% from export. We foresee renewable segment as an essential growth driver in the near f uture. During the quarter, the company received new orders worth Rs 314 crore, growth of 2 3% YoY basis. Going forward, we anticipate reasonable growth in order inflow. At the moment, tenders and inquiries for domestic market of value Rs 2,741 crore are under negotiation or bidding stage. Export orders of value Rs 994 crore are under various stages of negotiations. Overall, from an industry perspective, we are optimistic and confident of the growth potential in our product segment. The transformers industry is f lushed with orders and demand outlook is positive with end use in various industries viz. Ra ilways, Renewables, Green Energy, Power, etc. Currently, Indian Railways is moving towards highsp eed trains that is leading to increased demand of transformers from 66 kV to 132 kV. Further, demand is increasing from development of freight corridors, metros, etc. Happy to inform that we are one of the first manufacturer of Scott-Connected & V-Connected railway application transformers. In addition, India is a preferred transformer suppl ier for US, Europe markets and on-going tensions in Ukraine & Russia has accelerated the tr ansition which is turning out to be in favor for Indian transformer manufacturers. As mentioned earlier, we are participating in export tenders and expect to increase export presence in next couple of years. Strong demand from high-growth end markets, such as technology and data centers, EV charging networks, and renewable energy will place additional stress on grid capacity and resiliency, and require new, modern transformers. Also, India plans to reach 450 GW of installed renewable energy capacity by 2030, with 280 GW (over 60%) exp ected from solar power. This itself is a huge opportunity and we see our company playing a pivotal role in this segment. I would like to highlight that we expect decent infrastructure development in green energy space wherein we are the only transformer manufacturer in Green Hydrogen Energy application in India. To summarize, in the current industry landscape, the company is positioned advantageously and expects to participate in the growth story of transformer industry. With this, I conclude my remarks and now I would li ke to handover the call to Mr. Chanchal Rajora our newly appointed CFO and Advisor to the board for his opening remarks.

Chanchal Rajora

Thank you, Satyen sir and good evening, everyone. A warm welcome to our earnings call. I shall summarize the standalone financial highlights for the quarter and half year ending 30 September

2023

During the quarter and half year, the revenue from operations was at Rs 254 crore and Rs 408, a de-growth by 22% and 34% respectively. The decline in revenue was on account of: ► Non-receipt of dispatch instruction fro m few customers because of non-availability of their inspection team ► The company experienced short-term mism atch in working capital that caused delay in execution of certain jobs. Post infusion of fund s, we are certain to streamline the operations duri ng Q3FY24 However, in Q2FY24 there is an increase in revenue from operations by 66% as compared to Q1 of the current year. During the quarter and half year, the EBITDA was a t Rs 21 crore and Rs 27 crore, a de-growth by 35% and 51% respectively. EBIDTA margin is at 8.21% in Q2FY24 and 6.52% in H1FY24. In Q2FY24 there is an increase in EBIDTA in absolu te terms by 263% as compared to Q1 of the current year with an EBIDTA margin of 8.21% as compared to 3.73% in Q1FY24. During H1FY24, export turnover was Rs 22 crore, co mprising 5% of the revenue from operations. The company has a customer base spanning over more than 25+ countries. Unexecuted order book as on 30 September 2023 is R s.2,145 crore, a growth of 57% over H1FY23. That concludes an update on the financial highlight s of the company. I shall now request the moderator to open the floor for questions and answers session.

Moderator

Thank you very much. We will now begin the question -and-answer session. The first question is from the line of Nilesh Doshi from Green Lantern Capital LLP. Please go ahead.

Green Lantern Capital LLP

First question is that the order book what you have of Rs. 2000 crores, what is the delivery schedule for this order book like until what period you expect this to be delivered?

Green Lantern Capital LLP

The second question is since the first half; we ha ve gone through because of working capital issue. So, by now how much is the amount which we still yet have to receive from GETCO?

Chanchal Rajora

GETCO started making the payments in the last week of October only. So, we have a sizable amount pending with them, which we expect to receive in the second half of this year.

Green Lantern Capital LLP

The next is that typically we have been doing abou t Rs 1,100 crores to Rs 1,300 crores revenue last two years, bearing this first half, is it poss ible to reach that kind of level in this financial year?

Green Lantern Capital LLP

And if you observe your competitors, I think what we have observed is this Q2 result most of them are EBITDA upward of 15% in the transformer division segment. So, do we see us reaching that kind of margin going forward?

Chanchal Rajora

Yes, Nilesh we are quite hopeful to reach that mar gin.

Moderator

Thank you. Our next question is from the line of R iken Ramesh Gopani from Capri Global. Please go ahead.

Riken Ramesh Gopani

Sir, I just wanted to understand if you look at th e gross margin performance in this quarter compared to either the first quarter of this year or the second quarter of last year it's deteriorated. So, while I understand that operating margins are i mpacted by the leverage given the lower top line, but what has impacted the gross margins during the current quarter versus compared to the last same period last year and Q1?

Chanchal Rajora

Riken basically there were certain expenditures wh ich is incurred in this quarter due to the retesting of the certain transformers and that has basically affected our margins in this quarter. So, there are almost 10 transformers of GETCO we had to bring in to test them. This has basically put pressure on EBITDA margin during the quarter to some extent.

Riken Ramesh Gopani

But is this what you mentioned the retesting cost, is it sitting in the cost of goods sold line item or is it in the other expenditure?

Chanchal Rajora

It will be sitting into the cost of goods sold item because they are directly related to the transformers which has been supplied to the GETCO.

Riken Ramesh Gopani

It's sort of fair to say that it's a one-off cost related to these retesting.

Chanchal Rajora

Yes, sir.

Riken Ramesh Gopani

Could you give some quantification of this retesting cost?

Chanchal Rajora

I don't have remember the numbers, but yes, if tha t would have been not there, we would have been crossing our last quarter EBITDA.

Riken Ramesh Gopani

Your EBITDA is better than last quarter, you're sa ying same quarter last year?

Chanchal Rajora

Corresponding quarter I'm talking about.

Riken Ramesh Gopani

So, that's a significant quantum is what you're sa ying?

Riken Ramesh Gopani

And sir secondly if you could talk a little bit ab out the overall opportunity on exports and what is the kind of bids that we have made and what kind of orders do you expect during the current year and what margins do you think you can achieve in the export orders?

Chanchal Rajora

In export market there are three different kind of exports opportunities. One is the opportunity which is coming on the IDT transformer side that is mainly coming from U.S and Europe and this is a huge opportunity which is basically in the pipeline. Another export opportunity what we have our regular export base what we do in African markets and the Middle East markets and the third is the ex port opportunity which is coming from the countries like Russia and Ukraine. As of now you se e in our presentation also, we have around Rs. 900 crores orders which are under the negotiation, and we expect the sizable amount of these orders are going to be come in the near term. And apart from that today only we have received an inquiry from another African country for Rs.800 crores odd order. So, that also we expect is a 24-month scenario, but we expect those kinds of orders to keep coming into the system. Our target is to have around 20% - 25% of the order book from the export market in coming next two years’ time. As far as the margins is concerned, the export mark et margins are much, much higher than the indigenous market pricing vis-a-vis the payment conditions from the exports are better.

Riken Ramesh Gopani

And just lastly in terms of what you see as the ex ecution capability in the current capacity without achieving any CAPEX, could you share that w hat is the size of top line that we can achieve with our current capacity without any major CAPEX?

Chanchal Rajora

Without any CAPEX, we can reach up to Rs.2,500 cro res top line.

Riken Ramesh Gopani

And what's our CAPEX plan if you could outline tha t also?

Chanchal Rajora

We have a CAPEX plan of Rs. 50 crores - Rs. 60 cro res in the next financial year and mainly for the IDT and Green transformer side.

Riken Ramesh Gopani

So, sir let's say if you must take this top line t o Rs 5,000 crores from here, what kind of CAPEX do you think you would have to put up?

Chanchal Rajora

We haven't evaluated that much as of now. We are g oing step by step. First, we wanted to reach to the first milestone.

Moderator

Thank you. Our next question is from the line of M ihir from Carnelian Capital. Please go ahead .

So, GETCO we are currently working on getting the s top deal revoked, it shall take some time. So, maybe another month or so and we are hopeful th at there will be some clarity on this stop deal.

Mihir

Second question was on the Rs 2,100 crores of pipel ine which is there, so does this include the international number of Rs 900 crores?

Chanchal Rajora

Rs 900 crores is the orders which are under negotiation. It is not in our order book.

Mihir

But you are also in tender pipeline of Rs 2,100 crores. right?

Rs. 2,741 crores is domestic market, and Rs. 994 c rores is export market.

Moderator

Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Gunjan Kabra from Niveshaay. Please go ahead.

Niveshaay

I wanted to ask that sales guidance provided in the last quarter was also to grow with respect to Q3 FY23, but why is it that non receipt of dispatch instructions from few customers that you guided to a degrowth in revenue with respect to Q2? So, is this few customers, is this GETCO only or any other customers, how many customers are there here and what is the value that does not get dispatched this quarter which you expected to get delivered in the next quarter? Also, this is also the time sir when the transforme r sector is doing so well. So, wanted to understand why is it so they are not getting dispatched or if you can explain it.

Chanchal Roajora

First of all, there is no GETCO delivery instructi ons in these orders. Secondly, let me explain to you that there is good demand in transformer indust ry, but what happened there is a process of dispatching the transformers and before dispatching the transformers there is always a customer inspection, once the inspection is done, then only that transformer is clear for dispatche. During Q2FY24, a few transformers were made, but since the inspection team was not available and the site was not clear and that is the reason, the transformer has not been lifted by the clients and those are basically will be lifted in this quarter i.e. Q3FY24.

Niveshaay

So, I was saying sir that last quarter also this was one of the reasons for the sales getting declined. So, is it and if you can quantify what's the quantu m of this order which has not got dispatched within this quarter?

Chanchal Rajora

Around Rs. 40 crores- Rs. 50 crores.

Chanchal Rajora

No, ma'am. These are the different customers. This is basically a normal phenomenon in the industry, and it just keeps happening ma'am.

Niveshaay

My second question is on margins. You guided it to be in the double digit number this year, but this quarter also because of the retesting cost the margin were proportionately down. So, how do you see this moving forward in the next quarter if you can highlight maybe and the guidance that you gave of Rs 1,400 crores this year, which e ventually means that Rs 1,000 crores in the next two quarters. So, when we do Rs 1,000 crores does the EBITDA margins also improve with respect to that and do you think we'll be able to do these Rs 1,000 crores in the next two quarters

Chanchal Rajora

Ma’am as MD sir has just said in the last question , we are quite hopeful to achieve that and if we achieve that, the EBITDA margin will be improved . I don't want to comment on what percentage we will be achieving it, but EBITDA will be certainly improved.

Moderator

Thank you. Our next question is from the line of R iken Ramesh Gopani from Capril Global. Please go ahead.

Riken Ramesh Gopani

Sir, I just had one follow up which is just trying to get some color on the current order book if we compare to what you have been achieving in terms of gross margin in the recent past, how are the incremental orders in terms of margins and if you could give some color in terms of how the pricing environment and given the current deman d environment are we seeing any improvement in the overall margin structure from th e current order book, vis-a-vis the order book that you had maybe one or two years back?

Chanchal Rajora

Riken, the present order book what we have is basi cally based on the RM factors which is much, much better than what we had in the past and that that will add up into our margins as compared to the previous years. And if you see my presentati on the combination of the clients or buyers what we have my dependability is reduced to the sta te utilities where we had less margins, and it has increased to the industrial customers and th e central utilities where our margin factor is much better . So, we hope that this will add up into the bottom line in the time to come.

Riken Ramesh Gopani

So, it's fair to say that the gross margins themsel ves have a potential to improve and over and above that you will see a positive operating levera ge. So, that should drive very meaningful improvement in your operating margins?

Chanchal Rajora

You got it right Riken.

Moderator

Thank you. Our next question is from the line of M ahendra Jain from Way to Wealth. Please go ahead.

Mahendra Jain

Sir, as you are saying like within a month or two, we will resolve the stop deal order from GETCO. So, can we expect anything from GETCO side, any announcement like that or where we are standing in the case of that inspection and how many transformers are yet to be delivered to GETCO.. Secondly, related to this, has the stop deal affected our new business and post this issue, what orders have we received?

There is only one transformer to be delivered to G ETCO that has not yet been dispatched and we are yet to manufacture that transformer also, and I think within a month and a half, they will issue a circular that the stop deal has been revoke d or something like that, but they will not be making an announcement. Once they give us the revocation letter, we shall make the announcement that GETCO has revoke the stop deal. Apart from that, there is no other b usiness hindrance we have faced post the stop deal notification..

Chanchal Rajora

Mahendra just to elaborate little bit, post the GE TCO stop deal we have received substantial amount of orders from the central power utilities.

Mahendra Jain

Are they doing the re inspection to our transforme rs and how they will be satisfied in a month like what process we are doing?

All the inspections have already happened. There i s only 500 MVA, which is going to be re- inspected now otherwise re-inspections have already happened and they are satisfied with the performance of the transformers.

Moderator

Thank you. Our next question is from the line of S iddharth Shah from MK Ventures. Please go ahead.

Siddharth Shah

Sir, my question is on the order book order pipeli ne you mentioned that there are domestic orders of Rs 2,700 crores and exports of Rs 900 crores in pipeline. So, anything you can guide on what kind of order inflow we'll see in second half because we are planning to execute Rs 1,000 crores in terms of revenues, or will the order inflow be higher than that? How will it be?

Chanchal Rajora

If you see in last two quarters, we have received orders worth around Rs.700 crores which is added up into my unexecuted order book., We are ar ound 20% to 25% of the domestic order size and export orders to be materialized.

Siddharth Shah

So, that makes it equates to around Rs 1,500 crore s to Rs 1,600 crores of order inflow in next six months?

Chanchal Rajora

We are basically targeting around Rs. 2,500 crores order book by end of this financial year.

Chanchal Rajora

Siddharth, as I informed earlier GETCO has just st arted releasing payments from the last week of October , let's say after 20 th Oct they have started and they have just released around Rs.33 crores so far and balance is all in the pipeline and we expect that substantial amount of this will be released during H2FY24.

Moderator

Thank you. Our next question is from the line of A nil Thakkar from Jalansh Advisors. Please go ahead.

Anil Thakkar

I just wanted to know the fund-based facility avai lable, and its current utilization fund based, and non-fund based?

Chanchal Rajora

Anil, we have fund-based limit of Rs. 163 crore an d presently it's almost 100% utilized and we have non fund based limits of around Rs 650 crore which is majorly used for the bank guarantee purpose and the balance is used for the raw material procurement.

Anil Thakkar

So, after this preferential issue we would have re ceived the funds and that it was used in the working capital and still fund based is also currently 100% utilized, is that correct?

Chanchal Rajora

Yes, sir.

Moderator

Thank you. Our next question is from the line of B ijay Shah from TL investment. Please go ahead.

Bijay Shah

My question is since we have already raised money, we are also expecting GETCO payments. So, how do you expect interest costs to trend in th e second half of this year and what is likely interest cost for FY25?

Chanchal Rajora

Mr. Shah if you see that even in Quarter 2 our fin ance cost has gone down and coming in back to your question, we are basically expecting a subs tantial decrease into the finance cost in H2FY24.

Bijay Shah

But can you give some idea that what kind of cost, because it is very difficult for us to calculate because there will be lot of cost which are related to bank guarantees which will not be able to figure out?

Chanchal Rajora

Bank guarantee and LC is going to be remain there. The substantial reduction what we are expecting is in the bill discounting side because of the working capital limits. We had to use the bill discounting facilities to pay off to our suppl iers, which was somewhere around 10.5%, to 11% and we are basically expecting that will go down drastically.

Bijay Shah

So, maybe next year the finance cost will be in be tween Rs 30 crores to Rs 40 crores?

Moderator

Thank you. Our next question is from the line of M ihir from Carnelian Capital. Please go ahead.

Mihir

Sir, I wanted to understand the working capital on the export side. I mean how are the working capital terms on the exports business and second qu estion was on the order book, out of the current order book how much is the exports, how much is domestic and how is the raw material cost across both of these divisions of exports and domestic in the order book?

Chanchal Rajora

As far as working capital cycle is concerned into the export order, it is much better than the domestic market because most of the export payments are either on the advance or LC side and we have better margins in the export orders as compared to the indigenous orders. As far as share of exports in the present order book is concerned, you can see in our presentation it is around 6% of the total unexecuted order book.

Moderator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question of our question-and-answer session. As there are no further questions, I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Satyen Mamtora for closing comments.

Thank you everyone for being part of our earnings c all and participating in the call. Thank you for your support in us. We wish all of you Happy Di wali and Saal Mubarak. We hope we have been able to address most of your queries. In case of further queries, you may reach out to our investor relation advisor – Ernst & Young and they will connect with you offline.

Moderator

Thank you. On behalf of Transformers & Rectifiers ( India) Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us and you may now disconnect your lines.