Thank you very much. We will now begin the question -and-answer session. The first question is from the line of Nilesh Doshi from Green Lantern Capital LLP. Please go ahead.
FY2024 Q2
First question is that the order book what you have of Rs. 2000 crores, what is the delivery schedule for this order book like until what period you expect this to be delivered?
This is in the span of 18 - 20 months.
The second question is since the first half; we ha ve gone through because of working capital issue. So, by now how much is the amount which we still yet have to receive from GETCO?
GETCO started making the payments in the last week of October only. So, we have a sizable amount pending with them, which we expect to receive in the second half of this year.
The next is that typically we have been doing abou t Rs 1,100 crores to Rs 1,300 crores revenue last two years, bearing this first half, is it poss ible to reach that kind of level in this financial year?
And if you observe your competitors, I think what we have observed is this Q2 result most of them are EBITDA upward of 15% in the transformer division segment. So, do we see us reaching that kind of margin going forward?
Yes, Nilesh we are quite hopeful to reach that mar gin.
Thank you. Our next question is from the line of R iken Ramesh Gopani from Capri Global. Please go ahead.
Sir, I just wanted to understand if you look at th e gross margin performance in this quarter compared to either the first quarter of this year or the second quarter of last year it's deteriorated. So, while I understand that operating margins are i mpacted by the leverage given the lower top line, but what has impacted the gross margins during the current quarter versus compared to the last same period last year and Q1?
Riken basically there were certain expenditures wh ich is incurred in this quarter due to the retesting of the certain transformers and that has basically affected our margins in this quarter. So, there are almost 10 transformers of GETCO we had to bring in to test them. This has basically put pressure on EBITDA margin during the quarter to some extent.
But is this what you mentioned the retesting cost, is it sitting in the cost of goods sold line item or is it in the other expenditure?
It will be sitting into the cost of goods sold item because they are directly related to the transformers which has been supplied to the GETCO.
It's sort of fair to say that it's a one-off cost related to these retesting.
Yes, sir.
Could you give some quantification of this retesting cost?
I don't have remember the numbers, but yes, if tha t would have been not there, we would have been crossing our last quarter EBITDA.
Your EBITDA is better than last quarter, you're sa ying same quarter last year?
Corresponding quarter I'm talking about.
So, that's a significant quantum is what you're sa ying?
And sir secondly if you could talk a little bit ab out the overall opportunity on exports and what is the kind of bids that we have made and what kind of orders do you expect during the current year and what margins do you think you can achieve in the export orders?
In export market there are three different kind of exports opportunities. One is the opportunity which is coming on the IDT transformer side that is mainly coming from U.S and Europe and this is a huge opportunity which is basically in the pipeline. Another export opportunity what we have our regular export base what we do in African markets and the Middle East markets and the third is the ex port opportunity which is coming from the countries like Russia and Ukraine. As of now you se e in our presentation also, we have around Rs. 900 crores orders which are under the negotiation, and we expect the sizable amount of these orders are going to be come in the near term. And apart from that today only we have received an inquiry from another African country for Rs.800 crores odd order. So, that also we expect is a 24-month scenario, but we expect those kinds of orders to keep coming into the system. Our target is to have around 20% - 25% of the order book from the export market in coming next two years’ time. As far as the margins is concerned, the export mark et margins are much, much higher than the indigenous market pricing vis-a-vis the payment conditions from the exports are better.
And just lastly in terms of what you see as the ex ecution capability in the current capacity without achieving any CAPEX, could you share that w hat is the size of top line that we can achieve with our current capacity without any major CAPEX?
Without any CAPEX, we can reach up to Rs.2,500 cro res top line.
And what's our CAPEX plan if you could outline tha t also?
We have a CAPEX plan of Rs. 50 crores - Rs. 60 cro res in the next financial year and mainly for the IDT and Green transformer side.
So, sir let's say if you must take this top line t o Rs 5,000 crores from here, what kind of CAPEX do you think you would have to put up?
We haven't evaluated that much as of now. We are g oing step by step. First, we wanted to reach to the first milestone.
Thank you. Our next question is from the line of M ihir from Carnelian Capital. Please go ahead .
So, GETCO we are currently working on getting the s top deal revoked, it shall take some time. So, maybe another month or so and we are hopeful th at there will be some clarity on this stop deal.
Second question was on the Rs 2,100 crores of pipel ine which is there, so does this include the international number of Rs 900 crores?
Rs 900 crores is the orders which are under negotiation. It is not in our order book.
But you are also in tender pipeline of Rs 2,100 crores. right?
Rs. 2,741 crores is domestic market, and Rs. 994 c rores is export market.
Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Gunjan Kabra from Niveshaay. Please go ahead.
I wanted to ask that sales guidance provided in the last quarter was also to grow with respect to Q3 FY23, but why is it that non receipt of dispatch instructions from few customers that you guided to a degrowth in revenue with respect to Q2? So, is this few customers, is this GETCO only or any other customers, how many customers are there here and what is the value that does not get dispatched this quarter which you expected to get delivered in the next quarter? Also, this is also the time sir when the transforme r sector is doing so well. So, wanted to understand why is it so they are not getting dispatched or if you can explain it.
First of all, there is no GETCO delivery instructi ons in these orders. Secondly, let me explain to you that there is good demand in transformer indust ry, but what happened there is a process of dispatching the transformers and before dispatching the transformers there is always a customer inspection, once the inspection is done, then only that transformer is clear for dispatche. During Q2FY24, a few transformers were made, but since the inspection team was not available and the site was not clear and that is the reason, the transformer has not been lifted by the clients and those are basically will be lifted in this quarter i.e. Q3FY24.
So, I was saying sir that last quarter also this was one of the reasons for the sales getting declined. So, is it and if you can quantify what's the quantu m of this order which has not got dispatched within this quarter?
Around Rs. 40 crores- Rs. 50 crores.
No, ma'am. These are the different customers. This is basically a normal phenomenon in the industry, and it just keeps happening ma'am.
My second question is on margins. You guided it to be in the double digit number this year, but this quarter also because of the retesting cost the margin were proportionately down. So, how do you see this moving forward in the next quarter if you can highlight maybe and the guidance that you gave of Rs 1,400 crores this year, which e ventually means that Rs 1,000 crores in the next two quarters. So, when we do Rs 1,000 crores does the EBITDA margins also improve with respect to that and do you think we'll be able to do these Rs 1,000 crores in the next two quarters
Ma’am as MD sir has just said in the last question , we are quite hopeful to achieve that and if we achieve that, the EBITDA margin will be improved . I don't want to comment on what percentage we will be achieving it, but EBITDA will be certainly improved.
Thank you. Our next question is from the line of R iken Ramesh Gopani from Capril Global. Please go ahead.
Sir, I just had one follow up which is just trying to get some color on the current order book if we compare to what you have been achieving in terms of gross margin in the recent past, how are the incremental orders in terms of margins and if you could give some color in terms of how the pricing environment and given the current deman d environment are we seeing any improvement in the overall margin structure from th e current order book, vis-a-vis the order book that you had maybe one or two years back?
Riken, the present order book what we have is basi cally based on the RM factors which is much, much better than what we had in the past and that that will add up into our margins as compared to the previous years. And if you see my presentati on the combination of the clients or buyers what we have my dependability is reduced to the sta te utilities where we had less margins, and it has increased to the industrial customers and th e central utilities where our margin factor is much better . So, we hope that this will add up into the bottom line in the time to come.
So, it's fair to say that the gross margins themsel ves have a potential to improve and over and above that you will see a positive operating levera ge. So, that should drive very meaningful improvement in your operating margins?
You got it right Riken.
Thank you. Our next question is from the line of M ahendra Jain from Way to Wealth. Please go ahead.
Sir, as you are saying like within a month or two, we will resolve the stop deal order from GETCO. So, can we expect anything from GETCO side, any announcement like that or where we are standing in the case of that inspection and how many transformers are yet to be delivered to GETCO.. Secondly, related to this, has the stop deal affected our new business and post this issue, what orders have we received?
There is only one transformer to be delivered to G ETCO that has not yet been dispatched and we are yet to manufacture that transformer also, and I think within a month and a half, they will issue a circular that the stop deal has been revoke d or something like that, but they will not be making an announcement. Once they give us the revocation letter, we shall make the announcement that GETCO has revoke the stop deal. Apart from that, there is no other b usiness hindrance we have faced post the stop deal notification..
Mahendra just to elaborate little bit, post the GE TCO stop deal we have received substantial amount of orders from the central power utilities.
Are they doing the re inspection to our transforme rs and how they will be satisfied in a month like what process we are doing?
All the inspections have already happened. There i s only 500 MVA, which is going to be re- inspected now otherwise re-inspections have already happened and they are satisfied with the performance of the transformers.
Thank you. Our next question is from the line of S iddharth Shah from MK Ventures. Please go ahead.
Sir, my question is on the order book order pipeli ne you mentioned that there are domestic orders of Rs 2,700 crores and exports of Rs 900 crores in pipeline. So, anything you can guide on what kind of order inflow we'll see in second half because we are planning to execute Rs 1,000 crores in terms of revenues, or will the order inflow be higher than that? How will it be?
If you see in last two quarters, we have received orders worth around Rs.700 crores which is added up into my unexecuted order book., We are ar ound 20% to 25% of the domestic order size and export orders to be materialized.
So, that makes it equates to around Rs 1,500 crore s to Rs 1,600 crores of order inflow in next six months?
We are basically targeting around Rs. 2,500 crores order book by end of this financial year.
Siddharth, as I informed earlier GETCO has just st arted releasing payments from the last week of October , let's say after 20 th Oct they have started and they have just released around Rs.33 crores so far and balance is all in the pipeline and we expect that substantial amount of this will be released during H2FY24.
Thank you. Our next question is from the line of A nil Thakkar from Jalansh Advisors. Please go ahead.
I just wanted to know the fund-based facility avai lable, and its current utilization fund based, and non-fund based?
Anil, we have fund-based limit of Rs. 163 crore an d presently it's almost 100% utilized and we have non fund based limits of around Rs 650 crore which is majorly used for the bank guarantee purpose and the balance is used for the raw material procurement.
So, after this preferential issue we would have re ceived the funds and that it was used in the working capital and still fund based is also currently 100% utilized, is that correct?
Yes, sir.
Thank you. Our next question is from the line of B ijay Shah from TL investment. Please go ahead.
My question is since we have already raised money, we are also expecting GETCO payments. So, how do you expect interest costs to trend in th e second half of this year and what is likely interest cost for FY25?
Mr. Shah if you see that even in Quarter 2 our fin ance cost has gone down and coming in back to your question, we are basically expecting a subs tantial decrease into the finance cost in H2FY24.
But can you give some idea that what kind of cost, because it is very difficult for us to calculate because there will be lot of cost which are related to bank guarantees which will not be able to figure out?
Bank guarantee and LC is going to be remain there. The substantial reduction what we are expecting is in the bill discounting side because of the working capital limits. We had to use the bill discounting facilities to pay off to our suppl iers, which was somewhere around 10.5%, to 11% and we are basically expecting that will go down drastically.
So, maybe next year the finance cost will be in be tween Rs 30 crores to Rs 40 crores?
Thank you. Our next question is from the line of M ihir from Carnelian Capital. Please go ahead.
Sir, I wanted to understand the working capital on the export side. I mean how are the working capital terms on the exports business and second qu estion was on the order book, out of the current order book how much is the exports, how much is domestic and how is the raw material cost across both of these divisions of exports and domestic in the order book?
As far as working capital cycle is concerned into the export order, it is much better than the domestic market because most of the export payments are either on the advance or LC side and we have better margins in the export orders as compared to the indigenous orders. As far as share of exports in the present order book is concerned, you can see in our presentation it is around 6% of the total unexecuted order book.
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question of our question-and-answer session. As there are no further questions, I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Satyen Mamtora for closing comments.
Thank you everyone for being part of our earnings c all and participating in the call. Thank you for your support in us. We wish all of you Happy Di wali and Saal Mubarak. We hope we have been able to address most of your queries. In case of further queries, you may reach out to our investor relation advisor – Ernst & Young and they will connect with you offline.
Thank you. On behalf of Transformers & Rectifiers ( India) Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us and you may now disconnect your lines.