Welspun Corp Limited analyst Q&A

Thank you very much. The first question is from the line of Abhishek Ghosh from DSPM. Please go ahead.

Congratulations for a greater set of numbers at a time when things are not that great as far as underlying economy. Sir, a few questions.

I'm sorry to interrupt you, Mr. Abhishek Ghosh. There is a disturbance from your background.

Congratulations for great set of numbers. A few questions which I had in terms of the commentary that you gave in terms of, if you look at the India piece, the interlinking of river, whenever it kind of comes through, what can be the opportunity size that can come through given the states which are kind of working arou nd. Any thoughts on that, sir? And how should we look at it from a 2- to 3-year perspective?

Abhishek, the opportunity or interlinking of rivers is mammoth. The way the projects are currently being conceived and the way they have been planned, it could be more than 1 million tons of an opportunity which may come up to start with, right? And these opportunities are currently happening in -- will happen in the state of Madhya Pradesh to follow up within Rajasthan and then in Maharashtra. So we a re very, very optimistic and buoyant about this particular opportunity. And we are very -- we are confident that we will have a piece of share out of this opportunity because of our geographical presence into those states. So coming to your question, the volumes could be very mammoth. It would be exceeding more than 1 million tons. And it is no more an opportunity, which is under evaluation. It is something which is now going to happen on the ground very shortly.

Sir, also, you spoke about the demand coming in from the irrigation segment. You called out the 2 million to 3 million tons opportunity can come in from there, which kind of pipes will go in there? And how should one look at the time lines here?

My sense, Abhishek, is that irrigation predominantly has been serviced by HDPE pipe lines. There could be -- there will be a paradigm shift, which will happen and these pipes will move more towards OPVC and ductile iron pipes. Because at the end of the day, these pipes guarantee and almost 50 years service guarantee, more than 50 years of service guarantee, which primarily substandard HDPE pipes, which have been supplied by the industry in the past has not met that expectation. So we see irrigation is a huge emerging opportunity where both tactile and OPVC pipe and very high-quality HDPE pipes will be used and should be used.

Okay. And do you think this is again something that should fructify over the next 12 to 18 months? Is what the expectation is?

Yes. Yes. I'm very confident.

Sir, lastly, coming to the DI Pipe as far as the domestic market is concerned, we have seen some slackness, which you have also mentioned in your comments. How should we see going forward, do you see because of multiple delays in projects, payment issues and subsequently, a lot of supply also had come in. How should one see over the next 12 to 18 months, both on your order book ramp-up of your facility and margin profile here?

See, there has been a momentary slowdown over the last 2 quarters. That's very clear. There's no doubt about it. But having said that, structurally, are we seeing any change? The answer is no. I still believe -- we still feel that the Jal Jeevan Mission is a great mission for the development of getting water to every household, right? And it is a very -- fundamentally a very strong scheme. It has and it will be completed. I think it has met some cash flow challenges in the last 2 quarters. But we have a strong belief that it will come back with -- it should come back in the second half of this particular year. So we have no doubt whatsoever, number one. Number two, more than that, we are seeing a big traction coming up in AMRUT also, which is the urban scheme, right? We have to understand that any developed economy has to invest into infrastructures like this. We, as an economy are developing. We will continue to invest like that. So I don't see that we should carry any doubts whatsoever, that whether structurally these schemes will be there or not. I think so it is a momentum mismatch, which is happening. It is a matter of time. They will -- these things will come on track. We are hopeful that it is the second half of this year, we will see that full flow coming into this segment.

We have always been able to maintain a share in n orth of 20%. Historically, we were close to 22%, 23% market share. This year, this time, because of the length of the orders, what we have and the extent of the duration of orders, what we have, we are close to 30%. But by far, we have the largest market share. I think what is important is that by far, we have the largest market share in the U.S. market.

So sir, given the construct of the demand outlook, multiple levers of growth, strong visibility of 15% to 20% EBITDA growth is something in the medium term, it appears, given the kind of capex that you have done, it appears fairly visible from here on? Is that the way one should look at Welspun from here on?

Abhishek, you have my guidance for the full financial year 2026. I see no reason why should we not meet that or if not exceed that. That answer -- that probably answers your question, if I'm not wrong.

The next question is from the line of Vikash Singh from ICICI Securities.

Congratulations on a very good set of numbers. My first question pertains to Saudi? Sir, we are setting up our independent facility there, while we have a basically a JV where we have a minority partner, so we would be bidding for the same kind of orders in the same geography. So is there a conflict of interests which can arise and because of which we need to sell off the remaining shares in the Saudi JV partner?

Vikash, I think so we will have to see this issue from a very different lens altogether. It's a fairly complementing setup we are putting up. The joint venture in which we are the shareholder reduces spiral pipes. Those pipes have a different market altogether. What we are setting up is longitudinal pipes and the ductile iron pipes. So the way it has to be seen that between our joint venture entity and our 100% ownership, we will be covering the full basket, supplying the spiral pipes, supplying the longitudinal pipes and supplying the ductile iron pipes under one roof. This is the synergy and a powerhouse, whi ch we are creating in Saudi.

Noted, sir. Sir, my second question pertains to the 1Q results, especially from the stand -alone side. I believe that we have a very good export order because of which our numbers on the standard was pretty good. S o is that the order has been fully executed and going forward, the stand-alone EBITDA per ton would come down. And that's why we are not increasing our guidance because usually, we are second half heavy in terms of EBITDA.

Vikash, you are veteran, you understand this business is all about the product mix to be run in that particular quarter, right? This quarter, probably the product mix from a margin perspective would have been a little more favorable. But looking at the overall order book, what we have at this point in time, I think so on a quarter -on-quarter basis, we should be in a position to match and deliver the expectations or the guidance that we have given to the market.

Between India and U.S., we have close to 1 million tons of an order book at this point in time, and this is excluding Saudi. Just I'm talking of India and U.S. And I think so it is close to 600,000 tons in U.S. and almost close to 400,000-odd tons in India.

The next question is from the line of Sailesh Raja from B&K Securities.

Congratulations on delivery such a strong performance. I have 2 questions to ask. First question, in the OPVC pipe segment, we understand that several new entrants including a large player like Astral are procuring machinery from Chinese manufacturers at the cost of INR20 crores per line. In contrast, if you see companies like Welspun, Supreme they are sourcing equipment from Rollepaal and Molecor at a significantly higher cost of INR50 crores, INR60 crores per line. So given this cost disparity, how do we plan to stay competitive against players using Chinese machinery. So even a ccounting for quality differences, do you believe there is a large enough customer base willing to pay 15%, 20% higher premium products from players like Welspun Corp up?

Sailesh, I think that's a very good question you have asked, Sailesh. F irst and foremost, we all have to be very clear that OPVC is not a normal commodity product. It is a very high technological product being used for very specific applications. Now when you talk about a change in technology, of course, you will have impacts of some Chinese coming in here and there. But over a period of time, I think so this maturity will come into this particular market, where acceptance of technology will be driving the growth and the demand for this particular segment. We strongly believe into that. We have a very clear foresight about it. Initially, there could be some hiccups. There could be some challenges. There would be some pressures of low margins and this. Yes, it is normal in the business. It will be there. But over a period of time, and I'm not talking of time over years, over quarters, people will understand what is the value of quality for these pipes. If you -- I would like to draw your attention, this is what precisely happened in the HDPE Pipe segment as well. Almost 1,000 p lants came up, mushroomed all over India, right? But effectively, they are the top 4 or 5 players are now going to be the 1 who will be in a position to service that requirement. So there is a shift in the user mindset that they prefer quality over price. It takes time. Even in this OPVC, it will happen the same way.

My second question, we have reported EBITDA of INR290 crores from all other subsidiaries. So after backing out the normalized EBITDA contribution from DI Pipes, Sintex, which collectively accounted roughly INR100 crores. But the remaining INR190 crores appears to be attributable to the U.S. operation. That translates roughly around INR25 per kg -- INR25 per kg plus, in U.S. And interestingly, if you see even in India also we reported INR18 per kg. So could you please break down India and U.S. separately and help us understand the key driver behind the sha rp improvement, whether this EBITDA per ton is sustainable in the U.S. Could you please talk about that?

Sailesh, we do -- we generally give an overall guidance. I have always given that guidance that what is the typical EBITDA, what we get i n U.S. and what is the typical general EBITDA we get in India. I don't think so we will be in a position to share the specifics around that, the fact of the matter -- and as I earlier said, this is also a matter of a combination of the product mix what you are executing in this particular quarter. But given the order book, what we have in India, given the order book, what we have in U.S. I think so we have clearly captured that and given as a very clear guidance to the Street, and I'm very sure that we will be able to maintain that.

The next question is from the line of Ritesh Shah from Investec.

Sir, my first question was top down. How do -- how should we gauge the impact of tariffs and regulatory tailwinds locally? Tariffs, I mean, the global tariffs and regulatory tailwinds as local.

So Ritesh, I think so when you are talking of tariffs, you are probably talking about the U.S. tariffs, if -- am I right?

That's right. That's right, sir.

I think, sir, U.S. tariffs are creating quite a bit of uncertainty into the global economic market. There's no doubt about it. But if I have to narrow my vision and purely think from Welspun perspective, I think so it is angering well with us. Because I am a lo cal producer, a local player in America. I am not dependent on any export out of any other continent or India. So I am actually benefited out of this tariff. I have -- sorry for my -- being a little -- having a little myopic and a vested view to that. But that's the case. I am a domestic there in America. So I'm not impacted, number one. So tariffs in America might be hampering globally, but for Welspun, it is helping us. And if you see, keeping that potential and that benefit into mind, we announced our expansion. We believe that all the countries in the world are encouraging local production, local manufacturing, and this is going to be the new world order, which is going to emerge. Keeping that into mind, we are spreading our wings in Saudi Arabia, wher e also you have a domestic production and in America, where also we are seeing a huge traction which is coming for domestic production. So as Welspun, we have adopted to a core principle of core products and core geographies. So our core product continues to be pipes, and our core geographies happen to be India, Saudi Arabia and America. It is in this paraphrase, we are working, please.

Right. Sir, just a related question. My question was basically the guidance that we have given, does it also factor in the tailwinds because of the tariffs, which have been imposed and given we are in a quite a favorable situation. And if you could also highlight if I remember, we had certain volumes from India, which were exported. I'm not sure whether it hit th e U.S. shores. Do we still have those volumes if that question is correct? And are we looking to continue that, if at all?

So you're right. We -- from India, we were exporting a lot of longitudinal pipes to the international market, including America, in the earlier days. We will continue to be present into the international market, excluding America for the longitudinal price, where we are setting up our own, but there is a potential in the rest of the world, where our product will continue to grow.

And sir, the guidance what we have given, does it include the tailwinds because of the benefits of the tariffs specific to the situation that we are in quite a positive one?

See, Ritesh, these are confirmed order books wh at we have. We are a B2B company. We have confirmed order books in America. We have confirmed order books in India. When I say confirmed order books, all everything is hedged. So when we have given the guidance, all those things have been taken care of. And accordingly, the guidance has been given to the marketplace.

Right. Sir, if I put it the other way around, so 6 months out, if we had to go and bid for the same project, Will we be on a better footing as compared to what we were, say, 6 months back or right now given the tariffs have come? I'm just trying to understand the incremental ROCE and the margin profile. Can it get incrementally better because of the macro that we are in?

I think so we will have to judge the situation f rom a demand and supply gap. I think so the demand seems to be fairly robust in the American subcontinent. In 6 months down the line, which we -- and we believe that the demand is going to be as robust. And if the capability -- capacities are booked then, of course, you will always be in a position to improve on your margins. So it's also a demand and the supply gap in the market at that point in time.

And sir, my second question is on polymers. I'll just pick up from where Sailesh left. We hav e an investment of almost INR1,300 crores. It's a sizable number. What we have indicated is from FY '25 to '27. How should we break this number of INR1,300 crores? Is there a number which has been earmarked for OPVC and what is -- how do we look at the out look or incremental ROCE on this business?

So first and foremost, this INR1,300 crores is the investment which is going to happen over a period of time over the next 2 or 3 years' time, number one. Number two, largely the investments are going to happen for our OPVC business. We strongly believe that this is a game -changing technology. It's a technological product. It has a huge potential. And we are extremely buoyant about this particular product. As Sailesh asked that question, and I answered that is it going to happen overnight? The answer is no. But we have a very strong conviction about its product, its quality, its sustainability, its utilization and acceptability by the customer.

So breakup of INR1,300 crores, what part of it would be earmarked for OPVC?

Largely, it will be. Largely, it will be OPVC. I mean I may not have the specific breakup at this point in time. I think so you can reach out to Percy and they can give you the specific breakup. But largely, it is going to be the OPVC business.

Sir, my first question would be on the expected margin profile for the new LSAW pipe -- LSAW facility that we have announced in U.S. And what kind of margins can we look at it? And in -- for FY '27, any number that you could guide from the new plant in terms of the volume that you could derive in FY '27 itself? That's my first question. My second question is on the capex. Now we are 1 quarter -- now we've entered second quarter now. And any visibility on what is likely to be the capex for this year? And how much was spent in the first quarter?

So Shweta, let's say, for your first question about the new LSAW plants in Saudi as well as in the U.S. First and foremost, let me just tell you, Shweta, that when we announce any capex we have a process to follow. We are very clear about what is the market demand going to be in those markets over the next 3 to 5 years' time. What is the investment we're making and what is the return on capital employed. We have done all those due diligence basis that only we got our respective board approvals to go ahead with that. I'm very sure. Right now, as we speak, we are complet ely focused in terms of executing the project part of it. We are still 6 months to 9 months to 12 months away at this point in time in various geographies. So right now, it will be slightly premature to talk about the margins. But I want to assure you, Sh weta, that we have done a complete assessment of the market. Complete assessment of the role, what as Welspun we can play, what share we can have and moving forward over the next 2, 3, 5 years' time, what is the margins we can make out. And that all has all been factored before we took that investment decision. So I think so let us wait those investments to get crystallized, the project plans to come up. And I think so then it will be more prudent to share on a quarter or half yearly basis at what are the margins we are going to make, number one. Number two, coming to your second question about capex. We have clearly articulated what is the capex, what we are going to do over this financial year. If you see our investor presentation, we have clearly mentioned what are the projects we are working on, what type of capex we are going to put. And typically, as I say, that all this capex, what we have articulated will happen over the next 4 quarters to 5 quarters time.

Sir, going by 1Q run rate of around INR450 crores that you've done in 1Q. Can we look at almost INR2,000 crores of capex for the full year result if we annualize it? And that should still leave us another probably INR1,000 crores or INR1,200 crores of capex for FY '27 going by the targeted capex number?

Shweta, by design, the capex are more back loaded. You can safely assume that we would be doing close to almost 40-odd percent in this year and the balance in the next financial year. What is important, Shweta, is to understand is that all these capex are being funded out of our stro ng operating cash flow itself. So it has no impact, which is happening on the debt side of it. I think so that's more important for everyone to understand here. But the spread of the capex will be over the 2 years' time. And by design, typically, they are 40%, 45% in the first year and the residual in the second year. That may be a right assumption to make.

The next question is from the line of Sneha Talreja from Nuvama.

Congratulations on great set of numbers. Just wanted to understand, you mentioned about OPVC orders getting received. What is the order booking looking like and which are the places from where we have received orders. Some color would be helpful here.

Sneha, as I said, we have breakthroughs in OPV C orders. They are coming from various states at this point in time. They are coming from the East. They're coming from Central. They are coming from South. These are early days. I'm not saying this order book is huge at this point in time, but they are good enough to start with. And good enough that acceptability of the product which seems to be settling down. And as we speak, I think so this momentum is getting built up, it is being built up on a month - on-month basis. We are seeing a lot of traction, whi ch is now coming up on the OPVC pipes. We are also seeing a lot of the states, government, state governments also acknowledging and accepting and working in terms of specifications to accept OPVC pipe. I think so these are very fundamental works, which are being done supported by a good order book what we have to start our project.

Sir, that's good to hear. Just wanted to understand some numbers here. What's the capacity likely to look like the end of March '16 and March '17. And how do you s ee the utilization of this capacity? And at what capacity do we actually start making money because if I'm not wrong, these are huge capex capacity plans?

And you -- Sneha, if I'm correct, you're asking with respect to OPVC only?

Only OPVC, yes.

I think so it's a little difficult. It's a little premature to tell something like that, to be honest, to predict something like that. I think so there's a lot of fundamental work, groundwork, which has to be done in terms of acceptability and acceptance of the product into the specification. I think so that basic work is currently being done on one side. On the other side, what is being done to keep the plants completely operational, to keep on servicing so that the product quality is also getting established into the market. I think so you will have to -- we will have to wait on a quarter -- 1 or 2 more quarters to really crystallize the numbers. If I draw your attention to the last quarter discussions, Sneha, what I mentioned that time, that our focus will be to start producing and dispatching OPVC pipes in this particular quarter. We are walking the talk, we have started producing and started dispatching. Last time also said, it is something which we will have to build o ver a period of time. We are going to do that. We are patient to do that, and we are more than confident that we will be very successful in that. I think so you will have to give us some few more quarters when we start discussing exactly what are the volumes, what are the predictions, what are the margins? I think it might be a little -- a good idea to be a little more patient for 1 or 2 more quarters, please. But I must say that the start is good.

The next question is from the line of Rakesh from Nine Rivers Capital.

Many congratulations to the team for the great set of numbers. Sir, with respect to the EBITDA profile that we are seeing, the volume growth is not high like a single high digit but the EBITDA growth is a very strong number, north of 20%, 25%. Just want to understand what the reason you highlighted is the orders that were executed were of a high margin, is there any other reason for the higher improvement in margins or the profits?

Rakesh, I think so some of you r earlier -- we talked about it in the earlier part of this. See, EBITDA profile is a factor of what is the product mix what you're executing in that particular quarter. this particular quarter, we have a very -- I mean, we had a nice product mix and that resulted into this number. Having said that, I think so our product mix for the subsequent quarters also look very nice, reasonably decent. And I'm very sure that we should be in a position to deliver our EBITDA, what we have given you as a guidance.

Sir, one last question on my side. With respect to the plant utilizing what was the plant running at -- what was the utilization rate for plant in India and the U.S. in the Q1?

I think the plant utilization at the U.S. level was very high. I think so we -- probably it will be close to 80%, 85% of our plant level utilization. In India, various plants at various locations has different utilization level. The plants which were for -- meant for oil and gas, let's say, if I talk about our longit udinal plant, which is primarily oil and gas export plant, it would have seen almost 80%, 85% utilization. But plant utilization for -- the plants for water where we are producing pipes for water application, we saw a low utilization. Quarter 1 historically is a low utilization zone, where the budgets and everything starts trickling in. And then we see that pickup happening in the second half, in the quarter 2 onwards. So there, the utilization would have been close to 40%, 45% to 50%.

Sir, in your opening remarks, you mentioned the plant of -- a new plant in Saudi Arabia will start in this year, but in the presentation, it is mentioned it will start April '26. Just clarification, sir.

I said in the financial year, not the calendar year. We are still hopeful that we should be able to do the longitudinal plants commissioning in this financial year. Maybe my apology if I sounded that it is -- I meant this year, my mistake, please. If I have mentioned that, please.

The next question is from the line of Sunaina Chhabria from Chola Securities.

Congratulations on a great result. So I just have a follow-up question with respect to the volumes and EBITDA margin that is there for Welspun. Like you said, the product mi x was a bit better this time. So are you looking at -- which products are you looking at, which gives this kind of margin benefit? Is it the SS Bar pipe? Or is it the line pipes and DI Pipes. If you could give a bit of color over there?

Sunaina, it's a blend of all, let's say, historically, the best of the margins comes from the product what we make in the U.S. That's where you have the highest EBITDA, highest margins you have there. Followed by our oil and gas products, and equally supported and collaborated by our stainless steel. So it's a blend of all the 3 things which happen at this point in time, and that results into this metrics. So that's the way you have to see. So it's a little -- when you make multiple products, you'll see a blend coming into play. So all what matters is that what is the product mix which you are running in that particular quarter. I think so there's a lot of signs which goes behind working around that. And I think so that's what's always been done. But let's focus on that, what is the EBITDA, which is coming, what is the margins which are coming and more importantly, is it sustainable in the future? And are we getting to the guidance which we have given. And to that, the answer is yes.

And just the second question is, so you've spoken about the margin in the U.S. and in India, if you could give a bit of a range as to where it looks like in KSA and the Saudi Arabian market with the new -- with the business that is already there and the new faciliti es which are coming up. So what is the margin looking like over there?

So let's say, the facilities, what we have, which is the spiral facility, I think so, those numbers are in public domain and you have an access to that. You could see that what type of margins they are operating at. There's nothing heading around that, number one. Number two, coming back to the new investments, which are going to come up there. As I said earlier, we see a very strong demand, a very strong potential and being Welspun into local market -- as a local parent Saudi Arabian market, we will definitely be into a pole position in subsequent quarters to come once we start our operations. But I think so margins also affect us, Sunaina, you will agree, is the demand and the supply gap prevailing at that point in time. So hypothetically to predict that what are the margins going to be there, 6 quarters down the line when I'm going to start, will be slightly premature. My request would be that as we -- let us first commission the project, let us start up our operations. And then I think so, we will love to give you the clear visibility, as I always do, for all of our businesses for that business, too. So that will be a very appropriate time to question and challenge about the margins. Right now -- I mean, my personal opinion, it is slightly premature.

The next question is from the line of Deshna Sheth from N-Wealth. Please go ahead. Deshna, your voice is not audible. The next question is from the line of Amit Agicha from HG Hawa.

Amit, I think so, I have Ashish here and probably he will be in the best of the position to give you absolute ground reality and ground run on to that. Ashish, can you take that, please?

Yes. Thank you, Vipul, for giving the chan ce. Amit, we -- as we have stated before, we are a premium player. That's where our brand is, and we are targeting a 5% market share by FY '30.

5% of INR85,000 crores.

We continuously work on increasing the total addressable mar ket. So we will look at other opportunities of where we are playing to our core strategy, and we are able to increase that. At this point of time, our addressable market stands at INR85,000 crores. But over the next few years, we expect that we will penetrate more and we will also have opportunities to increase our addressable market.

Amit, the way you have to see -- see, Sintex, it's a company in making. It's an icon in making. And today, to hold accountable that what is going to happen tomorrow, I don't think so that may be the most appropriate way. Probably, I think, so it's more about belief, more about trust and more about the brand. I think so it is a strong brand. It has a huge brand because it is a premium product. We will continue -- our focus is on water storage tanks and pipes. And I have no doubt whatsoever nor should have -- anyone have any doubts whatsoever in their mind, that over quarter -on-quarter basis, this company is going from -- is only going to grow from here.

Vipul, if I might just add, Amit, you should also note and heartening to note that the work which we have done around our revitalizing the brand and the positioning of the brand with Sintex, which we have sharpened around Saaf, Safe, Sahi that has land ed very well in the market. And as we have gone into our pilot market, I think we are finding good acceptance of the product superiority as well as the brand positioning, which is in line with our premium image, which we want to -- which we aspire for.

And sir, second question was like connect to the order book. Like can you just give a breakup of how much is the export and how much is domestic?

Amit, I think so as I said, our -- I have a bifurcation for India as well as for Ameri cas, which I said is close to 1 million tons, 600,000 tons in American, close to 400,000 tons in India. I think so the subsequent breakup, I will ask Goutam to reach out to you separately and give you the breakup. I may not have readily available, but broadly, this is what the order book split is.

Yes, sir. I'll connect offline.

The next question is from the line of Sailesh Raja from B&K Securities.

Just 2 questions. So we have entered the DI segment to reduce the business volatility. And while performance was strong last year, but now the entire industry is seeing pricing pressure building up due to a lot of capacity addition and new players entering . So in worst case, if the pricing pressures persist, then what is our plan B, just for my understanding, I'm asking that incremental 2 lakhs tons that we have added, can we explore relocating only the DI mill to Saudi similar to how we shifted the ideally the LSAW line just to unlock the value. So what is our plan here?

Sailesh, first and foremost, I think, so these are very unwarranted fears. I can understand that we -- 1 or 2 quarter slowdown has given rise to some doubts in the mind. When fundamentally, we are not seeing any fundamental shift in this Har ghar me Nal scheme, we're are not seeing any fundamental shift, please. This scheme is our pioneer signature scheme of the country. It is there and it will be there. We still see a traction of at least next 3 to 5 years into that, number one. Number two, as I said, it will be coupled up with urbanized scheme, which is AMRUT. Please understand, recycled water, sewage, other schemes which are yet -- any growth, any developed economy will always go for those applications as well, those schemes as well. I think we are there for the long haul. I don't think so that there's any reason to be unduly concerned about the viability of the project. There could be 1 quarter, 1, 2 quarter here and there. It can happen. It can happen in any business. But so is the case here. But is there a fundamental shift happening on the ground? We don't believe that. So we have not even given a thought that what could be our plan B. We are very clear that this is the right investment, it is an investment which is to pay us back. It is going to be there for a sustainable time. And it is going to -- it is -- and it is with that conviction we have gone to Saudi, it is with that conviction, we are also exporting -- opening the market for exports. So our conviction level has not gone down. And Sailesh, my request would be that do not see 1 or 2 quarter industry setback as something which will carry forward for a very long time. I don't think so fundamentally there is any major shift which has happened.

Sir, one last question. Sir, our compounded cash flow from operations, it has grown 16% over the last 6 years. So that is very commendable figure and very few companies and listed companies have reported such ver y strong CAGR in CFO, that is 16% actually. For the INR3,000 crores investment. Now with planned capex of INR5,500 crores of investments, so what kind of CFO CAGR that you are expecting in next 5, 6 years?

Sailesh, first let me just tell you that, a, we have crystallized the capex. I want to tell you that how does Welspun fundamentally operate. We have crystallized the capex. We have clearly articulated that to the market. we have clearly said that we will n ever ever let our net debt -to- EBITDA exceed 1, right? Even if you see for this particular quarter, we are hovering around 0.3 or something.

Correct. We are actually net cash in a position. So that is the thing. But please go ahead, sir.

So I mean, we are -- it is under these guardrails, we will operate, Sailesh. So -- and of course, it is a factor of our operating cash flow, the free cash flow, what is the businesses I have. All these -- all the exercise diligence have been done. At a principle level, we are very clear that we have to manage our net debt, we will not exceed that. We will have to manage our project cost and the time lines. So we are well -- clear guardrails have been established, and we will operate under those gua rdrails only. So I am not -- don't -- all what I'm trying to tell you, Sailesh, that there will be no surprises which will be coming up on the table.

Sailesh, if I may just add. The cash -- the capex is also spread over 2, 3 years. And combine d with our strong operating cash flows from our businesses, we are very confident that our balance sheet will remain in a very strong position. And our guidance for net debt -to-EBITDA is also already put out in the public domain. And you can see the confidence that is getting mirrored in the CRISIL upgrade that also happened very recently.

The next question is from the line of Raman from Sequent Investment.

Congratulations on excellent set of results. I just wanted to understand, is there any onetime profit in terms of like -- in terms of EBITDA margin? I mean in product mix?

Percy, can you?

So Raman, in the stand-alone results, if you see, you will see the Nauyaan Shipyard sale impact coming in. So that will be there in the stand -alone. However, in consolidated numbers, there is no such exceptional item in this Q1. So the numbers that you are seeing, the EBITDA that you are seeing consolidated of INR560 crores that is largely business EBITDA, nothing exceptional.

So what was the -- how was the margin improved? Is it operational efficiency at play or the value -- the share of value-added products increased due to which EBITDA margin was higher?

Raman, I think that already got answered a while back. So the mix of the orders that we are having in this Q1, so India, exports, LSAW, U.S. coming in, all these things have obviously helped the margins, and we are very confident that this is sustainable.

Okay, sir. And my second question is with respect to the Sintex. So we are doing INR1,300 crores investment. I just wanted to -- with respect to OPVC pipe, I just wanted to unde rstand this OPVC pipe segment, what is the product, and can you give any rough estimate of asset.

Raman, I think so we talked about it in -- someone asked this question. I said, see, OPVC is a business in making. We have started the productio n. We already have an order breakthrough, we will be executing in the second quarter. We are seeing that the acceptability and acknowledgment across various states, which are coming out with massive distribution network projects in their state. They are recognizing OPVC and they're incorporating into the specification. I think so these are some basic principle fundamental groundworks which are happening at this point in time, which is the bedrock for its growth. So right now, all what we are doing is to c reate a long-term story around OPVC on which we have gone with our fullest conviction.

Gentlemen, this may not be the right forum, Raman, to explain you the technical differentiation between the products. I will encourage that you come and visit our plant, I extend a warm invitation to you, where under the same roof, you could see an HDPE pipe to the UPVC pipe to the CPVC pipe to th e OPVC pipe. I think so one has to really understand the technicality and the superiority of this particular product. We are -- this investment by Welspun is being done after a very detailed evaluation about the product suitability and the conviction about the product. So I think so it will be a very good idea Raman that -- I mean that more than the financial analysis, the technical analysis of this product is also being undertaken, and I request you to kindly come and join us at our plant one of these days.

Ladies and gentlemen, we will take that as the last question. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Vipul Mathur for closing comments.

Thank you very much, gentlemen, for joining us today for this Welspun Corp Q1 FY '26 con call. I believe that all the questions, what were being raised have been appropriately and adequately answered. But having said that, if you still have any other pending queries in your mind, I think so my team is already there to service that. Also, I would l ike to take this opportunity to tell you that the company is absolutely on a growth path. We are very clear. We have very clearly articulated our strategy that what are we going to be in the next 24 months' time. We are also very clear that what are we go ing to be in the next 36 months' time and 48 months' time. Our investments, if you see, are coming on stream sequentially, and we'll see those incremental margins, profit, EBITDA and growth coming into a very sequential manner. Friends, all what we are wr iting here is a story for the next 5 years with a very clear vision for 2030. I think so these are exciting times here great opportunities and at Welspun, we are completely poised to capitalize upon it. Having said that, we would like to maintain our glob al positioning in all the segments what we are, our customer centricity, which we are known for and our quality obsession, which has brought us here. So I think so these fundamental principles with financial discipline, we are navigating this company to t he next side. We have always been blessed with your trust. We believe that you will continue to have your faith and trust into us. And we assure you that you will not be disappointed. Thank you very much for joining today. Have a good day. Thank you.

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, on beha lf of Welspun Corp Limited and J M Financial Institutional Securities Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.