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BRIGADE · FY2024 Q3

Brigade Enterprises Limited analyst Q&A

2024-02-07
Moderator

Thank you very much sir. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. The first question is from the line of Karan Khanna from Ambit Capital.

Karan KhannaAmbit Capital

Congrats on a record ASP for the quarter. My first question is on the success o f your new launches. You launched Brigade Sanctuary two million square feet during t he quarter. With volume presales at 1.7 million square feet in this quarter, I just wanted to understand the contribution of Brigade Sanctuaries in this number.

Karan KhannaAmbit Capital

Sure. So as a follow-up, how should one think of the 10.8 million square feet launches that you're targeting over the next 12 months, Pavitra? And what I'm trying to g et to is the conversion of these launches into presales. How should one think about that?

Pavitra Shankar

Yes. So the 10.8 million, again, it is across Bengaluru, Chennai, and Hyderabad. Three of those projects are in Chennai, and one is in Hyderabad. So we're working into the pipeline as soon as possible. A couple of the Bengaluru launches will move into Q1 rather than Q4, but Q4 also we do have a good number of launches coming into the pipeline, and we already have RERA for some of them. So we should be able to see the numbers in Q4 itself. As we launch, I think our turnaround time is to get not just fr om a sales perspective but also into bookings and agreements. So pretty quickly, you'll be able to see the cash flows coming into the numbers also.

Karan KhannaAmbit Capital

Sure. And just as a follow-up, in the last call, you mentioned t hat by FY27, you're targeting roughly 10 million square feet sort of a run rate. So far in nine months, you've done 4.3 million square feet. So with the sort of tailwind that you're seeing, do you think that 10 million square feet could in fact have been sooner than FY27?

Pavitra Shankar

So in the first nine months, we've actually done around 4.8 mil lion. And we have a substantial amount of the target assigned to Q4 because some of our launches were coming into Q4 itself. We are pretty confident that we'll be able to reach the number tha t we wanted for Q4 showing an expected increase over FY23 numbers for the whole year. And yes, we're on track. I think a lot of the BD that we've done over the last 1.5 years or so is going to come into the pipeline, which is, again, why you're seeing the 10.8 million number for the next four quarters and over the following financial year as well. So as of now, I think we're on track. A couple of more acquisitions, where we can quickly get it into the pipeline, should help us reach that.

Karan KhannaAmbit Capital

Sure. My second question, if I look at Slide number 27 of yo ur investor presentation, you've spoken about the 1.06 million square feet of the hotel launch. So could you please reiterate the timeline for these launches? And as a follow-up, in terms of the sector, do you think that if this launch takes you another two or three years, perhaps that's the right time to come on board with I mean, you have 1,000-odd K's at that point in time?

Nirupa Shankar

Yes, Nirupa here. So we're looking to launch these projects in Q2 or Q3 of FY25. Because there's a lot of momentum with the hospitality space, it will take at least 2 to 3years for the hotels to actually come into the market. And yes, we believe that this is the right time to continue to build on this portfolio.

Nirupa Shankar

Yes. So with regards to the funding, we are exploring various options. We are talking to various parties to determine what is the best course and way forward.

Karan KhannaAmbit Capital

Sure. And lastly, Pavitra, if you could also speak aboutaspirationally in three to five years’ time, what sort of market share are you looking at in markets outside of Bengaluru, say, in Hyderabad and Chennai?

Pavitra Shankar

Yes. So I think in the next three to five years, we are looking our position in Bengaluru naturally to increase our market share in Chennai and Hyderabad. We have the potential to do around 12 million to 15 million square feet in Chennai itself in terms of the land bank. So that should start coming into our sales pipeline as well. In Hyderabad, as you know, we acquired the Neopolis land parcel, a nd that's a big project for us. It's about two million square feet of residential, and mixed use fo r the remaining part of the project. So Hyderabad, Chennai are both key aspects of the mark et. We are still reiterating our commitment to focusing on these markets to give us the kind of depth across domains, whether it's residential, office, retail, and hotel and to build on the presence that we have from a BD standpoint. That said, after reaching where we would like in each of these markets, I think we will start at least thinking about where else we can potentially examine, but Brigade h as always been very clear, we'll make sure that we have the kind of presence in Chennai a nd Hyderabad that we do in Bengaluru before we really start branching out substantially into any other markets. Naturally, we're also there in smaller markets, like, say, Mysore and GIF T City, Kochi, etcetera, across the domains. But the focus will be on Chennai and Hyderabad to expand them similar to Bengaluru.

Karan KhannaAmbit Capital

Sure. This is helpful, Pavitra and Nirupa.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Adhidev Chattopadhyay from ICICI Securities.

Adhidev ChattopadhyayICICI Securities

So actually congratulations on the great performance for the quarter. I h ave a few questions. Firstly, on the commercial leasing we have done for this quarter actually in Tech Gardens, so when do the rentals start now flowing in considering the rent-free period and other which tenants would have? And now would you say that we are on track to lease this entire portion in another couple of quarters, whatever vacant area we have in the other buil dings? Yes, that's the first question.

Nirupa Shankar

Adhidev, Nirupa here. For the large transactions that we did in this past quarter, about...

M R Jaishankar

Is it at your end or what?

Moderator

Sir, there is some problem in the line connection, probably the carrier.

Nirupa Shankar

Okay. Just reconnect.

M R Jaishankar

Okay. Please reconnect.

Moderator

I'll just reconnect. Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, kindly stay c onnected while I try to reconnect the management. Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for patiently holding. The line for the management has been reconnected. Over to you, ma'am.

Nirupa Shankar

Yes. Adhidev, just to continue the response, I would say about 55% of the new leases, we should expect to get the rentals starting from Q1 of FY25. There is some portion that is a hard option, so which we will get clarity on, but there is full intention for the client to take the space. So the hard option will be valid till Q3 of FY25. And in regards with vacancy of 5% on the portfolio, yes, there's full efforts to ensure that we try to lease it this quarter. But within the next one to two quarters, it should be fully leased.

Adhidev ChattopadhyayICICI Securities

Okay. Fine. The second question, now you have unveiled this plan of this commercial and hotel projects, right, almost 6 million square feet of total area. Just help us understa nd which would be the larger projects among these. What would be our strategy in terms of lease and strata? And what is the capex you would require? What is the sort of funding plan? Wo uld you look for strategic partnerships like we have done in the past? And what would be the indicator of rental yield or if you could just help us guide us on this entire, whatever, say, probably the next 3, four years? Yes.

Nirupa Shankar

Yes. I think our big projects are in Padmini Tech Valley and Brigade Tech Bou levard and of course, Brigade Neopolis in Hyderabad. So Padmini Tech Valley is in Bengaluru, Brigade Tech Boulevard is in Chennai and Brigade Neopolis is in Hyderabad. There are some smaller projects which are also part of larger mixed-use developments. In terms of retail also, as you know, we will be setting up a mall, a lifestyle destination mall in Brigade Neopolis in Hyderabad. And with regards to the hotels, they will be spread across Hyderabad, Chennai, and Bengaluru as well. With regards to hospita lity, as discussed earlier, we are internally discussing what is the best way forward for the growth capit al that we might need. And with regards to office, we are always open to discussing with people. Bu t as of now, we are able to handle the requirements through internal accruals. As you know, most of our capex is 80% LRD. And as we continue to lease, some of those funds will become available to us. And, yes, so I think I answered most of your questions.

Adhidev ChattopadhyayICICI Securities

Okay. So just from my end, so around the INR3,000 crores capex for the 6 million square feet is a reasonable number to go with for the total area?

Nirupa Shankar

Yes. Yes. It's around that.

Nirupa Shankar

That's right. That's right. Yes. I think it will require about a year for design development and approvals and then about 2.5, 3.5 years for construction.

Adhidev ChattopadhyayICICI Securities

Okay. And just one final housekeeping question. The Chennai launch on the Mount Road that is slated for this quarter or it may spill over to next year?

Pradyumna Kumar

Adhidev, Pradyumna here. So it is expected to be launched by Q1.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Pritesh Sheth from Motilal Oswal.

Pritesh ShethMotilal Oswal

Yes. So first question is on the launches slated for the fourth quarter. What's the siz e and the value of launches which are planned in fourth quarter considering Chennai is now delayed by a quarter?

Pavitra Shankar

Yes. So for the upcoming quarter, we have around 2.6 million square feet that is expected to be launched. The entire launch will be based in Bengaluru. It's part of two existing projects in the sense that we've already launched and sold out of the plotted project, which is one of them. We already have RERA for that, and that's underway. And another two block s in our Brigade El Dorado township. So we're really confident of the demand that's on ground for these 2. And as I mentioned earlier, the contribution from these projects shou ld help us achieve our sales target for FY24. As Pradyumna mentioned, the ikonsorry, the Mount Road launch will actually move into Q1, although we have very good visibility of the app rovals and so on. But I think that's going to slip into April also.

Pritesh ShethMotilal Oswal

Sure. The value of this 2.6 million square feet should be INR1,500 crores to INR2,000 crores...

Pavitra Shankar

Yes. I mean you said INR1,500 crores. It's I have around INR1,800 crore s to INR1,850 crores or so.

Pritesh ShethMotilal Oswal

Sure. Yes. Got it. Second question is on your residential gross margins, which have been tepid in last two, three quarters. When can we expect that improvement to come? This is regards to gross margins and not EBITDA margins. So where do you see where shou ld we see the improvement coming in? Because earlier, we had clocked like over 30% kind of gross margins.

Atul Goyal

Atul here. So definitely from next quarter, you will see that increase in EBITDA margins. And this is also an aberration because we had finished one of the projects where it was a mixed-use project where there was a commercial as well as residential and construction cost was higher. That's why it's showing a lower margin. But going forward, definitely, t his will go up to 20%, 25%, what we were discussing earlier.

Pritesh ShethMotilal Oswal

Sure. Got it. And just one last bookkeeping, if you can provide a breakup of collections between residential and the commercial that you always do?

Atul Goyal

Yes, just note down. Residential is around INR933 crores, commercial sale is INR41 crores, so that combines the real estate collections. Commercial lease is INR161 crores, re tail is INR 55 crores, hospitality is INR142 crores and maintenance and PMS is around INR62 crores, total INR1,394 crores.

Pritesh ShethMotilal Oswal

Sure. And sir, just one last before I move on. Now, on the capital raise plans, INR1,500 crores, what is the kind of mix you're looking at between debt and equity? Is it largely for the capex that is coming up or you are looking to build some residential pipeline and hence meet this capital raise? So if you can elaborate on that.

Atul Goyal

So see, it will be definitely both mix of equity and debt. Of cou rse, as you were seeing, Nirupa was talking about INR3,000 crores of investment. We have got lot of LRDs which we can take right now, more than INR1,000 crores. So that is there, and of course, we can raise construction finance. So it is only enabling resolution. We will see as to when the money is required, and then, we will see as to what is to be done.

Pritesh ShethMotilal Oswal

Sure. That's very helpful. And all the best, and thanks for elaborating your growth plans across all the segments. All the best for future.

Moderator

We'll take the next question from the line of Rakesh from Monarch AIF.

Rakesh

Sir, a couple of questions from my side. First, coming to the debt pa rt that is under leasing segment, has increased from INR3,200 crores in Q4 FY23 to INR3,800 crores. Just wanted to know any reason for increase in debt.

Atul Goyal

So a lot of money is going into construction and land banks, so th e money we have used is mainly there in there.

Rakesh

Okay. Construction as well as the land bank -- new purchase of land bank.

Rakesh

Yes. Yes. And sir, second question, in the books -- in the PPT, you have shown you have got INR1,562 crores cash in the books. I just wanted to know the bifurcation of the cash. How much cash we can use for the new land acquisition in the coming years or coming quarters?

Atul Goyal

So see, the maximum cash is in RERA account, so it has to be used in the construction of properties around. Out of INR1,500 crores, INR1,000 crores to INR1,100 crores are lying in RERA account, which is being used in construction. Rest, around INR200 cro res to INR300 crores, is what we can use for land bank. But this is a regular cash ge neration, you'll just see we'll be crossing around INR5,500 crores of collection this year. An d so there will be a lot of free cash flows, which will be there from the lease, which will be used for the land bank.

Rakesh

Okay. Okay, sir. And sir, we have talked about the 10 million square feet launch in the coming fourth quarter. It will be great if you can share the GDV of those 10 million as well and share of Brigade's, that will be helpful.

Pavitra Shankar

Yes. So we communicated around 10.8 million square feet of residentia l launch, that GDV should be about INR10,000 crores, and predominantly at least INR9,000 crores of that is Brigade's share.

Rakesh

Just confirming the amount, INR9,000 crores?

Rakesh

Okay. Okay.

Pavitra Shankar

A substantial number of properties are opened by Brigade and not in JV. So that's why you see a higher share.

Rakesh

Okay. Okay. One last question from my side. With respect to the new business development, so how are you getting the land parcels? How the deals with respect to land parcel are happening? Because whatever we are reading in the newspaper or the articles, they a re showing the land because of an increase in demand for the land, it's very difficult or the land prices are coming at higher prices, your view on that?

Pradyumna Kumar

Pradyumna here. So as far as land itself goes, naturally Brigade is a v ery reputed developer, therefore, there is automatic traction to us. So whether it's landowners, whether it is IPC, agents, they naturally gravitate towards us to offer land. As you know, about 50% to 60% of our land is acquired either by way of joint developments or a way of purchase. So typically being a preferred partner, we do get most of our lands directly at our doorstep. But at the same time, we are focusing on certain micro markets that we want t o be, whether it's in Bengaluru, Chennai, or Hyderabad, and we then go out with that kind of a focused approach.

Pradyumna Kumar

I'm sorry to interrupt, but can you be a little clearer? I'm not able to hear you clearly.

Rakesh

Okay. So I'll repeat the question. So the amount of INR2,500 c rores to INR3,000 crores c apex that is aligned for the upcoming commercial development as well as the hotel development that will be done via debt or through LRD loans?

Atul Goyal

So I think Nirupa has already replied to that, that these are all com bination of factors that were of course, we have our LRD potential, which I said around INR1,000 crores or more. There will be a construction loan, which will be taken. At least 50% of cost you can take as a construction loan, which will be used during the time of construction. And of course, she has said that there'll be -- we are looking for partners, if there are good partners, willing partner, then maybe we can do a joint venture a lso in any of these. So that is the way which we are going to.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Parvez Qazi from Nuvama Group.

Parvez QaziNuvama Group

Congratulations for a great set of numbers. So my first question is regarding th e prices, and obviously, you as well as all of your peers have seen significant increa se in ASPs over the last couple of years, partly due to the demand and supply scenario and partly also the premiumization that we are seeing in the industry. Now I know -- I mean, it would be difficult to say it in data terms, but in you r sense, what contribution of price increase over the last couple of years would have c ome due to the premiumization of sales or basically due to customers moving towards high er-value different items?

Pavitra Shankar

Yes. So there's a lot of reasons as you mentioned. Generally, eve n going through a few years back, the movement of projects from the 12% to 5% GST regime itself result ed in our inherent price increase. And then over the last, I would say, 18 to 24 mon ths, specifically in Bengaluru, we have seen the dramatic price increase for the same kind of product. So we have not necessarily made our product more premium, but due to customer demand and what I -- what we feel is probably the -- Bengaluru, I think, has been significantly priced less than certain other markets despite the growth of the city. So I think that has actually been coming through over the last two years, and you've seen that grow dramatically. Also, we moved into Chennai and Hyderabad with some launches over th e last couple of years, that has also increased our average price realization in the portfolio. And very recently, in this past quarter, we launched Brigade Sanctuary. That is actually one of a premiumized projects that we have. Premiumized in the sense that it's slightly better specs than the mid-segment products. So I think from there, we have also seen a dramatic price increa se in the ATR. So hope that answers the question. Going forward also, given the kind of product mix that we have, we will continue to see just a price -- average selling price generally to be higher. That said, if we do h ave plotted products that are getting full, you could see a temporary decrease in the average number.

Parvez QaziNuvama Group

Sure. My second question is on the business development. Now, ov er the last 1-1.5 years, we have added substantial amount of projects to our pipeline, etcetera. So what are our thoughts on the BD front going ahead? Do we see these trends moderating or conside ring the improvement in sales trajectory, we expect that this will continue on the same run rate?

Pradyumna Krishnakumar

The momentum will continue, Parvez, because -- actually, as we acquire land, we are also launching various parcels like Pavitra also mentioned 10.8 million square feet in just residential and then 5 million square feet in office retail and 1 million square fe et of hotels. So we will be replenishing the land bank certainly. But over and above that, one has to grow. So we will focus on all three markets, Bengaluru, Chennai, and Hyderabad, and we expect the momentum on BD to continue as we are witnessing for the last year or so.

Parvez QaziNuvama Group

And two questions for Atul, sir. Sir, what were the rentals in BTG and WTC this quarter? And what is the pending land payments that we need to make?

Atul Goyal

So it -- you want leasing revenue? So in Tech Garden, it was INR49 crores.

Atul Goyal

Yes, in Q3. And in Chennai, PREPL, it was INR38 crores. And the pending land payments are around INR1,194 crores.

Moderator

We'll take the next question from the line of Rakesh from Monarch AIF.

Rakesh

One question regarding the commercial leasing segment. In FY25, we are supposed to launch the Brigade Twin Tower with an area of 1.3 million square feet. Any updates with respect to the pre-leasing of this project, like how much leasing has been done in this project?

Nirupa Shankar

Yes. We will be launching that in Q1 or Q1 of FY25. We've already started showing the project around to large corporates. So it will take its natural progression becau se the project still needs to get NOC. So we are putting in a lot of effort to ensure that we try an d get it leased as fast as possible.

Rakesh

Any guidance like -- any timeline that we are looking to, to lease out this project, m aybe next one year or anything?

Rakesh

Okay. And regarding the -- you have guided, we will be launching 10 million square feet in the next four quarters. And the upcoming next four quarters, we'll be launching in the range of 10 million to 11 million square feet. Can we assume that GDV will be re maining same, like INR10,000 crores to INR9,000 crores in the coming years also?

Rakesh

So we have...

Rakesh

Yes. So for the next four quarters, we know the GDV of the project that we are going to launch will be...

Moderator

Sorry to interrupt. Maybe we request you to kindly use your handse t if you're using your Bluetooth headphones. Please use your handset.

Rakesh

Am I audible, better?

Moderator

Yes, sir, please proceed.

Rakesh

So for the next four quarters, we know the GDV of the project is INR10,000 crores. Just wanted to know what will be the GDV in the coming years because we have guided that we will be launching around 9 million to 10-million square feet in new lands -- new area for the upcoming years also. So can we assume that GDV will be also similar or it will be higher?

Pavitra Shankar

So yes, it should be higher or t-- but again, if you're -- it's depending on the kind of product that is being released. So if we -- it's based on that and in the markets that we have as well. We always mention the GDV for the next four quarters because we have absolute clarity as to pricing and what the product is. But other than that -- I mean, we have the overall land bank that we have, which could get into the pipeline over the next four to five years.

Moderator

The next question is from the line of Adhidev Chattopadhyay from ICICI Securities.

Adhidev ChattopadhyayICICI Securities

Question is on the pending land bank payments of around INR1,100 crores or how much is due in the fourth quarter?

Atul Goyal

Fourth quarter, I think out of this INR1,194 crores, we should be -- we should do around INR200 crores to INR250 crores with -- of the land bank.

Adhidev ChattopadhyayICICI Securities

Okay. Sir, on the balance payments, which we'll have for next ye ar, it's for which project majorly, the INR1,000-odd crores, which should spill over to probably next year?

Atul Goyal

See I'll not specify the project because -- but I can tell you that around Chennai, it should be in the range of INR600 crores and Bengaluru around INR500 crores. This is the overall breakup of this.

Adhidev ChattopadhyayICICI Securities

Okay. Okay, fine. And sir, just referring to your presentation again, where you give the debt breakup segmental, is there a typo in the SPV partner share of the net debt? This is what it shows, going up from INR637 crores to INR935 crores in September and again falling to INR663 crores in this quarter.

Atul Goyal

No, it's okay. It's right only.

Adhidev ChattopadhyayICICI Securities

Sir, could you just explain like why this has happened? Slide 20.

Atul Goyal

See because of the PREPL, they have been taken, both LRD and cash flow.

Atul Goyal

It's majorly due to increase of the RERA money -- significantly. So it has been more allocated to the SPV. There's no reason for reduction in SPV partners.

Atul Goyal

Yes.

Moderator

Ladies and gentlemen, as that was the last question, I would now like to hand the conference over to Ms. Pavitra Shankar, Managing Director, for closing comments. Over to you, ma'am.

Pavitra Shankar

Thanks. Before we close, I just wanted to share a few of our highlights. Our not-for-profit trust Brigade Foundation has taken up renovation work on the Venkatappa Art Gallery in Bengaluru. This is in collaboration with the Government of Karnataka, Department of Archeology, Museums and Heritage. This is to renovate the renowned gallery and co ntribute to enhancing the existing rich history of art and culture in Karnataka. Our not-for-profit 100-bed St. John's Medical College and Hospital at the 60-acre Brigade Meadows township is nearing completion. The state- of-the-art hospital is a INR35 crores project, an initiative of the Brigade Foundation and will be one of the largest integrated healthcare providers in Bangalore, contributing significantly to th e healthcare needs of South Bangalore. Pavitra Shankar received the Woman Achiever in the Real Estate Sector Awa rd at the Ace Alpha Awards 2023, while Nirupa Shankar was recognized as the Woman Leader in Commercial Real Estate at Commercial Design Awards 2023. Brigade won four awards at the 15th Re alty+ Excellence Awards 2023 - South, for various differentiated marketing campaigns. Brigade's REAP, Asia's first Proptech Accelerator program, posted its annual flagsh ip summit of Propogate 2023. It brought together industry thought leaders, k ey influencers, and start-ups from across the country to share knowledge and best practices throug h deliberations and panel discussions. With that, we now wrap up our Q3 FY24 analyst call. Thank you all for taking the time to hear from us today.

Moderator

Thank you, members of the management. On behalf of Brigade Enterprises Li mited, that concludes this conference. We thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you. ***************************************